2019 Stats
W-L
5-6
ERA
5.65
WHIP
1.45
K
81
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Williams provided the most confounding success story of the 2018 season. During a nine-start run from July to early September (54.2 innings), Williams posted an incredible 0.66 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He achieved those marks despite just a 34:17 K:BB over that stretch. It was a microcosm of his season as a whole; while Williams obviously wasn't that successful over the course of the full year, he still finished with great ratios despite an utter lack of dominance. Williams barely cracked 90 mph on average with his fastball, which he threw 70% of the time, and induced swinging strikes at a career-low 7.9% clip. So how on Earth did he do it? And is it sustainable? In short: by inducing a lot of manageable, playable contact, and no. His opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity was among the lowest in baseball, but without the other numbers in the underlying profile, there's simply not much to get excited about. Don't pay for last year's numbers. Read Past Outlooks
Chased early by Nats
Williams (5-6) took the loss Monday, surrendering eight runs (six earned) on six hits and three walks over only two innings while striking out one as the Pirates were routed 13-0 by the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Three of the six hits off Williams left the yard, but given that the Washington offense has been averaging better than 12 runs a game since last Wednesday, there may not have been much he could have done to avoid the drubbing. The right-hander now carries a 5.65 ERA and 81:32 K:BB through 106.2 innings, and he'll look to turn things around in his next start Saturday, at home against the Reds.
Three of the six hits off Williams left the yard, but given that the Washington offense has been averaging better than 12 runs a game since last Wednesday, there may not have been much he could have done to avoid the drubbing. The right-hander now carries a 5.65 ERA and 81:32 K:BB through 106.2 innings, and he'll look to turn things around in his next start Saturday, at home against the Reds.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2019
-29%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | Batters | K | BB | H | HR | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017vs Left | .277 | 860 | 126 | 64 | 215 | 21 | ||
| Since 2017vs Right | .235 | 955 | 198 | 75 | 199 | 28 | ||
| 2019vs Left | .348 | 201 | 28 | 15 | 62 | 8 | ||
| 2019vs Right | .248 | 271 | 53 | 17 | 61 | 12 | ||
| 2018vs Left | .228 | 351 | 46 | 27 | 72 | 8 | ||
| 2018vs Right | .234 | 350 | 80 | 28 | 74 | 7 | ||
| 2017vs Left | .286 | 308 | 52 | 22 | 81 | 5 | ||
| 2017vs Right | .225 | 334 | 65 | 30 | 64 | 9 | ||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-7%
ERA at Home
2019
-34%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017Home | 3.94 | 1.24 | 230.2 | 6.6 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2017Away | 4.25 | 1.35 | 197.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2019Home | 6.99 | 1.59 | 47.2 | 6.4 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2019Away | 4.58 | 1.34 | 59.0 | 7.2 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2018Home | 2.86 | 1.13 | 94.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2018Away | 3.42 | 1.23 | 76.1 | 6.7 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2017Home | 3.45 | 1.17 | 88.2 | 6.8 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2017Away | 4.96 | 1.51 | 61.2 | 7.3 | 4.1 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Trevor Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.53K/9
6.8BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.7Fastball
91.2 mphERA
5.65WHIP
1.45BABIP
.319GB/FB
1.04Left On Base
65.4%Exit Velocity
88.3 mphBarrels/BBE
8.1%Spin Rate
2094 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
37.2%Swinging Strike
10.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Williams
Christopher Olson suggests rolling with a Reds stack Monday against San Diego.
Mike Barner recommends a Nats stack Monday against Trevor Williams and the Pirates.
Leading Todd Zola's pitcher rankings this week is Chris Sale, whose high ERA is more a matter of bad luck than anything else.
Mike Barner suggests that an Astros stack, headlined by Carlos Correa, is a solid play Tuesday against Ivan Nova and the White Sox.
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as the Rangers' Lance Lynn is pitching as well as he has all season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Williams settled in as a back-end starter for the Pirates last season, providing an innings-eating option every fifth day. For those who were careful to use him as a home streamer, Williams returned plenty of value with good ratios at PNC Park (3.45 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) despite a very limited ability to induce whiffs. Away from Pittsburgh, his ERA was more than a run-and-a-half higher (4.96), but it's interesting to note that his ability to keep the ball in the park did not change much in more hitter-friendly parks. Looking forward, Williams should have an inside track to begin the year back in the Bucs' rotation. In order to stay there and to remain effective, he'll need to improve his changeup, as opposing hitters hit .328 with a .547 slugging percentage against that offering last season, and ideally, improve his walk rate as well, as there isn't much in his current arsenal that suggests a spike in strikeouts is on the horizon barring the addition of a new pitch or an increase in velocity.
More Fantasy News
Labors through five innings in win
Williams (5-5) was credited with the win against the Angels on Tuesday, tossing five innings and giving up five runs on seven hits and five walks while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up six runs in loss
Williams (4-5) gave up six runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out one through five innings to take the loss against the Brewers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Snags fourth win
Williams (4-4) earned the win after giving up three runs on six hits and three walks while striking out two over six innings Friday against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Takes tough loss
Williams (3-4) allowed three runs on four hits with two walks and seven strikeouts across seven innings while taking a loss against the Mets on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to form in no-decision
Williams allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits with two walks and seven strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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