Carson Smith
29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Boston Red Sox AAA
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 5/1/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries limited Smith to just 23.2 innings during his first three seasons with the Red Sox. His first two years in Boston were derailed by Tommy John surgery, while his 2018 campaign was cut short by a right shoulder subluxation -- suffered while throwing his glove in the dugout -- that ultimately required season-ending surgery in June. Prior to going under the knife, Smith compiled a 3.77 ERA and 18:6 K:BB across 14.1 innings of relief. The 29-year-old has shown promise when healthy, with a career 2.21 ERA and 11.4 K/9 across parts of five big-league seasons (102 innings). He returned to the Red Sox on a minor-league deal and will get a chance to work his way back onto the roster during spring training. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#751
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a minor-league contract with the Red Sox in December of 2018.
Shifts to minor-league camp
PBoston Red Sox  AAA
Shoulder
March 12, 2019
The Red Sox assigned Smith (shoulder) to minor-league camp Tuesday, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
Smith didn't see any action in Grapefruit League play while he continues to recover from the shoulder surgery he required last June. Once viewed as a cornerstone piece for the Boston bullpen, Smith was dumped from the 40-man roster during the offseason and will need to prove his health in the high minors before getting another look from the big club. He'll likely open the season on the injured list at Triple-A Pawtucket.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-67%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-68%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-47%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .103 33 11 4 3 0 1 0
Since 2016vs Right .313 69 16 5 20 1 1 2
2018vs Left .100 23 9 3 2 0 1 0
2018vs Right .316 41 9 3 12 1 1 2
2017vs Left .167 6 2 0 1 0 0 0
2017vs Right .316 21 5 2 6 0 0 0
2016vs Left .000 4 0 1 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right .286 7 2 0 2 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.92 1.78 12.1 1 0 0 8.0 5.1 1.5
Since 2016Away 2.38 0.88 11.1 0 1 1 12.7 1.6 0.0
2018Home 4.50 1.67 6.0 1 0 0 9.0 6.0 3.0
2018Away 3.24 1.20 8.1 0 1 0 13.0 2.2 0.0
2017Home 1.93 1.93 4.2 0 0 0 7.7 3.9 0.0
2017Away 0.00 0.00 2.0 0 0 1 13.5 0.0 0.0
2016Home 0.00 1.80 1.2 0 0 0 5.4 5.4 0.0
2016Away 0.00 0.00 1.0 0 0 0 9.0 0.0 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carson Smith compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
11.3
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
3.77
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.349
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Strand %
77.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Red Sox Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carson Smith
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
316 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews the available talent in the American League where some struggling stars have returned from the disabled list, including the Twins' Byron Buxton.
Collette Calls: Bullpen Watch at the Break
July 11, 2017
Jason Collette reviews each team's bullpen and looks at who might move as we enter the second half with the trade deadline approaching.
Collette Calls: Hot Stove Update
December 21, 2016
Jason Collette analyzes the fantasy fallout from the latest trades and signings, including the Yankees' re-acquisition of closer Aroldis Chapman.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
May 1, 2016
Clay Link takes us through some AL waiver-wire candidates for this week, including a trio of starting pitchers in Minneapolis and three Angels vying for a temporary closer's role.
DFS Strategy: Mining for Value in Overlooked Areas
April 1, 2016
Paul Sporer reveals overlooked sources of value in DFS baseball as Opening Day approaches.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Smith took longer than expected to return to the Boston bullpen following 2016 Tommy John surgery, but he worked through setbacks and made his season debut in September. During the final month of the season, Smith made eight appearances and logged a total of 6.2 innings, finishing with one earned run allowed and a 7:2 K:BB. Most importantly, his velocity wasn't far from his pre-surgery levels, as he averaged 92.0 mph on his fastball, 84.6 on his slider, and 88.0 on his changeup, and he was generating outs on the ground at a clip above 60 percent again. At his best in 2015 with the Mariners, Smith was a 90-strikeout reliever with good ratios, and if he's able to use his slider as often as he did before going under the knife, it's reasonable to think that he'll be part of the improved late-inning combination the Red Sox use to get the ball to Craig Kimbrel in the ninth inning this season.
Smith was acquired from the Mariners in the offseason prior to the 2016 campaign and was seen as part of the mix to pitch setup innings for closer Craig Kimbrel, but a spring forearm injury lingered into the season and eventually required Tommy John surgery. Boston gave up a starter in Wade Miley to acquire Smith but viewed the reliever as a key bullpen piece. On the strength of a wipeout slider, Smith was coming off a stellar 2015 in which he struck out 34.2 percent of batters faced (ranked 11th among relievers) and registered an 11.8 K/9 (12th). The right hander with the unorthodox delivery commanded the strike zone well, too, and didn't give up many home runs (two in 70 innings). There are reports that he could throw during the spring, but the smart money has Smith coming back around June.
Smith fulfilled much of his potential as a dominant late-inning reliever last season, but when given the chance to take over the closer role, he didn't capitalize. The right-hander blew five save chances in 18 opportunities, allowing nine earned runs in 18.1 innings (4.41 ERA), and eventually relinquished the job. Smith certainly has the talent to close. He neutralizes righties (.169 BAA) with a devastating sidearm slider and left-handers (.227) with good changeup in addition to a sinking fastball that helped generate a 4.00 GB/FB ratio. His fastball command contributed to a mere two homers allowed, and despite a modest 92.9 mph average fastball, the 6-foot-6 Smith is an excellent strikeout pitcher. He whiffed 32.4% of the batters he faced, sixth among AL relievers. He was the key piece in a December trade that sent him to Boston, where he will eventually set up for Craig Kimbrel in a vastly improved Red Sox bullpen. However, he will begin the season on the disabled list with a strained flexor mass muscle in his right forearm, and should be considered out indefinitely.
Smith has shot through the system since being drafted in the eighth round in 2011, making the jump to Triple-A Tacoma to begin 2014 before a September callup. The right-hander impressed in his short time with the club, throwing 8.1 shutout innings across nine appearances. His best pitch is perhaps his sidearm slider that's more effective against right-handers, while his changeup is the choice against lefties. A sinking fastball helped him get 13 groundouts to one flyout with the Mariners. The 6-foot-6 Smith will compete for a relief job in spring training, though the bullpen is well stocked. Even if he doesn't make the team out of spring, he'll likely be in Seattle at some point. He also could be used as trade bait or insurance if the Mariners move one of their other bullpen pieces.
More Fantasy News
Limited to simulated throws
PBoston Red Sox  AAA
Shoulder
February 14, 2019
Smith (shoulder) was limited to simulating a throwing motion with a towel Tuesday as Red Sox pitchers and catchers reported to spring training this week, the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Set to miss beginning of season
PBoston Red Sox  AAA
Shoulder
January 17, 2019
President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said "it'll be awhile" before Smith (shoulder) will be able to pitch in games, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Inks minor-league deal with Boston
PBoston Red Sox  AAA
Shoulder
December 30, 2018
Smith (shoulder) signed a minor-league contract with the Red Sox on Sunday, Brandon Warne of ZoneCoverage.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Elects free agency
PFree Agent  AAA
Shoulder
November 1, 2018
Smith (shoulder) was reinstated from the 60-day disabled list Thursday and elected to become a free agent.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Transferred to 60-day DL
PBoston Red Sox  AAA
Shoulder
July 2, 2018
Smith (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day disabled list Monday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.