Kyle Hendricks
Kyle Hendricks
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Durability, reliability and consistency define Hendricks' career. He's compiled at least 30 starts and 177 innings in four of the past five seasons. It would be 31 and 180-plus if the Cubs didn't shut him down and let him pitch on the last day of the 2019 season. While there's nothing overly egregious in Hendricks' 2019 indicators, his xFIP and SIERA were well over 4.00. This may signal some skills erosion and an impending ERA correction, but his 10.3% swinging-strike rate was his career best and his 16.2 K-BB% was his highest since 2016. Hendricks' velocity and pitch mix were the same as usual, so while ERA estimators are usually telling, this could be an exception. The good thing is Hendricks' lack of strikeouts keeps his acquisition cost low, so the risk implied by 2019's xFIP and SIERA is baked into the cost. Hendricks remains an option to buffer ratios while we chase strikeouts elsewhere. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#156
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$Signed a four-year, $55.6 million contract extension with the Cubs in March of 2019. Contract includes a $16 million vesting option ($1 million buyout) for 2024.
Looks sharp in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
September 13, 2020
Hendricks covered 7.2 innings and didn't factor into the decision Saturday in the Cubs' 4-2 win over the Brewers. He gave up two runs on six hits and no walks while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
Hendricks wasn't quite as good as he was in his previous matchup with Milwaukee on Opening Day -- a complete-game shutout with nine strikeouts -- but he still delivered another stellar outing to drop his season ERA and WHIP to 3.29 and 1.05, respectively. He was on the hook for the loss after departing with the Cubs facing a 2-0 deficit, but a three-run home run by Jason Heyward and a solo shot by Ildemaro Vargas in the ninth inning spared Hendricks from dropping to 5-5. Saturday's game was the first time in his 10 starts this season that Hendricks didn't factor into a decision.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Kyle Hendricks generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Hendricks generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .230 862 204 43 183 40 5 21
Since 2018vs Right .265 939 158 39 232 39 2 28
2020vs Left .207 139 33 2 28 4 0 4
2020vs Right .304 120 18 4 35 5 0 4
2019vs Left .237 349 84 19 75 23 1 7
2019vs Right .260 381 66 13 93 16 1 12
2018vs Left .233 374 87 22 80 13 4 10
2018vs Right .259 438 74 22 104 18 1 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.71 0.96 232.1 16 11 0 7.5 1.4 0.8
Since 2018Away 4.21 1.30 209.1 14 14 0 7.2 1.9 1.2
2020Home 2.27 0.81 35.2 3 2 0 6.1 0.5 0.8
2020Away 4.50 1.33 30.0 2 2 0 8.1 1.2 1.5
2019Home 2.04 0.87 92.2 6 2 0 8.0 1.3 0.6
2019Away 5.02 1.41 84.1 5 8 0 7.3 2.0 1.4
2018Home 3.46 1.10 104.0 7 7 0 7.6 1.9 1.0
2018Away 3.41 1.20 95.0 7 4 0 6.9 2.1 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Hendricks compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
8.50
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
0.8
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
87.4 mph
 
