Jake Faria
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Simply put, Faria is not as good as he was in 2017 nor is he as bad as he was in 2018. The advanced metrics show Faria was a bit out over his skis in 2017, but they also show he was not as bad as the 2018 surface stats look. He had a major oblique injury that washed away a good chunk of his season, but he was not pitching well in advance of that injury. Faria struggled to strand runners and gave up too many free passes. He's a unique pitcher in that his best pitch is his changeup, so he needs to get ahead early to get to it. He struggled with fastball command last year and pitched behind in too many counts, which is why we saw his fastball utilization jump seven percentage points. Bad things will happen when your below-average fastball is overused. He is one that will benefit from the opener strategy, as it will reduce exposure of his mediocre repertoire within a game. Read Past Outlooks
Chased in return to rotation
PTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2018
Faria (4-4) gave up three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out two in 2.1 innings Tuesday against the Yankees. He took the loss.
ANALYSIS
He had worked exclusively in relief since rejoining the Rays as a September callup but was tabbed as the starter in this contest. Faria had been limited to no more than three innings in any of his three appearances this month, so while he was more stretched out than most of the Rays' favored openers, fantasy owners certainly shouldn't have been expecting Faria to go deep enough to qualify for a win. Of course, it didn't help that he wasn't effective in his return to the rotation. Faria could start again Sunday against the Blue Jays in the final game of the season. His role for 2019 is unclear, but he obviously hasn't endeared himself to fantasy owners with a 5.40 ERA and 50:33 K:BB in 65 innings this season.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .211 244 48 46 41 6 2 4
Since 2016vs Right .247 394 86 18 90 21 1 16
2018vs Left .250 123 24 25 24 5 2 2
2018vs Right .247 158 26 8 36 9 0 7
2017vs Left .173 121 24 21 17 1 0 2
2017vs Right .248 236 60 10 54 12 1 9
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.60 1.19 69.0 6 4 0 8.1 3.7 1.0
Since 2016Away 4.85 1.37 81.2 3 4 0 7.8 3.9 1.3
2018Home 4.30 1.36 29.1 3 2 0 8.3 4.6 1.2
2018Away 6.31 1.49 35.2 1 2 0 5.8 4.5 1.3
2017Home 3.10 1.06 40.2 3 2 0 8.0 3.1 0.9
2017Away 3.72 1.28 46.0 2 2 0 9.4 3.3 1.4
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Jake Faria compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.52
 
K/9
6.9
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
5.40
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.277
 
GB/FB
0.89
 
Strand %
64.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jake Faria
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Rays pitchers not named Chris Archer are rather boring to write up because they are all the same guy. Fastballs up, changeups down and a breaking ball to keep the hitters off balance. Faria followed that same tried and true recipe last season, first at Triple-A Durham and then at the major-league level before an abdominal strain ended his time in the rotation in September. His statistical profile, with all of its plusses and minuses, is very much like Jake Odorizzi’s. He will get strikeouts (8.7 K/9 last season), he will allow some home runs (1.14 HR/9) and likely deliver an ERA on the north side of 3.50. Now that Alex Cobb is gone, this is the best changeup on the roster and he has been deadly against lefties due to it. Now, he just needs a better breaking ball to help neutralize righties who combined to hit nine of the 11 homers against Faria last season.
Faria started 13 games apiece at Double-A Montgomery and Triple-A Durham, putting together a 5-10 record that belied a much better overall performance. The 23-year-old generated a 1-6 record in the former stop, but held opponents to a .211 average over 83.1 innings. He was promoted in late June despite the unsightly win-loss tally and validated that move by excelling at the higher level, upping his record to 4-4 at Durham while giving up only 46 hits and whiffing 64 in 67.2 innings. His slight first-half hiccup in 2016 aside, the right-hander's ascent through the Rays' organization has been impressive. The 23-year-old brings plenty of strikeout upside (three minor league stints with double-digit K/9 rates) and solid control, making him a prospect to watch for fantasy purposes. A bit more seasoning at the Triple-A level is likely necessary, but it wouldn't be surprising to see Faria with the big league club at some point in 2017.
In a farm system headlined by several well-known pitching prospects, Faria is under the radar. That said, his profile is similar to that of Taylor Guerrieri and Brent Honeywell, and after pitching 75.1 innings at Double-A Montgomery last year, Faria has more experience in the upper levels than Guerrieri and Honeywell combined. The 6-foot-4 righty has a big fastball and a good changeup that allowed him to post a 2.51 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 96 strikeouts in 75.1 innings last season in the Southern League. That performance followed a 74.1-inning run at High-A where he allowed just 11 earned runs (1.33 ERA). As always, with Rays pitching prospects the tricky thing is determining when they will reach the big leagues, and in Faria’s case, if the curveball will be good enough to profile as a useful third pitch against big league hitters. Don’t look for him to debut until 2017, at which point he could have established himself as a top-50 prospect.
More Fantasy News
Rejoins rotation Tuesday
PTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2018
Faria will start Tuesday's game against the Yankees, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Three-inning relief stint in majors return
PTampa Bay Rays
September 6, 2018
Faria allowed two earned runs on five hits over three innings in the Rays' loss to the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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In store for promotion Tuesday
PTampa Bay Rays
September 4, 2018
Faria joined the Rays in Toronto on Monday and is expected to be formally recalled from Triple-A Durham ahead of Tuesday's game against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to minors following start
PTampa Bay Rays
August 15, 2018
Faria was optioned to Triple-A Durham following Wednesday's win over the Yankees, Juan Toribio of The Athletic Tampa Bay reports.
ANALYSIS
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Re-enters rotation Wednesday
PTampa Bay Rays
August 15, 2018
Faria will start Wednesday's game against the Yankees, Bill Chastain of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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