Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2020 Fantasy Outlook
We knew Smith could hit coming up through the minor leagues, so it was nice to see him hit for average for the first time at the major-league level last season in the playing time he did get. Smith is a defensive liability and that hurts his playing time as he is a hitter without a true position. Maybe he could be another James Loney if everything comes together for him offensively, but it's tough to envision 300 plate appearances for him if he stays in New York. His expected batting average was 42 points below his actual average while his expected slugging percentage was 125 points below his actual final number. Simply put, taking Smith's final 2019 line and trying to project that over increased playing time would be a bad process. Smith's skills garner attention in NL-only leagues, but in the reserve rounds. He will make a roster as he is out of minor-league options, but he does not necessarily need to make your roster on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#521
ADP
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Mets in March of 2020.
Opportunities open up
1BNew York Mets
August 2, 2020
Smith should step into an increased role after Yoenis Cespedes opted out of the 2020 season Sunday, Jim Bowden of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Smith received the start in left field Sunday and went 1-for-3 with a walk and two strikeouts, and he should be in the lineup more going forward with Cespedes opting out. Smith appeared in 89 games last season and had somewhat of a breakout year with a .282/.355/.525 slash line and 11 home runs, but he entered 2020 as the odd man out for playing time. Most of his time figures to come as the designated hitter since he remains subpar defensively at first base and in the outfield.
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Batting Stats
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
1
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+191%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .830 62 7 3 10 0 .255 .339 .491
Since 2018vs Right .783 305 44 14 31 1 .254 .311 .471
2020vs Left 1.500 6 2 1 3 0 .250 .500 1.000
2020vs Right .515 15 0 0 2 0 .182 .333 .182
2019vs Left .876 36 4 2 7 0 .303 .361 .515
2019vs Right .882 161 31 9 18 1 .278 .354 .528
2018vs Left .583 20 1 0 0 0 .167 .250 .333
2018vs Right .688 129 13 5 11 0 .232 .256 .432
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+28%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+34%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .687 166 18 7 16 0 .221 .271 .416
Since 2018Away .878 201 33 10 25 1 .282 .353 .525
2020Home .583 4 0 0 2 0 .333 .250 .333
2020Away .828 17 2 1 3 0 .167 .412 .417
2019Home .741 87 10 3 7 0 .241 .310 .430
2019Away .993 110 25 8 18 1 .316 .391 .602
2018Home .629 75 8 4 7 0 .194 .227 .403
2018Away .720 74 6 1 4 0 .254 .284 .437
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Stat Review
How does Dominic Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.50
 
