Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Devers celebrated his 22nd birthday during Game 2 of the 2018 World Series, when many prospects are resting after their Triple-A campaign, so there's plenty of time to improve in deficient areas. Devers' ability to handle velocity and hang in against southpaws heads his skill set. He needs to work on consistency at the dish and in the field, but that should come with experience. Once Boston handed him the reins at the hot corner in the playoffs, his defense rose to the occasion. Contact is Devers' biggest batting woe. His 6.1% Barrels/PA was 91st in the league, impressive for his age. His .281 BABIP seems low according to Statcast data, though his line-drive rate was below average. Still, positive regression is likely. His second-half hamstring issues shouldn't be much of a concern after his playoff performance. Be aggressive but not overly so as Devers may still sit against some lefties. The long-term upside as a perennial All-Star is still on course. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $564,500 contract with the Red Sox in March of 2018.
Reshapes body over winter
3BBoston Red Sox
February 5, 2019
Devers hired a nutritionist over the offseason and has focused on improving his conditioning throughout the winter, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports. "I feel healthy right now," Devers said in January. "I think I'm in a good place. Last year, I had a lot of injuries and I think it was a product of the weight."
Officially listed at six-foot, 237 pounds, Devers hasn't tracked his weight loss over the last few months, but Cotillo notes that the third baseman is noticeably slimmer than he was during his first two seasons with Boston. Conditioning issues may have contributed in part to Devers requiring three stints on the disabled list between last July and August, with a pair of hamstring injuries in particular proving problematic. The missed time coupled with a 44-point slide in batting average made Devers' sophomore season a disappointing one, but improved health and another year of experience should increase the 22-year-old's odds of tapping into more of his considerable upside in 2019.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Even Split
No Stats
Since 2016vs Left .758 182 24 5 25 3 .280 .335 .423
Since 2016vs Right .761 548 69 26 71 5 .246 .303 .458
2018vs Left .619 125 14 3 21 1 .229 .272 .347
2018vs Right .771 365 45 18 45 4 .244 .307 .464
2017vs Left 1.074 57 10 2 4 2 .400 .474 .600
2017vs Right .743 183 24 8 26 1 .250 .295 .448
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
No Stats
Since 2016Home .793 352 52 15 42 4 .262 .318 .475
Since 2016Away .730 378 41 16 54 4 .247 .304 .425
2018Home .726 218 29 9 25 2 .231 .294 .432
2018Away .736 272 30 12 41 3 .247 .301 .434
2017Home .902 134 23 6 17 2 .312 .358 .544
2017Away .713 106 11 4 13 1 .247 .311 .402
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Rafael Devers compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Rafael Devers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
The Red Sox decided to give Devers a look rather than trade for a third baseman at the deadline, and Devers proved up to the challenge as he more than held his own against top-level pitching as a 20-year-old. Devers posted a .344 wOBA and 111 wRC+ in 240 plate appearance and showed an ability to easily catch up to premium velocity. He was fortunate on balls in play (.342 BABIP), but Devers' strikeout rate was entirely manageable at 23.8 percent and the quality of the contact he made was excellent (89.5 mph average exit velocity). Devers beat up on same-handed pitching, albeit in a small sample, and he continued his success into the ALDS. A 9.7 percent walk rate in 77 games at Double-A last season hints at room for growth in that department as the former top prospect matures, and the lineup is conducive to compiling strong run and RBI totals. Fenway traditionally isn't great for lefty power, but Devers' bat is good enough to overcome the park.
Devers' future with Boston became a whole lot clearer in a matter of hours at the MLB Winter Meetings. That's when president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski traded prospects Yoan Moncada and Mauricio Dubon, and Travis Shaw, who started more games at third base than any other player last season. There's now a direct line from Pablo Sandoval in Fenway Park to Devers, who should start the 2017 season at Double-A Portland. As a 19-year-old in the Carolina League, where the average age is 22, Devers overcame an awful start to become a postseason All-Star selection, slashing .282/.335/.443/.779 with 11 homers and 32 doubles. The Carolina League, particularly the park in Salem, notoriously suppresses power, so expect to see an uptick in homers when he moves north to Portland. He also added an element of speed, posting career highs in triples (eight) and stolen bases (18), a testament to him showing up in better shape.
Devers did nothing to diminish his prospect status in 2015, slashing .288/.329/.443 as an 18-year-old for Low-A Greenville in the South Atlantic League. As a matter of fact, he enhanced his status, moving up from number 99 in Baseball America’s top-100 list at the start the season to number 15 in their mid-season adjusted rankings. All the projectable skills remain — Devers has an advanced-for-his-age plate approach, proper swing mechanics, and can spray the ball to all fields. He is solidly built and projects to be a future middle-of-the-order power hitter, but his stroke right now lends itself to more doubles power — his 38 two-baggers were second in the Sally League. As he matures and gets stronger, Devers should develop plus power to go with a plus hit tool. He will remain on a third-base track for now, but could end up at DH long term. Devers should begin his age-19 season at High-A Salem.
Devers, considered the jewel of Boston's international free-agent signings in 2013, spent his first full year in the Boston organization in 2014, using his advanced hitting skills to tear up the Dominican Summer League and the Gulf Coast League. He slashed .322/.404/.506 with seven homers in 302 plate appearances. The Red Sox are quite pleased with his plate approach and ability to hit to all fields. They also saw improved defense from Devers, a solidly built 18-year-old who will remain at third base for the time being. He may add more bulk as he matures, something that could reduce his lateral quickness and necessitate a move to first base or left field. Look for Devers to make the progression to short-season Lowell with the potential to reach Low-A Greenville in the second half of 2015.
Devers, a 17-year-old that was one of the top international free agents, is all projection at this point. This coming season will be his first full one in the organization. At such a young age, Devers is still growing and may add too much weight, putting a move to first base in order. At this point, though, third base is home and he's showed enough instincts to stay there. Regardless of his eventual position, there is a lot of upside here.
More Fantasy News
Launches three-run homer
3BBoston Red Sox
October 19, 2018
Devers went 1-for-2 with a sixth-inning three-run homer during Boston's pennant-clinching 4-1 win over the Astros on Thursday.
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To come off bench in Game 3
3BBoston Red Sox
October 15, 2018
Devers will head to the bench for Game 3 of the ALCS against the Astros on Tuesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
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Sits to start ALCS
3BBoston Red Sox
October 13, 2018
Devers is on the bench for the first game of the ALCS against the Astros on Saturday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Sits against Sabathia in Game 4
3BBoston Red Sox
October 9, 2018
Devers is not in the lineup for Game 4 of the ALDS against the Yankees on Tuesday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Out against righty in Game 2
3BBoston Red Sox
October 6, 2018
Devers remains out of the lineup for Game 2 of the ALDS against righty Masahiro Tanaka and the Yankees on Saturday.
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