2019 Stats
W-L
12-7
ERA
3.87
WHIP
1.27
K
229
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Nola reached new heights in 2018, putting himself in the Cy Young conversation for the first time during his fourth big-league season. He held onto gains in his fastball velocity and reached career highs in starts (33), innings (212.1) and strikeout rate (27%) while recording a career-low 2.37 ERA. Regression will likely come for Nola to a certain extent, as he beat his FIP by 64 points despite the Phillies having one of the worst defenses in recent memory. He doesn't have a history of outperforming his peripherals (despite the sort of command-driven profile often associated with that outcome), so his low ERA can be attributed at least in part to a .251 BABIP and an 82.5% strand rate. Still, improvements in the Phillies' defense could offset some of the inevitable regression, and he has plenty of room to fall back and still be a very valuable pitcher. Read Past Outlooks
Won't start again
Nola will not make another start this season, Jim Salisbury of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
Nola was originally scheduled to start Sunday's season finale against the Marlins, but with the Phillies no longer vying for a playoff spot, the team decided to shut down its ace. The right-hander will finish the season 12-7 with a 3.87 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 229:80 K:BB across 34 starts (202.1 innings).
Nola was originally scheduled to start Sunday's season finale against the Marlins, but with the Phillies no longer vying for a playoff spot, the team decided to shut down its ace. The right-hander will finish the season 12-7 with a 3.87 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 229:80 K:BB across 34 starts (202.1 innings).
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
98
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Aaron Nola generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Nola generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
-5%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017vs Left | .225 | 295 | 107 | 227 | 28 | |||
| Since 2017vs Right | .221 | 342 | 80 | 252 | 34 | |||
| 2019vs Left | .240 | 105 | 39 | 80 | 11 | |||
| 2019vs Right | .227 | 124 | 41 | 96 | 16 | |||
| 2018vs Left | .187 | 114 | 37 | 70 | 9 | |||
| 2018vs Right | .207 | 110 | 21 | 79 | 8 | |||
| 2017vs Left | .256 | 76 | 31 | 77 | 8 | |||
| 2017vs Right | .227 | 108 | 18 | 77 | 10 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-29%
ERA at Home
2019
-44%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017Home | 2.74 | 1.10 | 322.1 | 10.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| Since 2017Away | 3.84 | 1.20 | 260.1 | 8.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2019Home | 2.91 | 1.21 | 117.1 | 10.7 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2019Away | 5.19 | 1.34 | 85.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2018Home | 2.34 | 1.02 | 111.1 | 10.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2018Away | 2.41 | 0.92 | 101.0 | 8.3 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2017Home | 2.98 | 1.04 | 93.2 | 10.7 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2017Away | 4.24 | 1.43 | 74.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Aaron Nola compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.86K/9
10.2BB/9
3.6HR/9
1.2Fastball
92.9 mphERA
3.87WHIP
1.27BABIP
.304GB/FB
1.88Left On Base
75.6%Exit Velocity
89.2 mphBarrels/BBE
6.3%Spin Rate
2189 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
39.9%Swinging Strike
11.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Derailed by an elbow injury in 2016, Nola looked like he could have his development stunted again after a back strain forced him to the DL for about a month early last season. Much to the delight of fantasy owners, Nola returned to action in late May and re-established himself as the Phillies' unquestioned ace, turning in a 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB from June onward. With the elbow issues behind him, Nola noticed increased velocity from all three of his offerings last season, supporting his case for remaining a strikeout-per-inning pitcher going forward. As he embarks on his age-25 campaign, Nola won't stand to see much of a bump in his win total unless the Phillies' rebuilding effort takes a quantum leap forward, but with his health sound heading into spring training, he profiles as a strong three-category pillar with some dark-horse Cy Young potential if he can reach 200 innings and/or 200 strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Surrenders another five runs
Nola (12-7) allowed five earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out nine across 5.2 innings to take the loss Tuesday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard by Braves
Nola (12-6) allowed five earned runs on nine hits and two walks while striking out four across five innings to take the loss Thursday against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in no-decision
Nola struck out nine batters in seven innings Saturday against the Red Sox, allowing a single run on four hits and three walks. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Yields four runs in loss
Nola (12-5) allowed four runs on six hits with four walks and seven strikeouts across six innings while taking a loss against the Braves on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard by Reds
Nola didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 8-5 loss to the Reds, giving up five runs on five hits and three walks over four innings while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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