Alex Reyes
Alex Reyes
25-Year-Old PitcherRP
St. Louis Cardinals
7-Day IL
Injury Pectoral
Est. Return 2/1/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Beware injury optimism. As Reyes neared his return from Tommy John surgery, the buzz grew loud, with many expecting the right-hander to perform at an ace-like level over the final four months of the season. As fate would have it, Reyes made just one lone start for the major-league team. He experienced a significant inning-to-inning velocity drop in his debut and landed right back on the DL a day later with a right lat injury. A tendon tear was diagnosed and season-ending surgery was deemed necessary in early June. Considering Reyes threw a total of just 27 innings in a competitive setting last year after a completely lost season in 2017, it's unreasonable to expect any more than 100 frames in 2019. Said innings could be of extremely high quality, and the chance he eventually works into the closer role for St. Louis gives him some added appeal, but the workload limitations put a firm cap on Reyes' fantasy upside for the upcoming season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#236
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cardinals in August of 2016.
Shifting to offseason program
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
September 12, 2019
Reyes (pectoral) has halted his 2019 in-season throwing program and will soon be shifting to a plan designed to prepare him for spring training, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
In the wake of a third straight injury-shortened season, Reyes will meet with Cardinals head physician Dr. George Paletta in coming days to set a winter workout plan. Reyes ultimately logged just 31 frames in 2019, with 28 of those innings coming at Triple-A Memphis. Finger and pectoral injuries were the culprits of his truncated campaign this time around, but Reyes has also dealt with shoulder troubles in the last two years. Reyes still isn't arbitration-eligible this offseason, so the team will have another year of evaluation time on him before he sees a bump in salary to some degree.
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Pitching Stats
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
18
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Alex Reyes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Alex Reyes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-64%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .111 14 1 4 1 0 0 0
Since 2017vs Right .308 18 2 4 4 0 0 1
2019vs Left .000 7 1 2 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right .333 10 0 4 2 0 0 1
2018vs Left .200 7 0 2 1 0 0 0
2018vs Right .286 8 2 0 2 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-89%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 27.00 4.00 1.0 0 1 0 0.0 27.0 9.0
Since 2017Away 3.00 1.50 6.0 0 0 0 4.5 7.5 0.0
2019Home 27.00 4.00 1.0 0 1 0 0.0 27.0 9.0
2019Away 9.00 2.00 2.0 0 0 0 4.5 13.5 0.0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0.00 1.25 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 4.5 0.0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alex Reyes compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.17
 
K/9
3.0
 
BB/9
18.0
 
HR/9
3.0
 
Fastball
96.8 mph
 
ERA
15.00
 
WHIP
2.67
 
BABIP
.118
 
GB/FB
0.50
 
Left On Base
45.5%
 
Exit Velocity
90.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2326 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
50.0%
 
Swinging Strike
5.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Few pitching prospects can match Reyes' upside, but his immediate outlook is vexing. He underwent Tommy John surgery Feb. 16, 2017 and threw his first bullpen session in September. According to a study by The Hardball Times in 2014, pitchers like Reyes, who undergo the surgery between the ages of 22 and 23, experience an average return time of 15.4 months, with a 94 percent success rate (based on a sample of 143 pitchers). So while Reyes could be ready at the start of the season, it's more likely that he is not ready until May or June. Adding to the confusion is the fact that we don't know how the Cardinals plan to use Reyes in his first year back. While he is clearly a starter long term, he could spend some or all of 2018 building up his arm strength in the big-league bullpen. He is a worthy stash candidate in most formats, and while the payoff could be huge if he returns to the big-league rotation early in the first half, the risk is significant.
The Cardinals initially promoted Reyes in early August to serve as a relief ace, but poor performance and injuries in the rotation led to him receiving five starts over the season's final month. He was almost unhittable as a reliever (.138 BAA) and remained dominant as a starter, but he clearly walked too many batters in both roles. Reyes has ace-level stuff, not only dominating with his famed four-seamer that sits at 97 mph and can touch 102, but also rendering hitters helpless with highly effective secondaries in his curveball (.538 OPS against, 46.2 strikeout percentage) and changeup (.592, 34.4 percent). Fringe-average fastball command and control are the only blemishes in his profile, but his stuff is so nasty that he understandably reached the majors after just 100 combined innings at Double-A Springfield and Triple-A Memphis. Noah Syndergaard, for instance, needed 216.2 innings at those two levels before his MLB debut. Unfortunately, Reyes' development will be delayed as he is slated to undergo Tommy John surgery and miss the entire 2017 season.
A breakout candidate heading into 2015, Reyes emerged as one of the five best pitching prospects in the minor leagues last season. He posted a 2.49 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and an eye-popping 151 strikeouts in 101.1 innings across three levels, finishing with a strong eight-start showing with Double-A Springfield. Reyes pumps gas that can touch 100 mph, but he also boasts a plus curveball and a changeup that should be average or better in time. His command is fringe average, but it does not really matter, given how nasty his stuff is. Opponents hit just .169 against him in 34.2 innings at Double-A, so his 18 walks were inconsequential. He will miss the first 50 games of 2016 after testing positive for marijuana, but that only hurts his value in single-season leagues, as he is unlikely to come up in time to make a major impact this season. However, Reyes could be a 200-K pitcher in the big leagues by 2017.
Reyes is one of the Cardinals' better pitching prospects as he's looked very good at times pitching to batters several years older than him at the Low-A level. His biggest issue has been control and that was no different in 2014; while he was less hittable he still saw his walk rate rise from 11.1% to 13.1%. Next season will be only the 20-year-old's third season as a pro and he's never looked out of place. The talent and stuff is definitely there, but he will need to harness his control issues if he wants to work his way into an MLB rotation instead of a late-innings relief role. He's proven he has the fastball to be successful in either role, striking out 137 batters in 2014 in just 109.1 innings of work. If all goes well, Reyes should finish 2015 in Double-A and be ready for his MLB debut some time in 2016.
More Fantasy News
Still not in 'throwing mode'
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
August 19, 2019
Reyes (pectoral) remains without a timetable to resume a throwing program, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports. "He's been evaluated a couple of different times, he's had a couple of different opinions," manager Mike Shildt said Sunday. "No one has seen anything different, necessarily. But Alex is not in a throwing mode. He's in a rehabilitation mode to get back to throwing."
ANALYSIS
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Seeking second opinion
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
August 9, 2019
Reyes (pectoral) met with team doctors as scheduled Thursday and was encouraged to seek a second opinion regarding his injury, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Meeting with team doctors
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
August 7, 2019
Reyes is traveling to St. Louis on Wednesday to meet with team doctors due to continuing pain in his shoulder/pectoral area, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws bullpen session
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
August 5, 2019
Reyes (pectoral) threw a bullpen session Monday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scheduled to throw off mound
PSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Pectoral
July 29, 2019
Reyes (pectoral) is scheduled to throw off the mound early next week, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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