Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Newcomb was called up from Triple-A Gwinnett on June 10 and stuck in the Braves' rotation the rest of the season, making 19 starts. He earned his promotion with a 2.97 ERA and 74 whiffs in 57.2 innings on the farm. After his first four major-league starts, he was sporting a sparkling 1.48 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Then, the honeymoon ended as he tallied a 5.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP the rest of the way. Newcomb is "one skill away," as he misses plenty of bats while limiting homers. His shortcoming is control -- Newcomb has a double-digit walk percentage for his pro career. An 11.1 percent swinging-strike rate in his rookie campaign is promising, though a low 59 percent first-pitch strike mark tempers punchout potential. The Braves have accumulated a bevy of high-end pitching prospects, but most of them are not quite ready to push Newcomb for a rotation spot. He will have another season to try to throw more strikes, but if he doesn't make strides in that department, he could be pushed to the bullpen in 2019 or 2020. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Angels in July of 2014 that includes a $2.52 million signing bonus. Traded to the Braves in November of 2015.
Scheduled to start Wednesday
PAtlanta Braves
September 23, 2018
Newcomb will start Wednesday against the Mets, Kevin McAlpin of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.
ANALYSIS
Newcomb's previous start Saturday was skipped, but he won't end up being removed from the rotation entirely. The Braves may be going with a six-man rotation to close out the season, as Touki Toussaint remains in the rotation to start Tuesday. The timing of Newcomb's start means he'll likely appear just once more this regular season.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .228 267 72 27 53 7 6 8
Since 2016vs Right .247 862 187 106 183 34 3 20
2018vs Left .198 138 40 15 24 3 2 7
2018vs Right .239 535 111 61 112 17 2 11
2017vs Left .261 129 32 12 29 4 4 1
2017vs Right .259 327 76 45 71 17 1 9
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.87 1.51 140.1 7 12 0 7.7 4.3 1.0
Since 2016Away 3.28 1.33 118.0 9 6 0 10.6 5.0 1.0
2018Home 5.12 1.44 77.1 4 6 0 7.2 4.0 1.0
2018Away 3.00 1.25 81.0 8 3 0 9.9 4.7 1.0
2017Home 4.57 1.60 63.0 3 6 0 8.3 4.7 0.9
2017Away 3.89 1.51 37.0 1 3 0 12.2 5.8 1.0
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Sean Newcomb compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.99
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
4.3
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
4.04
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.285
 
GB/FB
1.35
 
Strand %
72.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
Newcomb walked 71 Southern League hitters in 140 innings. To put that in perspective, only 16 MLB pitchers walked that many hitters in 2016, and only two of them (Ubaldo Jimenez and Francisco Liriano) failed to top 170 innings. Sure, Newcomb is not a finished product, but this is the second offseason in a row where "control issues" needed to be a part of the first sentence of his outlook. Nobody doubts the big lefty's stuff -- a mid-90s fastball and hammer curveball stand out in his repertoire. However, with each passing year, the notion that he may be better suited for relief gains more credence. He will turn 24 in June, so this seems like a potential make-or-break year for him to improve his control to the point that he would be more valuable to Atlanta taking the ball every fifth day, rather than embarrassing hitters in high-leverage spots out of the bullpen.
Newcomb convincingly demonstrated last season that he is one of the premier bat-missers in the minor leagues. The 6-foot-5, 240-pound southpaw fanned 168 over 136 innings across three levels, and posted K rates above 30 percent at Low-A and High-A before finishing the season at Double-A. Hitters in the lower levels were clearly no match for Newcomb, as he put up video game numbers before getting a truer test in the Texas League. He still put up a sterling 2.75 ERA In seven starts (36 innings) at Double-A Arkansas, but his 39:24 K:BB is a bit concerning. He headlined the package Atlanta received from the Angels for Andrelton Simmons during the offseason, but that trade does not noticeably affect his stock in dynasty leagues. There’s no denying Newcomb’s repertoire, with an easy plus fastball and a slider and changeup that can both flash plus. However, his control is fringe average at best, which adds a significant amount of risk to the profile.
A first-round pick by the Angels in the 2014 draft, Newcomb has begun a quick ascension through the minor leagues, as he threw just three innings in rookie ball before being promoted to Low-A Burlington. While he did not perform well overall in his first taste of professional baseball, he did feature impressive punchout rates, tallying 18 strikeouts in 14.2 innings in time split between the two levels. Newcomb is considered a high-ceiling prospect, as he has a repertoire that consists of four pitches, including a mid-90s fastball and a curveball, which could develop into a plus offering. The 21-year-old has had some control issues, and will likely benefit from a tweak to his mechanics, but was able to lower his walk rate from 4.6 BB/9 in 2013 to 3.7 BB/9 during his final season at the University of Hartford.
More Fantasy News
Set to have start skipped
PAtlanta Braves
September 20, 2018
Newcomb will have his next start skipped, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Allows five runs in loss to Nationals
PAtlanta Braves
September 17, 2018
Newcomb (12-9) allowed five runs on six hits and two walks across three innings to take the loss Sunday against the Naionals. He struck out three.
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Fans eight for 12th win
PAtlanta Braves
September 11, 2018
Newcomb (12-8) allowed one run on three hits while striking out eight over six innings in a win over the Giants on Monday. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Walks five in loss to Red Sox
PAtlanta Braves
September 4, 2018
Newcomb (11-8) allowed three runs on four hits and five walks across 4.1 innings while taking the loss Tuesday against the Red Sox. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up in loss
PAtlanta Braves
August 30, 2018
Newcomb (11-7) took the loss Wednesday, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out seven against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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