Julio Urias
Julio Urias
22-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The long road back from anterior capsule surgery culminated in Urias making three relief appearances for the Dodgers in September and seven more appearances in the postseason. It's a small sample obviously, but the lefty's fastball velocity was right back up to where it was before the surgery, as was the swing and miss dominance (12:1 K:BB in 10.1 total innings with the big-league team). The Dodgers have made it clear that Urias will build back up as a starter in 2019. While we may be looking at 100 or so major-league innings from Urias in a best-case scenario, the per-inning numbers should be of extremely high quality. Remember that this is a player who was almost universally renowned as the top pitching prospect in the game at one point. He posted a 25% strikeout rate and 3.17 FIP in 77 innings with the Dodgers as a 19-year-old in 2016. Go ahead and stash him in leagues with deep benches. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Dodgers in August of 2012 that includes a $450,000 signing bonus.
Unlikely for Opening Day rotation
PLos Angeles Dodgers
February 14, 2019
Urias is expected to open the season as a starter at Triple-A Oklahoma City or as a reliever for the big club after manager Dave Roberts suggested Wednesday that no rotation spots will be up for grabs for the Dodgers during spring training, Jorge Castillo of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The Dodgers are likely to have Urias get stretched out as a starter in camp, but he and All-Star Ross Stripling will both merely be insurance options to begin the season after Roberts declared that he intends to include Kenta Maeda in the rotation. With Maeda's role now established, he'll join a starting staff that already included four pitchers guaranteed spots in Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Rich Hill. While the blocked path to the rotation figures to limit Urias' early-season fantasy upside, it probably won't take long for an opening to arise after all five starters spent time on the disabled list in 2018.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-60%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .287 107 27 14 25 4 1 3
Since 2016vs Right .261 344 75 31 80 17 0 3
2018vs Left .000 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right .100 10 6 0 1 0 0 0
2017vs Left .500 28 2 7 10 2 1 0
2017vs Right .200 74 9 7 13 3 0 1
2016vs Left .234 76 24 7 15 2 0 3
2016vs Right .284 260 60 24 66 14 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.33 1.39 53.0 3 1 0 9.0 3.7 0.0
Since 2016Away 4.11 1.49 50.1 2 3 0 8.6 4.1 1.1
2018Home 0.00 0.50 2.0 0 0 0 18.0 0.0 0.0
2018Away 0.00 0.00 2.0 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2017Home 4.61 1.54 13.2 0 1 0 4.0 5.9 0.0
2017Away 6.52 1.66 9.2 0 1 0 4.7 4.7 0.9
2016Home 3.05 1.38 38.1 3 0 0 10.3 3.1 0.0
2016Away 3.72 1.53 38.2 2 2 0 9.3 4.2 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Julio Urias compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
15.8
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.1 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
0.25
 
