Willy Adames
Willy Adames
25-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Tampa Bay Rays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
At 25 years old, Adames already has more than 1,100 PA under his belt at the major-league level. Known more for his glove at shortstop, Adames seemed to be making major strides at the plate in 2020 only to lose a lot of that steam in the playoffs. He was 37% better than league average by wRC+ during the regular season, but he also struck out 36.1% of the time and those swing-and-miss issues carried over to the postseason (25 strikeouts in 59 at-bats). Statcast paints a pretty grim picture when it comes to expected stats, and Adames' whiff rate on offspeed pitches stands out as an obvious red flag. We still like the talent and pedigree, but complicating matters is the fact that Wander Franco, the top prospect in baseball, is breathing down his neck. Adames' defense remains a plus and it's not out of the question that Franco could break in at second base and push Brandon Lowe to the outfield full time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#402
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $579,500 contract with the Rays in March of 2020.
Takes seat Sunday
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 18, 2021
Adames is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Yankees, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Adames will sit out for the second time in four games while he remains in a prolonged slump at the plate. Over the Rays' last seven contests, Adames has gone 2-for-24 with 11 strikeouts, dropping his season average to .180. Adames could end up ceding more work at shortstop to Joey Wendle -- and eventually, top prospect Wander Franco -- if he struggles to get going at the plate in his future starts.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
1
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .660 270 31 12 24 2 .206 .261 .399
Since 2019vs Right .783 571 71 18 55 4 .272 .339 .444
2021vs Left .632 19 2 2 2 0 .158 .158 .474
2021vs Right .533 33 2 0 2 0 .194 .242 .290
2020vs Left .992 53 11 2 7 1 .319 .396 .596
2020vs Right .751 152 18 6 16 1 .239 .309 .442
2019vs Left .575 198 18 8 15 1 .181 .235 .341
2019vs Right .817 386 51 12 37 3 .292 .358 .458
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+63%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+57%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+103%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+62%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .556 387 30 8 25 3 .194 .246 .310
Since 2019Away .907 454 72 22 54 3 .301 .372 .536
2021Home .717 23 3 2 3 0 .182 .217 .500
2021Away .457 29 1 0 1 0 .179 .207 .250
2020Home .511 86 8 1 6 1 .165 .233 .278
2020Away 1.035 119 21 7 17 1 .330 .403 .632
2019Home .557 278 19 5 16 2 .204 .253 .304
2019Away .903 306 50 15 36 2 .303 .375 .528
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Stat Review
How does Willy Adames compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.11
 
