Rowdy Tellez
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Tellez broke camp with the Blue Jays, expected to absorb most of the at-bats vacated by Kendrys Morales leaving. The burly left-hander played regularly over the first half, splitting time between first base and designated hitter. In July, Tellez lost playing time before being sent to Triple-A Buffalo. At the time, he was slashing an anemic .227/.280/.436. Tellez spent a month with the Bisons, righting the ship with a 1.138 OPS. He returned in mid-August, posting an improved .226/.325/.481 the rest of the way. Tellez has plus power, but poor plate skills. Fanning at a 28.4% clip isn't as dire anymore, but he needs to improve on a 7.1% walk rate. Solid contact and patience in the low minors suggest Tellez can improve at the major-league level. Still, long term, Tellez profiles best as a designated hitter, perhaps facing just righty pitching. He is in play for cheap power but is not assured a regular role. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#500
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a one-year, $579,600 contract with the Blue Jays in March of 2020.
Remains on bench
1BToronto Blue Jays
September 30, 2020
Tellez sits as expected for Game 2 of the Wild Card Round against the Rays on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Tellez was able to return from a knee strain faster than expected and make the wild-card roster, though he's not recovered enough to start. He was able to appear off the bench in Game 1, however, grabbing a hit and scoring Toronto's lone run, so a pinch-hit appearance is certainly possible again in Game 2.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
3
8
4
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+270%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .764 179 20 6 29 1 .259 .307 .457
Since 2018vs Right .811 430 59 27 62 0 .246 .309 .501
2020vs Left .811 30 5 0 4 0 .333 .367 .444
2020vs Right .910 97 15 8 19 0 .267 .340 .570
2019vs Left .831 126 13 6 23 1 .270 .317 .513
2019vs Right .702 283 36 15 31 0 .208 .283 .420
2018vs Left .324 23 2 0 2 0 .100 .174 .150
2018vs Right 1.200 50 8 4 12 0 .400 .400 .800
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+58%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+66%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .842 304 40 20 57 0 .252 .303 .539
Since 2018Away .750 305 39 13 34 1 .247 .315 .435
2020Home 1.136 48 10 5 15 0 .348 .375 .761
2020Away .717 79 10 3 8 0 .239 .329 .388
2019Home .713 213 24 12 32 0 .210 .272 .441
2019Away .773 196 25 9 22 1 .246 .316 .457
2018Home 1.128 43 6 3 10 0 .341 .372 .756
2018Away .680 30 4 1 4 0 .276 .267 .414
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Stat Review
How does Rowdy Tellez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.55
 
BB Rate
8.7%
 
K Rate
15.7%
 
BABIP
.276
 
ISO
.257
 
AVG
.283
 
OBP
.346
 
SLG
.540
 
OPS
.886
 
wOBA
.378
 
Exit Velocity
83.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.8%
 
Barrels/PA
7.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Rowdy Tellez
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43 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
While Yankee fans were enjoying Luke Voit and Rays fans enjoyed Ji-Man Choi, Jays fans got a pleasant surprise with their own September slugger. Tellez has been a solid hitter throughout his minor-league career, with above-average power and defensive limitations due to his size, but he stalled out a bit at Triple-A. Nobody could have predicted the small-sample offensive explosion he had last season with the big club (13 extra-base hits in 73 PA). Statcast did not support his September production, as his xwOBA was 80 points below his actual mark. In plain English -- the quality of his contact was not as good as the actual outcomes of his at-bats. Additionally, his 28.8 K% and 2.7 BB% in that tiny sample suggest major regression was coming. Tellez should head back to Triple-A with Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales on the big-league roster. He may get another chance in 2019, but should not be expected to recapture last year's brief success.
The subject of much doubt as he raked at each stop in the lower levels, Tellez, a 30th-round pick in 2013, always answered the bell. That is, until he got to Triple-A. Scouts who saw Tellez remarked on how it seemed like he wasn't getting good breaks on balls in play, and his .264 BABIP bears that out. However, that doesn't explain why he hit just six home runs in 122 games en route to a .110 ISO -- easily the worst mark of his career. His walk rate (9.4 percent) and his strikeout rate (18.8 percent) were fine. Triple-A pitching may have just vexed him -- sometimes guys hit a wall as they climb through the ranks. Entering his age-23 season, it's possible he can make some adjustments and earn a big-league promotion. However, with Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales around, he not only needs to show significant improvement before getting called up, but would likely need an injury to open up a spot for him.
Few first base prospects can match Tellez's excellent contact skills (17.9 percent strikeout rate) and patience (12.3 percent walk rate) while also projecting to bring a plus hit tool and plus power to the equation. There is that tiny sliver of doubt that he will hit for enough power to profile as an above average fantasy first baseman, as this marked his first season with 20-plus home runs, but a future home in the American League East should help matters. It will be worth monitoring his ability to hit lefties as he moves up the ranks. He hit .264/.345/.456 in 125 at-bats against southpaws at Double-A, which isn't bad, but it illustrates a notable platoon split. The bat is good enough against righties that a Matt Adams-esque career is the worst-case scenario. The Blue Jays kept him at Double-A all season so he likely won't reach the majors until late 2017, at the earliest.
He may have been a 30th round pick, but Tellez has quickly shot up through the team’s prospect rankings and is now a top-10 prospect in the organization. At just 20 years old, he stands an imposing 6-foot-4, 245 pounds and is a left-handed masher, picture perfect for Rogers Centre one day. He split his season between Low-A Lansing and High-A Dunedin, collectively hitting for a .289/.347/.454 slash line with 14 home runs and 77 RBI. He played particularly well when he moved up to Dunedin, hitting for a .811 OPS and seven home runs in 35 games. Tellez plays first base by necessity and doesn’t really have any speed either defensively or on the basepaths. He may start the season back at High-A Dunedin, but advance to Double-A by midsummer.
More Fantasy News
Expected to play limited role
1BToronto Blue Jays
September 29, 2020
Tellez is on the wild-card roster after his knee injury improved faster than expected, but he's expected to be limited to pinch-hit or designated hitter duty, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Game 1 lineup
1BToronto Blue Jays
September 29, 2020
Tellez will sit for the first game of the AL Wild Card Round against the Rays on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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On playoff roster
1BToronto Blue Jays
September 29, 2020
Tellez (knee) will be part of the Blue Jays' roster for their AL Wild Card Series against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Progressing well from knee injury
1BToronto Blue Jays
Knee
September 27, 2020
Tellez (knee) ran the bases during a workout Saturday and took live batting practice Sunday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Return not imminent
1BToronto Blue Jays
Knee
September 24, 2020
Tellez (knee) continues to work through a running progression but is not expected to be ready for a potential playoff roster Tuesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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