Gregory Polanco
Gregory Polanco
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Pittsburgh Pirates
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 5/1/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Polanco had a solid offensive season overall, filled with some ups and downs and ending with a shoulder injury that required major surgery in mid-September. There were three months in which he hit below .235 and three months in which he hit over .300, including .409 in September before going down with his injury. Some will point to the fact that 19 of Polanco's 23 home runs came off righties as a data point that Polanco cannot hit lefties, but ignore them. His overall numbers against lefties have actually been slightly above the league average in two of the past three seasons. Lefties limit him, but they do not complete neuter him. Polanco changed his swing last season to get more loft on the ball, which led to an increase in his strikeout rate (21.9%), but he also nearly doubled his walk rate (11.4%). While he will miss the start of the year, Polanco said he expects to return before June. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a five-year, $35 million contract extension with the Pirates in April of 2016.
Could play outfield next week
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
March 20, 2019
Polanco (shoulder) is throwing from 120 to 150 feet and will likely play defense in a minor-league spring game next week, John Perrotto of DKPittsburghSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Polanco will not break camp with the Pirates as he completes his recovery from offseason shoulder surgery, but it appears he is at least closing in on the final stages of the process. Polanco will likely need several weeks in the minors and/or extended spring training before he is ready for big-league games, but he seemingly remains on track to join the big club sometime around the beginning of May.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .721 348 29 9 41 3 .242 .310 .411
Since 2016vs Right .796 1181 164 47 161 34 .258 .328 .468
2018vs Left .771 142 15 4 18 2 .248 .331 .440
2018vs Right .864 390 60 19 63 10 .256 .344 .521
2017vs Left .586 97 5 0 7 0 .231 .278 .308
2017vs Right .730 313 34 11 28 8 .257 .313 .417
2016vs Left .781 109 9 5 16 1 .245 .312 .469
2016vs Right .786 478 70 17 70 16 .261 .325 .462
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .826 751 99 28 100 18 .272 .341 .485
Since 2016Away .734 778 94 28 102 19 .238 .308 .427
2018Home .870 257 37 12 36 8 .258 .354 .516
2018Away .811 275 38 11 45 4 .250 .327 .484
2017Home .733 213 19 7 22 4 .255 .310 .423
2017Away .655 197 20 4 13 4 .246 .299 .355
2016Home .858 281 43 9 42 6 .296 .352 .506
2016Away .718 306 36 13 44 11 .223 .295 .423
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Stat Review
How does Gregory Polanco compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.52
 
