Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
25-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Let's be honest: Swanson is not on the Atlanta roster for his bat. He is on it because he is an outstanding defensive shortstop that just so happens to do a little hitting. Rafael Belliard he is not, but he is also not Jeff Kent. Swanson pulls a lot of his batted balls, and hits more grounders than flyballs. That, coupled with his below-average strikeout rate, holds down his batting average. It was cute when he was a rookie and was putting up a high BABIP as the league figured out how to pitch him. The book is out on him now, and he's hit .235 over his last 1,000 plate appearances. The upside is that he can run, and will steal bags when he gets on base and the base in front of him is unoccupied. You can still see him developing a bit more power and potentially driving up his run production so he is not stuck in the bottom third of the lineup. He'll need that to happen to overcome the effect his low average has on your overall stats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#493
ADP
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Braves in August of 2016.
Scores another run in win
SSAtlanta Braves
June 17, 2019
Swanson went 1-for-5 with a run scored in Sunday's 15-1 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
Since opening June with eight two-hit outings in 11 starts, Swanson's bat has predictably cooled down. He's gone 3-for-14 over his last four games, but thanks to a 4:2 BB:K in that span, he's been able to bring value out of the No. 2 spot in the lineup. Swanson's favorable spot in the order between Ronald Acuna and Freddie Freeman should continue to prop up his run and RBI counts even amid his relative dry spells at the plate.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
34
12
3
7
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
8
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .735 290 33 8 35 6 .254 .328 .408
Since 2017vs Right .685 1113 123 25 118 13 .238 .308 .377
2019vs Left .884 68 9 3 12 2 .323 .368 .516
2019vs Right .768 251 37 10 31 4 .244 .316 .452
2018vs Left .640 114 13 3 11 4 .204 .281 .359
2018vs Right .715 419 38 11 48 6 .248 .310 .405
2017vs Left .741 108 11 2 12 0 .263 .352 .389
2017vs Right .610 443 48 4 39 3 .224 .302 .308
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .709 693 80 15 77 7 .244 .330 .379
Since 2017Away .683 710 76 18 76 12 .238 .295 .388
2019Home .766 172 22 6 24 1 .252 .337 .429
2019Away .822 147 24 7 19 5 .272 .315 .507
2018Home .729 266 29 7 28 4 .246 .322 .407
2018Away .669 267 22 7 31 6 .231 .285 .384
2017Home .648 255 29 2 25 2 .237 .333 .315
2017Away .625 296 30 4 26 1 .227 .294 .331
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Stat Review
How does Dansby Swanson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
8.2%
 
K Rate
20.1%
 
BABIP
.289
 
ISO
.205
 
AVG
.261
 
OBP
.327
 
SLG
.466
 
OPS
.793
 
wOBA
.343
 
Exit Velocity
90.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.6%
 
Barrels/PA
7.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dansby Swanson
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
4 days ago
With Mike Foltynewicz set to take the mound, Mike Barner recommends a pair of Phillies sluggers to take advantage of the Braves' pitcher's struggles.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
15 days ago
Mike Barner highlights the appeal of a Red Sox stack Wednesday against Jakob Junis and the Royals.
Regan's Rumblings: Examining Barrel Rate
16 days ago
Dave Regan examines the “barrels per plate appearance percentage” metric of players hitting with a lot of power, including Matt Olson, who, after missing time with an injury, has seven homers in 109 PA.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
16 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate and thinks Juan Soto and the Nationals could tee off against struggling White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Breakdown
35 days ago
FanDuel didn't have Austin Riley in its player pool when he homered in his Wednesday MLB debut, but Kevin Payne says to roll with him Thursday now that he's available.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Swanson fared well in his 2016 debut, but took two steps back last season, providing a cautionary tale for assumptions about prospects. He hit well below the Mendoza Line over the first two months of the season and did not improve enough in subsequent weeks to avoid a demotion to Triple-A. While Swanson was better following his return, posting a 0.67 BB/K and .360 OBP over his final 49 games, he did not homer in that span and was only successful on one of four stolen-base attempts. Too often we in the industry tend to assume a prospect with Swanson's pedigree will have a straight line to major-league success, but that path is often filled with curves and potholes, and sometimes players simply don't reach the desired destination. Swanson may figure it out, but the new park in Atlanta is less favorable for right-handed power, and Swanson has modest pop to begin with (29.3 hard-hit percentage, 29.4 flyball percentage last season).
Swanson is who we thought he was. Or at least, he is who everyone other than Dave Stewart and Tony La Russa thought he was. A polished shortstop with no weaknesses and "the good face," Swanson's best tools (hit and field) grade out as plus, while his worst tools (power and speed) grade out as average. That's a recipe for a future All-Star and No. 2 hitter in a quality big league lineup. His numbers at High-A were gaudy enough for him to be promoted to Double-A after just 21 games, and he spent most of the summer posting a 117 wRC+ across 84 games in the Southern League. He skipped Triple-A altogether, making his big league debut in mid-August and finished one at-bat shy of losing his prospect status. The Braves officially chose Swanson over fellow prospect Ozzie Albies as the shortstop of the future, with Albies pegged for second base. Swanson should be an across-the-board contributor in his first full season, with the potential to be a major asset in runs and batting average.
The No. 1 overall pick of the 2015 draft, Swanson went from leading his Vanderbilt team to the College World Series in June to debuting with short-season Hillsboro of the Northwest League in August. Swanson, who missed time with a concussion after getting hit in the head by a pitch in instructs, was only able to play in 22 games for the Hops, hitting .289 with one home run. He also tallied seven doubles, three triples and a tidy 14:14 K:BB. He should be a good, not great, defensive shortstop who bats for a high average with 15-20 homers, while hitting first or second in a big league lineup during his peak years. Swanson likely won’t help fantasy teams in 2016, but dynasty league owners could see him as early as 2017, as he has the polish and makeup to move quickly. The key piece in the offseason trade that sent Shelby Miller to Arizona, Swanson is unquestionably the Braves' No. 1 prospect.
More Fantasy News
Power surge continues
SSAtlanta Braves
June 6, 2019
Swanson went 2-for-4 with a double and a solo home run in Wednesday's loss to the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Homers for second straight day
SSAtlanta Braves
June 2, 2019
Swanson went 2-for-3 with a double, home run, three RBI, two runs and a walk during a 7-4 victory against the Tigers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in two runs
SSAtlanta Braves
June 1, 2019
Swanson went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, two runs scored and two RBI in Saturday's 10-5 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Powers Atlanta to win
SSAtlanta Braves
May 24, 2019
Swanson went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Friday's 5-2 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
SSAtlanta Braves
May 22, 2019
Swanson went 2-for-5 with a two-run homer and a walk in Wednesday's 9-2 victory over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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