Scott Schebler
Scott Schebler
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Schebler was having a career year before a shoulder injury landed him on the DL in July and subsequently limited his output when he returned in August. He is a capable big-league hitter, particularly against RHP (career .240/.329/.461 line), but his expected offensive production leaves something to be desired in an outfield corner, and his defense isn't ideal for center field. There was a significant outfield shake up this offseason, with Billy Hamilton getting non-tendered and the team trading for Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp. Conventional wisdom suggests Puig and Jesse Winker will play every day, while Schebler serves as the primary center fielder at the start of the season, at least against righties. However, with Kemp and Phillip Ervin still in the picture and top prospect Nick Senzel getting offseason work in the outfield, there is some playing time risk that would not have been there prior to the trade with the Dodgers. Read Past Outlooks
Outstanding spring continues
OFCincinnati Reds
March 18, 2019
Schebler homered in the first inning of Monday's spring training game against the Rockies' Kyle Freeland. He entered the game hitting hitting .412/.621/.647 this spring.
ANALYSIS
To the extent that spring training stats matter for job battles, Schebler has done well to state his case. He's still battling Nick Senzel for the starting center field job, and he could still earn playing time otherwise in left field should Senzel start the year with the big club. That would mean that Jesse Winker sits, however, and manager David Bell said earlier that he wants Winker to get 450-plus at-bats.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .761 315 33 12 35 2 .273 .305 .457
Since 2016vs Right .785 928 121 44 121 9 .238 .329 .457
2018vs Left .789 132 18 5 11 0 .296 .333 .456
2018vs Right .770 298 37 12 38 4 .235 .339 .431
2017vs Left .782 138 12 6 18 2 .276 .290 .493
2017vs Right .794 393 51 24 49 3 .215 .313 .481
2016vs Left .608 45 3 1 6 0 .195 .267 .341
2016vs Right .791 237 33 8 34 2 .278 .342 .449
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .762 609 75 25 72 8 .249 .332 .430
Since 2016Away .796 634 79 31 84 3 .247 .314 .482
2018Home .767 211 29 7 22 3 .258 .336 .430
2018Away .786 219 26 10 27 1 .253 .338 .448
2017Home .686 258 27 13 28 4 .198 .298 .387
2017Away .885 273 36 17 39 1 .263 .315 .570
2016Home .890 140 19 5 22 1 .323 .386 .504
2016Away .636 142 17 4 18 1 .208 .275 .362
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Stat Review
How does Scott Schebler compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.39
 
BB Rate
9.1%
 
K Rate
23.0%
 
BABIP
.301
 
ISO
.184
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.337
 
SLG
.439
 
OPS
.777
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Scott Schebler
Spring Training Job Battles: Nearing the Finish Line
Yesterday
Erik Halterman checks in on all of the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball as spring training winds down.
Spring Training Job Battles: Past the Halfway Point
8 days ago
Erik Halterman provides a mid-March update on all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball.
Spring Training Job Battles: The Games Begin
24 days ago
Erik Halterman details all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball at the outset of spring training.
Collette Calls: NL Central Bold Predictions
35 days ago
Jason Collette moves on to the NL Central for more bold predictions. Find out why he's not on the Willson Contreras bandwagon.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Value Plays
182 days ago
Chris Morgan previews Thursday's FanDuel slate, recommending A's outfielder Stephen Piscotty against the visiting Angels.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Schebler was one of 41 players that hit 30-plus homers in 2017, which helps illustrate why players like he and Adam Duvall were less valuable than initially perceived. Despite the 30 homers, Schebler couldn't reach 70 runs scored or batted in. Mix in a .233 batting average, and he earned just $5 in standard 12-team mixed leagues, using RotoWire's Earned Auction Value tool. The good news is, that still was a profit compared to his draft-day price, as he was a reserve or went undrafted in most leagues (ADP: 374). Schebler dramatically changed his launch angle last year, increasing his FB% from 29.1 percent to 38.2 percent. Even if he can maintain that flyball percentage, he might still end up with fewer homers, as his HR/FB% was 22.4 percent. One positive from Schebler's breakout season was that much of it occurred away from the friendly dimensions at Great American Ballpark -- he had an .885 OPS on the road, against a .686 OPS at home. Playing time isn't guaranteed for Schebler, however, as something will have to give between him, Adam Duvall, Billy Hamilton and Jesse Winker.
The Reds acquired Schebler from the Dodgers prior to the 2016 season and immediately deployed him as part of the outfield rotation. He failed to capitalize on the opportunity, batting just .188 in his first 27 games before being sent down to Triple-A. There he found his form at the plate, slashing .311/.370/.564 in 75 games. His adjustments carried over after he was called up to replace Jay Bruce in right, as he finished the season with a .290/.357/.461 line in his final 55 games, bringing his major league season line to a respectable level. He was the starter for the rest of the season after Bruce was dealt, but with his weak numbers against lefties, Schebler will likely find himself as part of a platoon in the outfield to begin 2017. Jesse Winker could start eating into Schebler's opportunities by midseason.
Schebler took a little step back at the plate last year after knocking a combined 55 home runs the prior two seasons (17.6 AB/HR) in the Dodgers' minor league system. He hit just .241/.322/.410 for Triple-A Oklahoma City before going 9-for-36 (.250) with three home runs in a late-season run with the big club. Schebler did steal 15 bases for Oklahoma City and two with the Dodgers and has shown double-digit potential in that area. However, with no real use for him, the Dodgers included Schebler in a trade to the Reds this offseason. At 25, the clock is ticking for Schebler to show enough to be a big league regular, but he may get an extended opportunity in 2015, possibly filling the void in left field to open the campaign. Given the park, playing time, and his power from the left side, Schebler could emerge as a viable NL-only and deep-mixed outfield option.
To this point, Schebler’s prospect stock has always been well behind his on-field production. After blasting 27 home runs with 16 steals at High-A Rancho Cucamonga in 2013, he raked his way to 28 home runs and a .280/.365/.556 slash line in 135 games at Double-A Chattanooga last season. As a 24-year-old former 26th-round draft pick, there are plenty of reasons to discount Schebler, but at some point he will get a chance to prove his stick can handle big-league caliber pitching. As a left field prospect, he will have to keep crushing the ball, otherwise he will end up being a fourth outfielder. It also does not help that he is in the Dodgers' system, as Joc Pederson stands between Schebler and an everyday job. He might be worth a flier at this point in deeper dynasty leagues, but it should not come as a surprise if he fails to replicate his recent success as he faces better pitching.
More Fantasy News
Competing for center field job
OFCincinnati Reds
February 21, 2019
Schebler will be among those competing for the Reds' starting center field job, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. "I'm interested to see him in center. Everyone I've talked to that has seen him, people are confident that he can do it," manager David Bell said. "I am, too, but it'll be a good opportunity to see him out there. I'm convinced he can be really good in left and right."
ANALYSIS
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Moving to left field in 2019
OFCincinnati Reds
September 29, 2018
The Reds intend to move Schebler from right field to left field in 2019, with Jesse Winker becoming the full-time right fielder, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
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Heads to bench Friday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 21, 2018
Schebler is not in the lineup Friday against Miami.
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Out of Saturday's lineup
OFCincinnati Reds
September 15, 2018
Schebler is out of the lineup against the Cubs on Saturday.
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Not in lineup Monday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 10, 2018
Schebler is not starting Monday against the Dodgers.
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