Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
23-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Even though he's just 23 years old, Smith's window to convince the Mets he can be a productive part of their future is closing. As a first baseman in the National League, DH isn't an option, nor is changing positions in Smith's case. His plate skills continue to be the issue as last season's 32% strikeout rate in tandem with a paltry 2.7% walk rate won't get it done, even in today's whiff-forgiving landscape. Smith's aggressive approach hinders his ability to get to his power -- he chases at an above-average rate. He even struggled at Triple-A Las Vegas, posting a .708 OPS in one of the best hitting venues in the offense-happy Pacific Coast League. Even in the unlikely event Smith has a strong spring and breaks camp with the starting role, he's unlikely to hold it with slugger Peter Alonso knocking at the door. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Mets in June of 2013.
Outfield experiment ends
1BNew York Mets
February 19, 2019
Smith will only play first base this spring, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Smith played 13 games in left field last season as the Mets attempted to find ways to get him playing time. At the moment, though, his bat isn't good enough to play anywhere, let alone first base, as he's hit just .210/.259/.406 in 105 major-league games. With Peter Alonso about to arrive, Smith doesn't appear to have an obvious place in the short term or long term with the Mets.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+42%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+62%
OPS vs RHP
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .491 57 3 0 3 0 .143 .246 .245
Since 2016vs Right .699 275 28 14 34 0 .222 .262 .437
2018vs Left .583 20 1 0 0 0 .167 .250 .333
2018vs Right .688 129 13 5 11 0 .232 .256 .432
2017vs Left .437 37 2 0 3 0 .129 .243 .194
2017vs Right .708 146 15 9 23 0 .213 .267 .441
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .621 156 19 8 17 0 .185 .237 .384
Since 2016Away .705 176 12 6 20 0 .232 .278 .427
2018Home .629 75 8 4 7 0 .194 .227 .403
2018Away .720 74 6 1 4 0 .254 .284 .437
2017Home .612 81 11 4 10 0 .176 .247 .365
2017Away .694 102 6 5 16 0 .215 .275 .419
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Dominic Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.09
 
BB Rate
2.7%
 
K Rate
31.5%
 
BABIP
.297
 
ISO
.196
 
AVG
.224
 
OBP
.255
 
SLG
.420
 
OPS
.675
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Mets Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dominic Smith
Minor League Barometer: Notable Phenoms
175 days ago
Jesse Siegel delivers his deep dive into the minors' most scintillating prospects heading into September call-up season.
Farm Futures: September Call-up Candidates
189 days ago
James Anderson previews the players most likely to get added to September rosters, including a return engagement for Rockies second baseman Garrett Hampson.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
193 days ago
Jan Levine looks at several closer changes that've already occurred -- looking at you, Marlins -- and at least one other that might happen soon.
Regan's Rumblings: On Manny and Some Top Prospects
217 days ago
Dave Regan gives readers the top 10 prospects he thinks will help fantasy owners down the stretch, starting with Toronto's Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
221 days ago
Jan Levine sees signs of a long-term rebound or breakout from the Phillies' Maikel Franco and suggest FAABers lock him up now.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A number of prospects enjoyed success right away upon arrival to the big leagues last season, but Smith was not among them. He posted just a 73 wRC+ in 49 games, although he was pretty unlucky on balls in play (.218 BABIP). The power was the one positive, which is surprising given that Smith has long been thought of as a hit-over-power first baseman. However, he did steadily increase his home-run totals on the farm in recent years, and is still just 22 years old, so perhaps that per-game power production wasn't so fluky. While Smith did see a sizable jump in strikeout rate following his promotion to the majors, the minor-league track record suggests he will cut that down with more exposure to big-league arms. Smith isn't guaranteed a major-league roster spot out of camp, as new acquisition Adrian Gonzalez may be given the starting job, but he's still an intriguing player in dynasty settings.
Smith made significant strides in the power department last season, as the sweet-swinging lefty hit 14 home runs and drove in 91 runs in 130 games for Double-A Binghamton, both career highs. Smith has always possessed the ability to hit for average, and he batted over .300 for the second consecutive season. The Mets used James Loney as a stopgap option last season, which is fitting given that's the comparison that has been used with Smith throughout his time in the minors. Nevertheless, if Lucas Duda continues to battle back problems, Smith could see the big leagues as soon as this upcoming season. He will likely head to Triple-A to start the year to continue working on his power stroke.
With Steven Matz set to officially graduate from prospect status, Smith is primed to become the class of the Mets' farm system. Drafted 11th overall out of high school in 2011, Smith made the jump to High-A St. Lucie to begin 2015. The results were generally excellent for a 20-year-old as Smith raked against both left- and right-handed pitching, though he displayed mostly gap power from the left side with a Florida State League-leading 33 doubles. Smith does not have as stocky a 6-foot frame as say Kyle Schwarber, but he makes consistent contact, and more of those hits are going to start leaving the yard as Smith continues to mature and especially when he reaches the launching pad at Triple-A Las Vegas. He probably won't reach the majors until 2017, but Smith should be a popular target in long-term keeper formats.
First base prospects that sign for $2.6 million out of high school are typically worth monitoring, and Smith is no different, although his 2014 numbers may not back that up. If one ignores the fact that he is a first baseman, a .271 average with a .344 OBP in a full season at Low-A looks pretty good for someone who turned 19 this past summer. But the fact that he hit just one home run in 518 plate appearances signals that the power may always be below average relative to Smith’s position. The 26 doubles he hit give hope for an eventual 10-20 home run season in the minor leagues, especially if he can add more muscle to his six-foot, 185-pound frame. However, he is still at least a couple years away from the big leagues, and projects as more James Loney than Prince Fielder, meaning he is only worth holding in deeper formats.
Smith, selected 11th overall out of high school by the Mets in the 2013 draft, has a sweet left-handed stroke with surprising power and a good eye at the plate, along with a solid glove at first base. He hit .287/.384/.407 along with three homers and 22 RBI in 167 at-bats for the Gulf Coast League Mets, turning it on after a slow start. Smith could open 2014 at Low-A Savannah and is as a top-five prospect in the Mets' system. With a gaping hole at first base, Smith could be fast-tracked to the majors, reaching New York as early as 2016.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Saturday
1BNew York Mets
September 29, 2018
Smith is not in the lineup for Saturday's contest against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench for series opener
1BNew York Mets
September 25, 2018
Smith is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Braves, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rejoins starting nine
1BNew York Mets
September 11, 2018
Smith (groin) is starting at first base and hitting sixth Tuesday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Logs pinch-hit appearance
1BNew York Mets
Groin
September 10, 2018
Smith (groin) appeared as a pinch hitter in Sunday's 6-4 win over the Phillies, doubling in his lone plate appearance before coming around to score a run.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with tight groin
1BNew York Mets
Groin
September 8, 2018
Smith exited Saturday's game against the Phillies with a tight left groin, Wayne Randazzo of 710 WOR reports.
ANALYSIS
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