Kyle Hendricks

Kyle Hendricks

32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2022 Fantasy Outlook
It was a tale of three seasons for Hendricks. He started with a 7.54 ERA and 1.76 through his first five outings. Hendricks then posted a 2.89 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over his next 18 starts, spanning 112 innings. Unfortunately, he finished with a 7.96 ERA and 1.51 WHIP over his final nine games. All told, 2021 was the worst season of Hendricks' career, marred by a 16.7 K%, the lowest of his career. Hendricks' fantasy calling card has been durability and reliability, providing a solid innings floor, paving the way for drafting risky, upside arms. Durability is still a plus, but after last season, Hendricks' reliability is debatable. At minimum, it's no longer safe to pair Hendricks with a high strikeout guy with spotty control. Hendricks' value has always been more about what he buffers for the rest of a fantasy staff. Without that buffer, he's a ratio risk without the strikeout parachute. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#295
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $55.6 million contract extension with the Cubs in March of 2019. Contract includes a $16 million vesting option ($1 million buyout) for 2024.
Solid in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
May 14, 2022
Hendricks didn't factor into the decision during Saturday's 4-2 victory over Arizona, allowing one run on five hits and two walks with two strikeouts in 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
Hendricks limited the Diamondbacks to a single run in the second inning and was never in any real danger despite putting runners on base each frame. The 32-year-old has now surrendered two runs or fewer in five his eight starts, though the total of 16 in his other three starts is a bit concerning. It all amounts to a decent 4.03 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, and Hendricks is currently slated to face off against Arizona again next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Kyle Hendricks generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Hendricks generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .257 634 123 50 147 31 4 25
Since 2020vs Right .269 654 104 17 167 31 2 22
2022vs Left .240 111 21 12 23 5 0 4
2022vs Right .247 77 11 3 18 4 1 2
2021vs Left .287 359 62 34 91 21 4 16
2021vs Right .271 426 69 10 109 22 1 15
2020vs Left .209 164 40 4 33 5 0 5
2020vs Right .274 151 24 4 40 5 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.97 1.19 158.2 11 8 0 6.7 1.8 1.4
Since 2020Away 4.37 1.29 148.1 11 7 0 6.6 2.1 1.4
2022Home 2.82 1.12 22.1 1 1 0 6.9 2.4 0.8
2022Away 5.24 1.39 22.1 1 2 0 6.0 3.6 1.6
2021Home 5.24 1.41 92.2 6 5 0 6.5 2.2 1.8
2021Away 4.28 1.28 88.1 8 2 0 6.5 2.1 1.2
2020Home 1.85 0.76 43.2 4 2 0 7.0 0.6 0.6
2020Away 4.06 1.27 37.2 2 3 0 7.2 1.2 1.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Hendricks compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.13
 
K/9
6.4
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
86.9 mph
 
ERA
4.03
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.271
 
GB/FB
1.08
 
Left On Base
75.6%
 
Exit Velocity
79.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2030 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.6%
 
