Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Williams provided the most confounding success story of the 2018 season. During a nine-start run from July to early September (54.2 innings), Williams posted an incredible 0.66 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He achieved those marks despite just a 34:17 K:BB over that stretch. It was a microcosm of his season as a whole; while Williams obviously wasn't that successful over the course of the full year, he still finished with great ratios despite an utter lack of dominance. Williams barely cracked 90 mph on average with his fastball, which he threw 70% of the time, and induced swinging strikes at a career-low 7.9% clip. So how on Earth did he do it? And is it sustainable? In short: by inducing a lot of manageable, playable contact, and no. His opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity was among the lowest in baseball, but without the other numbers in the underlying profile, there's simply not much to get excited about. Don't pay for last year's numbers. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2018.
Yields three runs in loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 27, 2018
Williams (14-10) threw five innings and took the loss Thursday, allowing three runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out four in a loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Williams allowed a two-run triple to David Bote in the second inning before an RBI single from Daniel Murphy in the fourth. The 6-foot-3 righty will end his 2018 campaign with a strong 3.11 ERA across 170.2 innings. He also posted a 126:55 K:BB.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .258 681 101 51 160 27 3 16
Since 2016vs Right .235 723 153 61 150 42 2 17
2018vs Left .228 351 46 27 72 8 2 8
2018vs Right .234 350 80 28 74 25 1 7
2017vs Left .286 308 52 22 81 16 1 5
2017vs Right .225 334 65 30 64 14 1 9
2016vs Left .350 22 3 2 7 3 0 3
2016vs Right .333 39 8 3 12 3 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.26 1.19 187.2 12 10 0 6.8 2.5 0.8
Since 2016Away 4.32 1.36 145.0 10 10 0 7.0 3.7 1.0
2018Home 2.86 1.13 94.1 8 6 0 6.6 2.3 0.9
2018Away 3.42 1.23 76.1 6 4 0 6.7 3.7 0.7
2017Home 3.45 1.17 88.2 3 3 0 6.8 2.4 0.8
2017Away 4.96 1.51 61.2 4 6 0 7.3 4.1 0.9
2016Home 7.71 2.57 4.2 1 1 0 9.6 7.7 0.0
2016Away 7.88 1.50 8.0 0 0 0 6.8 1.1 4.5
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Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.29
 
K/9
6.6
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
90.5 mph
 
ERA
3.11
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.269
 
GB/FB
1.26
 
Strand %
76.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams settled in as a back-end starter for the Pirates last season, providing an innings-eating option every fifth day. For those who were careful to use him as a home streamer, Williams returned plenty of value with good ratios at PNC Park (3.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) despite a very limited ability to induce whiffs. Away from Pittsburgh, his ERA was more than a run-and-a-half higher (4.96), but it's interesting to note that his ability to keep the ball in the park did not change much in more hitter-friendly parks. Looking forward, Williams should have an inside track to begin the year back in the Bucs' rotation. In order to stay there and to remain effective, he'll need to improve his changeup, as opposing hitters hit .328 with a .547 slugging percentage against that offering last season, and ideally, improve his walk rate as well, as there isn't much in his current arsenal that suggests a spike in strikeouts is on the horizon barring the addition of a new pitch or an increase in velocity.
Williams' postgame embrace with his dad following his first appearance (and win) was one of the more emotional scenes in baseball last year. The 25-year-old started in 19 of his 20 Triple-A games, going 9-6 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 110.1 innings. A 74:30 K:BB serves as a reminder he'll probably never be a big strikeout guy. For the Pirates, Williams fell off after his debut. He gave up 11 earned runs, 16 hits and four walks in 9.2 innings, striking out four. Based off his strong Triple-A showing and the fact he served as informal trade compensation when Miami hired away pitching guru Jim Benedict from Pittsburgh, Williams will likely receive ample opportunities to prove his worth as a serviceable innings-eater for the Bucs.
As a sinkerballer with the body to eat innings, there is more pitchability than stuff in Williams’ profile, but he still has a good enough repertoire to succeed at the back of a big league rotation. The 23-year-old righty has a solid four-pitch mix but has yet to showcase above average command in the upper levels of the minors. Williams posted a 4.00 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and a 88:36 K:BB over 117 innings at Double-A Jacksonville before earning a late-season promotion to Triple-A New Orleans where he made three solid starts. He was traded to the Pirates in the offseason -- a move that might lessen his chances of joining a big league rotation this summer, given the disparity of pitching depth between the two organizations. Look for the Pirates to use Williams as rotation depth in the second half of 2016.
A second-round selection in 2013, Williams totaled 144 innings pitched across two minor league levels, reaching Double-A for the final three starts of the season. It was another positive step for Williams, who does not come as highly regarded as many of the other prospect arms in the Marlins' system, as he continues put the results on tape. The right hander went 8-7 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 26 starts during the 2014 season, his first full season of professional ball. Though Williams is fairly hittable and has posted mediocre strikeout totals so far, he shows solid command and consistent effort. Williams should slot into the rotation at Double-A Jacksonville out of spring training as he continues to progress up the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Blanks Brewers for 14th win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 23, 2018
Williams (14-9) picked up the win in Saturday's 3-0 victory over the Brewers, scattering four hits and a walk over six scoreless innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Fires six shutout innings
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 16, 2018
Williams (13-9) twirled six scoreless innings and took the win Sunday, scattering just two walks and two hits while striking out seven in the 3-2 victory against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Average in start versus Cardinals
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 10, 2018
Williams (12-9) had his worst start in two months in Monday's loss to the Cardinals. He lasted five innings and gave up four runs on six hits while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Sunday's game postponed
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 9, 2018
Williams will not make his scheduled start against the Marlins as Sunday's game was postponed due to weather, Bill Brink of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Reds for second straight win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 3, 2018
Williams (12-9) picked up the win Monday against the Reds, allowing five hits and one walk across 6.2 scoreless innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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