ERA
3.29
 
WHIP
1.05
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
1.73
 
Left On Base
77.9%
 
Exit Velocity
79.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
2056 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Hendricks
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Last Call
6 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's staring pitching as the regular season comes down the stretch. This the last week to be relatively confident in two-start opportunities.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
6 days ago
If you want to take advantage of Coors Field but don't want to spend up for bigger names, Justin Bramlette suggests Justin Upton as a viable option.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
6 days ago
Even though Rich Hill has done decently, Chris Morgan still likes Franmil Reyes to produce today.
MLB Wagers To Consider This Week
9 days ago
Kevin Payne looks at season-long wagers and wagers for this weekend's games. The Nationals' money line on Sunday with Max Scherzer on the hill vs. the Braves could be a winner.
Collette Calls: You Should Find My Lack of Belief in Bieber Disturbing
11 days ago
Jason Collette analyzes why he was so wrong on Shane Bieber this season and what the Indians ace is doing differently in 2020.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Hendricks had one rocky month (7.03 ERA in June) but was otherwise very good in 2018, finishing as a top-30 starting pitcher in terms of earned value. He threw a career-high 199 innings and induced a ton of weak contact -- his opponents' soft-contact rate was among the highest in the league. Hendricks' changeup graded out as the absolute best among qualified starters by FanGraphs' Pitch Values. His fastball averages a mere 86.9 mph, but because of the movement and deception, the pitch graded out as above average. He's never going to be a huge strikeout pitcher with his arsenal (7.6 K/9 for career), but Hendricks is one of the smartest players in baseball and he's proven effective with the way he mixes his pitches and approaches certain hitters differently. He still has a good defense behind him and a good offense powering him, so Hendricks should once again be a coveted arm on draft day.
Even though his ERA rose by nearly a run last season, Hendricks solidified himself as the Cubs' ace while Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta saw their numbers plunge following the team's World Series-winning campaign. With a fastball that sits in the mid-to-high-80s, Hendricks isn't a prototypical top-of-the-rotation arm, but his brilliance lies in his ability to stay ahead of hitters in the count, avoid mistakes and eat innings efficiently. Those attributes rarely yield lofty strikeout totals for the right-hander, but Hendricks is capable of netting fantasy owners above-average production in wins, ERA and WHIP so long as the offense and defense supporting him remain strong. Staying healthy was an issue for Hendricks in 2017 and prevented him from justifying his draft-day price, but he was sensational upon returning from right hand tendinitis in late July and presents little risk heading into spring training. He turned in a 2.19 ERA and 3.79 K/BB after the All-Star break, both of which were roughly in line with his 2016 marks.
Hendricks took another step forward in 2016 and established himself as one of the best starters in the National League. Concerns about his strikeout rate in 2015 were erased as he improved his swinging-strike rate to a career-high 10 percent, while maintaining the pinpoint control he's shown throughout his time as a professional. While he does not overpower opposing hitters, Hendricks locates his offerings exceptionally well, and he consistently works ahead in the count by pounding the strike zone early (his 68.6 percent first-strike rate tied him with Johnny Cueto as the MLB leader among qualified starters). His changeup continues to be his best pitch, and that offering generated the fourth-most swinging strikes among all changeups league-wide last season. Even though his skills appear to be stable, Hendricks' ERA seems almost certain to rise, but he could stay below the 3.00 mark if the defense behind him continues to rank as the league's best.
Hendricks saw a substantial gain in strikeout rate last year, from 5.3 K/9 to 8.4, despite zero increase in his swinging-strike rate. Called strikes were the stark difference in his profile, as his called strike rate jumped six percentage points to 38-percent, third-highest among qualified starters. He shifted to a sinker-changeup focus and he buries both pitches low & away to righties and lefties for called strikes: sinker for righties, change for lefties. Hendricks also exploits the biggest general change in the strike zone as a means to gain a lot of these strikeouts: the lower third. He threw 52-percent of his pitches in the lower third, 13th-highest among the 78 qualified starters. He leveraged the framing of Miguel Montero and David Ross as well, posting an 8.8 K/9 (24-percent K rate) with them. The strikeouts will likely decline without some added swing-and-miss, but his groundball lean and penchant for strikes should enable him to maintain solid value.
Hendricks has put a lot of innings on his young arm, but if you're going to pitch as well as he has, 180 innings seems appropriate. He blew threw the minors in less than four years, dominating at every stop, before he got the call from the Cubs last year, when he finished 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 starts. Hendricks' excellent control (15 walks in 80.1 innings) contributed to his strong results, but his strikeout rate was poor. He had good strikeout rates in the minors, so there is hope that he can improve in that area. If he does, Hendricks will become much more useful to fantasy owners.
The Dartmouth-educated Hendricks was the Cubs' Minor League Pitcher of the Year when he went 13-4 with a 2.00 ERA between Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa. Even better was the outstanding 128:34 K:BB ratio in 166.1 innings. Given his success on the field and between the ears, it looks like he could be spending time in Chicago this season.
More Fantasy News
Tosses eight strong frames in win
PChicago Cubs
September 7, 2020
Hendricks (5-4) picked up the win Monday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on seven hits across eight innings. He fanned four and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Earns fourth win
PChicago Cubs
September 2, 2020
Hendricks (4-4) allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out six across six innings to earn the win Wednesday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Serves up two homers in loss
PChicago Cubs
August 28, 2020
Hendricks (3-4) allowed five runs on 10 hits over six innings in a loss to the Reds on Friday. He struck out six and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Hurt by long ball
PChicago Cubs
August 22, 2020
Hendricks (3-3) allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out three across 5.1 innings to take the loss Saturday against the White Sox.
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Saddled with second loss
PChicago Cubs
August 17, 2020
Hendricks (3-2) took the loss in Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader against the Cardinals after allowing three runs on three hits and a walk while striking out five over 6.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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