Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Williams spent the year in the Pirates' rotation eating innings, albeit in an unappetizing manner. He was especially burned by the long ball, surrendering 15 homers in 55.1 innings. The righty tried adjusting his arsenal, throwing fewer 91-mph fastballs while upping his slider, curveball and changeup usage a bit. The results were uninspiring as in addition to gopheritis, Williams' 11.1 K-BB% was 21st lowest among pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched. Pittsburgh released Williams, and at press time, he's still looking for a new home. PNC Park significantly suppresses homers, so Williams will be hard-pressed to get that issue under control elsewhere. With volatile ratios and a low strikeout rate, Williams has minimal fantasy appeal. In today's landscape, the roster spot is better utilized on a dominant reliever. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#587
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.5 million contract with the Cubs in January of 2021.
Signs with Cubs
PChicago Cubs
January 30, 2021
Williams signed a one-year, $2.5 million deal with the Cubs on Saturday, Russell Dorsey of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Williams was quite a useful pitcher for the Pirates in 2018, recording a 3.11 ERA in 31 starts, though that came with some mediocre peripherals and a 4.54 xFIP. He's been significantly worse over the past two years, recording a combined 5.60 ERA in 37 starts. The Cubs presumably aren't looking for Williams to do much more than compete for a spot at the back of the rotation. His main competition for that role at the moment appears to be Kohl Stewart.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Trevor Williams generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Williams generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .271 764 107 61 185 33 4 23
Since 2018vs Right .254 825 181 59 189 50 4 34
2020vs Left .260 141 27 11 33 5 0 5
2020vs Right .344 111 22 10 33 5 0 10
2019vs Left .335 272 34 23 80 20 2 10
2019vs Right .247 364 79 21 82 20 3 17
2018vs Left .228 351 46 27 72 8 2 8
2018vs Right .234 350 80 28 74 25 1 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-45%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.02 1.25 188.0 12 14 0 6.7 2.4 1.3
Since 2018Away 4.90 1.41 183.2 11 13 0 7.3 3.4 1.4
2020Home 4.33 1.22 27.0 1 4 0 7.7 3.0 2.0
2020Away 7.94 1.91 28.1 1 4 0 8.3 3.8 2.9
2019Home 5.54 1.43 66.2 3 4 0 6.5 2.4 1.8
2019Away 5.24 1.41 79.0 4 5 0 7.4 3.0 1.6
2018Home 2.86 1.13 94.1 8 6 0 6.6 2.3 0.9
2018Away 3.42 1.23 76.1 6 4 0 6.7 3.7 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
2.4
 
Fastball
91.3 mph
 
ERA
6.18
 
WHIP
1.57
 
BABIP
.323
 
GB/FB
1.42
 
Left On Base
68.2%
 
Exit Velocity
80.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2157 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.7%
 
