Phillip Ervin
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Ervin got a significant run of playing time in the second half of 2018, after injuries to Scott Schebler and Jesse Winker and then the trade of Adam Duvall paved the way for him. The results were mixed -- he walked a little more and maintained a similar batting average to his shorter 2017 trial, but his power started to dissipate the more opposing pitchers saw him. Ervin ended up hitting just .192/.263/.342 in September. Billy Hamilton was non-tendered and initially it looked like Ervin would get another shot to begin 2019, but the Reds' subsequent trade with the Dodgers, in which they acquired Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp, puts Ervin's roster status in question. If he does head north with the club, it will likely be as the fifth outfielder. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#704
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed for the slot (27th) recommendation of $1,812,400 on June 10, 2013.
Gets fourth straight start
OFCincinnati Reds
August 18, 2019
Ervin will start in left field and will bat sixth Sunday against the Cardinals, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
He'll crack the lineup for a fourth consecutive game while Jesse Winker tends to a back injury. Winker is expected to be available off the bench for the series finale, suggesting that he could be ready to reclaim a starting role early during the upcoming week. Whenever Winker is ready to go, Ervin will likely shift back into a fourth-outfielder role and see most of his action against left-handed pitching.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
3
6
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+43%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+113%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+37%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .979 157 25 6 22 4 .338 .395 .585
Since 2017vs Right .687 295 29 7 33 9 .240 .313 .374
2019vs Left 1.346 55 10 3 10 0 .449 .509 .837
2019vs Right .631 86 9 0 4 3 .241 .302 .329
2018vs Left .749 83 13 3 8 3 .250 .301 .447
2018vs Right .716 164 14 4 23 3 .254 .335 .380
2017vs Left .944 19 2 0 4 1 .412 .474 .471
2017vs Right .689 45 6 3 6 3 .195 .250 .439
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+85%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .773 224 22 6 23 4 .268 .344 .429
Since 2017Away .805 228 32 7 32 9 .282 .339 .466
2019Home .838 84 9 2 6 0 .299 .357 .481
2019Away 1.009 57 10 1 8 3 .353 .421 .588
2018Home .777 119 12 3 15 3 .267 .361 .416
2018Away .682 128 15 4 16 3 .239 .289 .393
2017Home .490 21 1 1 2 1 .150 .190 .300
2017Away .907 43 7 2 8 3 .316 .381 .526
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Phillip Ervin compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
7.8%
 
K Rate
22.7%
 
BABIP
.409
 
ISO
.203
 
AVG
.320
 
OBP
.383
 
SLG
.523
 
OPS
.906
 
wOBA
.393
 
Exit Velocity
85.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
40.0%
 
Barrels/PA
2.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Phillip Ervin
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16 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with Mookie Betts as part of a Red Sox stack against the Royals on Monday.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Ervin turns 26 in July and has just 64 MLB plate appearances under his belt, so he's not really a prospect anymore, even though he technically still qualifies as one. On the surface, it seems like he would be a pretty solid option on the short side of an outfield platoon, as he is right-handed and hit .412 against southpaws in a tiny sample in the majors last season. However, his results against lefties in the minors are mixed, and all three of his MLB home runs came against same-handed pitching. He is still an above-average runner, stealing 27 bases on 34 attempts last season, but his outfield defense isn't necessarily an asset, so his bat will have to justify his placement in the lineup. The Reds have a clear long-term outfielder in Jesse Winker, with Billy Hamilton, Scott Schebler and Adam Duvall still lingering as players who are too good to be discarded, but not without flaws. Barring a trade, Ervin would need to make the roster as a fifth outfielder.
Ervin is a toolsy outfielder who has not quite lived up to his potential since being drafted in the first round of the 2013 draft, largely due to his inability to hit for average. Ervin has not hit above .245 at any level since the beginning of the 2014 campaign. However, he's swiped over 30 bases in each of the last three seasons while hitting double-digit home runs in each of the last two years. In addition, Ervin has shown the ability to take a walk, including posting a .362 on-base percentage at Double-A in 2016 despite the low batting average. Ervin is certainly not the prototypical corner outfielder, though his home run totals will certainly be aided by playing in the hitter-friendly confines of the Great American Ball Park. Ervin should begin the 2017 campaign at Triple-A, though it remains to be seen if the 24-year-old will ever make consistent enough contact to become a reliable everyday player.
Ervin, the Reds' first-round pick in 2013, has spent two disappointing seasons with High-A Daytona, only briefly emerging towards the end of 2015 to play a little at Double-A Pensacola. The Florida State League is a tough track for hitters, but Ervin slugged under .400 there. On the bright side, his walk rate was above 11 percent and he stole 30 bases in 109 games. The wrist injury that hampered his 2014 season is fully healed now, and some hope that he could end up as a center fielder and tablesetter remains, but that walk rate will collapse against upper-level pitching if it is not backed up by some semblance of being able to hit the ball with authority.
Ervin came flying out of the gate after being taken in the first round of the 2013 draft by the Reds, but took a big step back at Low-A Dayton last season. While he made the same amount of contact, his walk rate plummeted as did his average. Granted, his numbers in rookie ball and his first exposure to Low-A were fueled by a very high BABIP, so some regression was already expected. Offseason wrist surgery prior to the 2014 season appeared to leak into his regular season performance, so he gets a pass for one bad season -- in keeper leagues with deep farm systems, you might be able to buy him at a discount. He still projects to give you plus speed, if not much power.
Ervin, the Reds' first-round pick in the 2013 draft out of Samford University, got off to a flying start in his professional career, hitting .331/.425/.564 combined between Rookie-level and Low-A ball and going 14-of-15 on the basepaths to boot. As a college draftee, Ervin was expected to advance quickly through the lower levels of the minors, so 2014 will bring on a greater test, with him possibly hitting High-A pretty early in the season. He might struggle initially if the wrist injury that ended his season persists in the spring.
More Fantasy News
On bench for second time in series
OFCincinnati Reds
August 4, 2019
Ervin is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
OFCincinnati Reds
August 2, 2019
Ervin is not starting Friday against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three off bench
OFCincinnati Reds
July 24, 2019
Ervin went 1-for-2 with a triple, a walk, three RBI and a run scored Tuesday in the Reds' 14-6 win over the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Smashes pinch-hit homer
OFCincinnati Reds
July 21, 2019
Ervin hit a solo home run in a pinch-hit appearance Sunday against the Cardinals.
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Ties club record in win
OFCincinnati Reds
July 14, 2019
Ervin went 6-for-6 with a double, a triple, a run scored, three RBI and a stolen base in Saturday's wild 17-9 win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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