Carlos Rodon
Carlos Rodon
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Rodon enters 2019 as one of the game’s biggest wild cards. His 2018 was delayed as he rehabbed from shoulder surgery performed the previous September, debuting in early June. He struggled a bit out of the gate, sporting a 4.55 ERA after five starts, albeit with a solid 1.18 WHIP. Rodon then got on a roll, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine starts, covering 63.2 frames. Unfortunately, Rodon fell apart in September, recording a 9.22 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 27.1 stanzas. Rodon truthers will highlight the middle stretch, writing off the early struggles to rust and the late ones to running out of gas. But here’s the thing: a 20 K% and 11.1 BB% in the middle set is rather pedestrian. His xFIP in that span was 4.77. The success was driven by an unsustainable .175 BABIP. The early market is expressing optimism, assuming not only will Rodon avoid injury, but that he’ll return to previous strikeout levels while honing his spotty control. That’s a risky bet. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $4.2 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Likely starter Opening Day
PChicago White Sox
February 16, 2019
Rodon is the leading candidate to start Opening Day in Kansas City on Mar. 28, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
After a delayed start in 2018 due to his recovery from shoulder surgery, Rodon pitched like an ace for much of the summer. The left-hander went 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA and .151 batting-average against over nine starts between July 5 and Aug. 27, but Rodon fell apart in six September starts (1-5, 9.22 ERA). There were underlying numbers to indicate his summer stretch was unsustainable -- .176 BABIP, 3.90 FIP, 4.77 xFIP, 3.8 BB/9 -- but that horrible September is not an accurate picture. The White Sox are anxious to see how the 26-year-old performs from March to September, given Rodon's full offseason of health.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .248 314 76 25 70 11 2 10
Since 2016vs Right .251 1209 258 115 267 51 2 40
2018vs Left .245 112 21 15 23 4 1 6
2018vs Right .213 399 69 40 74 16 1 9
2017vs Left .286 69 18 5 18 2 0 2
2017vs Right .234 228 58 26 46 12 0 10
2016vs Left .232 133 37 5 29 5 1 2
2016vs Right .283 582 131 49 147 23 1 21
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 3.85 1.33 177.2 9 11 0 8.5 3.3 1.3
Since 2016Away 4.36 1.36 177.1 8 12 0 8.5 3.8 1.2
2018Home 3.58 1.14 55.1 3 3 0 6.7 2.9 1.3
2018Away 4.68 1.36 65.1 3 5 0 6.8 5.1 1.0
2017Home 3.72 1.42 38.2 1 3 0 8.4 4.2 1.9
2017Away 4.70 1.30 30.2 1 2 0 11.7 3.8 1.2
2016Home 4.09 1.41 83.2 5 5 0 9.7 3.1 1.1
2016Away 3.98 1.38 81.1 4 5 0 8.6 2.8 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Carlos Rodon compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
93.0 mph
Strand %
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Planning on ramping up Rodon's workload last season, the White Sox took it slow in the spring. It turned out their concerns were warranted as Rodon left a March 28 spring game with a tight bicep, later diagnosed as left shoulder bursitis, keeping him out until June 28. Rodon's throwing shoulder started barking again down the stretch, shutting him down for the season on Sept. 2. In between, the lefty was typically inconsistent, largely a result of spotty control, walking 31 in 69.1 innings. Homers also contributed, as he served up a dozen long balls. The saving grace was 76 punchouts. Rodon's trend has been to finish with a flourish, but there's no telling if his 4.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP would have improved with another month of starts. Rodon had arthroscopic surgery in late September, with a six-to-eight month timetable, putting Opening Day in jeopardy. Expect the White Sox to again treat their prized southpaw with kid gloves.
Rodon's 2016 wasn't too different from 2015: low-4.00 ERA through the first four months before a sprint of quality work to the finish line that featured the upside that made him the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 draft. One major difference between the two seasons was a big improvement in his walk rate, but it came at the expense of his command as he allowed more hits and nearly twice as many home runs. The season still stands as a worthy building block for a 24-year-old lefty trying to fulfill his frontline upside. His elite slider was even better in 2016, and his changeup took a big step forward, but not enough to offset his fastball getting less effective. Velocity is great, but a good fastball requires much more (namely, command). His walk gains came via the fastball, but it was also responsible for the home run troubles. This is exactly the kind of profile you want to bet on, though: The cost doesn't require major gains to pay off, but the upside is massive.
Rodon’s transition to the majors was rocky, and while he struck out 64 through his first 60 innings as a starter, he also walked 37 over that same stretch. However, he learned on the job and was stellar in the season’s final two months - he posted a 1.81 ERA and .198 BAA over his final eight outings. Rodon entered the big leagues with a big league-ready slider, and the pitch was as good as advertised. Ninety-seven of his 139 strikeouts came off the slider, and his upper-90s fastball was also impressive. He could take the jump if he polishes a third pitch. Rodon should slot behind Chris Sale and Jose Quintana in the White Sox’s rotation.
Rodon entered his junior year at North Carolina State as the prohibitive No. 1 overall pick. However, concerns about his workload budged him from the top spot in the 2014 June draft, and he fell to the White Sox at No. 3. It took much of the summer for the two sides to agree on a contract, which may have worked out better for his overworked arm. His plus fastball and slider blew away college batters, and the White Sox want him to add a changeup to the mix. Even without a refined third pitch, he ranks as one of the top prospects in the system and could be in the mix for a rotation spot out of camp, though vice president of baseball operations Ken Williams said in December that a multi-innings bullpen role is more likely for Rodon in 2015.
More Fantasy News
No arbiter needed
PChicago White Sox
January 11, 2019
Rodon signed a one-year, $4.2 million contract with the White Sox on Friday, avoiding arbitration.
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Drilled by Twins
PChicago White Sox
September 30, 2018
Rodon (6-8) took the loss Saturday, surrendering eight runs on six hits and four walks over one-plus innings while striking out two as the White Sox fell 8-3 to the Twins.
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Drilled for six runs
PChicago White Sox
September 23, 2018
Rodon (6-7) pitched 2.1 innings and took a loss Sunday, yielding six runs on nine hits (one home run) while striking out three in the loss to the Cubs.
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Allows five runs in loss to Indians
PChicago White Sox
September 19, 2018
Rodon (6-6) allowed five runs on seven hits and one walk across seven innings Tuesday to take the loss against the Indians. He recorded one strikeout.
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Quality start in no-decision
PChicago White Sox
September 12, 2018
Rodon allowed two runs on five hits and five walks while striking out five over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Royals. He did not factor into the decision.
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