Ronald Guzman
24-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Texas Rangers AAA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Guzman benefited from Texas' poor season, debuting in mid-April and going on to make 428 plate appearances. He didn't necessarily benefit the Rangers as he hit just .235/.306/.416 with 16 homers. Those numbers are especially unexciting for a first baseman in a hitter's park. Guzman wasn't a particularly highly-rated prospect, so his performance wasn't too much of a surprise. Still just 24, Guzman has time to improve, and it may only take a small improvement for him to be a useful fantasy asset given his friendly park. An improvement would likely take the form of a drop in his strikeout rate, which sat at 28.3% after sitting at 16.1% with Triple-A Round Rock in 2017. Of course, there's the risk that another month or so of forgettable performances leads to the Rangers giving other young players a chance, so Guzman's floor remains low to go along with a fairly low ceiling. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Rangers in July of 2011 that includes a $3.45 million signing bonus.
Sent to Triple-A
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 23, 2019
Guzman was demoted to Triple-A Nashville on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Guzman has spent most of the year as the Rangers' starting first baseman but endured a tough time at the plate, hitting .193/.282/.396, numbers that better suit a backup catcher than a first baseman. Danny Santana and Logan Forsythe appear to be the primary options at first base while Guzman sorts things out in the minors.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
8
33
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+49%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+35%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .546 170 17 5 22 1 .174 .229 .316
Since 2017vs Right .765 485 54 19 65 1 .238 .322 .443
2019vs Left .499 64 5 2 8 1 .111 .203 .296
2019vs Right .746 163 20 6 21 0 .224 .313 .434
2018vs Left .572 106 12 3 14 0 .208 .245 .327
2018vs Right .774 322 34 13 44 1 .245 .326 .448
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .727 322 41 9 37 1 .240 .314 .413
Since 2017Away .688 333 30 15 50 1 .203 .282 .405
2019Home .683 119 15 2 8 1 .219 .303 .381
2019Away .672 108 10 6 21 0 .163 .259 .413
2018Home .752 203 26 7 29 0 .251 .320 .432
2018Away .695 225 20 9 29 1 .221 .293 .402
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Ronald Guzman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
11.0%
 
K Rate
28.6%
 
BABIP
.234
 
ISO
.203
 
AVG
.193
 
OBP
.282
 
SLG
.396
 
OPS
.678
 
wOBA
.296
 
Exit Velocity
84.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.2%
 
Barrels/PA
5.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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57 days ago
The Yankees have been hitting the cover of the ball all year, and Sasha Yodashkin doesn't see that stopping today against the Astros' Wade Miley.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2014
First base prospects have a unique set of rules. The overall value that needs to be provided with the glove, but primarily with the bat, is so immense that a player who is 12 percent better than league average as a 22-year-old at Triple-A hardly moves the needle. Guzman showed he has the potential to hit for a fairly high average while making contact at an excellent clip (16.1 percent strikeout rate). However, a .136 ISO from a first baseman who is not a gold-glove caliber defender is not going to cut it. He turned 23 this offseason and packs plus raw power in his 6-foot-5, 205-pound frame, so we can't completely close the book on him doing enough damage with the bat to profile as a regular. But he needs to start getting to more of that power in games, and he needs to do so in a hurry. He is on the 40-man roster and the Rangers don't have a long-term answer at first base, so we could see him up in the first half.
The 6-foot-5, 205-pound Guzman has finally been able to tap into his power potential over the last year or so. The left-handed slugger belted a career-high 15 home runs in 102 games at Double-A in 2016. Perhaps most importantly, he saw a rise in the number of free passes drawn while his strikeout ratio fell. The improvement in plate discipline also resulted in a .288 batting average, along with a .348 on-base percentage -- the highest OBP for Guzman at any level of full-season ball during his minor league career. The 22-year-old did struggle a bit at Triple-A to end the season, though, so that is where he will begin the 2017 campaign. The Rangers don't exactly have a rousing set of options at first base, so despite Guzman's rather mediocre power numbers, he could get a crack at first base in the big leagues by the end of the 2017 season, especially after getting added to the 40-man roster this offseason.
Guzman was part of the same legendary 2011 July 2 signing class as Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor, but he has not developed on the same trajectory as his organization mates. The thought was that the lanky 6-foot-5 Guzman could be a middle-of-the order threat in time, but he is looking a bit more like a James Loney type, without the defense. He posted a .283/.324/.434 slash line with 12 homers in 131 games across Low-A and High-A as a 20-year-old in 2015, but there is not as much power projection left as one might think, given his age, position, and size. That said, he has a tendency to put the barrel on the baseball, so he could hit 35-plus doubles with regularity if he can find his way into an everyday role. There will be a pretty big adjustment period for him against Double-A pitching in 2016, so he will likely spend the entire year at Frisco.
A knee injury limited Guzman to just 49 games at Low-A Hickory, where he slashed .272/.325/.387, but there are some concerns about his eventual power profile, despite his large frame (6-5, 205). He's a very natural hitter but one with limited upside, which figures to disappoint some. He deserves at least a healthy and full season first, so 2014 figures to be a big year for him from a development standpoint.
More Fantasy News
Sitting again Friday
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 19, 2019
Guzman is out of the lineup for Friday's game at Houston.
ANALYSIS
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Remains out Wednesday
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 17, 2019
Guzman is not starting Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench vs. lefty
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 16, 2019
Guzman isn't starting Tuesday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Thursday
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 11, 2019
Guzman is not in the lineup for Thursday's game against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench
1BTexas Rangers  AAA
July 7, 2019
Guzman is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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