Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Devers celebrated his 22nd birthday during Game 2 of the 2018 World Series, when many prospects are resting after their Triple-A campaign, so there's plenty of time to improve in deficient areas. Devers' ability to handle velocity and hang in against southpaws heads his skill set. He needs to work on consistency at the dish and in the field, but that should come with experience. Once Boston handed him the reins at the hot corner in the playoffs, his defense rose to the occasion. Contact is Devers' biggest batting woe. His 6.1% Barrels/PA was 91st in the league, impressive for his age. His .281 BABIP seems low according to Statcast data, though his line-drive rate was below average. Still, positive regression is likely. His second-half hamstring issues shouldn't be much of a concern after his playoff performance. Be aggressive but not overly so as Devers may still sit against some lefties. The long-term upside as a perennial All-Star is still on course. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $564,500 contract with the Red Sox in March of 2018.
Claims hardware
3BBoston Red Sox
August 19, 2019
Devers was named the American League Player of the Week on Monday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Devers could do no wrong last week, slashing .593/.633/1.185 with three home runs, seven doubles and 11 RBI in six games. The 22-year-old leads the majors in doubles (46), hits (167), RBI (101) and total bases (300).
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
31
8
15
12
18
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
18
1
3
6
2
3
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+45%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .798 346 53 12 52 3 .291 .327 .471
Since 2017vs Right .870 939 143 46 146 13 .285 .344 .526
2019vs Left .839 164 29 7 27 0 .302 .317 .522
2019vs Right 1.025 391 74 20 75 8 .341 .403 .622
2018vs Left .619 125 14 3 21 1 .229 .272 .347
2018vs Right .771 365 45 18 45 4 .244 .307 .464
2017vs Left 1.074 57 10 2 4 2 .400 .474 .600
2017vs Right .743 183 24 8 26 1 .250 .295 .448
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .870 634 101 26 93 6 .294 .343 .527
Since 2017Away .831 651 95 32 105 10 .280 .336 .494
2019Home .965 282 49 11 51 2 .332 .374 .592
2019Away .971 273 54 16 51 6 .325 .381 .590
2018Home .726 218 29 9 25 2 .231 .294 .432
2018Away .736 272 30 12 41 3 .247 .301 .434
2017Home .902 134 23 6 17 2 .312 .358 .544
2017Away .713 106 11 4 13 1 .247 .311 .402
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Stat Review
How does Rafael Devers compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.44
 
