Trea Turner
Trea Turner
27-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Don't overthink this; Turner is an easy first-rounder in virtually all rotisserie formats. The speedster was a top performer during the shortened 2020 season, finishing behind only Jose Abreu and Fernando Tatis among hitters in roto leagues. He shaved six percentage points off his strikeout rate (to 13.9%) while besting his previous career high in ISO by 28 points. Most of his damage was done against fastballs, with 23 of his 31 extra-base hits coming off heaters. Statcast suggests he overachieved on breaking pitches, but even so Turner was in the 96th percentile in xBA. While his success rate on the bases took a hit, Turner's sprint speed remained in the 99th percentile, so it's not like he's lost a step already at age 27. Turner's past injury history looms, but Turner in theory provides a five-category foundation, and by easing the speed burden early, opens up your choices with subsequent draft picks. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $13 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2021.
Swipes two bags in win
SSWashington Nationals
June 20, 2021
Turner went 1-for-3 with a run, two stolen bases, a walk and a strikeout in Sunday's 5-2 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
Turner homered in Saturday's win over New York, and he followed up his performance by showcasing his speed Sunday. He swiped second base in the third inning, and he stole third base in the seventh frame as part of a double steal. The shortstop is now hitting .313 with 11 homers, 37 runs, 32 RBI and 15 stolen bases this year.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
32
15
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
11
7
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+33%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .960 267 51 8 23 14 .353 .408 .552
Since 2019vs Right .851 861 127 33 102 48 .298 .351 .501
2021vs Left 1.035 81 15 3 9 3 .384 .432 .603
2021vs Right .778 229 24 8 25 12 .291 .336 .441
2020vs Left 1.191 58 15 3 8 3 .392 .466 .725
2020vs Right .918 191 28 8 26 9 .322 .372 .546
2019vs Left .812 128 21 2 6 8 .316 .367 .444
2019vs Right .862 441 75 17 51 27 .292 .349 .512
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+37%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .846 586 86 22 65 36 .294 .352 .494
Since 2019Away .906 546 93 19 60 26 .327 .377 .529
2021Home .819 164 17 7 16 12 .301 .341 .477
2021Away .872 146 22 4 18 3 .331 .384 .489
2020Home .822 131 18 4 14 9 .261 .344 .478
2020Away 1.124 122 26 7 20 3 .407 .443 .681
2019Home .872 291 51 11 35 15 .305 .361 .511
2019Away .828 278 45 8 22 20 .290 .345 .482
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Stat Review
How does Trea Turner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.31
 
