Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Williams provided the most confounding success story of the 2018 season. During a nine-start run from July to early September (54.2 innings), Williams posted an incredible 0.66 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He achieved those marks despite just a 34:17 K:BB over that stretch. It was a microcosm of his season as a whole; while Williams obviously wasn't that successful over the course of the full year, he still finished with great ratios despite an utter lack of dominance. Williams barely cracked 90 mph on average with his fastball, which he threw 70% of the time, and induced swinging strikes at a career-low 7.9% clip. So how on Earth did he do it? And is it sustainable? In short: by inducing a lot of manageable, playable contact, and no. His opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity was among the lowest in baseball, but without the other numbers in the underlying profile, there's simply not much to get excited about. Don't pay for last year's numbers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2019.
Chased early by Nats
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 20, 2019
Williams (5-6) took the loss Monday, surrendering eight runs (six earned) on six hits and three walks over only two innings while striking out one as the Pirates were routed 13-0 by the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Three of the six hits off Williams left the yard, but given that the Washington offense has been averaging better than 12 runs a game since last Wednesday, there may not have been much he could have done to avoid the drubbing. The right-hander now carries a 5.65 ERA and 81:32 K:BB through 106.2 innings, and he'll look to turn things around in his next start Saturday, at home against the Reds.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-29%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .277 860 126 64 215 40 5 21
Since 2017vs Right .235 955 198 75 199 54 5 28
2019vs Left .348 201 28 15 62 16 2 8
2019vs Right .248 271 53 17 61 15 3 12
2018vs Left .228 351 46 27 72 8 2 8
2018vs Right .234 350 80 28 74 25 1 7
2017vs Left .286 308 52 22 81 16 1 5
2017vs Right .225 334 65 30 64 14 1 9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.94 1.24 230.2 13 12 0 6.6 2.4 1.1
Since 2017Away 4.25 1.35 197.0 13 13 0 7.0 3.5 1.0
2019Home 6.99 1.59 47.2 2 3 0 6.4 2.6 1.9
2019Away 4.58 1.34 59.0 3 3 0 7.2 2.7 1.5
2018Home 2.86 1.13 94.1 8 6 0 6.6 2.3 0.9
2018Away 3.42 1.23 76.1 6 4 0 6.7 3.7 0.7
2017Home 3.45 1.17 88.2 3 3 0 6.8 2.4 0.8
2017Away 4.96 1.51 61.2 4 6 0 7.3 4.1 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.53
 
K/9
6.8
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
91.2 mph
 
ERA
5.65
 
WHIP
1.45
 
BABIP
.319
 
GB/FB
1.04
 
Left On Base
65.4%
 
Exit Velocity
88.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.1%
 
Spin Rate
2094 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
37.2%
 
Swinging Strike
10.9%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Williams
DraftKings MLB: Monday Picks
3 days ago
Christopher Olson suggests rolling with a Reds stack Monday against San Diego.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
3 days ago
Mike Barner recommends a Nats stack Monday against Trevor Williams and the Pirates.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Bieber Jumps to the Top
5 days ago
Leading Todd Zola's pitcher rankings this week is Chris Sale, whose high ERA is more a matter of bad luck than anything else.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday Picks
9 days ago
Mike Barner suggests that an Astros stack, headlined by Carlos Correa, is a solid play Tuesday against Ivan Nova and the White Sox.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Lynn Joins the Elite
12 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as the Rangers' Lance Lynn is pitching as well as he has all season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams settled in as a back-end starter for the Pirates last season, providing an innings-eating option every fifth day. For those who were careful to use him as a home streamer, Williams returned plenty of value with good ratios at PNC Park (3.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) despite a very limited ability to induce whiffs. Away from Pittsburgh, his ERA was more than a run-and-a-half higher (4.96), but it's interesting to note that his ability to keep the ball in the park did not change much in more hitter-friendly parks. Looking forward, Williams should have an inside track to begin the year back in the Bucs' rotation. In order to stay there and to remain effective, he'll need to improve his changeup, as opposing hitters hit .328 with a .547 slugging percentage against that offering last season, and ideally, improve his walk rate as well, as there isn't much in his current arsenal that suggests a spike in strikeouts is on the horizon barring the addition of a new pitch or an increase in velocity.
Williams' postgame embrace with his dad following his first appearance (and win) was one of the more emotional scenes in baseball last year. The 25-year-old started in 19 of his 20 Triple-A games, going 9-6 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 110.1 innings. A 74:30 K:BB serves as a reminder he'll probably never be a big strikeout guy. For the Pirates, Williams fell off after his debut. He gave up 11 earned runs, 16 hits and four walks in 9.2 innings, striking out four. Based off his strong Triple-A showing and the fact he served as informal trade compensation when Miami hired away pitching guru Jim Benedict from Pittsburgh, Williams will likely receive ample opportunities to prove his worth as a serviceable innings-eater for the Bucs.
As a sinkerballer with the body to eat innings, there is more pitchability than stuff in Williams’ profile, but he still has a good enough repertoire to succeed at the back of a big league rotation. The 23-year-old righty has a solid four-pitch mix but has yet to showcase above average command in the upper levels of the minors. Williams posted a 4.00 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and a 88:36 K:BB over 117 innings at Double-A Jacksonville before earning a late-season promotion to Triple-A New Orleans where he made three solid starts. He was traded to the Pirates in the offseason -- a move that might lessen his chances of joining a big league rotation this summer, given the disparity of pitching depth between the two organizations. Look for the Pirates to use Williams as rotation depth in the second half of 2016.
A second-round selection in 2013, Williams totaled 144 innings pitched across two minor league levels, reaching Double-A for the final three starts of the season. It was another positive step for Williams, who does not come as highly regarded as many of the other prospect arms in the Marlins' system, as he continues put the results on tape. The right hander went 8-7 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 26 starts during the 2014 season, his first full season of professional ball. Though Williams is fairly hittable and has posted mediocre strikeout totals so far, he shows solid command and consistent effort. Williams should slot into the rotation at Double-A Jacksonville out of spring training as he continues to progress up the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Labors through five innings in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 13, 2019
Williams (5-5) was credited with the win against the Angels on Tuesday, tossing five innings and giving up five runs on seven hits and five walks while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up six runs in loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 7, 2019
Williams (4-5) gave up six runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out one through five innings to take the loss against the Brewers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Snags fourth win
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 2, 2019
Williams (4-4) earned the win after giving up three runs on six hits and three walks while striking out two over six innings Friday against the Mets.
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Takes tough loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 28, 2019
Williams (3-4) allowed three runs on four hits with two walks and seven strikeouts across seven innings while taking a loss against the Mets on Saturday.
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Returns to form in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 22, 2019
Williams allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits with two walks and seven strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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