Scott Schebler
Scott Schebler
29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Schebler was having a career year before a shoulder injury landed him on the DL in July and subsequently limited his output when he returned in August. He is a capable big-league hitter, particularly against RHP (career .240/.329/.461 line), but his expected offensive production leaves something to be desired in an outfield corner, and his defense isn't ideal for center field. There was a significant outfield shake up this offseason, with Billy Hamilton getting non-tendered and the team trading for Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp. Conventional wisdom suggests Puig and Jesse Winker will play every day, while Schebler serves as the primary center fielder at the start of the season, at least against righties. However, with Kemp and Phillip Ervin still in the picture and top prospect Nick Senzel getting offseason work in the outfield, there is some playing time risk that would not have been there prior to the trade with the Dodgers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#440
ADP
Add To Watchlist
Still struggling
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
June 1, 2019
Schebler is hitting .215/.311/.241 at Triple-A Louisville and has yet to homer in 90 plate appearances since his demotion.
ANALYSIS
While Schebler nominally has lowered his strikeout rate, from 28.4% in the majors to 24.4% in the minors, his power has disappeared. His Triple-A ISO is a minuscule .026. If an injury occurs at the big-league level, it's most likely going to be Phillip Ervin getting the call over Schebler, if Ervin's not already up with the big club.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
10
2
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .774 283 32 12 31 2 .279 .304 .471
Since 2017vs Right .750 773 97 37 92 7 .213 .318 .432
2019vs Left .538 13 2 1 2 0 .154 .154 .385
2019vs Right .459 82 9 1 5 0 .118 .268 .191
2018vs Left .789 132 18 5 11 0 .296 .333 .456
2018vs Right .770 298 37 12 38 4 .235 .339 .431
2017vs Left .782 138 12 6 18 2 .276 .290 .493
2017vs Right .794 393 51 24 49 3 .215 .313 .481
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+18%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+41%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .693 515 59 21 54 7 .214 .307 .386
Since 2017Away .818 541 70 28 69 2 .249 .322 .496
2019Home .392 46 3 1 4 0 .100 .217 .175
2019Away .554 49 8 1 3 0 .146 .286 .268
2018Home .767 211 29 7 22 3 .258 .336 .430
2018Away .786 219 26 10 27 1 .253 .338 .448
2017Home .686 258 27 13 28 4 .198 .298 .387
2017Away .885 273 36 17 39 1 .263 .315 .570
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Stat Review
How does Scott Schebler compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.52
 
BB Rate
14.7%
 
K Rate
28.4%
 
BABIP
.154
 
ISO
.099
 
AVG
.123
 
OBP
.253
 
SLG
.222
 
OPS
.475
 
wOBA
.229
 
Exit Velocity
86.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.8%
 
Barrels/PA
2.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Scott Schebler
Farm Futures: September Callup Candidates
59 days ago
James Anderson profiles every potentially relevant September callup, including Kyle Tucker, who has been worse in a repeat tour of the Pacific Coast League.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
161 days ago
Jan Levine delivers this week's top NL FAAB picks, including Reds prospect Nick Senzel, who was called up Friday from Triple-A Louisville.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
180 days ago
Jesse Siegel returns with a new list of young hotshots, including a potential future stud at the hot corner for the Cardinals.
NL FAAB Factor - Waiver Pickups of the Week
182 days ago
Jan Levine returns with the latest crop of available NL players, including an injured Nick Senzel primed to return to Cinci in the next month.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Breakdown
192 days ago
On FanDuel's light Thursday main slate, Kevin Payne see a shaky group of starting pitchers, though surprisingly, Matt Harvey carries plenty of potential.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Schebler was one of 41 players that hit 30-plus homers in 2017, which helps illustrate why players like he and Adam Duvall were less valuable than initially perceived. Despite the 30 homers, Schebler couldn't reach 70 runs scored or batted in. Mix in a .233 batting average, and he earned just $5 in standard 12-team mixed leagues, using RotoWire's Earned Auction Value tool. The good news is, that still was a profit compared to his draft-day price, as he was a reserve or went undrafted in most leagues (ADP: 374). Schebler dramatically changed his launch angle last year, increasing his FB% from 29.1 percent to 38.2 percent. Even if he can maintain that flyball percentage, he might still end up with fewer homers, as his HR/FB% was 22.4 percent. One positive from Schebler's breakout season was that much of it occurred away from the friendly dimensions at Great American Ballpark -- he had an .885 OPS on the road, against a .686 OPS at home. Playing time isn't guaranteed for Schebler, however, as something will have to give between him, Adam Duvall, Billy Hamilton and Jesse Winker.
The Reds acquired Schebler from the Dodgers prior to the 2016 season and immediately deployed him as part of the outfield rotation. He failed to capitalize on the opportunity, batting just .188 in his first 27 games before being sent down to Triple-A. There he found his form at the plate, slashing .311/.370/.564 in 75 games. His adjustments carried over after he was called up to replace Jay Bruce in right, as he finished the season with a .290/.357/.461 line in his final 55 games, bringing his major league season line to a respectable level. He was the starter for the rest of the season after Bruce was dealt, but with his weak numbers against lefties, Schebler will likely find himself as part of a platoon in the outfield to begin 2017. Jesse Winker could start eating into Schebler's opportunities by midseason.
Schebler took a little step back at the plate last year after knocking a combined 55 home runs the prior two seasons (17.6 AB/HR) in the Dodgers' minor league system. He hit just .241/.322/.410 for Triple-A Oklahoma City before going 9-for-36 (.250) with three home runs in a late-season run with the big club. Schebler did steal 15 bases for Oklahoma City and two with the Dodgers and has shown double-digit potential in that area. However, with no real use for him, the Dodgers included Schebler in a trade to the Reds this offseason. At 25, the clock is ticking for Schebler to show enough to be a big league regular, but he may get an extended opportunity in 2015, possibly filling the void in left field to open the campaign. Given the park, playing time, and his power from the left side, Schebler could emerge as a viable NL-only and deep-mixed outfield option.
To this point, Schebler’s prospect stock has always been well behind his on-field production. After blasting 27 home runs with 16 steals at High-A Rancho Cucamonga in 2013, he raked his way to 28 home runs and a .280/.365/.556 slash line in 135 games at Double-A Chattanooga last season. As a 24-year-old former 26th-round draft pick, there are plenty of reasons to discount Schebler, but at some point he will get a chance to prove his stick can handle big-league caliber pitching. As a left field prospect, he will have to keep crushing the ball, otherwise he will end up being a fourth outfielder. It also does not help that he is in the Dodgers' system, as Joc Pederson stands between Schebler and an everyday job. He might be worth a flier at this point in deeper dynasty leagues, but it should not come as a surprise if he fails to replicate his recent success as he faces better pitching.
More Fantasy News
Banished to minors
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
May 4, 2019
Schebler was optioned to Triple-A Louisville on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Sits for second straight
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
May 1, 2019
Schebler is out of the lineup for the second straight game Wednesday against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out Tuesday
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
April 30, 2019
Schebler is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Drops to seventh
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
April 28, 2019
Schebler dropped to seventh in the order for Sunday's game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Wednesday
OFCincinnati Reds  AAA
April 24, 2019
Schebler is not starting Wednesday against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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