BB Rate
11.5%
 
K Rate
22.0%
 
BABIP
.287
 
ISO
.245
 
AVG
.254
 
OBP
.340
 
SLG
.499
 
OPS
.839
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Pirates Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Plenty of talented young players experience down years, but Polanco's decline in performance in his age-25 season is particularly difficult to explain. He battled hamstring issues throughout 2017, making three separate trips to the DL due to the hamstring, but those problems alone cannot fully account for a 25-point drop in wRC+ and 34-point drop in wOBA. Polanco did trim his strikeout rate to a career-low 14.6 percent (from 20.3 percent), but those contact gains were largely offset by a decline in walk rate (6.6 percent) and power (25.9 percent hard-hit rate, down from 35.7 percent). He also took a sizable step back against left-handed pitching (.231/.278/.308). Better health should help Polanco's production return to a more respectable level, but any thought of him ascending to star status in 2018 seems misguided given the injuries and lack of skill growth last season. Keep in mind that he's only had one above-average season to date.
Polanco seemingly played two totally different seasons in 2016. In 78 games through July 4, he batted .297/.374/.521 with 12 home runs, 50 RBI and nine steals in 330 plate appearances. Though he hit 10 homers with 36 RBI and eight steals in his final 257 plate appearances, he also wilted with a .220 clip and .682 OPS. His power output says there wasn't much of an issue, but injuries to his knee, shoulder, hamstring and face, via a collision with a wall, contributed to his uneven performance, and he has now suffered noteworthy swoons in each of his first three campaigns. At 25, he is still young enough to take another step forward, and his sizable increase in hard contact shows that he's squaring up pitches better. Unfortunately, his tall frame seems susceptible to injury. While the outfielder set career highs in home runs and RBI, his ceiling is even higher across the board -- but only if he can stay healthy and soften his dips in production.
There are few things Polanco can’t do on a baseball field — good or bad. For example, he finished second among NL outfielders in assists (13) but committed a league-high eight errors. Therein lies the rub with the 24-year-old. Which player is going to show up in 2016? He stole 27 bases in 37 attempts but his AB/HR rate dropped from 39.6 to 65.9. The outfielder gives fantasy owners flashes of his potential — he hit .339/.391/.521 from July 12 to Aug. 28, yet goes on stretches of futility — .148/.239/.222 from June 7 to July 5. Of course he’s entering only his second full season in the big league, so there’s plenty of room to grow — just expect a few bumps along the way.
Polanco proved to be the posterchild for fantasy caution with youth in 2014. After tearing up Triple-A to the tune of a .347/.405/.540 batting line in 274 plate appearances, Pittsburgh called up its super-prospect June 10. He started strong with an 11-game hit streak, but eventually fell off the table -- he hit .068 (3-for-44) from Aug. 13 to Sept. 13 -- and was benched in favor of Travis Snider in right field. Polanco offers a unique mix of speed and power, but will battle Snider for playing time again in 2015. In the long run, he represents the future in right but playing time (or even a roster spot) isn't guaranteed to begin 2015. The 6-foot-4, 205-pound outfielder remains a great pick in keeper leagues, though owners in single-season leagues will want watch his battle with Snider closely in spring training.
Polanco's estimated time of arrival is sometime in the summer of 2014, once the Super 2 arbitration deadline passes in June. Signed out of the Dominican Republic as a free agent, the 6-foot-4, 205-pound center fielder is blessed with a rare mix of speed and power. Polanco has averaged 25 steals in five minor-league seasons. He's also hit 28 homers in his last two years. The 22-year-old put together a .285/.356/.434 combined line between three levels -- High-A, Double-A and Triple-A -- in 2013. The left-handed hitting Polanco hit .366 against lefties last year and has always done well against southpaws, a rare commodity. Blessed with good plate discipline (52:73 K:BB ratio), the outfielder could impact fantasy teams as soon as June.
A breakout 2012 has put Polanco squarely on the map as one of Pittsburgh's top two offensive prospects, along with Alen Hanson. Plate discipline sets the center fielder apart from others. He compiled a 44:64 BB:K ratio in 437 at-bats for Low-A West Virginia. More remarkably, the left-handed hitter registered a 1.087 OPS against southpaws, better than his fine .850 mark versus righties. Polanco hit .325/.388/.522 with 16 homers and 40 stolen bases (in 55 attempts) as a 20-year-old. He suffered an ankle injury that forced him out of the lineup in late 2012, but he played winter ball and is expected to be 100-percent healthy for 2013. He'll likely start the season with High-A Bradenton, but could move up to Double-A Altoona by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Could play in spring games as DH
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
March 14, 2019
Director of sports medicine Todd Tomczyk said Thursday that Polanco (shoulder) will get "as many high-level" at-bats as possible during the remainder of spring training, John Perrotto of DKPittsburghSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing will be next step
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
March 6, 2019
Polanco (shoulder) is expected to begin working out in the outfield within the next week, John Perrotto of DK Pittsburgh Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Extends throwing distance
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
February 28, 2019
Polanco (shoulder) moved his throwing distance up to 115 feet Wednesday, Nubyjas Wilborn of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
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Progressing without pain
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
February 12, 2019
Polanco (shoulder), who is in his second week of throwing, is feeling no pain and believes he'll return prior to June.
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Makes strong statement
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
January 7, 2019
Polanco (shoulder) swung the bat off a tee Monday for the first time since dislocating his left shoulder in September, Rob Biertempfel of the Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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