Luis Avilan
Luis Avilan
30-Year-Old PitcherRP
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Avilan was traded from the White Sox to the Phillies in late August, but was non-tendered in November before inking a minor-league deal with the Mets. The veteran left-hander had a 3.77 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 51:18 K:BB across 45.1 big-league innings. The 29-year-old showed that he can still be effective against left-handed hitters (.646 OPS vs. .733 OPS vs. RHP). Avilan does have a 10.6 K/9 over the past few seasons and has been a solid lefty specialist in that time, so he could secure a role in spring training, but his impact in the fantasy realm is likely to remain limited. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Mets in January of 2019.
Grabs win in Minny
PNew York Mets
July 17, 2019
Avilan (2-0) picked up the win in Tuesday's victory over the Twins, walking one in a scoreless inning of relief.
ANALYSIS
After Steven Matz could only give the Mets four innings, the team's bullpen came through with a rare strong group effort. Six different pitchers shut down the Twins for the final five frames -- with Avilan being in the right place at the right time to get credit for the win. On the season, the southpaw has a rough 8.03 ERA and 1.86 WHIP, but he's provided three straight scoreless appearances since returning from an elbow injury at the beginning of July.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-40%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-83%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .186 219 62 22 36 8 2 2
Since 2017vs Right .310 274 62 27 75 14 2 5
2019vs Left .067 33 10 3 2 1 0 0
2019vs Right .383 69 11 6 23 3 0 2
2018vs Left .220 93 24 9 18 5 1 1
2018vs Right .280 104 27 9 26 2 1 2
2017vs Left .195 93 28 10 16 2 1 1
2017vs Right .292 101 24 12 26 9 1 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.16 1.29 62.2 4 2 1 10.9 3.4 0.6
Since 2017Away 4.01 1.53 51.2 3 2 1 8.4 4.4 0.5
2019Home 3.86 1.18 9.1 1 0 0 11.6 1.9 1.0
2019Away 4.61 1.68 13.2 2 0 0 5.9 4.6 0.7
2018Home 3.29 1.32 27.1 2 1 1 10.5 4.0 0.3
2018Away 4.50 1.44 18.0 0 0 1 9.5 3.0 1.0
2017Home 2.77 1.31 26.0 1 1 0 11.1 3.5 0.7
2017Away 3.15 1.50 20.0 1 2 0 9.0 5.4 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Luis Avilan compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
90.4 mph
 
