Justin Bour
Justin Bour
30-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Los Angeles Angels
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Bour's strong 2017 now looks like an aberration after his numbers fell across the board last season. His ISO fell 70 points to an unremarkable .177, while his slash line dropped from .289/.366/.536 to .227/.341/.404. He looks like nothing more than a platoon first baseman, with a solid 123 wRC+ against righties to go along with an ugly 68 mark against lefties, and the Marlins didn't hesitate to unload him at the trade deadline on a Phillies team looking for some extra power off its bench. Bour landed in what looks like a favorable playing-time situation with the Angels and is just good enough to be a fine budget bat for fantasy rosters. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.5 million contract with the Angels in December of 2018.
Shows patient eye at plate
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 25, 2019
Bour walked three times and scored a pair of runs across four plate appearances Sunday in the Angels' 8-4 exhibition win over the Dodgers.
Bour posted a career-best 14.7 percent walk rate in 2018, so the three free passes he took Sunday shouldn't be viewed as a major outlier. The 30-year-old's combination of plate discipline and power make him an underrated asset in deeper mixed and AL-only leagues, and he should at the very least have a clear path to steady action for the first month of the season while Shohei Ohtani (elbow) is on the injured list.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .653 275 24 8 35 0 .219 .305 .347
Since 2016vs Right .868 976 112 52 158 3 .270 .365 .504
2018vs Left .570 147 12 2 12 0 .192 .306 .264
2018vs Right .819 354 37 18 47 2 .242 .356 .463
2017vs Left .809 98 11 6 21 0 .253 .327 .483
2017vs Right .929 331 41 19 62 1 .300 .378 .552
2016vs Left .533 30 1 0 2 0 .233 .233 .300
2016vs Right .857 291 34 15 49 0 .268 .361 .496
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .838 607 62 34 103 2 .253 .348 .490
Since 2016Away .804 644 74 26 90 1 .263 .356 .448
2018Home .734 246 22 11 30 1 .219 .329 .405
2018Away .757 255 27 9 29 1 .235 .353 .404
2017Home .929 202 20 14 45 1 .287 .361 .567
2017Away .878 227 32 11 38 0 .291 .370 .508
2016Home .881 159 20 9 28 0 .261 .358 .522
2016Away .771 162 15 6 23 0 .267 .340 .432
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Stat Review
How does Justin Bour compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB Rate
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25 days ago
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The Z Files: Hacking the System
68 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Marlins Park is a pitcher's park, right? Someone should tell Bour this because it seems he does not believe it to be so. He is just one of seven first baseman to have an ISO (slugging minus batting average) of at least .200 in each of the past three seasons, joining the likes of Joey Votto, Anthony Rizzo and Edwin Encarnacion to name a few. A look at his batted-ball profile shows a hitter who has increased his hard-hit rate three consecutive seasons (to 38.8 percent last year) and his 2017 power surge saw one of every four flyballs he hit leave the yard. Bour does most of his damage against righties, but has also been getting progressively better against lefties as his batting average against them has improved by 20 points in each of the past two seasons. The only issue with Bour is who is he going to drive in if Derek Jeter and company sell off the roster for yet another rebuild in Miami.
A preseason favorite of many to build on his breakout 2015 campaign, Bour was headed in that direction before an ankle injury forced him to the disabled list in early July. At the time, he had slugged 15 homers, pacing past the previous season's 23. Bour was activated in early September, appearing in 22 more contests but failed to add onto his homer total. In fact, he swatted only three extra-base hits in the last month. The lefty has slugged all 38 of his home runs off righty throwers the last two seasons, which largely explains why he's strictly a platoon player. Keep in mind that the right field fences in Marlins Park were brought in and lowered prior to the 2016 season. The venue still depresses lefty power but not to the same extent as before. Bour should again be a target for those looking for cheap power at corner or utility without dampening batting average.
Finally given a chance at age 27, Bour gave the Marlins about 129 games of a league-average first base bat. He doesn't make much contact, and his eye is average at best, but Bour can put a charge in one as evidenced by his 23 home runs (10 at Marlins Park) — an impressive number, especially for a guy who was a 25th round pick in 2009. Bour showed similar power at every level of the minor leagues, and at 27, he should have a few years of peak power production left in him. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, because Bour plays in one of the worst possible parks for a power hitter, any significant growth to the power numbers seems unlikely. He should once again contribute middling production in batting average and below-average runs scored, but there is the potential for him to easily top the 73 RBI he posted last year if Christian Yelich and Giancarlo Stanton can stay healthy in front of him in the lineup.
Despite his status as just a mid-level prospect in a healthy Miami farm system, Bour put his power on display at Triple-A New Orleans during his age-26 season, slashing .306/.372/.517 with 18 home runs, 27 doubles and 72 RBI in 103 games in the minors. The left-handed first baseman showed well during a brief stint with the big club down the stretch, batting .284 with a solid .361 OBP over 74 at-bats. Miami deployed a disappointing platoon of veterans at first base led by Garrett Jones and could benefit from an injection of youth at the position as they continue to hand over the keys to their success to a stable of up-and-coming talent. Bour possesses solid plate discipline, posting a 10.8% walk rate during his first exposure to major league pitching while striking out 22.9% of the time, and he showed more than enough to earn a long look in spring training. Matching the power numbers Bour posted in the hitter friendly PCL last season may be a stretch while making the move to spacious Marlins Park, but a solid batting eye and gap-to-gap power will keep him productive if given at-bats. He'll likely fill a reserve role for the Marlins following the addition of Mike Morse.
More Fantasy News
Cranks another spring homer
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 14, 2019
Bour went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run and a walk in Thursday's spring game against Milwaukee.
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Back in lineup
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 11, 2019
Bour (knee) is starting at first base and hitting second Monday against the Rangers, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.
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Scratched with knee soreness
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 10, 2019
Bour was a late scratch for Sunday's spring game against the Mariners due to right knee soreness, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
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Hits homer in return
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 2, 2019
Bour (hamstring) went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer and two strikeouts in Saturday's spring win over the Reds.
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Back in action
1BLos Angeles Angels
March 2, 2019
Bour (hamstring) is starting at designated hitter Saturday against the Reds, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
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