Matt Adams
Matt Adams
31-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The free agent has been a consistent source of power production the past few years even without the full-time job. Adams tried to boost up his free-agent value this year by selling out for power as he had an abnormally high strikeout rate, but ended up hitting one fewer homer than he did the previous season in the same amount of playing time. The bigger swing resulted in a career-worst batting average and on-base percentage, and it was the first time in four seasons in which his overall offensive output against righties was below league average. Every at-bat he has against a lefty is one at-bat too many, so his playing time should really be capped at 300 plate appearances which makes him an endgame option in single-league formats to fill a corner spot on your roster. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Mets in January of 2020. Contract is worth $1.25 million at the major-league level.
Cracks 60-man pool
1BNew York Mets
June 29, 2020
Adams has been added to the Mets' 60-man player pool, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The veteran first baseman likely won't get much use out of his glove working behind Pete Alonso, but Adams could be a big part of the DH picture for the Mets this season. In 111 games for the Nats last year, the 31-year-old hit .226 with 20 homers.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
38
20
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+54%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .627 169 16 8 34 0 .201 .225 .402
Since 2017vs Right .824 868 114 53 144 0 .257 .317 .507
2019vs Left .674 63 5 4 14 0 .210 .222 .452
2019vs Right .757 270 37 16 42 0 .230 .289 .468
2018vs Left .622 43 6 1 8 0 .220 .256 .366
2018vs Right .811 294 36 20 49 0 .242 .316 .494
2017vs Left .583 63 5 3 12 0 .180 .206 .377
2017vs Right .896 304 41 17 53 0 .295 .342 .554
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .838 545 72 37 86 0 .252 .317 .520
Since 2017Away .740 492 58 24 92 0 .242 .285 .455
2019Home .804 176 29 13 26 0 .226 .301 .503
2019Away .672 157 13 7 30 0 .225 .248 .424
2018Home .858 170 21 12 28 0 .265 .329 .529
2018Away .711 167 21 9 29 0 .212 .287 .424
2017Home .849 199 22 12 32 0 .264 .322 .527
2017Away .831 168 24 8 33 0 .287 .315 .516
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Stat Review
How does Matt Adams compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.17
 
