Hunter Dozier
Hunter Dozier
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Kansas City Royals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Dozier re-established himself as a notable prospect in 2016, but injuries and poor performance in limited opportunities resulted in his value cratering last season. He missed the first two months of the season with an oblique injury, then a week later he broke his wrist, which sidelined him until the middle of August. It's really hard to take much from his performance in 2017, especially when factoring in the type of injuries he dealt with. Fortunately, he finds himself on a team in the early stages of a rebuild, so while his spot on the 40-man roster may be in jeopardy on another team, he has a decent chance to make the Royals' big-league roster this spring. He saw time at third base and first base at Triple-A, but the majority of his starts came in right field. It's hard to say exactly where the 26-year-old will fit in, but he could post solid power numbers with a low batting average if he gets the at-bats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed with the Royals for $2.2 million in June of 2013.
Out again Sunday
OFKansas City Royals
September 16, 2018
Dozier will sit for the second straight day Sunday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Dozier is hitting .300 with a .928 OPS over his last 15 games. Alcides Escobar will again start at third base in his absence.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .626 122 9 0 6 0 .212 .328 .298
Since 2016vs Right .681 240 26 9 24 1 .237 .258 .422
2018vs Left .632 112 6 0 6 0 .219 .330 .302
2018vs Right .688 229 25 9 23 1 .235 .258 .430
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left .550 10 3 0 0 0 .125 .300 .250
2016vs Right .545 11 1 0 1 0 .273 .273 .273
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
Even Split
2018
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+72%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .666 212 21 5 18 0 .224 .278 .388
Since 2016Away .665 150 14 4 12 1 .236 .287 .379
2018Home .682 195 17 5 17 0 .228 .282 .400
2018Away .660 146 14 4 12 1 .234 .281 .380
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home .485 17 4 0 1 0 .188 .235 .250
2016Away .833 4 0 0 0 0 .333 .500 .333
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Dozier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.21
 
BB Rate
6.4%
 
K Rate
30.1%
 
BABIP
.311
 
ISO
.162
 
AVG
.231
 
OBP
.281
 
SLG
.393
 
OPS
.674
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Dozier's re-emergence as a prospect is an excellent story, as it seemed reasonable to write him off a year ago after he looked incapable of handling Double-A pitching. Obviously a recently turned 25-year-old posting a .864 OPS with 15 home runs over 103 games in the Pacific Coast League doesn't mean he won't end up settling in as a Quadruple-A hitter long term. But it is a sight far more encouraging than when he posted an OPS under .625 across 192 games at Double-A between 2014 and 2015. The Royals began transitioning him to the outfield at Triple-A, and when he got a cup of coffee with the big league club in September, all six of his starts came in right field. He's not particularly close to being a top-200 prospect, but at least he's now a player to be aware of in deeper single-season leagues in 2017.
Standing 6-foot-4 and weighing 220 pounds, the eighth overall pick in the 2013 draft certainly looks the part of a slugging third baseman. Watching Dozier smoke balls in batting practice only further adds to the allure. However, after 790 plate appearances at Double-A, the 24-year-old has yet to come close to meeting expectations. Dozier has hit just 16 home runs with nine steals and a .291 wOBA dating back to when he first joined Northwest Arkansas in the middle of the 2014 season. After hitting four home runs in 64 games to close out 2014, he was able to hit 12 homers in 128 games last year, but his strikeout rate jumped from 26.2% to 28.9% as a result of tweaking his approach, which adds another unappealing element to the equation. Until he can show the ability to lay off breaking balls out of the zone and get in more hitter’s counts, Dozier will be a player to follow, but not own, in most dynasty leagues.
Dozier produced a .826 OPS with four homers and seven steals over 276 at-bats for High-A Wilmington in 2014, which eventually earned him a mid-June promotion to Double-A Northwest Arkansas. In an equal amount of at-bats at the Double-A level, he was largely disappointing, batting just .209 and striking out at a rate of 22.6%. He'll need to improve his contact rate at that level if he has intentions of making another jump in 2015, but the Royals remain confident the 6-foot-4 infielder will continue to develop the power they thought he would when they drafted him eighth overall in the 2013 first-year player draft. Triple-A Omaha seems to be the likely ceiling for Dozier in the coming season, and he'll still have to compete with several other intriguing prospects in the farm system if he plans on seeing infield work in the big leagues by 2016.
The Royals' first-round pick (eighth overall) in the 2013 draft was probably one of the most highly-criticized selections by scouts and baseball pundits. A shortstop out of Stephen A. Austin, the 21-year-old Dozier posted a slash line of .396/.482/.755 with 17 home runs during his senior year. However, while most believe he possesses a strong skill set, few are convinced that he will make it in the major leagues, and most believe he will require a move over to either second or third base. Dozier impressed at the plate in the Rookie League, posting a .303/.403/.509 slash line with a 13.3% walk rate and a .203 ISO over 258 plate appearances, but he struggled with a late-season move to Low-A ball. He'll continue to work at the lower levels until he shows some continued growth, but he appears to be a long way away from the big leagues.
More Fantasy News
Returns to action
OFKansas City Royals
September 13, 2018
Dozier (back) is starting at first base and hitting cleanup Thursday against the Twins, Jeffrey Flanagan of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Late scratch Wednesday
OFKansas City Royals
Back
September 12, 2018
Dozier was scratched from the lineup for Wednesday's game against the White Sox due to a sore back, Jeffrey Flanagan of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets sixth straight start
OFKansas City Royals
August 26, 2018
Dozier will start at third base and bat fifth Sunday against the Indians, Jeffrey Flanagan of MLB.com reports.
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Cranks sixth homer
OFKansas City Royals
August 22, 2018
Dozier went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer and two strikeouts in Wednesday's loss to the Rays.
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Sitting again in series finale
OFKansas City Royals
August 5, 2018
Dozier is out of the lineup Sunday against the Twins.
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