Jackie Bradley Jr.
Jackie Bradley Jr.
29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Bradley has been a below-league-average hitter in real life the past two years, but he's remained a viable fantasy option thanks to his plus contributions in two categories and worthwhile totals in two others. The only place where he's a real drain is batting average -- he has fallen below .250 in three of the last four seasons. That mark fell all the way to .234 in 2018 as his strikeout rate jumped to 25.6% and his line against lefties plummeted to .185/.260/.303 (from .276/.361/.405). Those numbers against same-handed pitching leave open a good deal of platoon risk, but to this point the Red Sox have been content to sacrifice a bit of offense for Bradley's world-class defense in center field. It's worked out pretty well for them so far. On the basepaths, Bradley swiped a career-high 17 bases last season and was only caught once, so another double-digit total seems likely for the soon-to-be 29-year-old. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $8.55 million contract with the Red Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Smacks 21st homer
OFBoston Red Sox
September 26, 2019
Bradley went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI Thursday against the Rangers.
Bradley began his productive performance with a single in the first inning, putting the Red Sox up 3-0. He followed that up six innings later with a solo home run to record his 21st homer of the campaign. Bradley has six extra-base hits in his last 10 starts, though he's still slugging only .424 across 555 plate appearances for the season.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left .654 452 49 9 42 6 .223 .308 .346
Since 2017vs Right .755 1191 154 42 142 27 .239 .322 .433
2019vs Left .640 188 19 4 16 3 .213 .305 .335
2019vs Right .787 379 50 17 46 5 .230 .324 .464
2018vs Left .562 131 18 2 8 2 .185 .260 .303
2018vs Right .768 404 58 11 51 15 .251 .332 .437
2017vs Left .766 133 12 3 18 1 .276 .361 .405
2017vs Right .713 408 46 14 45 7 .235 .311 .402
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
Since 2017Home .757 809 105 20 89 20 .252 .337 .419
Since 2017Away .699 834 98 31 95 13 .218 .300 .399
2019Home .832 277 36 10 31 4 .261 .357 .475
2019Away .650 290 33 11 31 4 .191 .279 .371
2018Home .793 259 43 4 32 11 .277 .351 .442
2018Away .645 276 33 9 27 6 .193 .279 .366
2017Home .647 273 26 6 26 5 .219 .304 .343
2017Away .806 268 32 11 37 3 .271 .343 .463
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Stat Review
How does Jackie Bradley Jr. compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB Rate
K Rate
Exit Velocity
90.2 mph
Hard Hit Rate
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Bradley’s elite defense in center field afforded him an everyday role in 2017, but the 27-year-old disappointed from a fantasy standpoint after he was unable to consistently display the burgeoning power he had shown the previous two seasons. It looked as though Bradley was trending toward a career-best campaign after providing an .853 OPS and 26 extra-base knocks in the first half, but much like 2016, his performance crashed after the All-Star break, as his OPS fell nearly 300 points while his walk and strikeout rates both veered sharply in the wrong direction. The vast disparity of those two halves makes Bradley a difficult player to project in 2018, but if his track record is any indication, he’ll offer stretches of both All-Star-caliber production and utter incompetence at the plate. If Bradley resembles the player he was in the second half of last season early on in 2018, his defense might not be enough to regularly keep him in the lineup with Andrew Benintendi capable of sliding over to center field when needed.
Thanks to a torrid finish to the 2015 campaign, Bradley was afforded a full-time spot in the Red Sox's outfield heading into 2016. The 26-year-old batted north of .300 for much of the first half while clobbering 14 home runs, 22 doubles and six triples en route to his first All-Star appearance. Unfortunately, it was a tale of two halves, as his production tapered off significantly following the All-Star break. In 73 second-half contests, his batting average sunk to a measly .233 mark while he averaged a strikeout per game. He also stole just two bases over the final three months. Bradley's defensive prowess and monster first half has him sitting pretty in the organization, although his history of extended slumps is keeping him from becoming a fantasy standout. If he can cut down on the strikeouts, Bradley could shine even more.
