Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Much of the credit to Gray's improvement in 2019 goes to Reds pitching coach Derek Johnson, who previously coached him at Vanderbilt. Gray is quick to credit him, and without him Gray probably doesn't agree to the contract extension that cemented the trade bringing him to Cincinnati from the Yankees. While Gray threw more curveballs and sliders than in 2018, he said it was more a matter of fine-tuning each of his pitches rather than overhauling his pitch mix, generating more spin in the process. The result was a strikeout rate that spiked to 29.0% from 21.1% the year before, as Gray worked on getting opposing hitters to chase each, which they did to the tune of a .172 wOBA against his slider and .181 against his curveball. Gray might start spring training behind after having loose bodies in his elbow removed at the end of the season, but he'll form a strong top-three with Luis Castillo and Trevor Bauer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#98
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$Signed a three-year, $30.5 million contract extension with the Reds in January of 2019. Contract includes $12 million team option for 2023.
Takes first loss
PCincinnati Reds
August 9, 2020
Gray (3-1) allowed four runs on six hits and three walks while striking out seven over 5.1 innings in a loss to the Brewers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The sixth inning was the trouble spot; Gray allowed hits to three of the first four batters he faced before being pulled. Michael Lorenzen allowed both inherited runners to score, marring Gray's line with two additional earned runs. Gray was among the best pitchers in baseball out of the gates with a 0.96 ERA and 28:5 K:BB in his first three starts (all at home) and will return to Great American Ball Park for his next start, Aug. 14 against the Pirates.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Sonny Gray generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Sonny Gray generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2019
Even Split
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .218 649 168 70 124 23 3 15
Since 2018vs Right .231 736 195 63 150 34 2 18
2020vs Left .159 51 15 6 7 2 1 1
2020vs Right .171 44 20 2 7 0 0 1
2019vs Left .196 322 94 34 55 8 2 8
2019vs Right .196 386 111 34 67 13 2 9
2018vs Left .255 276 59 30 62 13 0 6
2018vs Right .284 306 64 27 76 21 0 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-86%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-55%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.23 1.33 163.2 15 7 0 9.7 3.6 1.2
Since 2018Away 3.04 1.14 166.0 10 11 0 10.1 3.6 0.6
2020Home 0.96 0.70 18.2 3 0 0 13.5 2.4 1.0
2020Away 6.75 1.69 5.1 0 1 0 11.8 5.1 0.0
2019Home 3.05 1.06 85.2 8 3 0 10.9 2.7 0.9
2019Away 2.71 1.10 89.2 3 5 0 10.1 4.2 0.8
2018Home 6.98 1.90 59.1 4 4 0 6.8 5.3 1.7
2018Away 3.17 1.15 71.0 7 5 0 9.9 2.8 0.4
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Stat Review
How does Sonny Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.38
 