BB Rate
3.8%
 
K Rate
34.6%
 
BABIP
.233
 
ISO
.180
 
AVG
.180
 
OBP
.212
 
SLG
.360
 
OPS
.572
 
wOBA
.249
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
28.1%
 
Barrels/PA
2.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willy Adames
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
8 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
RotoWire Roundtable: Final Update
22 days ago
Individual sets of Top 350s from Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a Top 300 composite ranking for the 2021 fantasy baseball season.
Collette Calls: My AL Tout Wars Team
26 days ago
Jason Collette took the chance on Adalberto Mondesi in the Tout Wars AL-only league. See how how he built out the rest of his roster.
Bernie on the Scene: AL East Analysis & Predictions
27 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes each team in the AL East with grades for each player and predictions for the division. Will the Yankees run away with it?
RotoWire Roundtable: Weekend Update
28 days ago
Individual sets of Top 350s from Jeff Erickson, Clay Link, Todd Zola and Erik Halterman are compiled into a Top 300 composite ranking for the 2021 fantasy baseball season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
There was a time when .254 with 20 homers and four steals from a shortstop would be envied. Now, the position is the infield's strongest. Adames is still just 24 years and showing signs of improvement, despite what appears to be a downturn from his rookie campaign. Adames doesn't have an elite ceiling, but he can elevate up the ranks. His contact, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity all increased during his sophomore season; the results just don't reflect the gains. Adames' xwOBA in 2018 was .293 while it was .315 last season, illustrating the better skills, though that mark is still tepid compared to other shortstops. Adames' perceived step back creates a buying opportunity for a cheap middle infielder with breakout potential, including steals as his sprint speed is well above average. Plus, he's the rare Tampa position player in the lineup nearly every day thanks to his stellar defense.
Stop us if you have heard this story before: prospect crushes Triple-A pitching while fans and fantasy players pine for his promotion. Player is promoted, has early success, but then goes into a huge slump. Prospect is demoted, comes back with a new mindset, and eventually reaches the levels of success everyone hoped he would immediately enjoy. Blake Snell did that in 2017 and Adames did that in 2018. He hit .224/.227/.329 with a 34% strikeout rate before he was demoted in July, but returned to hit .305/.383/.435 over the rest of the season with a 27% strikeout rate and an 11% walk rate. The power will come as he continues to physically mature as he is still just 23 years old. He will hit 20 homers in a season before he steals 10 bases, and that could happen in 2019. Adames is not going to be a superstar, but he will be a better-than-average offensive shortstop for the foreseeable future.
There may not be a better example in the minors of the difference between game power and raw power. Adames has never hit more than 11 home runs in a season and his career-high ISO is .159. However, he is one of the strongest shortstops in pro ball and has plus raw power. As he grows more comfortable and receives more upper-level instruction, he will start to access that power more in games, and when he does, his stock will explode. His best current offensive skill is his ability to work the count and get on base at a high clip, posting walk rates over 11 percent ever since joining the Rays in 2014. This pairs nicely with his above-average hit tool, and should eventually allow him to hit near the top of a big-league lineup. Adames will chip in a handful of steals, but he is not a burner. Some have questioned whether he would stick at shortstop long term, but he silenced the doubters in 2017, and should take over as the Rays' shortstop of the future early this season.
The 21-year-old enjoyed a strong year at Double-A Montgomery, slashing .274/.366/.409 with career highs in homers, walks and stolen bases. His numbers were up across the board from his 2015 campaign at High-A Charlotte, and he now looks to take the next step at Triple-A Durham in the coming season. Part of his improvement was in the area of plate discipline, as he lowered his strikeout rate almost a full six percentage points to 21.3 percent. Adames was added to the Rays' 40-man roster on Nov. 18, and if he continues to thrive in Triple-A, he could potentially see the field with the big league club before the end of the 2017 campaign. Based on his body of work to date, Adames projects as an excellent multi-category fantasy producer whenever he does settle in with the Rays for good.
Adames came to Tampa Bay in the David Price deal and is a very intriguing prospect, despite what the stats have been thus far. He will open the season in Double-A Montgomery as a 20-year-old, making him one of the youngest players in the league at a critical position. With Daniel Robertson in front of him, the Rays have no reason to rush him to the majors, but of the two, it is likely Adames that will stick at shortstop while Robertson goes to second base. The offense should begin to look better as he fills out physically. The recent acquisition of Brad Miller under a few more years of player control almost ensures Adames won’t be seen until 2018.
Adames was the third piece the Rays received in the David Price deal, and unlike Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin, Adames is several years away from the big leagues. However, he has the potential to be the best player of the three, especially if he can stick up the middle. A bat-first shortstop, Adames spent his entire age-18 season at the Low-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Rays, compiling a .271/.353/.429 slash line with eight home runs and six steals in 514 plate appearances. For an 18-year-old to do that in a full season league suggests he is advanced enough with the stick to move fast if his defense does not hold him back. An optimistic ETA would be late 2016, with a more likely debut in the summer of 2017. Still, in dynasty leagues where each team gets 10 minor league keepers, Adames needs to be owned based on his potential production in power and batting average, which should play even if he gets moved to third base.
More Fantasy News
Gets breather Thursday
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 15, 2021
Adames isn't starting Thursday's game against the Rangers, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Swats second homer
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 12, 2021
Adames went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Monday's 1-0 win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, drives in two
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 9, 2021
Adames went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double and two RBI in Friday's 10-5 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Scuffling to open season
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 6, 2021
Adames went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in a loss to the Red Sox on Monday, but he's hitting just .182 (2-for-11) over his first three games.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
SSTampa Bay Rays
April 2, 2021
Adames is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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