Bradley, a well-regarded defender at a premium position, never came close to being a credible offensive threat in 530 plate appearances from 2013-2014 (.196/.269/.280). He put in a lot of offseason work on his swing, but didn't have a spot on the major league roster to start the 2015 season. Bradley hit well and was an on-base machine at Triple-A Pawtucket, but the Red Sox didn't seem convinced he was ready for Boston, despite obvious problems in their outfield. He had a brief callup in June and finally got a steady opportunity when the flailing Red Sox parted with Shane Victorino at the trade deadline. Bradley then posted a monster 25-game stretch from Aug. 9 to Sept. 7 (.446/.489/.952) to resurrect his career and put himself in the picture for 2016. He needs to prove he can remove the peaks and valleys at the plate, but the Red Sox are clearing the deck for Bradley by experimenting with Hanley Ramirez at first base.
Bradley, once a top prospect in the organization, has lost a lot of that prospect sheen. His struggles at the major-league level in 2013 and 2014 prompt serious doubts as to whether he can be a full-time starter on a team. Last season, he had a couple of good stretches offensively, but was largely lost at the plate and had historically bad offensive numbers. What kept him in the major leagues so long was his peerless outfield defense. Fascinatingly, Bradley was a finalist for the Gold Glove in center field despite playing only 105 games. Acquisitions (Hanley Ramirez, Allen Craig, Rusney Castillo) and in-house moves (Mookie Betts, Brock Holt) have crowded the outfield, which at this point suggests Bradley will open the season at Triple-A Pawtucket where he can work on finding his swing, but he may also be a trade target for teams seeking a defensive upgrade in center field.
Bradley was a big topic in Boston during spring training, when he strafed the ball during preseason games, earning a spot on the Opening Day roster. However, he didn't fare well once he faced big league pitchers regularly and was soon back at Triple-A Pawtucket. Because it was a level at which he'd never played, the year was one of adjustments for Bradley. He played well for the PawSox, improving his batting average, on-base percentage, slugging and OPS from the previous year at Double-A Portland. Where all this leaves Bradley entering the 2014 season is uncertain, but with Jacoby Ellsbury moving on to New York, Bradley could land on the roster as the starting center fielder and leadoff hitter.
The Red Sox certainly liked Bradley when the organization drafted him in 2011, but his first full season of professional baseball in 2012 showed he was much more advanced than imagined. He was an on-base machine at High-A Salem (.480) and Double-A Portland (.373) while showing a bit more power (nine homers, 42 extra-base hits) at this stage than expected. There was some average drop off after his promotion, so we would like to see if he can maintain as a .300 hitter for a full season at the advanced levels. He was already considered above-average defensively, so the development of his offense so early is a nice omen for his baseball future. He is right behind Xander Bogaerts in terms of the organization's prospect rankings.
Bradley fell to the supplemental round of the 2011 draft due largely to a tendon injury in his wrist that suppressed his production during his junior season at the University of South Carolina. Still on the lean side, the Red Sox feel he can develop some power. He needs to cover the plate better and work on not overextending his swing in order to become the plus hitter for average they feel he can be. Bradley's considered polished defensively and projects to remain a center fielder going forward. Look for him to start the season at Low-A Greenville.
More Fantasy News
Heads to bench
OFBoston Red Sox
September 15, 2019
Bradley is not in the lineup for Sunday's game in Philadelphia, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
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Reaches base four times
OFBoston Red Sox
September 10, 2019
Bradley went 3-for-3 with a walk and a double in Monday's 5-0 loss to the Yankees.
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Hits 18th home run
OFBoston Red Sox
September 8, 2019
Bradley went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer in Sunday's loss to the Yankees.
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Day off Saturday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 7, 2019
Bradley is not in the lineup Saturday against the Yankees, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
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Sitting against southpaw
OFBoston Red Sox
September 5, 2019
Bradley is not starting Thursday against the Twins, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
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