Sonny Gray
34-Year-Old
Out
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 4/1/2024
2023 Stats
W-L
8-8
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.15
K
183
SV
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Gray was the runner up for the AL Cy Young award after posting a 2.69 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. He was largely the same pitcher as in 2022 (3.64 FIP compared to 3.66 FIP in 2022) with a similar strikeout rate (24.3% K%) and walk rate (7.3% BB%), but he was able to stay healthy and pitch more innings (32 starts compared to 24 in 2022) and more innings per outing (5.75 IP per game, compared to 4.96 IP per game in 2022). He may have been a bit luckier with a low 5.2% HR/FB, but he also had a low 9.4% HR/FB in 2022 as his home runs allowed numbers declined sharply in his move to Target Field from Great American Ball Park. His .295 BABIP was also his highest in five seasons, which shows his outstanding season wasn't all luck. At age 34, Gray has above-average control, limits hard contact (77th percentile in Barrel rate) and induces ground balls (47.3%) despite below average velocity (92.9 mph average fastball). He'll work at the top of the St. Louis rotation after signing a three-year, $70 free agent deal. Read Past Outlooks
IL stint not guaranteed
Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Sunday that Gray (hamstring) won't be an option to start Opening Day but may not require a stay on the injured list to begin the season, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The veteran right-hander quickly resumed throwing after he suffered a right hamstring strain March 4, and he's scheduled to face hitters in a simulated session Sunday. Miles Mikolas was named St. Louis' Opening Day starter, but Gray could still be an option to pitch later in the first week of the season if he continues to progress with no setbacks.
The veteran right-hander quickly resumed throwing after he suffered a right hamstring strain March 4, and he's scheduled to face hitters in a simulated session Sunday. Miles Mikolas was named St. Louis' Opening Day starter, but Gray could still be an option to pitch later in the first week of the season if he continues to progress with no setbacks.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Sonny Gray generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Sonny Gray generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .217 | 219 | 67 | 166 | 16 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .233 | 236 | 74 | 204 | 22 | |||
2023vs Left | .233 | 81 | 28 | 76 | 4 | |||
2023vs Right | .220 | 102 | 27 | 80 | 4 | |||
2022vs Left | .202 | 58 | 11 | 41 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .244 | 59 | 25 | 58 | 7 | |||
2021vs Left | .208 | 80 | 28 | 49 | 8 | |||
2021vs Right | .239 | 75 | 22 | 66 | 11 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-2%
ERA on Road
2023
-9%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 3.33 | 1.17 | 235.1 | 9.8 | 2.9 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 3.27 | 1.16 | 203.2 | 8.8 | 2.8 | ||||
2023Home | 2.67 | 1.11 | 97.2 | 9.2 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 2.92 | 1.19 | 86.1 | 8.7 | 3.1 | ||||
2022Home | 2.66 | 1.14 | 67.2 | 10.4 | 3.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.63 | 1.12 | 52.0 | 6.8 | 1.9 | ||||
2021Home | 4.89 | 1.29 | 70.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | ||||
2021Away | 3.44 | 1.15 | 65.1 | 10.6 | 3.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Sonny Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.33K/9
9.0BB/9
2.7HR/9
0.4Fastball
92.9 mphERA
2.79WHIP
1.15BABIP
.306GB/FB
1.98Left On Base
76.1%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.2%Spin Rate
2536 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.4%Swinging Strike
11.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Sonny Gray See More
Todd Zola considers the impact of extra rest on starting pitchers and wonders if the Orioles will treat Corbin Burnes with the same care that the Brewers did.
Ronald Acuna holds onto the top spot in the RotoWire Roundtable despite his knee scare, but there's plenty of movement behind him.
Brad Johnson has moved to the NL Central, and in Cincinnati, Hunter Greene, with one of the biggest arms in baseball, clearly has considerable potential.
It's still all Ronald Acuna at the top, but Julio Rodriguez has now claimed the second spot in the latest edition of the RotoWire Roundtable rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Gray's trade to Minnesota delivered a needed steady option at the top of the rotation as he bounced back from a subpar season to post a 3.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Gray benefited from the move to Target Field with a 2.66 ERA and 10.5 K/9 at home (he had a 3.38 ERA in three seasons at Great American Ball Park). Gray has below average velocity, but his four-seam fastball has among the highest spin rates in the league (98th percentile per Baseball Savant). He also gets high spin rates on his off-speed pitches, making his slider and curve ball plus pitches. A slight decline in velocity and strikeout rate (8.8 K/9) were offset by improved control (2.7 BB/9). His durability is becoming a concern as he threw just 119.2 IP, having IL stints twice for a hamstring strain and another for a pectoral strain. He also averaged just 4.96 IP per start with the Twins rarely allowing him to go deep into games. Assuming he can stay healthy, however, he'll be counted on to lead Minnesota's rotation again.
More Fantasy News
Seeing hitters Sunday
Gray (hamstring) will face hitters in a simulated session Sunday, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another bullpen session Thursday
Gray (hamstring) will throw another bullpen session Thursday, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for longer bullpen session
Gray (hamstring) completed a 20-pitch light bullpen session Monday with no issues and is slated for a longer bullpen session Wednesday or Thursday, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing off mound Monday
Gray (hamstring) will throw a bullpen session Monday, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing from 120 feet
Gray (hamstring) has progressed to throwing from 120 feet and participating in agility drills, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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