2021 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
2.19
WHIP
0.97
K
28
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Nola was a rare bright spot on the Phillies' pitching staff last season, posting a 3.28 ERA in 12 starts, the second-best mark of his six-year career. That helped him to a seventh-place finish in the NL Cy Young race, his second top-10 showing in the last three seasons. There's a case he deserved even better, as Baseball Prospectus' DRA pegged him as the top starter in the NL, while his 2.79 xFIP ranked second. His big improvement last season came in his strikeout rate, which had settled in between 25% and 27% in that category over the previous four seasons but jumped all the way up to 33.2% last year, good for sixth among qualified starters, just ahead of Gerrit Cole. That jump was backed up by an increase in his whiff rate from 26.6% to 31.3%. If those gains hold in 2021, he could move into the back of the top tier of fantasy arms, jumping up from the solid second-tier option he's been in recent seasons. Read Past Outlooks

Tosses shutout against Cardinals
Nola (1-1) allowed two hits and no walks while striking out 10 in nine scoreless innings to earn the win against the Cardinals on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Nola was tagged with the loss in his last outing, but he bounced back with a dominant performance against St. Louis on Sunday. The right-hander gave up singles in the second and eighth innings, but he didn't encounter much trouble in the first complete game of his career. Through his first four starts of the season, Nola has posted a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 24.2 innings. He lines up to make his next start of the season against the Rockies at hitter-friendly Coors Field on Saturday.
Nola was tagged with the loss in his last outing, but he bounced back with a dominant performance against St. Louis on Sunday. The right-hander gave up singles in the second and eighth innings, but he didn't encounter much trouble in the first complete game of his career. Through his first four starts of the season, Nola has posted a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 24.2 innings. He lines up to make his next start of the season against the Rockies at hitter-friendly Coors Field on Saturday.
Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Aaron Nola generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Nola generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2021
-9%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2019vs Left | .231 | 152 | 57 | 113 | 14 | |||
Since 2019vs Right | .220 | 197 | 47 | 135 | 23 | |||
2021vs Left | .229 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | |||
2021vs Right | .208 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 0 | |||
2020vs Left | .202 | 32 | 15 | 22 | 2 | |||
2020vs Right | .201 | 60 | 6 | 29 | 7 | |||
2019vs Left | .240 | 105 | 39 | 80 | 11 | |||
2019vs Right | .227 | 124 | 41 | 96 | 16 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
-46%
ERA at Home
2021
-75%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2019Home | 2.65 | 1.08 | 176.2 | 10.9 | 3.1 | ||||
Since 2019Away | 4.88 | 1.34 | 118.0 | 10.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2021Home | 1.37 | 0.81 | 19.2 | 9.6 | 0.9 | ||||
2021Away | 5.40 | 1.60 | 5.0 | 12.6 | 1.8 | ||||
2020Home | 2.50 | 0.81 | 39.2 | 12.0 | 2.7 | ||||
2020Away | 3.86 | 1.29 | 28.0 | 11.9 | 2.6 | ||||
2019Home | 2.91 | 1.21 | 117.1 | 10.7 | 3.6 | ||||
2019Away | 5.19 | 1.34 | 85.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Nola compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
9.33K/9
10.2BB/9
1.1HR/9
0.4Fastball
92.2 mphERA
2.19WHIP
0.97BABIP
.325GB/FB
1.45Left On Base
79.6%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
3.2%Spin Rate
1958 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.8%Swinging Strike
13.0%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Nola was poor at both ends of the 2019 season, posting a 6.84 ERA over his first five starts and a 6.51 mark over his final five. In between those two stretches, he was in vintage form, recording a 2.89 ERA and a 27.1 K%. The entire season's stats count, of course, so those who drafted Nola likely weren't happy with his 3.87 ERA overall. The 26-year-old doesn't appear to have been a victim of too much bad luck, as that figure was right around his 4.03 FIP and 3.82 xFIP. His walk rate took a big step back, jumping from 7.0% to 9.4%, a worrying development given that command and control have been Nola's calling card for the entirety of his career. There's still plenty of upside here, as the good version of Nola is just a small step outside baseball's top tier of starting pitchers, but last year's version was a merely good pitcher. The Phillies will hope a new regime brings out the best in their ace.
More Fantasy News

Takes loss Tuesday
Nola (0-1) took the loss in the second game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets, allowing three runs on seven hits and a walk over five innings as the Phillies fell 4-0. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Early exit in no-decision
Nola didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 8-2 win over the Mets, allowing one run on six hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Strong on Opening Day
Nola allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six across 6.2 innings Thursday against the Braves. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Earns expected Opening Day nod
Nola will start on Opening Day against Atlanta on April 1, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Experimenting with cutter
Nola is testing out a cutter this spring, Tom Moore of the Bucks County Courier Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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