Swinging Strike
11.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Williams
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
156 days ago
Mike Barner recommends plugging in a Twins stack Wednesday against the Tigers as part of an eight-game Yahoo slate.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Down the Stretch They Come
160 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as the season comes into the final stretch. What's that mean for aces like Gerrit Cole with the playoffs on tap?
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Last Call
167 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's staring pitching as the regular season comes down the stretch. This the last week to be relatively confident in two-start opportunities.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
167 days ago
In tonight’s nine-game slate, Chris Bennett anticipates good things for St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson against Cincinnati’s lackluster offense.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Flourishing Freshmen
174 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Cristian Javier is one of a handful of young hurlers with two starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams showed flashes of brilliance in 2018, but failed to make much of a fantasy impact in 2019, finishing the year with a 5.38 ERA and 1.41 WHIP around injuries. His struggles can be attributed in part to the juiced ball (27 home runs allowed, up from 15 in 2018). The right-hander found success in 2018 by limiting the amount of hard hits allowed, and even with the homer issues last year he was still better than average in terms of average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. His fastball velocity ticked up to 91.3 mph in 2019, which helped bring his swinging-strike rate up to 10.4%. With the MLB run environment impossible to predict, Williams is merely on the margins of fantasy relevance; his windows of efficiency proved unsustainable in a juiced-ball year. Williams will look to right the ship and his home park should help in that regard, but he's barely even in the glob until further notice.
Williams provided the most confounding success story of the 2018 season. During a nine-start run from July to early September (54.2 innings), Williams posted an incredible 0.66 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He achieved those marks despite just a 34:17 K:BB over that stretch. It was a microcosm of his season as a whole; while Williams obviously wasn't that successful over the course of the full year, he still finished with great ratios despite an utter lack of dominance. Williams barely cracked 90 mph on average with his fastball, which he threw 70% of the time, and induced swinging strikes at a career-low 7.9% clip. So how on Earth did he do it? And is it sustainable? In short: by inducing a lot of manageable, playable contact, and no. His opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity was among the lowest in baseball, but without the other numbers in the underlying profile, there's simply not much to get excited about. Don't pay for last year's numbers.
Williams settled in as a back-end starter for the Pirates last season, providing an innings-eating option every fifth day. For those who were careful to use him as a home streamer, Williams returned plenty of value with good ratios at PNC Park (3.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) despite a very limited ability to induce whiffs. Away from Pittsburgh, his ERA was more than a run-and-a-half higher (4.96), but it's interesting to note that his ability to keep the ball in the park did not change much in more hitter-friendly parks. Looking forward, Williams should have an inside track to begin the year back in the Bucs' rotation. In order to stay there and to remain effective, he'll need to improve his changeup, as opposing hitters hit .328 with a .547 slugging percentage against that offering last season, and ideally, improve his walk rate as well, as there isn't much in his current arsenal that suggests a spike in strikeouts is on the horizon barring the addition of a new pitch or an increase in velocity.
Williams' postgame embrace with his dad following his first appearance (and win) was one of the more emotional scenes in baseball last year. The 25-year-old started in 19 of his 20 Triple-A games, going 9-6 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 110.1 innings. A 74:30 K:BB serves as a reminder he'll probably never be a big strikeout guy. For the Pirates, Williams fell off after his debut. He gave up 11 earned runs, 16 hits and four walks in 9.2 innings, striking out four. Based off his strong Triple-A showing and the fact he served as informal trade compensation when Miami hired away pitching guru Jim Benedict from Pittsburgh, Williams will likely receive ample opportunities to prove his worth as a serviceable innings-eater for the Bucs.
As a sinkerballer with the body to eat innings, there is more pitchability than stuff in Williams’ profile, but he still has a good enough repertoire to succeed at the back of a big league rotation. The 23-year-old righty has a solid four-pitch mix but has yet to showcase above average command in the upper levels of the minors. Williams posted a 4.00 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and a 88:36 K:BB over 117 innings at Double-A Jacksonville before earning a late-season promotion to Triple-A New Orleans where he made three solid starts. He was traded to the Pirates in the offseason -- a move that might lessen his chances of joining a big league rotation this summer, given the disparity of pitching depth between the two organizations. Look for the Pirates to use Williams as rotation depth in the second half of 2016.
A second-round selection in 2013, Williams totaled 144 innings pitched across two minor league levels, reaching Double-A for the final three starts of the season. It was another positive step for Williams, who does not come as highly regarded as many of the other prospect arms in the Marlins' system, as he continues put the results on tape. The right hander went 8-7 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 26 starts during the 2014 season, his first full season of professional ball. Though Williams is fairly hittable and has posted mediocre strikeout totals so far, he shows solid command and consistent effort. Williams should slot into the rotation at Double-A Jacksonville out of spring training as he continues to progress up the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Elects free agency
PFree Agent
November 28, 2020
Williams elected free agency Saturday, John Dreker of Pirates Prospects reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Booted from 40-man roster
PPittsburgh Pirates
November 20, 2020
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Earns rare win Wednesday
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2020
Williams (2-8) allowed just one run on three hits (one home run) and three walks while striking out four across 5.2 innings Wednesday as he earned the win in his final start of 2020.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Saddled with eighth loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 19, 2020
Williams (1-8) took the loss in the first game of Friday's doubleheader as the Pirates were downed 6-5 by the Cardinals, surrendering six runs (five earned) on seven hits over 4.1 innings. He struck out three without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Roughed up by Royals
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 13, 2020
Williams (1-7) took the loss Saturday as the Pirates were downed 7-4 by the Royals, surrendering six runs on 10 hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.