BB Rate
19.0%
 
K Rate
38.1%
 
BABIP
.286
 
ISO
.200
 
AVG
.200
 
OBP
.381
 
SLG
.400
 
OPS
.781
 
wOBA
.350
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.5%
 
Barrels/PA
5.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dominic Smith
Rounding Third: Week 2 FAAB Results
3 days ago
Cristian Javier was the recipient of the biggest bids in a wild week of FAAB bidding on Sunday night.
Rounding Third: Week 0 FAAB Results
17 days ago
Rich Hill drew big bids in this week's series of FAAB bids. Jeff Erickson breaks down the FAAB bidding in his leagues on Sunday night.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
18 days ago
Jan Levine profiles National Leaguers for the season's first FAAB period this week, including the Phillies' Andrew McCutchen.
NL FAAB Factor: Early July Update
32 days ago
Jan Levine profiles NL players who could have increased opportunities as summer camps open around baseball, like Arizona's Jake Lamb.
The Z Files: Monitoring National League Camps
33 days ago
Todd Zola indicates what he'll be looking for in terms of news out of NL summer camps, where Dylan Carlson is one of a number of promising prospects with uncertain debut dates.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Even though he's just 23 years old, Smith's window to convince the Mets he can be a productive part of their future is closing. As a first baseman in the National League, DH isn't an option, nor is changing positions in Smith's case. His plate skills continue to be the issue as last season's 32% strikeout rate in tandem with a paltry 2.7% walk rate won't get it done, even in today's whiff-forgiving landscape. Smith's aggressive approach hinders his ability to get to his power -- he chases at an above-average rate. He even struggled at Triple-A Las Vegas, posting a .708 OPS in one of the best hitting venues in the offense-happy Pacific Coast League. Even in the unlikely event Smith has a strong spring and breaks camp with the starting role, he's unlikely to hold it with slugger Peter Alonso knocking at the door.
A number of prospects enjoyed success right away upon arrival to the big leagues last season, but Smith was not among them. He posted just a 73 wRC+ in 49 games, although he was pretty unlucky on balls in play (.218 BABIP). The power was the one positive, which is surprising given that Smith has long been thought of as a hit-over-power first baseman. However, he did steadily increase his home-run totals on the farm in recent years, and is still just 22 years old, so perhaps that per-game power production wasn't so fluky. While Smith did see a sizable jump in strikeout rate following his promotion to the majors, the minor-league track record suggests he will cut that down with more exposure to big-league arms. Smith isn't guaranteed a major-league roster spot out of camp, as new acquisition Adrian Gonzalez may be given the starting job, but he's still an intriguing player in dynasty settings.
Smith made significant strides in the power department last season, as the sweet-swinging lefty hit 14 home runs and drove in 91 runs in 130 games for Double-A Binghamton, both career highs. Smith has always possessed the ability to hit for average, and he batted over .300 for the second consecutive season. The Mets used James Loney as a stopgap option last season, which is fitting given that's the comparison that has been used with Smith throughout his time in the minors. Nevertheless, if Lucas Duda continues to battle back problems, Smith could see the big leagues as soon as this upcoming season. He will likely head to Triple-A to start the year to continue working on his power stroke.
With Steven Matz set to officially graduate from prospect status, Smith is primed to become the class of the Mets' farm system. Drafted 11th overall out of high school in 2011, Smith made the jump to High-A St. Lucie to begin 2015. The results were generally excellent for a 20-year-old as Smith raked against both left- and right-handed pitching, though he displayed mostly gap power from the left side with a Florida State League-leading 33 doubles. Smith does not have as stocky a 6-foot frame as say Kyle Schwarber, but he makes consistent contact, and more of those hits are going to start leaving the yard as Smith continues to mature and especially when he reaches the launching pad at Triple-A Las Vegas. He probably won't reach the majors until 2017, but Smith should be a popular target in long-term keeper formats.
First base prospects that sign for $2.6 million out of high school are typically worth monitoring, and Smith is no different, although his 2014 numbers may not back that up. If one ignores the fact that he is a first baseman, a .271 average with a .344 OBP in a full season at Low-A looks pretty good for someone who turned 19 this past summer. But the fact that he hit just one home run in 518 plate appearances signals that the power may always be below average relative to Smith’s position. The 26 doubles he hit give hope for an eventual 10-20 home run season in the minor leagues, especially if he can add more muscle to his six-foot, 185-pound frame. However, he is still at least a couple years away from the big leagues, and projects as more James Loney than Prince Fielder, meaning he is only worth holding in deeper formats.
Smith, selected 11th overall out of high school by the Mets in the 2013 draft, has a sweet left-handed stroke with surprising power and a good eye at the plate, along with a solid glove at first base. He hit .287/.384/.407 along with three homers and 22 RBI in 167 at-bats for the Gulf Coast League Mets, turning it on after a slow start. Smith could open 2014 at Low-A Savannah and is as a top-five prospect in the Mets' system. With a gaping hole at first base, Smith could be fast-tracked to the majors, reaching New York as early as 2016.
More Fantasy News
Enters Sunday's lineup
1BNew York Mets
August 2, 2020
Smith is starting in left field and batting seventh Sunday against the Braves, Deesha Thosar of the New York Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lifts three-run homer
1BNew York Mets
July 27, 2020
Smith went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Monday's 7-4 win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Candidate for designated hitter
1BNew York Mets
July 13, 2020
Smith could serve as the Mets' designated hitter in 2020, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Bench spot in jeopardy
1BNew York Mets
March 20, 2020
Smith could be squeezed off the Mets' 26-man roster if the delayed start to the regular season allows both Yoenis Cespedes (ankle) and Jed Lowrie (knee) to avoid the injured list.
ANALYSIS
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Clobbers walkoff shot
1BNew York Mets
September 29, 2019
Smith went 1-for-1 with a three-run homer in Sunday's 7-6 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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