Kyle Hendricks
Kyle Hendricks
29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
10-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 6/25/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Hendricks had one rocky month (7.03 ERA in June) but was otherwise very good in 2018, finishing as a top-30 starting pitcher in terms of earned value. He threw a career-high 199 innings and induced a ton of weak contact -- his opponents' soft-contact rate was among the highest in the league. Hendricks' changeup graded out as the absolute best among qualified starters by FanGraphs' Pitch Values. His fastball averages a mere 86.9 mph, but because of the movement and deception, the pitch graded out as above average. He's never going to be a huge strikeout pitcher with his arsenal (7.6 K/9 for career), but Hendricks is one of the smartest players in baseball and he's proven effective with the way he mixes his pitches and approaches certain hitters differently. He still has a good defense behind him and a good offense powering him, so Hendricks should once again be a coveted arm on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a four-year, $55.6 million contract extension with the Cubs in March of 2019. Contract includes a $16 million vesting option ($1 million buyout) for 2024.
Doesn't expect long absence
PChicago Cubs
June 15, 2019
Hendricks doesn't think his shoulder injury is serious, Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
Hendricks was placed on the 10-day injured list with right shoulder inflammation Saturday. He didn't think the injury occured on any one pitch, but instead felt a growing discomfort over the last few days. He hopes to be back after a brief period of rest, though the Cubs should know more after further tests.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .246 812 192 57 181 33 4 24
Since 2017vs Right .247 934 167 43 214 32 2 24
2019vs Left .283 167 41 8 43 12 0 5
2019vs Right .225 197 34 8 42 5 1 4
2018vs Left .233 374 87 22 80 13 4 10
2018vs Right .259 438 74 22 104 18 1 12
2017vs Left .241 271 64 27 58 8 0 9
2017vs Right .243 299 59 13 68 9 0 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 2.99 1.11 229.0 15 11 0 7.7 2.1 0.9
Since 2017Away 3.64 1.22 198.0 13 10 0 7.4 2.1 1.1
2019Home 1.65 0.88 49.0 4 1 0 8.3 0.9 0.4
2019Away 5.49 1.47 39.1 3 4 0 6.9 2.5 1.6
2018Home 3.46 1.10 104.0 7 7 0 7.6 1.9 1.0
2018Away 3.41 1.20 95.0 7 4 0 6.9 2.1 1.0
2017Home 3.20 1.28 76.0 4 3 0 7.5 3.2 1.3
2017Away 2.83 1.08 63.2 3 2 0 8.5 1.8 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Kyle Hendricks compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
87.1 mph
Left On Base
Exit Velocity
87.3 mph
Spin Rate
2065 rpm
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
Swinging Strike
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Hendricks
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9 days ago
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10 days ago
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13 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Strasburg on a Roll
16 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings highlight Washington's Stephen Strasburg, who quietly is having an All-Star campaign.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Even though his ERA rose by nearly a run last season, Hendricks solidified himself as the Cubs' ace while Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta saw their numbers plunge following the team's World Series-winning campaign. With a fastball that sits in the mid-to-high-80s, Hendricks isn't a prototypical top-of-the-rotation arm, but his brilliance lies in his ability to stay ahead of hitters in the count, avoid mistakes and eat innings efficiently. Those attributes rarely yield lofty strikeout totals for the right-hander, but Hendricks is capable of netting fantasy owners above-average production in wins, ERA and WHIP so long as the offense and defense supporting him remain strong. Staying healthy was an issue for Hendricks in 2017 and prevented him from justifying his draft-day price, but he was sensational upon returning from right hand tendinitis in late July and presents little risk heading into spring training. He turned in a 2.19 ERA and 3.79 K/BB after the All-Star break, both of which were roughly in line with his 2016 marks.
Hendricks took another step forward in 2016 and established himself as one of the best starters in the National League. Concerns about his strikeout rate in 2015 were erased as he improved his swinging-strike rate to a career-high 10 percent, while maintaining the pinpoint control he's shown throughout his time as a professional. While he does not overpower opposing hitters, Hendricks locates his offerings exceptionally well, and he consistently works ahead in the count by pounding the strike zone early (his 68.6 percent first-strike rate tied him with Johnny Cueto as the MLB leader among qualified starters). His changeup continues to be his best pitch, and that offering generated the fourth-most swinging strikes among all changeups league-wide last season. Even though his skills appear to be stable, Hendricks' ERA seems almost certain to rise, but he could stay below the 3.00 mark if the defense behind him continues to rank as the league's best.
Hendricks saw a substantial gain in strikeout rate last year, from 5.3 K/9 to 8.4, despite zero increase in his swinging-strike rate. Called strikes were the stark difference in his profile, as his called strike rate jumped six percentage points to 38-percent, third-highest among qualified starters. He shifted to a sinker-changeup focus and he buries both pitches low & away to righties and lefties for called strikes: sinker for righties, change for lefties. Hendricks also exploits the biggest general change in the strike zone as a means to gain a lot of these strikeouts: the lower third. He threw 52-percent of his pitches in the lower third, 13th-highest among the 78 qualified starters. He leveraged the framing of Miguel Montero and David Ross as well, posting an 8.8 K/9 (24-percent K rate) with them. The strikeouts will likely decline without some added swing-and-miss, but his groundball lean and penchant for strikes should enable him to maintain solid value.
Hendricks has put a lot of innings on his young arm, but if you're going to pitch as well as he has, 180 innings seems appropriate. He blew threw the minors in less than four years, dominating at every stop, before he got the call from the Cubs last year, when he finished 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 starts. Hendricks' excellent control (15 walks in 80.1 innings) contributed to his strong results, but his strikeout rate was poor. He had good strikeout rates in the minors, so there is hope that he can improve in that area. If he does, Hendricks will become much more useful to fantasy owners.
The Dartmouth-educated Hendricks was the Cubs' Minor League Pitcher of the Year when he went 13-4 with a 2.00 ERA between Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa. Even better was the outstanding 128:34 K:BB ratio in 166.1 innings. Given his success on the field and between the ears, it looks like he could be spending time in Chicago this season.
More Fantasy News
Out with shoulder inflammation
PChicago Cubs
June 15, 2019
Hendricks was placed on the 10-day injured list Saturday with right shoulder inflammation, Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune reports.
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Rough go versus Dodgers
PChicago Cubs
June 14, 2019
Hendricks (7-5) pitched 4.1 innings Friday, allowing five runs on six hits and two walks while striking out one to take the loss as the Cubs fell 5-3 to the Dodgers.
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Wins sixth straight decision
PChicago Cubs
June 9, 2019
Hendricks (7-4) picked up the victory over the Cardinals on Sunday, allowing one run on eight hits in seven innings. He struck out three and did not walk a batter.
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Earns sixth win
PChicago Cubs
June 4, 2019
Hendricks (6-4) allowed three earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 across seven innings to earn the win Tuesday against the Rockies.
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Grounds Astros for fifth win
PChicago Cubs
May 30, 2019
Hendricks (5-4) picked up the win in Wednesday's 2-1 victory over the Astros, allowing one run on four hits and a walk over eight innings while striking out seven.
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