Julio Urias
Julio Urias
22-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
While he did not break camp with the big club a year ago, it did not take long for Urias to reach the majors, and it appeared he was ready to hold down a spot in the big-league rotation after giving up just two earned runs over his first three starts with the Dodgers. However, he struggled in two starts after that, which may have been the first sign that trouble was on the horizon. The Dodgers sent him back down, and just a few weeks later he started experiencing shoulder soreness, which ultimately required surgery and cut short his 2017 campaign. Urias will be out at least until the summer of 2018 -- and possibly all season -- so he won't have much appeal in single-season leagues. He was once considered the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game, and Urias will not turn 22 until August, so he still holds plenty of long-term value so long as he is able to make a full recovery from his injury. Read Past Outlooks
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Scoreless inning in first game back
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 15, 2018
Urias tossed a clean ninth inning in Saturday's rout over the Cardinals, striking out one batter and allowing no baserunners.
ANALYSIS
The inning was Urias' first since the first half of the 2017 season, after he missed over a year following shoulder surgery. It's certainly a positive sign to see him having success right away, though his fantasy value will remain low for the rest of the year, as the Dodgers are likely to use him in short bursts with several days of rest between outings as he builds his arm strength back up.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-60%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .294 105 26 14 25 4 1 3
Since 2016vs Right .264 336 70 31 79 17 0 3
2018vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right .000 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left .500 28 2 7 10 2 1 0
2017vs Right .200 74 9 7 13 3 0 1
2016vs Left .234 76 24 7 15 2 0 3
2016vs Right .284 260 60 24 66 14 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.46 1.42 51.0 3 1 0 8.7 3.8 0.0
Since 2016Away 4.28 1.55 48.1 2 3 0 8.4 4.3 1.1
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 4.61 1.54 13.2 0 1 0 4.0 5.9 0.0
2017Away 6.52 1.66 9.2 0 1 0 4.7 4.7 0.9
2016Home 3.05 1.38 38.1 3 0 0 10.3 3.1 0.0
2016Away 3.72 1.53 38.2 2 2 0 9.3 4.2 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Julio Urias compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
92.3 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
0.00
 
BABIP
.000
 
GB/FB
0.00
 
Strand %
0.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Urias showed exactly what all the fuss was about in 77 sporadic innings. He was up and down from the minors four times, in and out of the bullpen, and averaged fewer than five innings per start, but the poise and composure Urias showed was in line with that of a seasoned veteran. He struck out a quarter of the batters he faced, deploying a healthy four-pitch mix with each secondary offering getting used at least 13 percent of the time. He was essentially platoon-neutral with his righty OPS actually 15 points lower despite a .376 BABIP. Only four of 10 appearances in the second half were five innings or longer, but it's hard not to be impressed with the 1.99 ERA he had in 40.2 innings. Urias is likely to have another finely-curated workload in 2017, but after 122 frames last year, he could push 150 this time around. Perhaps starting in the bullpen is the best way for the Dodgers to get him to the finish line and have him available for a potential playoff run.
Urias just turned 19 in August, but despite his youth, he's on the cusp of the big leagues after making it all the way to Triple-A last year. Overall between multiple levels, Urias tallied 80.1 innings and posted a 3.81 ERA and excellent 88:22 K:BB. The ERA was severely impacted by his final three outings of the season in which Urias surrendered 15 runs in just 5.1 innings. Prior to that, his ERA sat at 2.28. Likely he was a bit tired down the stretch and off mechanically as a result, so we shouldn't hold his poor finish against him too much. Urias has never topped 90 innings in a season as the Dodgers continue to treat his development with extreme caution, so don't expect much more than 120 innings out of him this season. How many of those innings come at the big league level remains to be determined, but it's probably best to not count on a big league debut until September 2016 at the earliest. We also probably won't see him approaching 200 big league innings until the 2018 season. Urias remains arguably baseball's #1 pitching prospect.
It may sound crazy to expect Urias to dominate against Double-A hitters in 2015 as an 18-year-old, but it’s no more outlandish than the idea of him dominating High-A hitters as a 17-year-old, and that’s exactly what he did last season with Rancho Cucamonga. Urias is one of the most advanced teenage arms of all time. He posted a 2.36 ERA and a 109:37 K:BB ratio in 87.2 innings in 2014, and was extra filthy in the second half, putting up a 1.20 ERA with 62 strikeouts in his final 45 innings of the season. The Mexican lefty already possesses a plus fastball and an unfair curveball that could border on double-plus, and he made strides last season with his changeup, which now looks like a potential third plus offering if he can command it better. To say that an 18-year-old’s floor is a No. 3 starter on a contending team may sound insane, but it’s hard to argue the contrary in Urias’ case. A stellar first half at Double-A in 2015 may force the Dodgers’ hand and earn him a promotion to Triple-A before his 19th birthday.
Urias emerged as one of the organization's top prospects last season, tossing 54.1 innings of 2.48 ERA ball as a 17-year-old for Low-A Great Lakes. It's quite rare to see someone so young have this level of success in full-season ball, so there is reason to be excited about his long-term upside. That said, he is still very young, and at a listed 5-foot-11, 160 pounds, he doesn't exactly have the mound presence of Randy Johnson. The Dodgers are expected to take their time with Urias, so it would be a surprise to see him finish 2014 at a level above High-A.
More Fantasy News
Recalled by Dodgers
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 10, 2018
Urias was recalled by the Dodgers on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Moving up to Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 30, 2018
Urias was promoted from High-A Rancho Cucamonga to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Won't join Dodgers on Saturday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 28, 2018
Manager Dave Roberts said Urias (shoulder) won't be ready to join the Dodgers when rosters expand Saturday, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
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Activated and optioned
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 25, 2018
Urias (shoulder) was activated from the 60-day disabled list Saturday and optioned to High-A Rancho Cucamonga, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
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Will be up in September
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
August 25, 2018
Urias (shoulder) will be called up in September, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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