BB Rate
6.0%
 
K Rate
34.5%
 
BABIP
.284
 
ISO
.239
 
AVG
.226
 
OBP
.276
 
SLG
.465
 
OPS
.741
 
wOBA
.320
 
Exit Velocity
88.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.4%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Adams
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
49 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
Regan's Rumblings: Who Benefits from a Universal DH?
50 days ago
Dave Regan looks at 10 players who could benefit from universal DH, including the Phillies' Jay Bruce.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
61 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes players whose stocks are changing with the delay of the season, including Howie Kendrick, who could prove to be a big bargain.
MLB Barometer: Correctly Valuing Saves
74 days ago
Before jumping into this week's risers and fallers, Erik Halterman examines whether the market is accurately valuing closers or just overreacting after getting burned by the likes of Edwin Diaz.
Spring Training Job Battles: Early March Update
119 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes the latest spring training job battles, including the Diamondbacks bullpen where Archie Bradley has yet to be named the closer.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Adams signed with the Nationals last offseason, after the Braves opted to non-tender him. He took advantage of playing time opened via injuries, playing either first base or left field regularly against right-handed pitching and slashing .275/.351/.575 through June 15. On June 19, Adams was hit by a pitch and was placed on the DL with a broken finger. He returned July 4, but his playing time dwindled with the return of Daniel Murphy then Ryan Zimmerman. On Aug. 21, Adams was dealt to his former club, the Cardinals, in a waiver deal. He struggled with St. Louis down the stretch, posting a .533 OPS. For the season, Adams clubbed a personal-best 21 homers, but a career-worst .245 BABIP spurred his lowest-ever batting average. Adams returned to Washington on a one-year deal and projects to open the season on the bench.
Adams began the 2017 season on the bench for the Cardinals, making just 53 trips to the dish through May 19. But then Freddie Freeman got hurt and the Braves came a-calling. Adams hit .314 with 10 homers in June and remained at first initially upon Freeman's return with Freeman temporarily shifting to the hot corner. It wasn't long before Freeman returned to first, pushing Adams to the outfield for semi-regular at-bats. In mid-August, Adams was primarily used as a pinch-hitter, with occasional starts in the field. Perceived to be a high-strikeout hitter, Adams' career 76 percent contact rate isn't terrible in today's climate, but a six percent walk rate renders him susceptible to slumps. This, along with struggles versus southpaw pitching, expose the left-handed swinger when afforded regular opportunities. He will be the backup at first base in Washington after signing a one-year deal in December.
Adams had a hard time staying healthy in the second half of the season, as he frequently dealt with back soreness and spent time on the DL with an inflamed shoulder. He was limited to 118 games and just 69 starts, all of which came at first base. His production at the plate left much to be desired, and with Matt Carpenter set to take on the starting role at first base in 2017, Adams' outlook for playing time seems bleak. There's always a chance he could be traded, but Adams is unlikely to play against southpaws no matter where he is, as he owns a .212 average and .595 OPS in his career against lefties. Given his growing injury history and declining role, Adams is now more of an NL-only consideration, with any mixed-league relevance holding on by a thread.
Adams entered 2015 with a chance to cement his hold on the starting job at first base for years to come, but only hit .243/.281/.375 before going down with a quad injury that nearly ended his season. Adams managed to return in September and logged 31 at-bats over the season's final month, but still finished the year with a disappointing slash line, hitting just 14 extra-base hits in 175 total at-bats. Adams is still just 27 and the Cardinals haven't brought in a big name to replace him, so there's a possibility he rights the ship in 2016 and delivers the 20-plus home run power and solid secondary numbers that owners were hoping for in 2015. He may, however, lose out on at-bats to Stephen Piscotty, if Piscotty is forced to first base due to a logjam in the outfield, or if manager Mike Matheny decides he has seen enough of Adams struggling against left-handers and implements a strict platoon.
Adams returned solid value to owners that were able to snatch him up in the later rounds of fantasy drafts, posting a .288/.321/.457 line with 34 doubles, 15 home runs and 68 RBI while playing above average defense at first base. When the Cardinals traded Allen Craig to Boston at the deadline it solidified Adams' role as the team's everyday first baaseman. It's somewhat discouraging that he hit just .239/.308/.356 in 180 at-bats over the final two months of this season, dropping his average from .314 to .288 but his role is much clearer heading into 2015 than it was a year ago. It's likely that he could very easily be a top-12 first baseman in 2015 if he can stay healthy and develop a little more power, particularly if some of those doubles and triples (he had an unlikely five in 2014) clear the outfield wall for home runs.
Adams had a very good 2013 in limited playing time, slamming 17 home runs and 14 doubles in just 319 plate appearances. His BABIP (.337) was somewhat high, meaning his .284 average could fall with a larger sample size, but Adams still makes plenty of hard contact, as evidenced by his .220 ISO. The power is here for Adams to be a 30-homer bat, but it might not happen in 2014, as his HR/FB (21.8%) may not be completely sustainable. That being said, it appears Allen Craig will play primarily in right field this season following the departure of Carlos Beltran, which should result in a significant increase in opportunities for Adams compared to last season. As the Cardinals' primary first baseman, Adams will have a good chance to crack the 500 at-bat plateau.
The various injuries suffered by Lance Berkman gave Adams a one-month opportunity to show he belonged in the majors. Results were mixed, as he started out strong (hitting .296 in his first 16 games) before the league caught up with him. At least 13 RBI in a 27-game stint was helpful. Adams tore up the minors since Day 1, hitting .318 with 82 home runs in 1,430 at-bats in his four-year career. Unfortunately, he can't really play anywhere besides first base. While that's not as big of an issue with Albert Pujols and Lance Berkman gone, the Cardinals could opt to give the job to Allen Craig or sign a big-name veteran in the offseason. Adams will probably have to wait his turn again.
Adams was pretty good in 2010, but he broke out in a big way playing for Double-A Springfield last year, belting 32 home runs and driving in 101 runs. He doesn't possess much speed, but if he can go 30-100-.300 every year, he won't have to. With Albert Pujols now in Anaheim, we could see Adams manning first base in St. Louis as early as this summer. Now 23, he'll likely head to Triple-A to begin the season while Lance Berkman takes on the everyday job in Pujols' absence.
More Fantasy News
Starts at first base
1BNew York Mets
March 11, 2020
Adams (chest) will start at first base and bat sixth in Wednesday's game against the Cardinals, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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First action since February
1BNew York Mets
Chest
March 9, 2020
Adams (chest) will serve as the designated hitter in Monday's spring game against the Marlins, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
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Cleared to resume activities
1BNew York Mets
Chest
March 4, 2020
Adams received good news regarding his cardiac tests and will resume baseball activities Friday, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
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Still absent from camp
1BNew York Mets
Chest
March 4, 2020
Adams (chest) has yet to rejoin the Mets for workouts since undergoing a cardiac screening last week, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
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Headed for further testing
1BNew York Mets
Chest
February 27, 2020
Adams will be sent for multiple rounds of cardiac screening, Deesha Thosar of the New York Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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