Nick Ahmed
Nick Ahmed
28-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Arizona Diamondbacks
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Ahmed was finally able to stay healthy in 2018, playing in a career-high 153 games after making just 143 appearances from 2016-17. The 28-year-old enjoyed a career year after breaking camp as Arizona's starting shortstop. He lived up to his billing as an elite defender, tying Andrelton Simmons for the most defensive runs saved (21) at the position en route to winning his first Gold Glove. Ahmed wasn’t as successful on offense, however, finishing 16% worse than league average at the dish. His .234/.290/.411 line was a step down across the board from his 2017 triple-slash, though he did manage to set new personal bests with 16 homers, 54 extra-base hits, 70 RBI and 61 runs. Ahmed’s glove should keep him from falling into a platoon despite his career .596 OPS against same-handed pitching, and his improved power production, which he credits to a change in approach, should keep him relevant as a middle-infield option in deeper leagues. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Reaches deal with Arizona
SSArizona Diamondbacks
January 11, 2019
Ahmed agreed to a one-year deal with the Diamondbacks on Friday, avoiding arbitration.
Ahmed's batting averaged decreased to .234 in 2018, although he belted a career-high 16 homers and drove in 70 runs in 153 ballgames. Whether he'll be able to maintain this kind of power over two straight seasons will be something to keep an eye on as the 2019 campaign unfolds.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .782 333 40 12 38 2 .274 .314 .468
Since 2016vs Right .607 717 71 14 73 11 .213 .270 .338
2018vs Left .769 192 21 8 25 0 .256 .297 .472
2018vs Right .664 372 40 8 45 5 .223 .286 .378
2017vs Left 1.078 53 9 2 7 2 .396 .453 .625
2017vs Right .568 125 15 4 14 1 .193 .232 .336
2016vs Left .633 88 10 2 6 0 .244 .267 .366
2016vs Right .536 220 16 2 14 5 .208 .264 .272
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS on Road
Even Split
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .656 551 64 11 57 11 .232 .286 .370
Since 2016Away .671 499 47 15 54 2 .234 .281 .390
2018Home .701 287 34 7 41 4 .235 .294 .408
2018Away .699 277 27 9 29 1 .234 .285 .414
2017Home .667 93 14 3 8 2 .227 .269 .398
2017Away .772 85 10 3 13 1 .278 .329 .443
2016Home .575 171 16 1 8 5 .229 .282 .293
2016Away .550 137 10 3 12 0 .205 .243 .307
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Stat Review
How does Nick Ahmed compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Ahmed suffered a hand injury in June that cost him most of the second half, and while playing in rehab games at Triple-A in the final stages of his recovery, he was hit in the wrist by a pitch, which caused a fracture that ended his season. Heralded as a good defender, Ahmed can play anywhere in the infield as needed, which gives him value to the D-backs as a late-inning sub off the bench, and as an occasional spot starters against left-handed pitching. He took a small step forward as a hitter last season, putting together the best slash line of his four seasons in Arizona (.251/.298/.419). Given the uncertainty about his playing time, and the limitations he has shown as a hitter, Ahmed is likely limited to middle-infield filler status in NL-only formats. It's expected that he'll begin spring training completely healthy after undergoing surgery to repair the fractured wrist in early September.
Ahmed has the look of one of those players who is much more valuable in real baseball than fantasy baseball. That's because fantasy baseball generally doesn't evaluate defense, which is where Ahmed really shines. At the plate, he's been nothing special in his three MLB seasons. He's a career .221 hitter who doesn't hit for much power or steal many bases. Working in Ahmed's favor is the fact that the Diamondbacks seem to value his glove enough to keep him in the lineup most days when healthy (he was shut down last August following hip surgery), so the volume should be there. But that's about all that can be said for Ahmed. Until he displays more life at the plate, he's really not someone worth owning. There are better hitting middle-infield options out there.
In his first full season in the majors, Ahmed was great in the field but subpar at the plate. The 25-year-old shortstop batted just .226, with an anemic .275 on-base percentage. Ahmed added nine home runs and four stolen bases, though he was also caught stealing five times. Defense doesn’t matter much in fantasy, so the hope is that Ahmed can progress offensively in 2016. He started slowly in 2015, but showed signs of life toward the end of the season, collecting hits in 15 of his last 50 plate appearances before being shut down due to a back injury. After the Diamondbacks acquired Jean Segura it was thought Ahmed might lose out on most of his playing time, but it sounds like they value his glove enough to move Segura to second base occasionally. Still, even if Segura wasn't in the picture, Ahmed would be unappealing. The onus will be on him to improve at the plate in 2016 before fantasy owners should feel compelled to invest.
Ahmed spent most of 2014 at Triple-A Reno, shuttling between second base and shortstop as part of the Diamondbacks' excess of middle-infield options. Chris Owings' shoulder injury in June cleared the path for Ahmed's big league debut, but he didn't hit enough to remain on the roster for the entire second half. In terms of tools, Ahmed projects as a steady contact hitter with very limited power. Defensively, he has the range and versatility to be an average or better option around the infield. The sum of those parts yields a regular destined to hit in the bottom third of the order failing the development of an elite eye at the plate (8.2% BB% at Triple-A in 2014), but Ahmed may prove capable stealing 15-20 bases annually provided that he doesn't occupy a place hitting directly in front of a pitcher. It would hardly be surprising to see him stick around in a utility role in 2015, as Ahmed has very little to gain by spending additional time in the Pacific Coast League.
More Fantasy News
Not in lineup Saturday
SSArizona Diamondbacks
September 29, 2018
Ahmed is not starting Saturday against the Padres.
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Takes seat Tuesday
SSArizona Diamondbacks
September 25, 2018
Ahmed is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Dodgers.
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Doubles twice in win
SSArizona Diamondbacks
September 15, 2018
Ahmed went 2-for-3 with a pair of doubles, a walk and a run in a 4-2 triumph over the Astros on Friday.
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Knocks two hits
SSArizona Diamondbacks
September 13, 2018
Ahmed went 2-for-4 with a double, a run and one RBI in Thursday's 10-3 loss to the Rockies.
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Drives in two
SSArizona Diamondbacks
September 9, 2018
Ahmed went 1-for-2 with two walks and two RBI on Sunday against the Braves.
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