BABIP
.189
 
GB/FB
1.50
 
Strand %
100.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Julio Urias
Rounding Third: Playing-Time Neutral SP Rankings
16 days ago
Jeff Erickson identifies starting pitchers who might be undervalued on the basis of projected innings. Does that mean you should bump up Rich Hill in your rankings?
Mound Musings: The Kids on Parade Watch List for 2019
146 days ago
Brad Johnson ends the season with his favorite column about MLB’s up and coming pitchers, including Alex Reyes, who, Johnson says, when healthy, is a beast on the mound.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
157 days ago
Jan Levine reminds fantasy waiver wire pickers to snag the surging David Dahl, who's teasing 2019 sleeper value in the closing weeks of 2018.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
171 days ago
Jan Levine takes a look at Arodys Vizcaino, who's set for a rehab assignment, and what his role might be for the Braves upon his return. Who else can help fantasy players following September roster expansion?
The Z Files: Prepping For the Stretch Run, Part Four
173 days ago
Todd Zola completes his look at players and strategies that can move the needle over the final weeks of the season and wonders if Josh Donaldson will find himself in a new uniform.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
While he did not break camp with the big club a year ago, it did not take long for Urias to reach the majors, and it appeared he was ready to hold down a spot in the big-league rotation after giving up just two earned runs over his first three starts with the Dodgers. However, he struggled in two starts after that, which may have been the first sign that trouble was on the horizon. The Dodgers sent him back down, and just a few weeks later he started experiencing shoulder soreness, which ultimately required surgery and cut short his 2017 campaign. Urias will be out at least until the summer of 2018 -- and possibly all season -- so he won't have much appeal in single-season leagues. He was once considered the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game, and Urias will not turn 22 until August, so he still holds plenty of long-term value so long as he is able to make a full recovery from his injury.
Urias showed exactly what all the fuss was about in 77 sporadic innings. He was up and down from the minors four times, in and out of the bullpen, and averaged fewer than five innings per start, but the poise and composure Urias showed was in line with that of a seasoned veteran. He struck out a quarter of the batters he faced, deploying a healthy four-pitch mix with each secondary offering getting used at least 13 percent of the time. He was essentially platoon-neutral with his righty OPS actually 15 points lower despite a .376 BABIP. Only four of 10 appearances in the second half were five innings or longer, but it's hard not to be impressed with the 1.99 ERA he had in 40.2 innings. Urias is likely to have another finely-curated workload in 2017, but after 122 frames last year, he could push 150 this time around. Perhaps starting in the bullpen is the best way for the Dodgers to get him to the finish line and have him available for a potential playoff run.
Urias just turned 19 in August, but despite his youth, he's on the cusp of the big leagues after making it all the way to Triple-A last year. Overall between multiple levels, Urias tallied 80.1 innings and posted a 3.81 ERA and excellent 88:22 K:BB. The ERA was severely impacted by his final three outings of the season in which Urias surrendered 15 runs in just 5.1 innings. Prior to that, his ERA sat at 2.28. Likely he was a bit tired down the stretch and off mechanically as a result, so we shouldn't hold his poor finish against him too much. Urias has never topped 90 innings in a season as the Dodgers continue to treat his development with extreme caution, so don't expect much more than 120 innings out of him this season. How many of those innings come at the big league level remains to be determined, but it's probably best to not count on a big league debut until September 2016 at the earliest. We also probably won't see him approaching 200 big league innings until the 2018 season. Urias remains arguably baseball's #1 pitching prospect.
It may sound crazy to expect Urias to dominate against Double-A hitters in 2015 as an 18-year-old, but it’s no more outlandish than the idea of him dominating High-A hitters as a 17-year-old, and that’s exactly what he did last season with Rancho Cucamonga. Urias is one of the most advanced teenage arms of all time. He posted a 2.36 ERA and a 109:37 K:BB ratio in 87.2 innings in 2014, and was extra filthy in the second half, putting up a 1.20 ERA with 62 strikeouts in his final 45 innings of the season. The Mexican lefty already possesses a plus fastball and an unfair curveball that could border on double-plus, and he made strides last season with his changeup, which now looks like a potential third plus offering if he can command it better. To say that an 18-year-old’s floor is a No. 3 starter on a contending team may sound insane, but it’s hard to argue the contrary in Urias’ case. A stellar first half at Double-A in 2015 may force the Dodgers’ hand and earn him a promotion to Triple-A before his 19th birthday.
Urias emerged as one of the organization's top prospects last season, tossing 54.1 innings of 2.48 ERA ball as a 17-year-old for Low-A Great Lakes. It's quite rare to see someone so young have this level of success in full-season ball, so there is reason to be excited about his long-term upside. That said, he is still very young, and at a listed 5-foot-11, 160 pounds, he doesn't exactly have the mound presence of Randy Johnson. The Dodgers are expected to take their time with Urias, so it would be a surprise to see him finish 2014 at a level above High-A.
More Fantasy News
Will have innings limit as starter
PLos Angeles Dodgers
December 11, 2018
Urias will pitch out of the starting rotation for the Dodgers in 2019 but will have an innings limit, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to return as starter next year
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 24, 2018
Manager Dave Roberts said Wednesday that the Dodgers' plan is for Urias to be built up as a starter in 2019, Bob Nightengale of USA TODAY Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Added to NLCS roster
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 12, 2018
Urias is on the Dodgers' 25-man NLCS roster against Milwaukee, Bob Nightengale of USA TODAY Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in second relief appearance
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 24, 2018
Urias fired a pair of scoreless innings while giving up a hit and striking out four in Sunday's 14-0 win over San Diego.
ANALYSIS
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Scoreless inning in first game back
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 15, 2018
Urias tossed a clean ninth inning in Saturday's rout over the Cardinals, striking out one batter and allowing no baserunners.
ANALYSIS
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