Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Williams provided the most confounding success story of the 2018 season. During a nine-start run from July to early September (54.2 innings), Williams posted an incredible 0.66 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He achieved those marks despite just a 34:17 K:BB over that stretch. It was a microcosm of his season as a whole; while Williams obviously wasn't that successful over the course of the full year, he still finished with great ratios despite an utter lack of dominance. Williams barely cracked 90 mph on average with his fastball, which he threw 70% of the time, and induced swinging strikes at a career-low 7.9% clip. So how on Earth did he do it? And is it sustainable? In short: by inducing a lot of manageable, playable contact, and no. His opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity was among the lowest in baseball, but without the other numbers in the underlying profile, there's simply not much to get excited about. Don't pay for last year's numbers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2019.
Pitches well in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 17, 2019
Williams allowed two runs on six hits with five strikeouts and one walk across six innings in a no-decision against the Tigers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
The Pirates have won all four of Williams' starts, but he is only 1-0 because most of them have been very tight games decided in the final innings. Despite the lack of decisions, Williams is pitching very well this season. He's posted a .225 batting average against and walked only five batters. As a result, his ERA sits at 2.59, and he owns a 1.03 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 24.1 innings. His next start will be Tuesday at home against the Diamondbacks.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-35%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .257 698 103 52 163 26 3 13
Since 2017vs Right .226 744 157 60 148 42 2 18
2019vs Left .286 39 5 3 10 2 0 0
2019vs Right .185 60 12 2 10 3 0 2
2018vs Left .228 351 46 27 72 8 2 8
2018vs Right .234 350 80 28 74 25 1 7
2017vs Left .286 308 52 22 81 16 1 5
2017vs Right .225 334 65 30 64 14 1 9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-56%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.19 1.15 189.0 11 9 0 6.6 2.3 0.9
Since 2017Away 3.86 1.31 156.1 11 10 0 7.0 3.7 0.7
2019Home 4.50 1.17 6.0 0 0 0 4.5 0.0 1.5
2019Away 1.96 0.98 18.1 1 0 0 6.9 2.5 0.5
2018Home 2.86 1.13 94.1 8 6 0 6.6 2.3 0.9
2018Away 3.42 1.23 76.1 6 4 0 6.7 3.7 0.7
2017Home 3.45 1.17 88.2 3 3 0 6.8 2.4 0.8
2017Away 4.96 1.51 61.2 4 6 0 7.3 4.1 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.40
 
K/9
6.3
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
91.1 mph
 
ERA
2.59
 
WHIP
1.03
 
BABIP
.259
 
GB/FB
1.12
 
Strand %
78.3%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Williams
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Subject to Change
3 days ago
Todd Zola's pitcher rankings have a lot of volatility this week thanks to rain, injuries and suspensions, while top-rated Carlos Carrasco looks to build off a strong outing.
Rounding Third: Exploring Hitter Statcast Data
8 days ago
Teoscar Hernandez was a surprise leader among qualified hitters in barreled hits percentage last season – among the revelations that Jeff Erickson discovered while navigating batter Statcast data.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Double the Fun
10 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a number of solid two-start options, including Washington's Stephen Strasburg, who faces two the league's weakest lineups.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: AL Cy Young Contenders Lead Pack
17 days ago
Todd Zola has last year's AL Cy Young nominees atop this week's pitcher rankings, including Tampa Bay's Blake Snell, who's velocity was up in his second start.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
17 days ago
If you're not looking to spend a premium on pitching, Sasha Yodashkin suggests taking Steven Matz at home against the Nationals.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams settled in as a back-end starter for the Pirates last season, providing an innings-eating option every fifth day. For those who were careful to use him as a home streamer, Williams returned plenty of value with good ratios at PNC Park (3.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) despite a very limited ability to induce whiffs. Away from Pittsburgh, his ERA was more than a run-and-a-half higher (4.96), but it's interesting to note that his ability to keep the ball in the park did not change much in more hitter-friendly parks. Looking forward, Williams should have an inside track to begin the year back in the Bucs' rotation. In order to stay there and to remain effective, he'll need to improve his changeup, as opposing hitters hit .328 with a .547 slugging percentage against that offering last season, and ideally, improve his walk rate as well, as there isn't much in his current arsenal that suggests a spike in strikeouts is on the horizon barring the addition of a new pitch or an increase in velocity.
Williams' postgame embrace with his dad following his first appearance (and win) was one of the more emotional scenes in baseball last year. The 25-year-old started in 19 of his 20 Triple-A games, going 9-6 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 110.1 innings. A 74:30 K:BB serves as a reminder he'll probably never be a big strikeout guy. For the Pirates, Williams fell off after his debut. He gave up 11 earned runs, 16 hits and four walks in 9.2 innings, striking out four. Based off his strong Triple-A showing and the fact he served as informal trade compensation when Miami hired away pitching guru Jim Benedict from Pittsburgh, Williams will likely receive ample opportunities to prove his worth as a serviceable innings-eater for the Bucs.
As a sinkerballer with the body to eat innings, there is more pitchability than stuff in Williams’ profile, but he still has a good enough repertoire to succeed at the back of a big league rotation. The 23-year-old righty has a solid four-pitch mix but has yet to showcase above average command in the upper levels of the minors. Williams posted a 4.00 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and a 88:36 K:BB over 117 innings at Double-A Jacksonville before earning a late-season promotion to Triple-A New Orleans where he made three solid starts. He was traded to the Pirates in the offseason -- a move that might lessen his chances of joining a big league rotation this summer, given the disparity of pitching depth between the two organizations. Look for the Pirates to use Williams as rotation depth in the second half of 2016.
A second-round selection in 2013, Williams totaled 144 innings pitched across two minor league levels, reaching Double-A for the final three starts of the season. It was another positive step for Williams, who does not come as highly regarded as many of the other prospect arms in the Marlins' system, as he continues put the results on tape. The right hander went 8-7 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 26 starts during the 2014 season, his first full season of professional ball. Though Williams is fairly hittable and has posted mediocre strikeout totals so far, he shows solid command and consistent effort. Williams should slot into the rotation at Double-A Jacksonville out of spring training as he continues to progress up the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Set to start Wednesay
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 14, 2019
Williams will start Wednesday's series finale against the Tigers, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in another no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 13, 2019
Williams allowed two runs on four hits with three strikeouts and three walks across 6.1 innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Friday.
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Strikes out three in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 6, 2019
Williams allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits and no walks in six innings against the Reds on Saturday. He struck out three but did not factor into the decision.
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Earns first win of 2019
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 31, 2019
Williams (1-0) threw six shutout frames, posting six strikeouts with three hits and one walk, to secure a 5-0 victory against the Reds on Sunday.
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Start pushed back to Sunday
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 30, 2019
Williams will start Sunday against the Reds after his scheduled start Saturday was rained out, Bill Brink of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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