Gregory Polanco
Gregory Polanco
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Pittsburgh Pirates
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Last season was a lost year for Polanco, and unfortunately there's still lingering health questions heading into 2020. Specifically, Polanco dislocated his shoulder in September 2018 and hasn't been right since. Rebab from surgery delayed his debut until April 22. Polanco returned to the IL on June 22 with left shoulder inflammation. He remained there the rest of the campaign. When on the field, Polanco struggled, ultimately losing playing time before being shelved. Oddly, his average exit velocity was similar to prior years, but his hard-hit rate plummeted. In addition, his strikeout rate ballooned to 29%, 10 points worse than normal. It's very likely Polanco's shoulder wasn't 100 percent and there's still concern a second surgery may be necessary. Hence, caveat emptor is prudent for early drafters. It may not be until later in the spring before Polanco's injury status is clarified. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a five-year, $35 million contract extension with the Pirates in April of 2016. Contract includes $12.5 million team option ($3 million buyout) for 2022 and $13.5 million team option ($1 million buyout) for 2023.
Looking good at camp
OFPittsburgh Pirates
March 10, 2020
Polanco is off to a strong spring training start, batting .333 with four extra-base hits and a 6:6 BB:K in 18 at-bats.
ANALYSIS
The right fielder is the last holdover from Pittsburgh's playoff run from 2013 to 2015. He's shown no ill effects from the shoulder surgery which shut down his 2019 campaign. The 28-year-old is expected to bat fifth behind Josh Bell, but manager Derek Shelton has said that everyone could bounce around the order with the exception of Bryan Reynolds, who will bat second.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
17
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .693 277 22 6 30 2 .239 .307 .386
Since 2017vs Right .792 831 115 34 103 21 .255 .326 .466
2019vs Left .689 38 2 2 5 0 .229 .289 .400
2019vs Right .737 128 21 4 12 3 .246 .305 .432
2018vs Left .771 142 15 4 18 2 .248 .331 .440
2018vs Right .864 390 60 19 63 10 .256 .344 .521
2017vs Left .586 97 5 0 7 0 .231 .278 .308
2017vs Right .730 313 34 11 28 8 .257 .313 .417
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .797 544 66 22 67 14 .257 .329 .468
Since 2017Away .739 564 71 18 66 9 .245 .314 .425
2019Home .740 74 10 3 9 2 .257 .297 .443
2019Away .714 92 13 3 8 1 .229 .304 .410
2018Home .870 257 37 12 36 8 .258 .354 .516
2018Away .811 275 38 11 45 4 .250 .327 .484
2017Home .733 213 19 7 22 4 .255 .310 .423
2017Away .655 197 20 4 13 4 .246 .299 .355
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Stat Review
How does Gregory Polanco compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
7.2%
 