BB Rate
7.0%
 
K Rate
16.0%
 
BABIP
.355
 
ISO
.262
 
AVG
.329
 
OBP
.377
 
SLG
.591
 
OPS
.968
 
wOBA
.413
 
Exit Velocity
93.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.9%
 
Barrels/PA
6.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Rafael Devers
Regan's Rumblings: Keeper Value Trending Up
3 days ago
Dave Regan discusses which MLB veterans have increased their keeper value the most this year, including Arizona’s Ketel Marte, who’s hitting a .320/.381/.568 with 25 home runs and eight steals.
Farm Futures: Top 15 Hitters Under 23
3 days ago
James Anderson ranks the 15 best hitters under 23 years old, including Atlanta's dynamic young duo of Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies.
Collette Calls: Devers Delights
4 days ago
Jason Collette analyzes the progress Rafael Devers has made this season and whether we should expect it to continue.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
5 days ago
Yusei Kikuchi is having trouble keeping the ball inside the park, so Chris Morgan gladly recommends the hot-hitting Randal Grichuk today.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
6 days ago
Chris Bennett notes that after watching the Dodgers launch bombs Friday in Suntrust Park, it's hard not to expect more fireworks against Braves pitcher Mike Foltynewicz.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
The Red Sox decided to give Devers a look rather than trade for a third baseman at the deadline, and Devers proved up to the challenge as he more than held his own against top-level pitching as a 20-year-old. Devers posted a .344 wOBA and 111 wRC+ in 240 plate appearance and showed an ability to easily catch up to premium velocity. He was fortunate on balls in play (.342 BABIP), but Devers' strikeout rate was entirely manageable at 23.8 percent and the quality of the contact he made was excellent (89.5 mph average exit velocity). Devers beat up on same-handed pitching, albeit in a small sample, and he continued his success into the ALDS. A 9.7 percent walk rate in 77 games at Double-A last season hints at room for growth in that department as the former top prospect matures, and the lineup is conducive to compiling strong run and RBI totals. Fenway traditionally isn't great for lefty power, but Devers' bat is good enough to overcome the park.
Devers' future with Boston became a whole lot clearer in a matter of hours at the MLB Winter Meetings. That's when president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski traded prospects Yoan Moncada and Mauricio Dubon, and Travis Shaw, who started more games at third base than any other player last season. There's now a direct line from Pablo Sandoval in Fenway Park to Devers, who should start the 2017 season at Double-A Portland. As a 19-year-old in the Carolina League, where the average age is 22, Devers overcame an awful start to become a postseason All-Star selection, slashing .282/.335/.443/.779 with 11 homers and 32 doubles. The Carolina League, particularly the park in Salem, notoriously suppresses power, so expect to see an uptick in homers when he moves north to Portland. He also added an element of speed, posting career highs in triples (eight) and stolen bases (18), a testament to him showing up in better shape.
Devers did nothing to diminish his prospect status in 2015, slashing .288/.329/.443 as an 18-year-old for Low-A Greenville in the South Atlantic League. As a matter of fact, he enhanced his status, moving up from number 99 in Baseball America’s top-100 list at the start the season to number 15 in their mid-season adjusted rankings. All the projectable skills remain — Devers has an advanced-for-his-age plate approach, proper swing mechanics, and can spray the ball to all fields. He is solidly built and projects to be a future middle-of-the-order power hitter, but his stroke right now lends itself to more doubles power — his 38 two-baggers were second in the Sally League. As he matures and gets stronger, Devers should develop plus power to go with a plus hit tool. He will remain on a third-base track for now, but could end up at DH long term. Devers should begin his age-19 season at High-A Salem.
Devers, considered the jewel of Boston's international free-agent signings in 2013, spent his first full year in the Boston organization in 2014, using his advanced hitting skills to tear up the Dominican Summer League and the Gulf Coast League. He slashed .322/.404/.506 with seven homers in 302 plate appearances. The Red Sox are quite pleased with his plate approach and ability to hit to all fields. They also saw improved defense from Devers, a solidly built 18-year-old who will remain at third base for the time being. He may add more bulk as he matures, something that could reduce his lateral quickness and necessitate a move to first base or left field. Look for Devers to make the progression to short-season Lowell with the potential to reach Low-A Greenville in the second half of 2015.
Devers, a 17-year-old that was one of the top international free agents, is all projection at this point. This coming season will be his first full one in the organization. At such a young age, Devers is still growing and may add too much weight, putting a move to first base in order. At this point, though, third base is home and he's showed enough instincts to stay there. Regardless of his eventual position, there is a lot of upside here.
More Fantasy News
Records four more hits
3BBoston Red Sox
August 18, 2019
Devers went 4-for-5 with a double, home run, four RBI and two runs in a 13-7 victory against the Orioles on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 26th homer
3BBoston Red Sox
August 17, 2019
Devers went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in Saturday's 4-0 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Keeps hitting
3BBoston Red Sox
August 14, 2019
Devers went 2-for-4 with a walk, a home run and two runs scored overall Wednesday against the Indians.
ANALYSIS
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Delivers six hits, four doubles
3BBoston Red Sox
August 13, 2019
Devers went 6-for-6 with four doubles, one run scored and three RBI in Tuesday's win over the Indians. He was also caught stealing.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Saturday
3BBoston Red Sox
August 10, 2019
Devers is not in Saturday's lineup against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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