BB Rate
6.1%
 
K Rate
20.0%
 
BABIP
.367
 
ISO
.168
 
AVG
.315
 
OBP
.361
 
SLG
.483
 
OPS
.844
 
wOBA
.369
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.0%
 
Barrels/PA
4.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trea Turner
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
6 days ago
Chris Bennett turns in his Friday FanDuel recommendations, plugging in a Blue Jays stack at Baltimore.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
9 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate as Nick Castellanos and the Reds take aim at another left-handed starter.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
22 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with a double-stack of both the Rangers and Rockies on Wednesday at Coors Field.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
26 days ago
Christopher Olson provides his picks for the evening slate, including a St. Louis stack in Arizona.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
27 days ago
Mike Barner likes Nelson Cruz, who has a career .400 wOBA against left-handed pitchers, in Friday's game against Royal's pitcher Kris Bubic.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Turner had 171 fewer plate appearances in 2019 than he had in 2018, and met or nearly exceeded his statistics across the board. He missed time early in the season when the Nationals were struggling, and returned to help carry them all the way to a World Series victory. Tim Locastro is the only player in baseball with a higher sprint speed than Turner, and Turner does not hesitate to use his speed on the bases under the aggressive style of Davey Martinez. There is absolutely no doubt Turner's skills and abilities are worth $35-plus in auctions and a first-round pick in straight drafts, but the fact that he has had just one season in which he avoided the injury bug is what holds many back from drafting him. There are safer players out there to acquire for your team, but there are precious few that offer the production that Turner is capable of when he's healthy. He could be a top-five player in a full season.
Those passing on Turner fearing he was an injury risk paid the price last season. He was one of only seven players to appear in 162 games on the way to leading the Senior Circuit with 740 PA. He also paced the NL in pilfers with 43, his second straight season with at least 40. Turner's fantasy allure is steals without sacrificing power -- he set a career high with 19 long balls. He's established a high floor; the question is whether he's worthy of a top-10 pick. Keeping in mind Turner didn't miss a game last season, he finished the season just outside the top-10 overall. As such, he'd need to improve on last season's numbers, which will be a chore considering the huge volume of at-bats. The pathway would be a higher batting average, as last season's .314 BABIP was below his career mark. Still, it's a matter of philosophy and roster construction. Steals are one category, and other first rounders contribute elite production in multiple categories.
Can we please stop the "Turner doesn't have the track record to be a first-rounder" nonsense? If you want to argue injury-risk, OK, you have a point... maybe. However, there's no denying that Turner's skills are elite. He deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon with respect to steals, while hitting well more than twice as many homers as them, combined. Double-digit homers with at least 50 steals is first-round material, especially since his contact rate and groundball proclivity portend a fantasy-friendly batting average. That brings us to health. In 2015, his first full season as a professional, Turner played 142 games, most at Double- and Triple-A before appearing in 27 with the Nationals. In 2016, he played 156 contests, split between Triple-A and the majors. If you want to avoid a first-round talent because he was hit by a pitch in late June, costing him about two months, that's your prerogative.
Turner didn't have anything more to prove in the minors, but the Nationals sent him back to Syracuse anyway so he could hit .302/.370/.471 in 331 at-bats with 25 steals before finally getting a long-overdue promotion. If he was frustrated by his slow progress up the ladder, he took it out on opposing pitchers. While his .342 batting average was the product of an unsustainable .391 BABIP, his contact rates and batting averages have always been excellent, and 33 steals in 73 big league games isn't out of line with his minor league theatrics on the basepaths. The real surprise was the power he flashed at the highest level. After hitting just 19 home runs in 268 minor league games, Turner slugged 13 in 73 games with Washington. If that power proves to be even partially sustainable (and his 16.7 percent HR/FB rate, while high, wasn't outrageous), the Nats suddenly find themselves with a 23-year-old five-category shortstop, and a future pillar of the franchise.
Acquired from the Padres in the three-team deal that sent Steven Souza to the Rays, Turner immediately became the Nationals' shortstop of the future, a future that might begin as soon as 2016 with Ian Desmond leaving in free agency. The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner's plus-plus wheels are his major selling point, but his line drive swing produces excellent contact and his plate discipline should allow him to stick as a leadoff hitter. The Nats still have Danny Espinosa as a stop-gap at shortstop, so they don't need to rush Turner, but with Denard Span also on his way out the door they have a need at the top of the batting order as well as at shortstop that Turner could fill admirably if he reaches his full potential. An impressive showing in spring training could land him in the Opening Day starting lineup, but even if the team decides to delay his arbitration clock, his stay at Triple-A this year should be a brief one.
A former college teammate of highly coveted lefty Carlos Rodon, Turner closed out a three-year career at North Carolina State with a .342/.435/.507 line and 113 stolen bases in 127 attempts over 173 games despite an ankle injury that limited his impact as a basestealer during his sophomore campaign. Speed is easily Turner's best tool and he's an 80-grade runner, while his bat and plate discipline should be good enough for him to develop into a leadoff hitter at the big league level down the road. Defensively, Turner shifted to shortstop after the 2013 season for the Wolfpack, and it's believed that he has the footwork necessary to stick at short as he advances, and the arm strength necessary to handle third base if it's decided he's a better fit there. Upon signing, Turner went 23-for-27 as a basestealer at short-season Eugene and Low-A Fort Wayne, while toting an impressive .369/.447/.529 line over 46 contests at the latter stop. Turner was named as the player to be named later in the Will Myers trade, but won't join the Nationals until next June due to a technicality. His 2015 status may be murky as a result, but he's seen as a potential impact player when he finally starts playing for his new organization.
More Fantasy News
Socks 11th homer
SSWashington Nationals
June 19, 2021
Turner went 2-for-3 with a solo home run in a 6-2 win over the Mets during the second game of Saturday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Collects four hits
SSWashington Nationals
June 16, 2021
Turner went 4-for-5 with a triple, an RBI and a run scored during Tuesday's 8-1 win over Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits Tuesday
SSWashington Nationals
June 2, 2021
Turner went 3-for-5 with two runs scored in Tuesday's 11-6 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes two bags in win
SSWashington Nationals
May 28, 2021
Turner went 1-for-4 with a walk, a run scored, an RBI and two stolen bases in a 5-3 win over the Reds, a game completed Thursday after being suspended due to rain the night before.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 10th homer
SSWashington Nationals
May 17, 2021
Turner went 1-for-3 with a walk and a solo home run in Monday's 7-3 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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