Adam Duvall
Adam Duvall
31-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Atlanta Braves
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Despite cracking 64 homers from 2016-17, Duvall opened the 2019 campaign with Triple-A Gwinnett following a poor spring. Though, to be fair, it wasn't just his spring numbers; Duvall had a terrible 2018, including a .132/.193/.151 line with Atlanta to end the 2018 season. Duvall righted the ship with the Stripers, finally earning a ticket back to the big leagues July 27. After a hot start, Duvall cooled and was optioned twice before coming up for good after rosters expanded. His .267/.315/.567 performance was a significant improvement over the previous season while bashing 42 homers combined suggests the power stroke is still there. Duvall's best pathway to playing time is on the small side of a platoon as his OPS facing left-handers since 2017 is .842, checking in at 1.130 last year, albeit in just 44 plate appearances. If Duvall wins a full-time job, he's worth a late flier. Otherwise he's NL-only fodder. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#592
ADP
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$Agreed to a one-year, $3.25 million deal with the Braves in January of 2020.
Sitting Sunday
OFAtlanta Braves
July 26, 2020
Duvall is not in Sunday's lineup against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
He takes a seat with righty Rick Porcello on the mound. Marcell Ozuna will start in left field while Matt Adams starts at designated hitter. This could become a trend for the Braves against righties.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+402%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
2018
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .795 181 20 10 24 1 .238 .320 .475
Since 2018vs Right .663 391 49 16 57 1 .204 .271 .392
2020vs Left 1.255 11 3 1 1 0 .400 .455 .800
2020vs Right .250 4 1 0 0 0 .000 .250 .000
2019vs Left 1.130 44 6 4 8 0 .333 .386 .744
2019vs Right .761 86 11 6 11 0 .235 .279 .481
2018vs Left .637 126 11 5 15 1 .189 .286 .351
2018vs Right .639 301 37 10 46 1 .198 .269 .370
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+81%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .740 282 38 12 32 1 .216 .316 .424
Since 2018Away .670 290 31 14 49 1 .213 .259 .412
2020Home 1.292 8 2 0 0 0 .500 .625 .667
2020Away .714 7 2 1 1 0 .143 .143 .571
2019Home .928 49 8 4 7 0 .256 .347 .581
2019Away .855 81 9 6 12 0 .273 .296 .558
2018Home .680 225 28 8 25 1 .199 .298 .383
2018Away .593 202 20 7 36 1 .191 .248 .346
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Stat Review
How does Adam Duvall compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
6.7%
 
K Rate
26.7%
 
BABIP
.375
 
ISO
.308
 
AVG
.308
 
OBP
.400
 
SLG
.615
 
OPS
1.015
 
wOBA
.437
 
Exit Velocity
77.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
22.2%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Adam Duvall
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14 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Duvall was unable to follow up on his back-to-back 30 homer seasons. His offensive production fell off considerably and he was eventually traded to Atlanta before the deadline for some bench depth. His overall skills were in line with recent seasons, but Duvall regressed quite a bit in 2018 against southpaws, hitting .186/.286/.351 in 126 plate appearances. That was in sharp contrast to the above-average seasons Duvall enjoyed against lefties in both 2016 and 2017. We don't know if the 2018 numbers reflect the new Duvall or if they will prove an outlier against the better work that he did the prior two years. Statcast data says Duvall's overall numbers underperformed given the quality of his contact. The Braves brought back Nick Markakis, and now Duvall will need an injury to avoid being a short-side platoon player to begin 2019.
After being a pleasant surprise from the Mike Leake trade, many thought that Duvall would have difficulty repeating his 2016 breakout performance. However, that's essentially what Duvall did in 2017, reprising nearly the same output in all five standard categories. It appeared that he might even exceed his 2016 production, but a September collapse (.218/.284/.276 with no homers in his last 30 games) prevented that. The dilemma for the Reds is whether his low-OBP, good-power level is good enough when the team is ready to contend. Between Duvall, Billy Hamilton and Scott Schebler, they have three outfielders that are good at some aspects of the game but lacking in others -- all while Jesse Winker and Nick Senzel are knocking at the door to find playing time. The guess here is that Duvall will maintain his level and playing time for one more year, but when he starts to become more expensive the Reds will find better alternatives.
Duvall's power long made him an intriguing player in the Giants' organization, but prior to last season, he was never on the field for more than 27 big league games in a season. The Reds, in need of offense and help in left field, had little difficulty finding playing time for Duvall in 2016, and he turned 608 plate appearances into a .241/.297/.498 line with 33 homers and 103 RBI. As the season progressed, Duvall showed improvement in his plate discipline, lowering his strikeout rate from 29.0 percent before the All-Star break to 24.6 percent thereafter, and pushing his walk rate from 4.9 percent to 8.8 percent during that span. With a better eye at the plate, however, he offered less pop, slugging .434 in the second half after toting a .551 mark in the first half. Duvall should reprise his role as the Reds' regular left fielder to begin 2017, where he may end up competing for at-bats with Scott Schebler once Jesse Winker becomes a fixture in the lineup.
Duvall has always had tremendous power, but his ability to control the strike zone has been sub-optimal. His brief big league trial with the Reds after he arrived in the Mike Leake trade demonstrated both of those qualities. He homered five times and had a .265 ISO in 72 plate appearances, but he also struck out 36 percent of the time. He could fit in one of two openings for the Reds in 2016 — either in left field where he played last year, or third base in the wake of the Todd Frazier trade. It's possible that he reaches 20 homers and hits .210 in the process.
It is tough to overlook a corner infielder that owns a career slash line of .269/.345/.501 in the minors and hit .298/.360/.599 last season, but you should. Duvall thrived in the Pacific Coast League last season as he did two seasons ago in the California League when he hit 30 home runs. He has 100 minor league home runs in 500 games, but is 26 and has seen just 77 plate appearances in the big leagues. He did hit three home runs last season in that time, but also struck out 20 times. His minor-league splits show someone who hits better against lefties but does not embarrass himself against righties. He is not a prospect, but players who show pop tend to get their chances, and Duvall’s future as a backup to the corners will hinge upon his ability to make more contact the second time around.
More Fantasy News
Opens scoring with homer
OFAtlanta Braves
July 25, 2020
Duvall went 1-for-4 with a home run and two runs scored in Saturday's 5-3 extra-inning win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Opening Day
OFAtlanta Braves
July 24, 2020
Duvall isn't in the lineup for Friday's season opener against the Mets, 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.
ANALYSIS
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Potential Freeman replacement
OFAtlanta Braves
July 5, 2020
Braves manager Brian Snitker mentioned Duvall, Austin Riley and Johan Camargo as possible first-base options in the event Freddie Freeman (illness) isn't available for the start of the season, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Playing time outlook improving
OFAtlanta Braves
June 25, 2020
Duvall could form a platoon with Nick Markakis in left field and designated hitter this season, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
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Set for bench duty
OFAtlanta Braves
March 29, 2020
Duvall posted a .310/.394/.414 slash line through 33 plate appearances before spring training was suspended.
ANALYSIS
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