Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A strained right forearm kept Blackburn out until June, and he made just six starts for Oakland before elbow tendinitis shut him down in early July. His ERA came in nearly four runs higher than in his 10-start rookie campaign, sitting at an ugly 7.16, but the underlying numbers told a different story. His strikeout rate nearly doubled, though it still sat at an unimpressive 16.0%, and he walked just 5.0% of opposing batters. His control and groundball profile led to a very respectable 3.59 FIP, with an extremely low 47.1% strand rate appearing to be the primary culprit for his inflated ERA. Blackburn's sample size was too small to conclusively say that he's really improved, however, and he enters the 2018 season with injury questions and a low ceiling due to his lack of whiffs. He'll be battling for a back-end rotation spot at best on a team that's shown a willingness to use bullpen days rather than trust shaky starters. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#750
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in March of 2017.
Tabbed to start spring opener
POakland Athletics
February 20, 2019
Blackburn will start the Athletics' first Cactus League game Thursday against the Mariners, Jane Lee of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
There's a decent chance the game gets rained out, but if it goes on as planned, Blackburn will toe the rubber first for Oakland. This is encouraging given that the right-hander missed the second half of the 2018 season due to elbow tendinitis. With his health woes seemingly behind him, Blackburn can focus on trying to win a major-league rotation spot. He would seems like a bit of a long shot given his 4.48 career ERA.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .261 180 22 14 43 9 0 2
Since 2016vs Right .291 177 19 8 48 8 1 5
2018vs Left .317 67 12 3 20 6 0 1
2018vs Right .283 52 7 3 13 2 1 1
2017vs Left .225 113 10 11 23 3 0 1
2017vs Right .294 125 12 5 35 6 0 4
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-71%
ERA on Road
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.40 1.49 41.2 3 1 0 5.4 3.0 0.9
Since 2016Away 3.63 1.14 44.2 2 3 0 3.2 1.6 0.6
2018Home 5.93 1.24 13.2 2 1 0 5.3 2.0 0.7
2018Away 8.36 1.57 14.0 0 2 0 7.1 1.9 0.6
2017Home 5.14 1.61 28.0 1 0 0 5.5 3.5 1.0
2017Away 1.47 0.95 30.2 2 1 0 1.5 1.5 0.6
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Paul Blackburn compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.17
 
K/9
6.2
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
89.7 mph
 
ERA
7.16
 
WHIP
1.41
 
BABIP
.344
 
GB/FB
1.87
 
Strand %
45.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Paul Blackburn
FanDuel MLB: Friday Value Plays
232 days ago
Derek VanRiper is turning his Friday FanDuel first base slot over to the Indians' Edwin Encarnacion against visiting Oakland.
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Chris Morgan recommends rolling with Nats star Bryce Harper on Friday versus the visiting Marlins.
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232 days ago
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238 days ago
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FanDuel MLB: Friday Value Plays
239 days ago
Justin Turner of the Dodgers, at home against Colorado, makes Derek VanRiper's list of FanDuel recommendations Friday.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
An extreme groundball pitcher in Oakland is almost always going to be worth a second look in deep settings. The problem with Blackburn is that he lacks the swing-and-miss stuff to be a real difference maker. As a 24-year-old last season, Blackburn posted a 3.22 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 58.2 innings despite just a 9.2 strikeout percentage (3.4 K/9). He did a good job of limiting the free passes (2.5 K/9) and keeping the ball on the ground (56.3 percent groundball rate), but even so, the estimators point to Blackburn being at least a run worse than his surface numbers would suggest (4.38 FIP, 4.76 xFIP, 5.15 SIERA). Blackburn missed the end of the season with a bone bruise in his wrist and hasn't thrown more than 142 combined innings in any season. Making matters worse, he's not guaranteed a starting job out of camp, even on a team like the A's.
After working his way up to the Cubs' Double-A affiliate, Blackburn was traded to the Mariners as part of the package for Mike Montgomery. The big knock on Blackburn is his inability to miss bats, as he registered just a 6.2 K/9 in 2016 (which is identical to his career mark). However, he's made up for the lack of swing and miss to a large extent by posting consistently low walk rates and keeping the ball on the ground. At the end of the 2016 season, the Mariners traded Blackburn to the A's for Danny Valencia and subsequently added him to their 40-man roster, protecting him from the Rule 5 draft. Although the Bay Area native has only seen Double-A action so far, his control may be earn him a call up to the big leagues if the A's notorious starting pitching struggles continue.
More Fantasy News
Expected to have normal spring
POakland Athletics
Elbow
December 10, 2018
Blackburn (elbow) should be healthy for the start of spring training, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shifts to 60-day disabled list
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 31, 2018
Blackburn (elbow) was transferred to the 60-day disabled list Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Throws for first time since injury
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 13, 2018
Blackburn (elbow) played catch Monday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Yet to resume throwing
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 4, 2018
Blackburn (elbow) has yet to resume throwing after being shut down in early July, Eric He of MLB.com reports.
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Shut down from throwing
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 10, 2018
Blackburn (elbow) underwent an MRI on Tuesday which revealed no structural damage, but he'll still be shut down for a couple weeks, Jane Lee of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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