Carlos Rodon
Carlos Rodon
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
10-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 8/1/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Rodon enters 2019 as one of the game’s biggest wild cards. His 2018 was delayed as he rehabbed from shoulder surgery performed the previous September, debuting in early June. He struggled a bit out of the gate, sporting a 4.55 ERA after five starts, albeit with a solid 1.18 WHIP. Rodon then got on a roll, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine starts, covering 63.2 frames. Unfortunately, Rodon fell apart in September, recording a 9.22 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 27.1 stanzas. Rodon truthers will highlight the middle stretch, writing off the early struggles to rust and the late ones to running out of gas. But here’s the thing: a 20 K% and 11.1 BB% in the middle set is rather pedestrian. His xFIP in that span was 4.77. The success was driven by an unsustainable .175 BABIP. The early market is expressing optimism, assuming not only will Rodon avoid injury, but that he’ll return to previous strikeout levels while honing his spotty control. That’s a risky bet. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $4.2 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Has successful surgery
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 19, 2019
Rodon underwent successful Tommy John elbow surgery on Wednesday, Russell Dorsey of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Rodon was placed on the injured list following his last start and eventually opted to undergo the surgery. The White Sox expect a full recovery with a return estimated to be mid-2020.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-70%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .247 199 45 22 42 7 1 8
Since 2017vs Right .227 767 167 81 152 34 2 23
2019vs Left .077 18 6 2 1 1 0 0
2019vs Right .256 140 40 15 32 6 1 4
2018vs Left .245 112 21 15 23 4 1 6
2018vs Right .213 399 69 40 74 16 1 9
2017vs Left .286 69 18 5 18 2 0 2
2017vs Right .234 228 58 26 46 12 0 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-84%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.53 1.42 105.1 4 7 0 8.3 3.9 1.6
Since 2017Away 4.15 1.23 119.1 7 8 0 8.7 4.3 0.9
2019Home 11.91 2.82 11.1 0 1 0 15.9 7.9 2.4
2019Away 1.93 0.77 23.1 3 1 0 10.0 2.7 0.4
2018Home 3.58 1.14 55.1 3 3 0 6.7 2.9 1.3
2018Away 4.68 1.36 65.1 3 5 0 6.8 5.1 1.0
2017Home 3.72 1.42 38.2 1 3 0 8.4 4.2 1.9
2017Away 4.70 1.30 30.2 1 2 0 11.7 3.8 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Carlos Rodon compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.71
 
K/9
11.9
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
5.19
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.359
 
GB/FB
1.44
 
Strand %
65.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Rodon
Mound Musings: Checking the NL Bullpens
3 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at National League closer situations, where in San Francisco closer Will Smith is doing so well, he may be a target in trade talks later this season.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
14 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews the American League free-agent pool, where Nate Lowe is the latest top prospect to join a big-league roster.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
14 days ago
Mike Barner picks out the best value plays and stacks for Sunday's MLB slate on DraftKings.
Mound Musings: Reviewing Preseason Targets
17 days ago
Brad Johnson re-examines his preseason list of potential value pitchers who were likely underrated by fantasy team owners, such as the Rays’ Tyler Glasnow, to see how they’re doing to start the season.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Bauer Spins His Way to the Top
22 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Trevor Bauer continues to deal this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Planning on ramping up Rodon's workload last season, the White Sox took it slow in the spring. It turned out their concerns were warranted as Rodon left a March 28 spring game with a tight bicep, later diagnosed as left shoulder bursitis, keeping him out until June 28. Rodon's throwing shoulder started barking again down the stretch, shutting him down for the season on Sept. 2. In between, the lefty was typically inconsistent, largely a result of spotty control, walking 31 in 69.1 innings. Homers also contributed, as he served up a dozen long balls. The saving grace was 76 punchouts. Rodon's trend has been to finish with a flourish, but there's no telling if his 4.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP would have improved with another month of starts. Rodon had arthroscopic surgery in late September, with a six-to-eight month timetable, putting Opening Day in jeopardy. Expect the White Sox to again treat their prized southpaw with kid gloves.
Rodon's 2016 wasn't too different from 2015: low-4.00 ERA through the first four months before a sprint of quality work to the finish line that featured the upside that made him the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 draft. One major difference between the two seasons was a big improvement in his walk rate, but it came at the expense of his command as he allowed more hits and nearly twice as many home runs. The season still stands as a worthy building block for a 24-year-old lefty trying to fulfill his frontline upside. His elite slider was even better in 2016, and his changeup took a big step forward, but not enough to offset his fastball getting less effective. Velocity is great, but a good fastball requires much more (namely, command). His walk gains came via the fastball, but it was also responsible for the home run troubles. This is exactly the kind of profile you want to bet on, though: The cost doesn't require major gains to pay off, but the upside is massive.
Rodon’s transition to the majors was rocky, and while he struck out 64 through his first 60 innings as a starter, he also walked 37 over that same stretch. However, he learned on the job and was stellar in the season’s final two months - he posted a 1.81 ERA and .198 BAA over his final eight outings. Rodon entered the big leagues with a big league-ready slider, and the pitch was as good as advertised. Ninety-seven of his 139 strikeouts came off the slider, and his upper-90s fastball was also impressive. He could take the jump if he polishes a third pitch. Rodon should slot behind Chris Sale and Jose Quintana in the White Sox’s rotation.
Rodon entered his junior year at North Carolina State as the prohibitive No. 1 overall pick. However, concerns about his workload budged him from the top spot in the 2014 June draft, and he fell to the White Sox at No. 3. It took much of the summer for the two sides to agree on a contract, which may have worked out better for his overworked arm. His plus fastball and slider blew away college batters, and the White Sox want him to add a changeup to the mix. Even without a refined third pitch, he ranks as one of the top prospects in the system and could be in the mix for a rotation spot out of camp, though vice president of baseball operations Ken Williams said in December that a multi-innings bullpen role is more likely for Rodon in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Undergoing Tommy John surgery
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 13, 2019
Rodon will undergo Tommy John surgery on Wednesday, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Surgery decision coming next week
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 9, 2019
Rodon is expected to decide on a treatment method for his left elbow injury at some point next week, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
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Tommy John surgery recommended
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 6, 2019
Rodon (elbow) was recommended to undergo Tommy John surgery in his initial meeting with a doctor, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
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Concern regarding injury
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 2, 2019
General manager Rick Hahn expressed concern when discussing Rodon's elbow injury, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
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Sent to IL
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
May 2, 2019
Rodon was placed on the 10-day injured list Thursday with left elbow inflammation.
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