ERA
4.30
 
WHIP
1.48
 
BABIP
.344
 
GB/FB
1.53
 
Left On Base
73.7%
 
Exit Velocity
84.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.0%
 
Spin Rate
2207 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.7%
 
Swinging Strike
11.3%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Avilan
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
150 days ago
Erik Siegrist serves up the first batch of waiver options of the season in the American League, where Eloy Jimenez's surprise contract signing has the top prospect in the White Sox's Opening Day lineup.
Mound Musings: NL East Draft Day Targets
188 days ago
Mound Musings is back with Brad Johnson offering an in-depth look at the pitching staff of each division, starting with the NL East where the Braves have Kevin Gausman and a deep pool of young arms.
Mound Musings: The AL Bullpen Shuffle
363 days ago
Brad Johnson checks in with unsettled AL bullpen assignments to see where they may be headed including in Los Angeles, where Blake Parker is the closer for now.
Regan’s Rumblings: Second-Half Studs
August 16, 2018
Dave Regan examines players playing well after the All-Star break, including Mallex Smith, whom he’s not too surprised to see take a step forward given his youth and minor league track record.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 5, 2018
Erik Siegrist looks over the chaos in the AL free-agent pool following the trade deadline, where a thin influx of talent got even thinner after Tommy Pham's injury.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
After establishing himself as a reliable bullpen option in the second half of 2016, Avilan struggled to start the 2017 campaign before once again finding his form post All-Star break. Despite posting a 4.30 ERA through the first half of the season, the southpaw finished with a respectable 2.93 ERA thanks to his 1.57 ERA across 23 second-half frames. He spent some time on the disabled list with a biceps injury and shoulder inflammation, the latter of which ultimately kept him off the Dodgers' postseason roster, though it isn't expected to affect his status for next season at all. He won't be in the mix for saves, but his strong strikeout rate (26.8 percent) and solid splits against same-handed hitters last season (.195/.290/.280 in 93 plate appearances) have Avilan positioned to compete for the top lefty setup role.
After two years of mediocre relief pitching, Avilan reestablished himself as a solid bullpen arm for the Dodgers with a strong second half. In 16.2 innings after the break, Avilan put up a 2.16 ERA and .179 slugging percentage against while striking out 24 batters. It took some patience to get there, as he was optioned to Triple-A Oklahoma City eight different times during the 2016 season, but he eventually showed enough to make the Dodgers' playoff roster. His current arsenal revolves around a low-to-mid-90s fastball and a strong changeup, along with an occasional curveball. His stuff has developed enough that he has more than doubled his strikeout rate in the last three years, going from 13 percent in 2014 to 34.2 percent in 2016. Avilan figures to enter 2017 in a similar role to late last season, but he could eventually work his way into the setup mix.
Avilan was a secondary piece in the blockbuster deal with the Braves that sent Alex Wood, Jose Peraza and Avilan to the Dodgers in July. He ultimately posted a combined 4.05 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 49:15 K:BB in 53.1 innings. Avilan showed improvement in his ability to miss bats, as his K/9 rose year over year from 5.2 to 8.3, while his BB/9 showed a nice downward trend, dropping from 4.4 to 2.5. He throws plenty hard with a 93.5 mph average fastball, though it seems unlikely he'll ever be a closer given his handedness and the fact that he has yet to save a game in his career. Avilan actually posted reverse platoon splits with a .271 batting average against versus left-handed hitters and a .210 mark against right-handers. He will be in the mix for a bullpen role with the Dodgers this spring.
There were some clear indicators that regression was likely for Avilan, namely his .204 BABIP, 4.02 xFIP and 2.2% HR/FB rate from 2013, but the extent of the southpaw's struggles last season was surprising. Opposing lefties hit .264/.350/.379 against Avilan in 2014, up from .144/.219/.163 a year before, and his K%-BB% fell to just 2.1%, from an already-well-below-average 6.2%. He was demoted in mid-July and the Braves ultimately acquired an upgrade in James Russell at the deadline, effectively relegating Avilan to mop-up duty upon his return in August. Thus, while Avilan finished third in the NL in holds in 2013 with 27, his value in leagues that count the statistic has dried up for the most part, though he could return to high-leverage duty if Russell gets injured or struggles.
Avilan stepped up in a big way for the Braves in 2013, after the team's top two lefty relievers, Jonny Venters and Eric O'Flaherty, were lost to Tommy John surgery early in the season. The 24-year-old Avilan held opposing southpaws to a .144/.219/.163 batting line en route to 27 holds, third-most in the National League. He made a team-high 75 appearances, and had a stretch from late May until mid-August where he made 35 consecutive appearances without allowing an earned run. There are, however, indicators that Avilan could be in line for regression in 2014, as he benefited from a .204 BABIP and was relatively lucky with a 83.6 percent strand rate. Lucky, because he didn't display especially overwhelming stuff, with just a 1.73 K/BB ratio and an 8.7 percent swinging-strike rate. Still, Avilan will remain the top lefty option out of Atlanta's bullpen until Venters is healthy, and even when Venters is back, Avilan should continue to rack up a decent number of holds.
Have the Braves struck gold on yet another relief arm? Avilan got his first taste of the majors in 2012, posting a 2.00 ERA in 30 appearances, bolstering a bullpen that already had the lowest ERA in the majors over the last two seasons. Avilan had been working as a part-time starting pitcher the past couple of seasons in the minors, but he seems destined for a full-time relief role. Don't expect Avilan to be quite as good as he showed in 2012. Nothing in his minor league career has suggested he will sustain that level. He posted a major league K/9 of 8.3 in 2012 He had not posted a K/9 that good since his time at Low-A Rome. The Braves' relief pitching is very strong, so it is unlikely Avilan will be one of the top three options out of the bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Activated from IL
PNew York Mets
July 2, 2019
Avilan (elbow) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Tuesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing return
PNew York Mets
Elbow
June 27, 2019
Avilan (elbow) has made three rehab outings and is close to a return, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
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Begins rehab assignment
PNew York Mets
Elbow
June 21, 2019
Avilan (elbow) will report to High-A St. Lucie to start a rehab assignment Saturday, Justin Toscano of The Bergen Record reports.
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Resumes throwing
PNew York Mets
Elbow
May 28, 2019
Avilan (elbow) resumed playing catch over the weekend, Justin Toscano of The Bergen Record reports.
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Yet to resume throwing
PNew York Mets
Elbow
May 18, 2019
Avilan (elbow) is still feeling discomfort and has not resumed throwing, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
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