2019 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
10.50
WHIP
2.25
K
15
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The Pirates continued their slow, methodical approach to Keller's development in 2018. Keller encountered little resistance at any point during his time with Double-A Altoona -- he allowed more than three runs just twice in 14 starts -- but nonetheless the team waited until the final day of June to bump him up to the next level. While the results took a turn for the worse after the leap to Triple-A, the peripherals were fine (24.2 K%, 0.52 HR/9). Keller's walk rates haven't been especially good at the higher levels, but he commands the fastball well. Fastball command is something a lot of young arms struggle with upon arrival to the big leagues, but that shouldn't be too much of a concern with Keller. He can keep the ball on the ground and the strikeout totals should be useful, if unexciting. Considering his path to this point, it seems likely that Keller will spend much of the first half back at Triple-A before finally cracking the big-league rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Good showing Monday
Keller gave up one run in 7.1 innings for Triple-A Indianapolis on Monday, striking out six while allowing six hits and no walks.
ANALYSIS
It wouldn't be surprising to see Keller receive a promotion shortly after the 10-day period following his June 18 demotion ends. His performance Monday was encouraging as he didn't issue a walk. Keller, who has relied on fastball usage for 64.3 percent of his pitches in three MLB starts, may look to vary his repertoire upon his return to the majors. His fantasy stock has likely trended lower following a 10.25 ERA with Pittsburgh, but his pedigree and minor-league success suggest he might be a good buy-low candidate.
It wouldn't be surprising to see Keller receive a promotion shortly after the 10-day period following his June 18 demotion ends. His performance Monday was encouraging as he didn't issue a walk. Keller, who has relied on fastball usage for 64.3 percent of his pitches in three MLB starts, may look to vary his repertoire upon his return to the majors. His fantasy stock has likely trended lower following a 10.25 ERA with Pittsburgh, but his pedigree and minor-league success suggest he might be a good buy-low candidate.
Pitching Stats
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MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2019
-13%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | Batters | K | BB | H | HR | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017vs Left | .353 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | ||
| Since 2017vs Right | .405 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 1 | ||
| 2019vs Left | .353 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2019vs Right | .405 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 1 | ||
| 2018vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2018vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2017vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2017vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-77%
ERA at Home
2019
-77%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017Home | 3.60 | 1.20 | 5.0 | 10.8 | 3.6 | ||||
| Since 2017Away | 15.43 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 11.6 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2019Home | 3.60 | 1.20 | 5.0 | 10.8 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2019Away | 15.43 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 11.6 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2018Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2018Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2017Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2017Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Mitch Keller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.50K/9
11.3BB/9
4.5HR/9
0.8Fastball
95.6 mphERA
10.50WHIP
2.25BABIP
.515GB/FB
0.92Left On Base
43.0%Exit Velocity
88.2 mphBarrels/BBE
2.8%Spin Rate
2515 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
36.1%Swinging Strike
11.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Pirates Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mitch Keller
Despite a poor start to the season, Jan Levine thinks Jesus Aguilar's recent form qualifies him as an excellent addition.
Adam Zdroik looks over Tuesday's slate, keying on Justin Verlander as an easy choice against the Reds.
Chris Bennett reviews Tuesday's jam-packed slate and sees no reason to start fading Yordan Alvarez yet, as the Astros' left-handed hitters get a plus matchup in Cincinnati against Anthony DeSclafani.
He may not be hitting too well of late, but Jan Levine thinks Chris Taylor can turn it around if the Dodgers provide him sufficient playing time.
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a familiar face and the return of an old friend to the top in the busiest week of the season for two-start options.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Keller commands one of the best fastballs in the minors -- a mid-90s weapon with late life that can miss bats in and out of the zone. The pitch is so good that it’s all he needs to get through a minor-league lineup once and sometimes even twice. He also features a potentially plus curveball that works as an out pitch, but his changeup lags well behind as a fringe offering. His top two pitches and excellent command will carry him to the majors, but he needs to improve his changeup to reach his ceiling as a top-of-the-rotation horse. A back strain caused him to throw fewer innings in 2017 than in 2016, but he went to the Arizona Fall League to build up his innings in advance of what is likely to be his final season in the minors. He had a chance to generate a lot of hype in the AFL, a la Brent Honeywell last season, but evaluators weren’t particularly impressed by his showing, even though the stats were impressive.
More Fantasy News
Sent back to minors
Keller was optioned to Triple-A Indianapolis on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Yields four runs in no-decision
Keller allowed four runs (two earned) on four hits with six strikeouts and two walks across five innings in a no-decision against the Tigers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Will make third start this week
Keller will start at home against the Tigers on Tuesday, general manager Neal Huntington said on SportsRadio 93.7 The Fan Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
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Early exit in no-decision
Keller didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 8-7 extra-innings loss to Atlanta, coughing up six runs on 10 hits and two walks over three innings while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Summoned ahead of start
Keller was recalled from Triple-A Indianapolis ahead of his scheduled start Wednesday against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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