Matt Shoemaker
Matt Shoemaker
31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Angels
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Hopes were high for Shoemaker coming off a promising 2016, which ended prematurely after he was hit in the head with a line drive that September. He entered 2017 with a clean bill of health, but only lasted 14 games before leaving his June 14 outing with a sore forearm. After feeling pain in a July rehab start, Shoemaker was shut down for good in August and underwent surgery to release the radial nerve in his forearm. Shoemaker was able to throw in September but did not return. Before getting hurt, Shoemaker was scuffling, mostly a result of an elevated 14.6 percent HR/FB rate, leading to 15 homers allowed in only 77.2 innings for the 31-year-old righty. He also exhibited uncharacteristically poor control, sporting a 3.2 BB/9, his worst mark since his rookie campaign in 2013. With a league-average strikeout rate, Shoemaker needs pinpoint control to counter the inevitable homers allowed as a flyball pitcher. He's earmarked for a mid-rotation spot, and could see a slightly reduced workload if the Angels use a six-man rotation in 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a one-year, $4.125 million deal with the Angels in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Roughed up by Mariners
PLos Angeles Angels
September 14, 2018
Shoemaker (2-1) got beaten up by the Mariners on Friday, giving up three runs on five hits over 4.2 innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
It was Shoemaker's first start since coming off the DL in which he didn't make it through the fifth inning. His 3.98 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through four starts is respectable, with a matchup on the road against Oakland awaiting him.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .261 547 108 26 134 33 4 14
Since 2016vs Right .258 529 123 38 123 20 2 19
2018vs Left .176 39 10 5 6 3 0 0
2018vs Right .286 43 9 1 12 4 0 0
2017vs Left .275 144 26 6 38 11 0 6
2017vs Right .229 182 43 22 35 2 2 9
2016vs Left .263 364 72 15 90 19 4 8
2016vs Right .270 304 71 15 76 14 0 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.88 1.22 118.1 9 6 0 9.6 2.1 1.1
Since 2016Away 4.25 1.27 139.2 8 11 0 6.8 2.4 1.2
2018Home 5.79 1.07 4.2 0 1 0 15.4 0.0 0.0
2018Away 3.45 1.21 15.2 2 0 0 6.3 3.4 0.0
2017Home 5.35 1.43 37.0 4 1 0 8.3 3.2 1.5
2017Away 3.76 1.18 40.2 2 2 0 7.7 3.3 2.0
2016Home 3.05 1.12 76.2 5 4 0 9.9 1.6 0.9
2016Away 4.64 1.32 83.1 4 9 0 6.4 1.7 1.1
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Stat Review
How does Matt Shoemaker compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.17
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
91.3 mph
 
ERA
3.98
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.319
 
GB/FB
1.92
 
Strand %
62.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Coming off a disappointing 2015 campaign, Shoemaker stepped back into the spotlight as one of the Angels' better rotation options. Following a horrific month of April, the right-hander posted an excellent 3.10 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 127:20 K:BB in 22 starts thereafter. Unfortunately, his season came to a screeching halt in early September after he was hit in the head by a line drive, keeping him on the shelf for the remainder of the season. The 30-year-old was released from the hospital shortly after the incident and all CT scans came back negative, so he should be good to go for 2017. Shoemaker doesn't overwhelm anyone with his pitch offerings, as his 91.5 mph fastball was actually the fastest rate of his career, but his command and outstanding changeup could help him continue to see success in the Angels rotation and as helpful fantasy rotation depth in mixed leagues.
All eyes were on Shoemaker to see if he could repeat his stellar season as a 28-year-old rookie after six seasons spent in the minor leagues, but aside from a brilliant month of July that saw him post a 1.78 ERA over five games (four starts), he largely struggled, failing to post an ERA under 4.00 in any other calendar month. Shoemaker was in line to see some sort of regression after outperforming nearly all of his career averages in the minor leagues in 2014, but was likely hit a bit harder than expected, as his HR/9 rate ballooned to 1.6 and his K/9 rate fell from 8.2 to 7.7. He was able to rebound a bit in the second half, allowing 18 runs over 44.1 innings while striking out 42 despite missing three weeks in September with a forearm strain. He'll need to find a way to get the home runs under control to realize value as a sleeper option.
After beginning the season as a reliever, Shoemaker seemed unlikely to become a major piece in the rotation in 2014, but he got his chance when Hector Santiago was temporarily removed in early May. The career minor leaguer jumped in with both feet, tallying a 3.38 ERA in four starts. He remained in the rotation through a rough patch in June, and went on to allow just 19 earned runs in 82 innings after July 1. Shoemaker was able to find success in 2014 by combining an above-average strikeout rate (22.8%) with a microscopic walk rate (4.4%). He also kept his HR/9 below 1.00 after struggling with the long ball the previous three seasons in the minors. Shoemaker missed the final two weeks of the season with an oblique strain, but was able to pitch in Game 2 of the ALDS. He could be a steal on draft day if the price remains low based on his less-than-stellar numbers over three-plus seasons at Triple-A Salt Lake.
Shoemaker wasn't expected to be a starter in the major leagues in 2013 when the season began, but an injury to Jered Weaver, combined with the lack of options for the Angels, resulted in the first start of his career against the Mariners in September, where he pitched five innings of two-hit ball, with five strikeouts. Shoemaker had a representative season in Triple-A Salt Lake in 2013, as although he finished with a 4.64 ERA, his K/9 (7.8) and BB/9 (1.4) rates were the best such numbers of his career. The main flaw in Shoemaker's game seems to be a tendency to surrender home runs, as his HR/9 rate of 1.3 was the highest of his career. With the lack of viable options at the back end of the Angels' rotation heading into 2014, however, Shoemaker may be given a chance to secure a role as a starting pitcher in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Start pushed back
PLos Angeles Angels
September 12, 2018
Shoemaker will start Friday against the Mariners, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.
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Plenty of run support in win over ChiSox
PLos Angeles Angels
September 8, 2018
Shoemaker (2-0) picked up the win Saturday, giving up three runs on seven hits and a walk over five innings while striking out four in a 12-3 victory over the White Sox.
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Strong showing in return from DL
PLos Angeles Angels
September 3, 2018
Shoemaker tossed five scoreless innings, allowing two hits and one walk while striking out three as he didn't factor into the decision Monday against Texas.
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Will be activated, start Monday
PLos Angeles Angels
Forearm
September 3, 2018
Shoemaker (forearm) will be activated from the 60-day disabled list and start Monday's game against the Rangers.
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Could return to rotation Monday
PLos Angeles Angels
Forearm
September 1, 2018
Shoemaker (forearm) completed a bullpen session Saturday and could start Monday's game against the Rangers, Maria I. Guardado of MLB.com reports.
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