K Rate
29.5%
 
BABIP
.316
 
ISO
.183
 
AVG
.242
 
OBP
.301
 
SLG
.425
 
OPS
.726
 
wOBA
.317
 
Exit Velocity
89.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
 
Barrels/PA
6.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Polanco had a solid offensive season overall, filled with some ups and downs and ending with a shoulder injury that required major surgery in mid-September. There were three months in which he hit below .235 and three months in which he hit over .300, including .409 in September before going down with his injury. Some will point to the fact that 19 of Polanco's 23 home runs came off righties as a data point that Polanco cannot hit lefties, but ignore them. His overall numbers against lefties have actually been slightly above the league average in two of the past three seasons. Lefties limit him, but they do not complete neuter him. Polanco changed his swing last season to get more loft on the ball, which led to an increase in his strikeout rate (21.9%), but he also nearly doubled his walk rate (11.4%). While he will miss the start of the year, Polanco said he expects to return before June.
Plenty of talented young players experience down years, but Polanco's decline in performance in his age-25 season is particularly difficult to explain. He battled hamstring issues throughout 2017, making three separate trips to the DL due to the hamstring, but those problems alone cannot fully account for a 25-point drop in wRC+ and 34-point drop in wOBA. Polanco did trim his strikeout rate to a career-low 14.6 percent (from 20.3 percent), but those contact gains were largely offset by a decline in walk rate (6.6 percent) and power (25.9 percent hard-hit rate, down from 35.7 percent). He also took a sizable step back against left-handed pitching (.231/.278/.308). Better health should help Polanco's production return to a more respectable level, but any thought of him ascending to star status in 2018 seems misguided given the injuries and lack of skill growth last season. Keep in mind that he's only had one above-average season to date.
Polanco seemingly played two totally different seasons in 2016. In 78 games through July 4, he batted .297/.374/.521 with 12 home runs, 50 RBI and nine steals in 330 plate appearances. Though he hit 10 homers with 36 RBI and eight steals in his final 257 plate appearances, he also wilted with a .220 clip and .682 OPS. His power output says there wasn't much of an issue, but injuries to his knee, shoulder, hamstring and face, via a collision with a wall, contributed to his uneven performance, and he has now suffered noteworthy swoons in each of his first three campaigns. At 25, he is still young enough to take another step forward, and his sizable increase in hard contact shows that he's squaring up pitches better. Unfortunately, his tall frame seems susceptible to injury. While the outfielder set career highs in home runs and RBI, his ceiling is even higher across the board -- but only if he can stay healthy and soften his dips in production.
There are few things Polanco can’t do on a baseball field — good or bad. For example, he finished second among NL outfielders in assists (13) but committed a league-high eight errors. Therein lies the rub with the 24-year-old. Which player is going to show up in 2016? He stole 27 bases in 37 attempts but his AB/HR rate dropped from 39.6 to 65.9. The outfielder gives fantasy owners flashes of his potential — he hit .339/.391/.521 from July 12 to Aug. 28, yet goes on stretches of futility — .148/.239/.222 from June 7 to July 5. Of course he’s entering only his second full season in the big league, so there’s plenty of room to grow — just expect a few bumps along the way.
Polanco proved to be the posterchild for fantasy caution with youth in 2014. After tearing up Triple-A to the tune of a .347/.405/.540 batting line in 274 plate appearances, Pittsburgh called up its super-prospect June 10. He started strong with an 11-game hit streak, but eventually fell off the table -- he hit .068 (3-for-44) from Aug. 13 to Sept. 13 -- and was benched in favor of Travis Snider in right field. Polanco offers a unique mix of speed and power, but will battle Snider for playing time again in 2015. In the long run, he represents the future in right but playing time (or even a roster spot) isn't guaranteed to begin 2015. The 6-foot-4, 205-pound outfielder remains a great pick in keeper leagues, though owners in single-season leagues will want watch his battle with Snider closely in spring training.
Polanco's estimated time of arrival is sometime in the summer of 2014, once the Super 2 arbitration deadline passes in June. Signed out of the Dominican Republic as a free agent, the 6-foot-4, 205-pound center fielder is blessed with a rare mix of speed and power. Polanco has averaged 25 steals in five minor-league seasons. He's also hit 28 homers in his last two years. The 22-year-old put together a .285/.356/.434 combined line between three levels -- High-A, Double-A and Triple-A -- in 2013. The left-handed hitting Polanco hit .366 against lefties last year and has always done well against southpaws, a rare commodity. Blessed with good plate discipline (52:73 K:BB ratio), the outfielder could impact fantasy teams as soon as June.
A breakout 2012 has put Polanco squarely on the map as one of Pittsburgh's top two offensive prospects, along with Alen Hanson. Plate discipline sets the center fielder apart from others. He compiled a 44:64 BB:K ratio in 437 at-bats for Low-A West Virginia. More remarkably, the left-handed hitter registered a 1.087 OPS against southpaws, better than his fine .850 mark versus righties. Polanco hit .325/.388/.522 with 16 homers and 40 stolen bases (in 55 attempts) as a 20-year-old. He suffered an ankle injury that forced him out of the lineup in late 2012, but he played winter ball and is expected to be 100-percent healthy for 2013. He'll likely start the season with High-A Bradenton, but could move up to Double-A Altoona by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Bats against Tigers
OFPittsburgh Pirates
February 24, 2020
Polanco went 0-for-2 with a walk while serving as Pittsburgh's designated hitter Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Not fielding in first spring games
OFPittsburgh Pirates
February 21, 2020
Polanco (shoulder) will be limited to DH duty in the Pirates' first two spring games, Rob Biertempfel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Healthy after lost season
OFPittsburgh Pirates
February 16, 2020
Polanco (shoulder) said that he is healthy after reporting to camp Saturday, the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should have no restrictions in camp
OFPittsburgh Pirates
February 13, 2020
Polanco (shoulder) is expected to face no restrictions when position players report to Pirates camp this weekend, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing out to 120 feet
OFPittsburgh Pirates
Shoulder
December 16, 2019
Polanco (shoulder) has been throwing up to 120 feet without issues, Rob Biertempfel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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