Swinging Strike
10.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Hendricks
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
4 days ago
Chris Morgan feels Ketel Marte is significantly undervalued and should do well against Kyle Hendricks and the Cubs.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
4 days ago
Chris Bennett suggests picking either C.J. Cron, or Connor Joe around whom to build a lineup against Carlos Hernandez, who has allowed 18 runs in 22.2 innings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
Mound Musings: Life, the Universe and Everything
6 days ago
Brad Johnson discusses why he hates the sinker, and in Rotation Ramblings he writes about how Nestor Cortes took a no-hitter, with 11 strikeouts, into the eighth inning of his last start against Texas.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Yu Darvish had the better overall season, but Hendricks was once again stellar for the Cubs in 2020, and it was the latter who started Game 1 of the team's Wild Card series. Hendricks does not rack up strikeouts like Darvish or other top pitchers across the league, which keeps him a bit below the radar. He posted a 7.1 K/9 in 2020 and hasn't topped 8.0 K/9 since 2016. Hendricks instead relies on excellent command and the ability to effectively mix up his pitches to keep hitters off balance. Throughout his seven-year MLB career, Hendricks has never had an ERA higher than 3.95 or a WHIP higher than 1.19. That type of consistency makes Hendricks an extremely valuable fantasy asset, even if he doesn't miss as many bats as other frontline starters. Heading into his age-31 season, Hendricks will aim to eclipse 200 innings for the first time, which was a stated goal before the 2020 season was condensed.
Durability, reliability and consistency define Hendricks' career. He's compiled at least 30 starts and 177 innings in four of the past five seasons. It would be 31 and 180-plus if the Cubs didn't shut him down and let him pitch on the last day of the 2019 season. While there's nothing overly egregious in Hendricks' 2019 indicators, his xFIP and SIERA were well over 4.00. This may signal some skills erosion and an impending ERA correction, but his 10.3% swinging-strike rate was his career best and his 16.2 K-BB% was his highest since 2016. Hendricks' velocity and pitch mix were the same as usual, so while ERA estimators are usually telling, this could be an exception. The good thing is Hendricks' lack of strikeouts keeps his acquisition cost low, so the risk implied by 2019's xFIP and SIERA is baked into the cost. Hendricks remains an option to buffer ratios while we chase strikeouts elsewhere.
Hendricks had one rocky month (7.03 ERA in June) but was otherwise very good in 2018, finishing as a top-30 starting pitcher in terms of earned value. He threw a career-high 199 innings and induced a ton of weak contact -- his opponents' soft-contact rate was among the highest in the league. Hendricks' changeup graded out as the absolute best among qualified starters by FanGraphs' Pitch Values. His fastball averages a mere 86.9 mph, but because of the movement and deception, the pitch graded out as above average. He's never going to be a huge strikeout pitcher with his arsenal (7.6 K/9 for career), but Hendricks is one of the smartest players in baseball and he's proven effective with the way he mixes his pitches and approaches certain hitters differently. He still has a good defense behind him and a good offense powering him, so Hendricks should once again be a coveted arm on draft day.
Even though his ERA rose by nearly a run last season, Hendricks solidified himself as the Cubs' ace while Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta saw their numbers plunge following the team's World Series-winning campaign. With a fastball that sits in the mid-to-high-80s, Hendricks isn't a prototypical top-of-the-rotation arm, but his brilliance lies in his ability to stay ahead of hitters in the count, avoid mistakes and eat innings efficiently. Those attributes rarely yield lofty strikeout totals for the right-hander, but Hendricks is capable of netting fantasy owners above-average production in wins, ERA and WHIP so long as the offense and defense supporting him remain strong. Staying healthy was an issue for Hendricks in 2017 and prevented him from justifying his draft-day price, but he was sensational upon returning from right hand tendinitis in late July and presents little risk heading into spring training. He turned in a 2.19 ERA and 3.79 K/BB after the All-Star break, both of which were roughly in line with his 2016 marks.
Hendricks took another step forward in 2016 and established himself as one of the best starters in the National League. Concerns about his strikeout rate in 2015 were erased as he improved his swinging-strike rate to a career-high 10 percent, while maintaining the pinpoint control he's shown throughout his time as a professional. While he does not overpower opposing hitters, Hendricks locates his offerings exceptionally well, and he consistently works ahead in the count by pounding the strike zone early (his 68.6 percent first-strike rate tied him with Johnny Cueto as the MLB leader among qualified starters). His changeup continues to be his best pitch, and that offering generated the fourth-most swinging strikes among all changeups league-wide last season. Even though his skills appear to be stable, Hendricks' ERA seems almost certain to rise, but he could stay below the 3.00 mark if the defense behind him continues to rank as the league's best.
Hendricks saw a substantial gain in strikeout rate last year, from 5.3 K/9 to 8.4, despite zero increase in his swinging-strike rate. Called strikes were the stark difference in his profile, as his called strike rate jumped six percentage points to 38-percent, third-highest among qualified starters. He shifted to a sinker-changeup focus and he buries both pitches low & away to righties and lefties for called strikes: sinker for righties, change for lefties. Hendricks also exploits the biggest general change in the strike zone as a means to gain a lot of these strikeouts: the lower third. He threw 52-percent of his pitches in the lower third, 13th-highest among the 78 qualified starters. He leveraged the framing of Miguel Montero and David Ross as well, posting an 8.8 K/9 (24-percent K rate) with them. The strikeouts will likely decline without some added swing-and-miss, but his groundball lean and penchant for strikes should enable him to maintain solid value.
Hendricks has put a lot of innings on his young arm, but if you're going to pitch as well as he has, 180 innings seems appropriate. He blew threw the minors in less than four years, dominating at every stop, before he got the call from the Cubs last year, when he finished 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 starts. Hendricks' excellent control (15 walks in 80.1 innings) contributed to his strong results, but his strikeout rate was poor. He had good strikeout rates in the minors, so there is hope that he can improve in that area. If he does, Hendricks will become much more useful to fantasy owners.
The Dartmouth-educated Hendricks was the Cubs' Minor League Pitcher of the Year when he went 13-4 with a 2.00 ERA between Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa. Even better was the outstanding 128:34 K:BB ratio in 166.1 innings. Given his success on the field and between the ears, it looks like he could be spending time in Chicago this season.
More Fantasy News
Nearly twirls shutout Monday
PChicago Cubs
May 10, 2022
Hendricks (2-3) picked up the win Monday, scattering three hits and a walk over 8.2 scoreless innings in a 6-0 victory over the Padres. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers third loss
PChicago Cubs
May 4, 2022
Hendricks (1-3) allowed four runs on seven hits and one walk over 5.2 innings Wednesday to take the loss against the White Sox. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Mauled by Milwaukee
PChicago Cubs
April 30, 2022
Hendricks (1-2) took the loss Friday, surrendering six runs on seven hits -- including three home runs -- and two walks over 4.1 innings as the Cubs got routed 11-1 by the Brewers. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two hits in blowout win
PChicago Cubs
April 23, 2022
Hendricks (1-1) earned the win Saturday, allowing two hits over seven scoreless innings against the Pirates. He struck out two and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out six in short outing
PChicago Cubs
April 18, 2022
Hendricks allowed two runs on five hits and two walks over 4.1 innings in Monday's win over the Rays. He struck out six and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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