Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
23-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2018 Fantasy Outlook
A number of prospects enjoyed success right away upon arrival to the big leagues last season, but Smith was not among them. He posted just a 73 wRC+ in 49 games, although he was pretty unlucky on balls in play (.218 BABIP). The power was the one positive, which is surprising given that Smith has long been thought of as a hit-over-power first baseman. However, he did steadily increase his home-run totals on the farm in recent years, and is still just 22 years old, so perhaps that per-game power production wasn't so fluky. While Smith did see a sizable jump in strikeout rate following his promotion to the majors, the minor-league track record suggests he will cut that down with more exposure to big-league arms. Smith isn't guaranteed a major-league roster spot out of camp, as new acquisition Adrian Gonzalez may be given the starting job, but he's still an intriguing player in dynasty settings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Mets in June of 2013.
Rejoins starting nine
1BNew York Mets
September 11, 2018
Smith (groin) is starting at first base and hitting sixth Tuesday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Smith picked up a groin injury over the weekend, but he was able to make a pinch-hit appearance in Sunday's series finale against the Phillies, doubling and eventually coming around to score. He's been cleared to rejoin the starting nine following Monday's off day, with Jay Bruce getting a breather as a result of Smith's inclusion in the lineup.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+62%
OPS vs RHP
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .542 52 3 0 3 0 .159 .269 .273
Since 2016vs Right .680 242 25 13 30 0 .210 .252 .428
2018vs Left .795 15 1 0 0 0 .231 .333 .462
2018vs Right .638 96 10 4 7 0 .204 .229 .409
2017vs Left .437 37 2 0 3 0 .129 .243 .194
2017vs Right .708 146 15 9 23 0 .213 .267 .441
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+22%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+37%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .590 140 18 7 15 0 .169 .229 .362
Since 2016Away .720 154 10 6 18 0 .231 .279 .441
2018Home .561 59 7 3 5 0 .161 .203 .357
2018Away .768 52 4 1 2 0 .260 .288 .480
2017Home .612 81 11 4 10 0 .176 .247 .365
2017Away .694 102 6 5 16 0 .215 .275 .419
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Dominic Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.08
 
BB Rate
2.5%
 
K Rate
32.8%
 
BABIP
.296
 
ISO
.202
 
AVG
.219
 
OBP
.252
 
SLG
.421
 
OPS
.673
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Smith made significant strides in the power department last season, as the sweet-swinging lefty hit 14 home runs and drove in 91 runs in 130 games for Double-A Binghamton, both career highs. Smith has always possessed the ability to hit for average, and he batted over .300 for the second consecutive season. The Mets used James Loney as a stopgap option last season, which is fitting given that's the comparison that has been used with Smith throughout his time in the minors. Nevertheless, if Lucas Duda continues to battle back problems, Smith could see the big leagues as soon as this upcoming season. He will likely head to Triple-A to start the year to continue working on his power stroke.
With Steven Matz set to officially graduate from prospect status, Smith is primed to become the class of the Mets' farm system. Drafted 11th overall out of high school in 2011, Smith made the jump to High-A St. Lucie to begin 2015. The results were generally excellent for a 20-year-old as Smith raked against both left- and right-handed pitching, though he displayed mostly gap power from the left side with a Florida State League-leading 33 doubles. Smith does not have as stocky a 6-foot frame as say Kyle Schwarber, but he makes consistent contact, and more of those hits are going to start leaving the yard as Smith continues to mature and especially when he reaches the launching pad at Triple-A Las Vegas. He probably won't reach the majors until 2017, but Smith should be a popular target in long-term keeper formats.
First base prospects that sign for $2.6 million out of high school are typically worth monitoring, and Smith is no different, although his 2014 numbers may not back that up. If one ignores the fact that he is a first baseman, a .271 average with a .344 OBP in a full season at Low-A looks pretty good for someone who turned 19 this past summer. But the fact that he hit just one home run in 518 plate appearances signals that the power may always be below average relative to Smith’s position. The 26 doubles he hit give hope for an eventual 10-20 home run season in the minor leagues, especially if he can add more muscle to his six-foot, 185-pound frame. However, he is still at least a couple years away from the big leagues, and projects as more James Loney than Prince Fielder, meaning he is only worth holding in deeper formats.
Smith, selected 11th overall out of high school by the Mets in the 2013 draft, has a sweet left-handed stroke with surprising power and a good eye at the plate, along with a solid glove at first base. He hit .287/.384/.407 along with three homers and 22 RBI in 167 at-bats for the Gulf Coast League Mets, turning it on after a slow start. Smith could open 2014 at Low-A Savannah and is as a top-five prospect in the Mets' system. With a gaping hole at first base, Smith could be fast-tracked to the majors, reaching New York as early as 2016.
More Fantasy News
Logs pinch-hit appearance
1BNew York Mets
Groin
September 10, 2018
Smith (groin) appeared as a pinch hitter in Sunday's 6-4 win over the Phillies, doubling in his lone plate appearance before coming around to score a run.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with tight groin
1BNew York Mets
Groin
September 8, 2018
Smith exited Saturday's game against the Phillies with a tight left groin, Wayne Randazzo of 710 WOR reports.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks third homer
1BNew York Mets
September 8, 2018
Smith went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Friday's 4-3 loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Back in majors
1BNew York Mets
September 3, 2018
Smith was recalled from Triple-A Las Vegas on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to Las Vegas
1BNew York Mets
August 24, 2018
Smith was sent down to Triple-A Las Vegas on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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