Ronald Guzman
24-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2018 Fantasy Outlook
First base prospects have a unique set of rules. The overall value that needs to be provided with the glove, but primarily with the bat, is so immense that a player who is 12 percent better than league average as a 22-year-old at Triple-A hardly moves the needle. Guzman showed he has the potential to hit for a fairly high average while making contact at an excellent clip (16.1 percent strikeout rate). However, a .136 ISO from a first baseman who is not a gold-glove caliber defender is not going to cut it. He turned 23 this offseason and packs plus raw power in his 6-foot-5, 205-pound frame, so we can't completely close the book on him doing enough damage with the bat to profile as a regular. But he needs to start getting to more of that power in games, and he needs to do so in a hurry. He is on the 40-man roster and the Rangers don't have a long-term answer at first base, so we could see him up in the first half. Read Past Outlooks
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Out of Saturday's lineup
1BTexas Rangers
September 29, 2018
Guzman is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
Guzman takes a seat on the bench after starting the last two games, and he's slashing .254/.290/.475 over 59 at-bats in September. Ryan Rua will start at first base and bat sixth for the Rangers.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+35%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+35%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .572 106 12 3 14 0 .208 .245 .327
Since 2016vs Right .774 322 34 13 44 1 .245 .326 .448
2018vs Left .572 106 12 3 14 0 .208 .245 .327
2018vs Right .774 322 34 13 44 1 .245 .326 .448
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .752 203 26 7 29 0 .251 .320 .432
Since 2016Away .695 225 20 9 29 1 .221 .293 .402
2018Home .752 203 26 7 29 0 .251 .320 .432
2018Away .695 225 20 9 29 1 .221 .293 .402
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Ronald Guzman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
7.7%
 
K Rate
28.3%
 
BABIP
.299
 
ISO
.181
 
AVG
.235
 
OBP
.306
 
SLG
.416
 
OPS
.722
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2014
The 6-foot-5, 205-pound Guzman has finally been able to tap into his power potential over the last year or so. The left-handed slugger belted a career-high 15 home runs in 102 games at Double-A in 2016. Perhaps most importantly, he saw a rise in the number of free passes drawn while his strikeout ratio fell. The improvement in plate discipline also resulted in a .288 batting average, along with a .348 on-base percentage -- the highest OBP for Guzman at any level of full-season ball during his minor league career. The 22-year-old did struggle a bit at Triple-A to end the season, though, so that is where he will begin the 2017 campaign. The Rangers don't exactly have a rousing set of options at first base, so despite Guzman's rather mediocre power numbers, he could get a crack at first base in the big leagues by the end of the 2017 season, especially after getting added to the 40-man roster this offseason.
Guzman was part of the same legendary 2011 July 2 signing class as Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor, but he has not developed on the same trajectory as his organization mates. The thought was that the lanky 6-foot-5 Guzman could be a middle-of-the order threat in time, but he is looking a bit more like a James Loney type, without the defense. He posted a .283/.324/.434 slash line with 12 homers in 131 games across Low-A and High-A as a 20-year-old in 2015, but there is not as much power projection left as one might think, given his age, position, and size. That said, he has a tendency to put the barrel on the baseball, so he could hit 35-plus doubles with regularity if he can find his way into an everyday role. There will be a pretty big adjustment period for him against Double-A pitching in 2016, so he will likely spend the entire year at Frisco.
A knee injury limited Guzman to just 49 games at Low-A Hickory, where he slashed .272/.325/.387, but there are some concerns about his eventual power profile, despite his large frame (6-5, 205). He's a very natural hitter but one with limited upside, which figures to disappoint some. He deserves at least a healthy and full season first, so 2014 figures to be a big year for him from a development standpoint.
More Fantasy News
On bench for series finale
1BTexas Rangers
September 26, 2018
Guzman is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks 16th homer
1BTexas Rangers
September 24, 2018
Guzman went 2-for-4 with a solo home run Monday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Friday
1BTexas Rangers
September 21, 2018
Guzman is not in Friday's starting lineup against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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On bench vs. lefty
1BTexas Rangers
September 18, 2018
Guzman is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Sits again Saturday
1BTexas Rangers
September 15, 2018
Guzman is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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