Antonio Senzatela

Antonio Senzatela

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Colorado Rockies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Senzatela has the advantage of being a groundball pitcher at Coors Field, but he has several factors working against him. He spent the entirety of the abbreviated 2020 season with the major-league club and posted a career-best 3.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 73.1 innings, but his 4.81 xFIP suggests that his results may not be sustainable over a larger sample. The 25-year-old had the worst K% (13.5%) of any qualified starter in 2020, according to FanGraphs. He also had the third-worst K-BB% last year after having the worst mark in that category during the 2019 season. Senzatela's average fastball velocity ticked up slightly to 94.4 mph, and his 1.74 GB/FB rate ranked 11th among qualified starters. However, he failed to dominate hitters once again during the shortened season, and his consistently low strikeout rates suggest that he remains a risky fantasy option despite his slightly improved ERA and WHIP. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#547
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $50.5 million contract extension with the Rockies in October of 2021. Contract includes $14 million team option for 2027.
Signs five-year extension
PColorado Rockies
October 5, 2021
Senzatela agreed to a five-year, $50.5 million extension with the Rockies on Tuesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The deal buys out Senzatela's final two years of team control as well as the first three years of his free agency and includes a club option for a sixth season at $14 million. It looks like a good one for the Rockies, as they'll lock up a pitcher whose 4.84 ERA through his first five major-league seasons is good for a park-adjusted ERA- of 99, indicating he's been almost exactly league-average. His 4.42 ERA this season was nothing special, but both his 3.61 FIP and 4.17 xFIP represented career lows, thanks in part to a career-best 4.8 percent walk rate. The deal is much worse news for those who have Senzatela on their dynasty teams, as his only route out of Coors Field in the next five years will be via trade.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Antonio Senzatela generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Antonio Senzatela generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .295 777 98 64 208 50 5 20
Since 2019vs Right .285 778 124 43 202 37 4 20
2021vs Left .294 326 43 18 89 23 3 5
2021vs Right .281 344 62 14 89 16 1 7
2020vs Left .247 168 19 14 37 7 2 4
2020vs Right .264 135 22 4 34 3 1 5
2019vs Left .327 283 36 32 82 20 0 11
2019vs Right .300 299 40 25 79 18 2 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.41 1.32 191.2 13 7 0 5.4 2.1 0.8
Since 2019Away 5.74 1.62 163.0 7 17 0 6.0 3.4 1.3
2021Home 3.97 1.21 90.2 3 3 0 5.1 1.4 0.5
2021Away 5.05 1.52 66.0 1 7 0 7.4 2.5 1.0
2020Home 2.10 0.99 34.1 3 0 0 5.0 1.3 0.3
2020Away 4.62 1.41 39.0 2 3 0 5.1 3.0 1.8
2019Home 6.21 1.64 66.2 7 4 0 5.9 3.5 1.4
2019Away 7.29 1.88 58.0 4 7 0 5.0 4.8 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Antonio Senzatela compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.28
 
K/9
6.0
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
94.6 mph
 
ERA
4.42
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
2.11
 
Left On Base
65.2%
 
Exit Velocity
83.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
2085 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.3%
 
