Trea Turner
Trea Turner
25-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Those passing on Turner fearing he was an injury risk paid the price last season. He was one of only seven players to appear in 162 games on the way to leading the Senior Circuit with 740 PA. He also paced the NL in pilfers with 43, his second straight season with at least 40. Turner's fantasy allure is steals without sacrificing power -- he set a career high with 19 long balls. He's established a high floor; the question is whether he's worthy of a top-10 pick. Keeping in mind Turner didn't miss a game last season, he finished the season just outside the top-10 overall. As such, he'd need to improve on last season's numbers, which will be a chore considering the huge volume of at-bats. The pathway would be a higher batting average, as last season's .314 BABIP was below his career mark. Still, it's a matter of philosophy and roster construction. Steals are one category, and other first rounders contribute elite production in multiple categories. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $3.73 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Swats first spring homer
SSWashington Nationals
March 14, 2019
Turner went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Braves.
He took Kevin Gausman deep in the first inning for his first homer of the spring. Turner is hitting just .231 (6-for-26) through 10 games, but his 4:5 BB:K and 2-for-2 success rate on the basepaths indicates there's no cause for concern. The shortstop will open the season hitting near the top of a potent Nats order, and should be considered among the favorites to lead MLB in steals in 2019.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .739 357 59 4 31 26 .281 .347 .392
Since 2016vs Right .829 1154 172 39 127 96 .294 .348 .481
2018vs Left .796 189 30 3 24 14 .287 .370 .425
2018vs Right .748 551 73 16 49 29 .266 .335 .412
2017vs Left .630 103 15 0 5 6 .245 .311 .319
2017vs Right .836 344 60 11 40 40 .296 .346 .491
2016vs Left .751 65 14 1 2 6 .317 .338 .413
2016vs Right .985 259 39 12 38 27 .348 .378 .607
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .851 754 118 23 82 66 .306 .372 .479
Since 2016Away .765 757 113 20 76 56 .276 .324 .441
2018Home .796 367 53 10 42 23 .282 .366 .430
2018Away .724 373 50 9 31 20 .261 .323 .402
2017Home .824 218 37 6 20 24 .299 .362 .462
2017Away .756 229 38 5 25 22 .270 .314 .442
2016Home .996 169 28 7 20 19 .363 .396 .600
2016Away .873 155 25 6 20 14 .320 .342 .531
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Stat Review
How does Trea Turner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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K Rate
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Defensive Stats
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Nationals Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Can we please stop the "Turner doesn't have the track record to be a first-rounder" nonsense? If you want to argue injury-risk, OK, you have a point... maybe. However, there's no denying that Turner's skills are elite. He deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon with respect to steals, while hitting well more than twice as many homers as them, combined. Double-digit homers with at least 50 steals is first-round material, especially since his contact rate and groundball proclivity portend a fantasy-friendly batting average. That brings us to health. In 2015, his first full season as a professional, Turner played 142 games, most at Double- and Triple-A before appearing in 27 with the Nationals. In 2016, he played 156 contests, split between Triple-A and the majors. If you want to avoid a first-round talent because he was hit by a pitch in late June, costing him about two months, that's your prerogative.
Turner didn't have anything more to prove in the minors, but the Nationals sent him back to Syracuse anyway so he could hit .302/.370/.471 in 331 at-bats with 25 steals before finally getting a long-overdue promotion. If he was frustrated by his slow progress up the ladder, he took it out on opposing pitchers. While his .342 batting average was the product of an unsustainable .391 BABIP, his contact rates and batting averages have always been excellent, and 33 steals in 73 big league games isn't out of line with his minor league theatrics on the basepaths. The real surprise was the power he flashed at the highest level. After hitting just 19 home runs in 268 minor league games, Turner slugged 13 in 73 games with Washington. If that power proves to be even partially sustainable (and his 16.7 percent HR/FB rate, while high, wasn't outrageous), the Nats suddenly find themselves with a 23-year-old five-category shortstop, and a future pillar of the franchise.
Acquired from the Padres in the three-team deal that sent Steven Souza to the Rays, Turner immediately became the Nationals' shortstop of the future, a future that might begin as soon as 2016 with Ian Desmond leaving in free agency. The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner's plus-plus wheels are his major selling point, but his line drive swing produces excellent contact and his plate discipline should allow him to stick as a leadoff hitter. The Nats still have Danny Espinosa as a stop-gap at shortstop, so they don't need to rush Turner, but with Denard Span also on his way out the door they have a need at the top of the batting order as well as at shortstop that Turner could fill admirably if he reaches his full potential. An impressive showing in spring training could land him in the Opening Day starting lineup, but even if the team decides to delay his arbitration clock, his stay at Triple-A this year should be a brief one.
A former college teammate of highly coveted lefty Carlos Rodon, Turner closed out a three-year career at North Carolina State with a .342/.435/.507 line and 113 stolen bases in 127 attempts over 173 games despite an ankle injury that limited his impact as a basestealer during his sophomore campaign. Speed is easily Turner's best tool and he's an 80-grade runner, while his bat and plate discipline should be good enough for him to develop into a leadoff hitter at the big league level down the road. Defensively, Turner shifted to shortstop after the 2013 season for the Wolfpack, and it's believed that he has the footwork necessary to stick at short as he advances, and the arm strength necessary to handle third base if it's decided he's a better fit there. Upon signing, Turner went 23-for-27 as a basestealer at short-season Eugene and Low-A Fort Wayne, while toting an impressive .369/.447/.529 line over 46 contests at the latter stop. Turner was named as the player to be named later in the Will Myers trade, but won't join the Nationals until next June due to a technicality. His 2015 status may be murky as a result, but he's seen as a potential impact player when he finally starts playing for his new organization.
More Fantasy News
Big day from leadoff spot
SSWashington Nationals
March 3, 2019
Turner went 2-for-2 with a double, three RBI, a walk, a run scored and his first stolen base of the spring Sunday against the Astros.
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Likely to lead off
SSWashington Nationals
February 28, 2019
Turner is expected to be the Nationals' leadoff hitter this season, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
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Primed to run more
SSWashington Nationals
February 19, 2019
Manager Dave Martinez said he talked to Turner about attempting to steal more bases in 2019, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
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Agrees to deal with Nationals
SSWashington Nationals
January 11, 2019
Turner and the Nationals avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3.725 million deal Friday, Robert Murray of The Athletic reports.
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Smacks 19th homer
SSWashington Nationals
September 29, 2018
Turner went 3-for-6 with a home run, three RBI and two runs scored Saturday against the Rockies.
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