Justin Bour
Justin Bour
31-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Los Angeles Angels
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Bour's strong 2017 now looks like an aberration after his numbers fell across the board last season. His ISO fell 70 points to an unremarkable .177, while his slash line dropped from .289/.366/.536 to .227/.341/.404. He looks like nothing more than a platoon first baseman, with a solid 123 wRC+ against righties to go along with an ugly 68 mark against lefties, and the Marlins didn't hesitate to unload him at the trade deadline on a Phillies team looking for some extra power off its bench. Bour landed in what looks like a favorable playing-time situation with the Angels and is just good enough to be a fine budget bat for fantasy rosters. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.5 million contract with the Angels in December of 2018.
Homers twice in win
1BLos Angeles Angels
June 26, 2019
Bour went 2-for-4 with two home runs and four RBI in a win over the Reds on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Bour hit a fastball for a solo home run in the fifth inning and added a three-run shot in the eighth inning for his first mult-home run game of the season. Since coming back from Triple-A, Bour has four home runs in 24 plate appearances. Overall, Bour has a .190/.272/.430 slash line this season.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
16
5
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+44%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .658 272 24 8 34 0 .214 .316 .342
Since 2017vs Right .854 794 93 45 131 3 .259 .351 .502
2019vs Left .561 27 1 0 1 0 .182 .333 .227
2019vs Right .732 109 15 8 22 0 .192 .257 .475
2018vs Left .570 147 12 2 12 0 .192 .306 .264
2018vs Right .819 354 37 18 47 2 .242 .356 .463
2017vs Left .809 98 11 6 21 0 .253 .327 .483
2017vs Right .929 331 41 19 62 1 .300 .378 .552
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .816 518 52 30 91 2 .245 .340 .477
Since 2017Away .792 548 65 23 74 1 .250 .345 .447
2019Home .773 70 10 5 16 0 .213 .314 .459
2019Away .627 66 6 3 7 0 .167 .227 .400
2018Home .734 246 22 11 30 1 .219 .329 .405
2018Away .757 255 27 9 29 1 .235 .353 .404
2017Home .929 202 20 14 45 1 .287 .361 .567
2017Away .878 227 32 11 38 0 .291 .370 .508
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Stat Review
How does Justin Bour compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
9.6%
 
K Rate
27.9%
 
BABIP
.197
 
ISO
.240
 
AVG
.190
 
OBP
.272
 
SLG
.430
 
OPS
.702
 
wOBA
.307
 
Exit Velocity
89.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.7%
 
Barrels/PA
7.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Bour
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
8 days ago
Kevin Payne checks out Wednesday's slate and recommends not shying away from Francisco Lindor as he faces Rangers rookie left-hander Joe Palumbo.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
11 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks over an unusually shallow free-agent poll in the American League and thinks Joey Wendle should be a solid consolation prize if you miss out on the Yordan Alvarez sweepstakes.
Regan's Rumblings: Callupapalooza
37 days ago
Dave Regan analyzes recent high-profile prospect callups, including Austin Riley, a third baseman by trade who’s expected to function as an everyday left fielder for the Braves.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
39 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews the available talent on the waiver wire in the American League, where Willie Calhoun leads the latest wave of prospect promotions.
The Z Files: Changing Expectations
41 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at hitters like the Dodgers' Cody Bellinger who have moved the needle the most since the preseason, for better or for worse.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Marlins Park is a pitcher's park, right? Someone should tell Bour this because it seems he does not believe it to be so. He is just one of seven first baseman to have an ISO (slugging minus batting average) of at least .200 in each of the past three seasons, joining the likes of Joey Votto, Anthony Rizzo and Edwin Encarnacion to name a few. A look at his batted-ball profile shows a hitter who has increased his hard-hit rate three consecutive seasons (to 38.8 percent last year) and his 2017 power surge saw one of every four flyballs he hit leave the yard. Bour does most of his damage against righties, but has also been getting progressively better against lefties as his batting average against them has improved by 20 points in each of the past two seasons. The only issue with Bour is who is he going to drive in if Derek Jeter and company sell off the roster for yet another rebuild in Miami.
A preseason favorite of many to build on his breakout 2015 campaign, Bour was headed in that direction before an ankle injury forced him to the disabled list in early July. At the time, he had slugged 15 homers, pacing past the previous season's 23. Bour was activated in early September, appearing in 22 more contests but failed to add onto his homer total. In fact, he swatted only three extra-base hits in the last month. The lefty has slugged all 38 of his home runs off righty throwers the last two seasons, which largely explains why he's strictly a platoon player. Keep in mind that the right field fences in Marlins Park were brought in and lowered prior to the 2016 season. The venue still depresses lefty power but not to the same extent as before. Bour should again be a target for those looking for cheap power at corner or utility without dampening batting average.
Finally given a chance at age 27, Bour gave the Marlins about 129 games of a league-average first base bat. He doesn't make much contact, and his eye is average at best, but Bour can put a charge in one as evidenced by his 23 home runs (10 at Marlins Park) — an impressive number, especially for a guy who was a 25th round pick in 2009. Bour showed similar power at every level of the minor leagues, and at 27, he should have a few years of peak power production left in him. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, because Bour plays in one of the worst possible parks for a power hitter, any significant growth to the power numbers seems unlikely. He should once again contribute middling production in batting average and below-average runs scored, but there is the potential for him to easily top the 73 RBI he posted last year if Christian Yelich and Giancarlo Stanton can stay healthy in front of him in the lineup.
Despite his status as just a mid-level prospect in a healthy Miami farm system, Bour put his power on display at Triple-A New Orleans during his age-26 season, slashing .306/.372/.517 with 18 home runs, 27 doubles and 72 RBI in 103 games in the minors. The left-handed first baseman showed well during a brief stint with the big club down the stretch, batting .284 with a solid .361 OBP over 74 at-bats. Miami deployed a disappointing platoon of veterans at first base led by Garrett Jones and could benefit from an injection of youth at the position as they continue to hand over the keys to their success to a stable of up-and-coming talent. Bour possesses solid plate discipline, posting a 10.8% walk rate during his first exposure to major league pitching while striking out 22.9% of the time, and he showed more than enough to earn a long look in spring training. Matching the power numbers Bour posted in the hitter friendly PCL last season may be a stretch while making the move to spacious Marlins Park, but a solid batting eye and gap-to-gap power will keep him productive if given at-bats. He'll likely fill a reserve role for the Marlins following the addition of Mike Morse.
More Fantasy News
Homers for second straight day
1BLos Angeles Angels
June 15, 2019
Bour went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in return to majors
1BLos Angeles Angels
June 12, 2019
Bour went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in a win over the Dodgers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Rejoins Angels
1BLos Angeles Angels
June 11, 2019
Bour was recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Banished to Triple-A
1BLos Angeles Angels
May 14, 2019
Bour was optioned to Triple-A Salt Lake after Tuesday's loss to the Twins, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out for third straight game
1BLos Angeles Angels
May 9, 2019
Bour is out of the lineup for Thursday's game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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