Swinging Strike
9.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Antonio Senzatela
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73 days ago
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83 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Race to 200 Innings
87 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as top-ranked Gerrit Cole likely will be with the great majority of starters who won't reach 200 innings this year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The positives for Senzatela: he is a groundball pitcher in Coors Field. The negatives: everything else. He had the worst K-BB% of all pitchers last season (min. 100 IP) at 3.3%, as he struck out a mere 13% of the hitters around a 10% walk rate and a .309 opponents' batting average. That is how a pitcher produces a 6.71 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The demotion to Triple-A last year did not fix anything, and the next logical step for him is to move to the bullpen. He has lost a little off his fastball, and did not have a single pitch with positive run value last year. He can soak up some innings, but does not give Colorado a good chance to win. Perhaps a change in his role will bring his fastball back a bit, which is needed given he throws it two out of every three pitches. Until something changes in his role, he needs to stay on the FAAB pile in all formats.
Senzatela began the season working out of the Rockies' bullpen. In early May, he was demoted to Triple-A Albuquerque after posting a bloated 6.23 ERA in 10 appearances spanning 17.1 innings. Senzatela righted the ship on the farm, posting a 2.15 ERA over eight starts. He was recalled in early July and inserted into the Colorado rotation. Senzatela's stint as a starter was interrupted by a pair of DL visits, first with a blister, then due to shoulder inflammation. In his five starts during that span, Senzatela recorded a mediocre 4.81 ERA with a pedestrian 28 whiffs in 39.1 stanzas. The 23-year-old righty then went on a run, posting a 2.94 ERA over his final six starts, punching out a slightly more respectable (but still weak) 27 in 33.2 innings. With his strong finish, Senzatela will likely be in the mix to break camp at the back end of the Rockies' rotation. However, he lacks the requisite arsenal to defeat Coors Fields for an extended period.
Senzatela earned a rotation spot out of camp and fared well in his first six starts (2.84 ERA, 1.03 WHIP), but he endured a nine-run blowup on June 22 and spent the rest of the year bouncing between the rotation and bullpen. Working primarily fastball/slider, with occasional curveballs (3.3 percent) and changeups (3.6 percent) mixed in, Senzatela struck batters out at an 18.1 percent clip. He limited the long balls on the road thanks to a 50.1 percent groundball rate (0.65 HR/9), but as is the case with most pitchers at Coors Field, Senzatela struggled with homers at home (1.45 HR/9, 5.15 ERA). The right-hander's walk rate increased to 9.6 percent in the second half and he allowed a .327 wOBA to right-handed batters for the season. Youth is on his side, but right now Senzatela is a low-strikeout, two-pitch pitcher without a defined role, who has to pitch half of his games in the best hitter's park in baseball.
Senzatela shot up the Rockies' prospect rankings after putting up numbers worthy of the Organizational Pitcher of the Year award with High-A Modesto in 2015. As one would expect, expectations were pretty high for the right-hander heading into the 2016 campaign, but things didn't go as planned. He spent a month in the beginning of the season on the disabled list due to shoulder inflammation, then it returned a month after that and kept him out for the remainder of the year. Senzatela's final line was phenomenal, though, as he finished with a 1.82 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and a 0.3 HR/9 in seven starts with Double-A Hartford. Missing most of 2016 will likely slow the 21-year-old's path to the majors, but thanks to an arsenal that includes a mid-to-upper-90s fastball and a developing swing-and-miss slider, Senzatela could find himself with the major league club in 2018. He has No. 4 starter upside, but could be a high-leverage reliever if that doesn't work out.
Senzatela may still fit best at the back of a rotation long term, but his 2015 numbers should keep him on prospect radars for now. His command was already pretty special heading into 2015, but the spike in K-rate, up to 23 percent from 14.8% in 2014, suggests development of his secondary offerings. Double-A will prove to be a major test for the 6-foot-1 righty in 2016, but he is starting to look like a No. 4 starter with the upside to be a No. 3 if everything clicks. The Rockies understandably protected him from the Rule 5 draft by adding him to the 40-man roster during the offseason, and he could be knocking on the door of the big leagues sometime in 2017.
More Fantasy News
Fails to complete first inning
PColorado Rockies
October 2, 2021
Senzatela (4-10) allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks across two-thirds of an inning, taking the loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Posts quality start in no-decision
PColorado Rockies
September 26, 2021
Senzatela allowed two earned runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out two across six innings in the loss to the Giants on Sunday. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Sees end to quality-start streak
PColorado Rockies
September 22, 2021
Senzatela did not factor in the decision against the Dodgers on Tuesday, hurling six innings and allowing four runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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Notches another quality start
PColorado Rockies
September 15, 2021
Senzatela allowed two runs on seven hits and no walks with seven strikeouts through six innings, taking a no-decision in Wednesday's 3-2 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Another quality start
PColorado Rockies
September 9, 2021
Senzatela allowed two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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