Matt Wisler
Matt Wisler
26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The Reds have a lot of starters that haven't taken the leap and don't appear especially close to doing so, but it's not for a lack of pedigree. Whether they've been acquired early in the draft like Robert Stephenson, or acquired via trade like Brandon Finnegan, Cody Reed and Lucas Sims, there's a lot of early picks that just haven't taken root as reliable major-league starters. Perhaps the Reds are approaching it the wrong way, however, and would be better off emulating the Rays, A's, Rangers and even Brewers, adopting the opener model. Maybe that would open the door to a whole level of effectiveness for some of these erstwhile starters. Wisler could fall under that broad penumbra -- as a starter he just doesn't miss enough bats to be effective in today's game (career 16.4 K%). As an opener presumably he could be more of a max-effort guy, achieving a level he won't reach as a starter. Read Past Outlooks
$Traded to the Reds in July of 2018.
Recalled by Reds
PCincinnati Reds
August 31, 2018
Wisler was recalled by the Reds on Friday.
Wisler made three starts and four appearances for the Braves this season before being sent to Cincinnati as part of the package for Adam Duvall. He has a 5.40 ERA in 2018, and a career 5.27 mark in 324.2 innings. It's unclear whether the Reds intend to use him in the rotation or in relief down the stretch.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .272 486 66 49 116 26 3 18
Since 2016vs Right .268 504 103 20 127 23 4 21
2018vs Left .261 74 8 3 18 4 0 4
2018vs Right .267 92 24 4 23 5 1 4
2017vs Left .355 74 9 9 22 9 1 3
2017vs Right .296 79 13 4 21 7 1 2
2016vs Left .257 338 49 37 76 13 2 11
2016vs Right .262 333 66 12 83 11 2 15
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 5.39 1.43 140.1 4 11 0 6.9 2.6 1.5
Since 2016Away 5.28 1.25 88.2 4 4 1 6.3 2.8 1.6
2018Home 3.20 1.07 25.1 1 1 0 8.2 1.1 1.4
2018Away 6.14 1.43 14.2 0 0 0 5.5 2.5 2.5
2017Home 9.58 1.79 20.2 0 1 0 7.4 3.5 1.7
2017Away 6.17 1.63 11.2 0 0 0 3.9 3.9 0.8
2016Home 5.06 1.45 94.1 3 9 0 6.4 2.9 1.4
2016Away 4.91 1.14 62.1 4 4 1 6.9 2.7 1.6
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Stat Review
How does Matt Wisler compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
92.3 mph
Strand %
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Wisler has been tried in the rotation, but did not miss enough bats. He has now been tried in relief, but he cannot strand runners nor can he keep the ball in the yard. In just under 300 innings as a major leaguer, he has allowed a 1.4 HR/9 while walking just over 3.0 BB/9. That dangerous combination has two shelters: low leverage mop-up duty in the big leagues, or any role in Triple-A. Wisler needs to find a changeup or a cutter in a hurry to help against lefties because they have crushed him over the past three seasons to the tune of a .289/.380/.505 line. You can let Wisler stay on the free-agent pile until he adds that new pitch because what he is currently bringing to the mound is not going to cut it in any fantasy format.
From a bottom line standpoint, Wisler was essentially the same pitcher we saw in 2015, but he went from a heavy platoon split (great vs. righties) to about average against both sides. Despite what the OPS says, he still has a platoon split. He had a 5.5 K/BB ratio against righties, but just a 1.3 mark against lefties. In fairness, it's up from 0.7 in 2015. His fastball just doesn't work against lefties. Wisler doesn't command it well enough when he's in the zone, which makes him start nibbling and gets him in further trouble. The slider is his put-away pitch against righties and lefties and remains his key building block. There's enough of a foundation here to bet on in deeper leagues. He posted a 63 percent quality start rate, well above the 47 percent league average. Plus, Wisler was a two-time Top 100 Prospect coming up. Fortunately, it won't cost you anything to take a shot in deep leagues.
A rookie who came up and didn’t dominate the league right away? Must be awful! That’s the mentality some will have about Wisler only a year after he was a unanimous top prospect, reaching as high as top-40 on some lists. As is the case with a lot of young pitchers, Wisler was horrific in a handful of starts and it tainted the whole bunch with his near-5.00 ERA. He allowed 21 of his 57 earned runs in nine innings over three starts – or 36 percent of his season earned runs in eight percent of his innings. He had a 3.24 ERA in the other 100 innings. One of those was a seven earned run massacre in Wrigley when the wind was blowing at a 15 MPH clip… just sayin’. The best part of his season was that the plus slider was as advertised with a .510 OPS, 10 points better than Madison Bumgarner’s from the time of Wisler’s call-up (June 19th). Keep him on your radar and take a $1 flier in deeper leagues with a reserve list.
Wisler started his 2014 campaign at Double-A San Antonio, but needed just six starts to prove that he was ready to move up to Triple-A. In 26 starts between 2013 and 2014 in the Texas League, Wisler carried a 138:33 K:BB with a 2.80 ERA and 1.067 WHIP over 135 innings, and he posted equal or better numbers at each of his previous two full-season stops. The Pacific Coast League brought new challenges, as he became much more susceptible to the long ball in the hitter-friendly parks on the circuit, and was forced to improve his changeup when his slider was ineffective in the dry conditions of El Paso. He still maintained an impressive ability to miss bats for a pitcher his age (7.8 K/9) and his walk rate was still acceptable (2.8 BB/9), but the Padres held off on giving him a taste of the big league action late last season despite adding him to the roster in September. Wisler set a new career-high with 146.2 innings last season, making it likely that he'll be on a limit in the 180-inning range in 2015, but he could be the first starter called up to San Diego if he fails to secure a rotation spot during spring training.
In 2013, Wisler thoroughly dominated both High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio with well-placed fastballs and curves, combining for 26 starts. 12 of his 20 outings at San Antonio followed the division's all-star break, during which he went 5-2 with a 2.18 ERA, 0.903 WHIP, and 67:13 K:BB ratio in 62 innings. Considering the late-season run, the Padres may place the 21-year-old righty immediately at Triple-A Tucson to begin the upcoming campaign.
More Fantasy News
Headed to Cincinnati
PCincinnati Reds
July 30, 2018
Wisler was sent from the Braves to the Reds along with Lucas Sims and Preston Tucker in exchange for Adam Duvall on Monday.
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Sent down to minors
PAtlanta Braves
July 2, 2018
Wisler was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Monday.
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Recalled by Atlanta
PAtlanta Braves
June 28, 2018
The Braves recalled Wisler from Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday.
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Returns to Gwinnett
PAtlanta Braves
June 27, 2018
Wisler will be optioned back to Triple-A Gwinnett on Wednesday, David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
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Recalled by Braves
PAtlanta Braves
June 26, 2018
The Braves recalled Wisler from Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday, according to 680 The Fan.
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