K/9
13.1
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.3 mph
 
ERA
2.25
 
WHIP
0.92
 
BABIP
.269
 
GB/FB
2.08
 
Left On Base
67.7%
 
Exit Velocity
79.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.1%
 
Spin Rate
2631 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Sonny Gray
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3 days ago
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11 days ago
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17 days ago
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18 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Gray was much maligned in 2018. He drew the ire of Yankees fans and infamously smirked as he was booed off the home field Aug. 1 following a seven-run implosion. He was moved to the bullpen shortly thereafter and finished the season with a 4.90 ERA, almost a run and a half higher than his 2017 mark, though the ERA estimators all say he deserved better (4.17 FIP, 4.10 xFIP, 4.28 SIERA). His walk rate went in the wrong direction (9.8%), but he maintained an above-average 21.1% strikeout rate and 50% groundball rate. He had a 6.98 ERA at home but was much better when he got out of the band box in New York, posting a 3.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, .223 BAA and 0.38 HR/9 on the road. Yankee Stadium was a terrible fit for him, and while he landed in another extreme hitters' park in Cincinnati following a January trade, we still feel good about Gray's chances of bouncing back.
Gray rebounded from a nightmarish, injury-plagued 2016 campaign with the Athletics to rehabilitate his trade value and become arguably the top arm on the trade market before he was dealt to the Yankees on July 31. The right-hander didn’t really move the needle for the team’s playoff hopes by posting a 3.72 ERA and surrendering 11 homers (including eight at Yankee Stadium) over 11 starts, but he at least provided the team with another dependable innings eater behind ace Luis Severino. Along with enjoying better health, the key to Gray’s turnaround was making more use of his off-speed offerings, which aided him to an 8.4 K/9 rate, his best mark since his rookie year. With a full season in the Bronx awaiting him, Gray could struggle to curb the home-run problem that has plagued him the last two years, but it seems he has discovered a pitch mix that should allow him to avoid another disaster on the level of 2016.
The A's really screwed the pooch by not trading Gray last offseason, as the team has few assets and Gray's value had nowhere to go but down. Now coming off a disaster campaign and becoming increasingly expensive as the right-hander accrues service time, Gray's trade value is at an all-time low, and the A's find themselves in the unenviable position of having to either accept 50 cents on their trade dollar or to sit back and pay to see whether Gray can reestablish his market value. That's not to say that Gray's disastrous 2016 season was bound to happen, but as a pitcher with a very modest strikeout rate, his ultimate value was largely determined by results on balls in play, factors that are largely outside his control. He will look to resurrect his value in 2017 and the A's will give him every opportunity to do so, but he is a two-category pitcher as long as he's in Oakland and those two categories fell apart last season.
Gray followed up his successful first full MLB season in 2014 with a 2.73 ERA and 14 wins over 31 starts in 2015. Gray was one of the Cy Young favorites into September, but a few late season blow-ups pushed his ERA up more than a half point in the last month of the season. Gray did not rediscover his strikeouts from his initial big league debut (9.4 K/9 in 2013), but he did manage to cut his walks down from 3.0 BB/9 in 2014 to 2.6 in 2015. Gray supplements his average strikeout rate by limiting line drives with his 16.6-percent line drive rate — good for fourth best among all qualified starters in 2015. Gray now has two and a half fantastic seasons under his belt and while he will not get you the elite strikeouts of some of the top aces, he gets to pitch half his games in a spacious pitcher's park. It is possible that his struggles in September could push his ADP back a little bit as people may forget just how great he was for the first five months.
After a great half-season in 2013 followed by a gem against the Tigers in the ALDS, the hype was high for Gray heading into 2014 and all he did was live up to it. In his first full season, Gray won 14 games and put up a 3.08 ERA over 219 innings. His K/9 rate fell from 9.5 in 2013 to 7.5 in 2014, but that was somewhat expected with the large uptick in innings as the strikeouts really dropped off in the second half. Gray appeared to be tiring late in the year after entering August with an ERA of 2.65, but he seemed to find a second wind with a 2.25 ERA and nearly a strikeout per inning over his last five starts. Gray also added to his reputation as a fantastic big-game pitcher, throwing a complete game shutout gem on the final day of the regular season to get the A's into the playoffs. The sky appears to be the limit for Gray and he should be drafted even higher in 2015, especially since he gets to pitch half his games in a spacious home park.
Gray was the A's top pitching prospect coming into 2013, and he exceeded any and all expectations upon his call-up to the A's as a starter in August. He made 10 starts with the A's and won five games, while putting up a 2.85 ERA with a 9.2 K/9. He later capped off his season with an eight-inning shutout of the Tigers in Game 2 of the ALDS. Gray features a fastball that sits in the low 90s, but he also has an exceptional curveball that he uses to strike batters out. He has a rotation spot locked up in 2014, and his future appears to be quite sunny.
Gray was selected 18th overall in the 2011 draft out of Vanderbilt. In his first full season in the minors, Gray had some growing pains compiling a 4.26 ERA in 27 starts, all but one of which were in Double-A. He has a live fastball and also possesses a curveball that was ranked as the best in the 2011 draft. Gray's strikeout rate fell way off from his six-start debut in 2011 as he only struck out 5.9 K/9 in 2012. Going into last season, it was assumed that Gray would be in the A's rotation at some point in 2013, but it looks like more seasoning is in order. For his development, 2013 will be a big year for Gray to put some results together to show he was worthy of his first-round selection.
Gray was the A's first-round selection in the June draft and was immediately tasked with facing Double-A hitters following a collegiate career at Vanderbilt. His professional debut went well during a five-start stretch with Double-A Midland. He's not an imposing figure on the mound, but does a nice job of keeping the ball on the ground and figures to spend a good chunk of the season at Triple-A Sacramento after proving that he's solved Midland to begin the year.
More Fantasy News
Improves to 3-0
PCincinnati Reds
August 3, 2020
Gray (3-0) was charged with two runs (one earned) on four hits over six innings in a win over Cleveland on Monday. He struck out eight and issued two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant effort in win
PCincinnati Reds
July 29, 2020
Gray (2-0) allowed two runs (none earned) on one hit and one walk while striking out 11 across 6.2 innings to earn the win Wednesday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in Opening Day win
PCincinnati Reds
July 24, 2020
Gray (1-0) gave up one run on three hits and two walks while striking out nine over six innings in a win over the Tigers on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Opening Day starter
PCincinnati Reds
July 8, 2020
Gray will be the Reds' Opening Day starter Friday, July 24 against the Tigers, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Busy during shutdown
PCincinnati Reds
June 27, 2020
Gray has thrown with teammate Curt Casali three times a week in Nashville during the COVID-19 shutdown and has been throwing to hitters for a little more than a month, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. "I'm hoping to come into this abbreviated spring and hit the ground running and start off around two innings and build up from there," Gray said.
ANALYSIS
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