Brandon Maurer
Brandon Maurer
28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Maurer had a tale of two very odd seasons last year in San Diego and Kansas City. He saved 20 games with the Padres, but did a very poor job stranding runners and had a 5.72 ERA in 42 games as most of his outings were an adventure. The Royals bet on his 3.23 FIP and brought him in along with Trevor Cahill in a late-July deal. As a Royal, Maurer's ERA ballooned to 8.10 as he struggled to throw strikes and saw his home run rate double. The 5.31 FIP says he was unlucky, but he was still bad with the Royals. He has historically been decent against righties while having issues against lefties, but did poorly last year against both types of hitters and was exceptionally bad against righties. Even if we factor in regression to the mean, Kelvin Herrera and Joakim Soria are still much better bets for saves in Kansas City. Read Past Outlooks
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$Loses arbitration case and will make $2.95 million in 2018.
Blows save chance
PKansas City Royals
July 23, 2018
Maurer allowed three earned runs on three hits to blow the save Monday against the Tigers.
Maurer got his fifth save opportunity of the season with Wily Peralta unavailable after he appeared in each of the Royals' past three games. However, he blew the chance by allowing three consecutive hits -- two doubles and a single -- with the final earned run crossing the plate after he was pulled from the game. He has now blown four of his five save opportunities this season, posting a horrific 14.25 ERA and 3.00 WHIP in the process.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .259 349 78 39 79 18 3 8
Since 2016vs Right .294 356 78 23 96 21 4 13
2018vs Left .339 75 7 11 21 4 1 3
2018vs Right .314 63 18 9 16 3 1 3
2017vs Left .271 119 30 10 29 10 0 2
2017vs Right .319 148 29 9 44 7 3 6
2016vs Left .213 155 41 18 29 4 2 3
2016vs Right .263 145 31 5 36 11 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 5.34 1.37 85.0 2 7 23 8.4 3.3 1.2
Since 2016Away 6.65 1.69 70.1 1 8 13 9.7 3.8 1.3
2018Home 10.91 2.43 15.2 0 3 1 6.9 7.5 2.9
2018Away 4.63 1.63 11.2 0 1 0 10.0 5.4 0.8
2017Home 3.41 1.14 31.2 2 2 13 9.1 2.8 0.6
2017Away 10.08 2.02 27.2 1 4 9 8.8 2.9 2.0
2016Home 4.66 1.14 38.2 0 2 9 8.4 2.1 0.9
2016Away 4.35 1.42 31.0 0 3 4 10.5 4.1 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Brandon Maurer compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
96.0 mph
Strand %
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Despite a significant increase in his ERA (4.52), Maurer maintained many of his peripherals while pushing his strikeout rate to a career-best 9.3 K/9 (24.0 strikeout rate). Once Fernando Rodney was traded to Miami, the Padres had a vacancy in the ninth inning, and Maurer stepped in to take over as the team's closer during the second half. From July 1 on, Maurer went 13-for-15 in save chances, while posting a 3.09 ERA and 25:5 K:BB in 32 innings and holding opposing hitters to a .232/.260/.312 line. Throughout his career, Maurer has carried a low LOB% (65.8 percent), and his 2016 rate was right in line with that norm (66.1). Ultimately, he will need to become more effective in those situations in order to become a steady mid-tier closer, but he will likely begin 2017 handling the ninth inning in San Diego if Carter Capps has any setbacks in his recovery from Tommy John surgery.
Before shoulder issues began to surface for Maurer toward the middle of the season, he was starting to reach must-own status in holds leagues, pitching to a 1.86 ERA and earning seven holds and five wins over the first three months of the campaign. However, a massive workload -- he had made a whopping 42 appearances by the All-Star break -- finally caught up to Maurer, and he was shut down with shoulder inflammation in mid-August, never to return. Maurer was converted to the bullpen full-time in his final season with the Mariners before the trade to San Diego in December of 2014, and that is likely where he will stay moving forward. There's a strong possibility that he will return to a high-leverage role in 2016, that is if the shoulder is healthy after a full offseason of rest. Perhaps he could eventually push for the closer role in a Padres bullpen that is without a clear replacement for Craig Kimbrel.
After posting a 7.52 ERA in seven starts, Maurer was sent to Triple-A Tacoma in May to transition to a reliever. When he returned in June, he found success in the bullpen that eluded him in the rotation. In 31 relief appearances, Maurer posted a 2.17 ERA with 38 strikeouts and three unintentional walks in 37.1 innings. His FIP dropped from 5.39 as a starter to 1.85 as a reliever. Pitching in relief allowed Maurer to increase his low-90s fastball to the mid-90s, which in turn made his changeup more effective. Maurer used his changeup to neutralize lefties to the tune of a .167 BAA with one extra-base hit in 60 at-bats. In 58 at-bats against lefties as a starter, Maurer allowed a .310 BAA and five extra-base hits, including three homers. Whether he sticks in the bullpen this season is uncertain after he was traded to San Diego in December.
An outstanding spring training won Maurer a job in the rotation last year, but it didn't take long to prove he was overmatched at the big-league level and not ready for the majors. With a 6.93 ERA by late May, the Mariners finally took pity on him and sent him to Triple-A. He wasn't much better in eight relief appearances (6.64 ERA) upon returning, but in his last three September starts, he allowed two runs or less in each and had 17 strikeouts to four walks in 17.1 innings. Much of Maurer's trouble stemmed from his lack of an effective out-pitch against left-handers, against whom he had a 1.94 K/BB and .908 OPS allowed. He has decent strikeout ability and control, but he was forced to tinker with his release point to improve his command (11.4 H/9 for the season). Maurer could compete in spring for a spot on the staff, but he's probably ticketed for Triple-A for more refinement.
Maurer stole the spotlight from the "Big Three" at Double-A Jackson last year en route to Southern League pitcher of the year honors. While high-profile prospects Danny Hultzen, James Paxton and Taijuan Walker grabbed the headlines, Maurer used four pitches, including a mid-90s fastball, to prove he is a legit prospect after some early-career arm troubles. The 6-foot-6 Maurer has good command and, perhaps most important, stayed healthy all year, throwing 137.2 innings. Whether Maurer is destined for mid-rotation status or a bullpen role largely depends on his ability to avoid the elbow and shoulder problems that plagued him in 2010 and 2011.
More Fantasy News
Gets save against Twins
PKansas City Royals
July 20, 2018
Maurer got a one-out save against the Twins on Friday, working around a hit and a walk to close out Kansas City's 6-5 victory.
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Squanders save opportunity
PKansas City Royals
June 23, 2018
Maurer blew a save chance Saturday, allowing one run on two hits and a walk in an inning against the Astros.
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Contract selected from minors
PKansas City Royals
June 15, 2018
Maurer was recalled from Triple-A Omaha on Friday.
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Cast off roster
PKansas City Royals
May 3, 2018
Maurer was outrighted off the Royals' 40-man roster Thursday.
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Optioned to Omaha
PKansas City Royals
April 13, 2018
Maurer was sent down to Triple-A Omaha on Friday.
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