Trea Turner
Trea Turner
25-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Can we please stop the "Turner doesn't have the track record to be a first-rounder" nonsense? If you want to argue injury-risk, OK, you have a point... maybe. However, there's no denying that Turner's skills are elite. He deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon with respect to steals, while hitting well more than twice as many homers as them, combined. Double-digit homers with at least 50 steals is first-round material, especially since his contact rate and groundball proclivity portend a fantasy-friendly batting average. That brings us to health. In 2015, his first full season as a professional, Turner played 142 games, most at Double- and Triple-A before appearing in 27 with the Nationals. In 2016, he played 156 contests, split between Triple-A and the majors. If you want to avoid a first-round talent because he was hit by a pitch in late June, costing him about two months, that's your prerogative. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed with the Padres in June of 2014.
Rare day off Sunday
SSWashington Nationals
September 9, 2018
Turner is out of the lineup for Sunday's series finale against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Turner had started the last 32 games at shortstop and slashed .277/.340/.394 with seven stolen bases in that stretch. Wilmer Difo will slide over to shortstop for the Nationals while Adrian Sanchez starts at second base.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .731 339 57 4 28 25 .278 .342 .388
Since 2016vs Right .821 1123 165 37 122 94 .293 .346 .475
2018vs Left .784 171 28 3 21 13 .283 .363 .421
2018vs Right .727 520 66 14 44 27 .263 .330 .397
2017vs Left .630 103 15 0 5 6 .245 .311 .319
2017vs Right .836 344 60 11 40 40 .296 .346 .491
2016vs Left .751 65 14 1 2 6 .317 .338 .413
2016vs Right .985 259 39 12 38 27 .348 .378 .607
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .843 720 111 22 79 63 .306 .367 .476
Since 2016Away .760 742 111 19 71 56 .275 .324 .436
2018Home .773 333 46 9 39 20 .279 .355 .418
2018Away .712 358 48 8 26 20 .258 .322 .390
2017Home .824 218 37 6 20 24 .299 .362 .462
2017Away .756 229 38 5 25 22 .270 .314 .442
2016Home .996 169 28 7 20 19 .363 .396 .600
2016Away .873 155 25 6 20 14 .320 .342 .531
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Stat Review
How does Trea Turner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.50
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
18.0%
 
BABIP
.311
 
ISO
.135
 
AVG
.268
 
OBP
.339
 
SLG
.403
 
OPS
.742
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
Turner didn't have anything more to prove in the minors, but the Nationals sent him back to Syracuse anyway so he could hit .302/.370/.471 in 331 at-bats with 25 steals before finally getting a long-overdue promotion. If he was frustrated by his slow progress up the ladder, he took it out on opposing pitchers. While his .342 batting average was the product of an unsustainable .391 BABIP, his contact rates and batting averages have always been excellent, and 33 steals in 73 big league games isn't out of line with his minor league theatrics on the basepaths. The real surprise was the power he flashed at the highest level. After hitting just 19 home runs in 268 minor league games, Turner slugged 13 in 73 games with Washington. If that power proves to be even partially sustainable (and his 16.7 percent HR/FB rate, while high, wasn't outrageous), the Nats suddenly find themselves with a 23-year-old five-category shortstop, and a future pillar of the franchise.
Acquired from the Padres in the three-team deal that sent Steven Souza to the Rays, Turner immediately became the Nationals' shortstop of the future, a future that might begin as soon as 2016 with Ian Desmond leaving in free agency. The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner's plus-plus wheels are his major selling point, but his line drive swing produces excellent contact and his plate discipline should allow him to stick as a leadoff hitter. The Nats still have Danny Espinosa as a stop-gap at shortstop, so they don't need to rush Turner, but with Denard Span also on his way out the door they have a need at the top of the batting order as well as at shortstop that Turner could fill admirably if he reaches his full potential. An impressive showing in spring training could land him in the Opening Day starting lineup, but even if the team decides to delay his arbitration clock, his stay at Triple-A this year should be a brief one.
A former college teammate of highly coveted lefty Carlos Rodon, Turner closed out a three-year career at North Carolina State with a .342/.435/.507 line and 113 stolen bases in 127 attempts over 173 games despite an ankle injury that limited his impact as a basestealer during his sophomore campaign. Speed is easily Turner's best tool and he's an 80-grade runner, while his bat and plate discipline should be good enough for him to develop into a leadoff hitter at the big league level down the road. Defensively, Turner shifted to shortstop after the 2013 season for the Wolfpack, and it's believed that he has the footwork necessary to stick at short as he advances, and the arm strength necessary to handle third base if it's decided he's a better fit there. Upon signing, Turner went 23-for-27 as a basestealer at short-season Eugene and Low-A Fort Wayne, while toting an impressive .369/.447/.529 line over 46 contests at the latter stop. Turner was named as the player to be named later in the Will Myers trade, but won't join the Nationals until next June due to a technicality. His 2015 status may be murky as a result, but he's seen as a potential impact player when he finally starts playing for his new organization.
More Fantasy News
Steals two bases
SSWashington Nationals
September 8, 2018
Turner went 0-for-3 with two RBI, two walks and two stolen bases in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Steal, multiple hits for second straight day
SSWashington Nationals
September 1, 2018
Turner went 2-for-4 with a stolen base Saturday against the Brewers.
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Swipes 34th base
SSWashington Nationals
September 1, 2018
Turner went 3-for-4 with a double and a stolen base in Friday's loss to the Brewers.
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On base three times in rout of Mets
SSWashington Nationals
August 27, 2018
Turner went 2-for-4 with a walk, a double and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Mets.
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Swats 15th homer
SSWashington Nationals
August 18, 2018
Turner went 2-for-5 with a home run and three RBI in Saturday's 7-5 extra-inning loss to the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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