Julio Urias
Julio Urias
23-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
Est. Return 9/2/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The long road back from anterior capsule surgery culminated in Urias making three relief appearances for the Dodgers in September and seven more appearances in the postseason. It's a small sample obviously, but the lefty's fastball velocity was right back up to where it was before the surgery, as was the swing and miss dominance (12:1 K:BB in 10.1 total innings with the big-league team). The Dodgers have made it clear that Urias will build back up as a starter in 2019. While we may be looking at 100 or so major-league innings from Urias in a best-case scenario, the per-inning numbers should be of extremely high quality. Remember that this is a player who was almost universally renowned as the top pitching prospect in the game at one point. He posted a 25% strikeout rate and 3.17 FIP in 77 innings with the Dodgers as a 19-year-old in 2016. Go ahead and stash him in leagues with deep benches. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Dodgers in August of 2012 that includes a $450,000 signing bonus.
Could be starting option in October
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 18, 2019
Urias will work on building endurance during the remainder of his 20-game suspension in order to potentially start games in October, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
Urias was suspended for violating Major League Baseball's Joint Domestic Violence, Sexual Assault and Child Abuse Policy on Saturday, though he was credited for the five games he previously served while on administrative leave. The 23-year-old has started six games and functioned as a long reliever for the Dodgers this season, though he has not thrown more than 61 pitches in an outing since April 18.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .257 130 31 17 28 7 3 2
Since 2017vs Right .197 263 54 20 47 5 1 5
2019vs Left .209 99 28 10 18 5 2 2
2019vs Right .201 179 39 13 33 2 1 4
2018vs Left .000 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right .100 10 6 0 1 0 0 0
2017vs Left .500 28 2 7 10 2 1 0
2017vs Right .200 74 9 7 13 3 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
No Stats
ERA at Home
Since 2017Home 3.70 1.27 48.2 2 3 3 7.6 3.1 1.1
Since 2017Away 2.53 1.08 46.1 2 2 1 8.5 3.9 0.2
2019Home 3.55 1.21 33.0 2 2 3 8.5 2.2 1.6
2019Away 1.56 0.98 34.2 2 1 1 9.3 3.9 0.0
2018Home 0.00 0.50 2.0 0 0 0 18.0 0.0 0.0
2018Away 0.00 0.00 2.0 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2017Home 4.61 1.54 13.2 0 1 0 4.0 5.9 0.0
2017Away 6.52 1.66 9.2 0 1 0 4.7 4.7 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Julio Urias compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
95.3 mph
Left On Base
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
Spin Rate
2346 rpm
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
Swinging Strike
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
While he did not break camp with the big club a year ago, it did not take long for Urias to reach the majors, and it appeared he was ready to hold down a spot in the big-league rotation after giving up just two earned runs over his first three starts with the Dodgers. However, he struggled in two starts after that, which may have been the first sign that trouble was on the horizon. The Dodgers sent him back down, and just a few weeks later he started experiencing shoulder soreness, which ultimately required surgery and cut short his 2017 campaign. Urias will be out at least until the summer of 2018 -- and possibly all season -- so he won't have much appeal in single-season leagues. He was once considered the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game, and Urias will not turn 22 until August, so he still holds plenty of long-term value so long as he is able to make a full recovery from his injury.
Urias showed exactly what all the fuss was about in 77 sporadic innings. He was up and down from the minors four times, in and out of the bullpen, and averaged fewer than five innings per start, but the poise and composure Urias showed was in line with that of a seasoned veteran. He struck out a quarter of the batters he faced, deploying a healthy four-pitch mix with each secondary offering getting used at least 13 percent of the time. He was essentially platoon-neutral with his righty OPS actually 15 points lower despite a .376 BABIP. Only four of 10 appearances in the second half were five innings or longer, but it's hard not to be impressed with the 1.99 ERA he had in 40.2 innings. Urias is likely to have another finely-curated workload in 2017, but after 122 frames last year, he could push 150 this time around. Perhaps starting in the bullpen is the best way for the Dodgers to get him to the finish line and have him available for a potential playoff run.
Urias just turned 19 in August, but despite his youth, he's on the cusp of the big leagues after making it all the way to Triple-A last year. Overall between multiple levels, Urias tallied 80.1 innings and posted a 3.81 ERA and excellent 88:22 K:BB. The ERA was severely impacted by his final three outings of the season in which Urias surrendered 15 runs in just 5.1 innings. Prior to that, his ERA sat at 2.28. Likely he was a bit tired down the stretch and off mechanically as a result, so we shouldn't hold his poor finish against him too much. Urias has never topped 90 innings in a season as the Dodgers continue to treat his development with extreme caution, so don't expect much more than 120 innings out of him this season. How many of those innings come at the big league level remains to be determined, but it's probably best to not count on a big league debut until September 2016 at the earliest. We also probably won't see him approaching 200 big league innings until the 2018 season. Urias remains arguably baseball's #1 pitching prospect.
It may sound crazy to expect Urias to dominate against Double-A hitters in 2015 as an 18-year-old, but it’s no more outlandish than the idea of him dominating High-A hitters as a 17-year-old, and that’s exactly what he did last season with Rancho Cucamonga. Urias is one of the most advanced teenage arms of all time. He posted a 2.36 ERA and a 109:37 K:BB ratio in 87.2 innings in 2014, and was extra filthy in the second half, putting up a 1.20 ERA with 62 strikeouts in his final 45 innings of the season. The Mexican lefty already possesses a plus fastball and an unfair curveball that could border on double-plus, and he made strides last season with his changeup, which now looks like a potential third plus offering if he can command it better. To say that an 18-year-old’s floor is a No. 3 starter on a contending team may sound insane, but it’s hard to argue the contrary in Urias’ case. A stellar first half at Double-A in 2015 may force the Dodgers’ hand and earn him a promotion to Triple-A before his 19th birthday.
Urias emerged as one of the organization's top prospects last season, tossing 54.1 innings of 2.48 ERA ball as a 17-year-old for Low-A Great Lakes. It's quite rare to see someone so young have this level of success in full-season ball, so there is reason to be excited about his long-term upside. That said, he is still very young, and at a listed 5-foot-11, 160 pounds, he doesn't exactly have the mound presence of Randy Johnson. The Dodgers are expected to take their time with Urias, so it would be a surprise to see him finish 2014 at a level above High-A.
More Fantasy News
Suspended for 20 games
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 17, 2019
Urias was suspended 20 games for violating Major League Baseball's Joint Domestic Violence, Sexual Assault and Child Abuse Policy, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
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Notches three-inning save
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 16, 2019
Urias gave up a hit and a walk over three scoreless innings of relief while striking out one Friday to record his fourth save of the season in an 8-3 win over Atlanta.
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Takes loss in relief
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 10, 2019
Urias (4-3) was charged with the loss Friday after allowing one run on three hits and a walk while striking out one batter over two innings.
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Should rejoin rotation in 2020
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 6, 2019
Manager Dave Roberts said Monday that he expects Urias to capture a spot in the Los Angeles rotation in 2020, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports. "We project [Urias] to be a starter for us next year and many years to come," Roberts said.
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Remaining in bullpen
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 1, 2019
Urias will remain in the bullpen for now, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
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