Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Tucker was already slated to see a lot of playing time last season, but with Yordan Alvarez missing just about the entire year, Tucker appeared in 58 out of 60 games. His slash line was nearly identical to his short stay in 2019 but he did It without the benefit of the livelier ball. Tucker's K% improved which is key for someone so young, providing a batting average floor for his enticing power/speed upside. There's a lot of red in Tucker's Statcast profile, indicating his performance is supported by strong batted-ball skills, notably average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Icing on the cake is a tidy 8-for-9 in stolen-base attempts, prorating to a 20-steal campaign. Tucker is assured of regular playing time, hitting in the middle of a potent order. Entering just his age-24 season, Tucker checks all the boxes for the classic five-category stud, with future first-round, $30-plus potential. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#32
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $568,700 contract with the Astros in March of 2020.
No uncertainty in 2021
OFHouston Astros
February 24, 2021
Tucker is expected to serve as the everyday right fielder in 2021, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
Unlike previous seasons when he was blocked by established veterans and his own anemic production against MLB pitching (.652 OPS, 144 plate appearances), Tucker has a secure spot in the lineup. He was a bright spot for the Astros in 2020 when many of their players underperformed. Tucker had an .837 OPS over 228 plate appearances and came on in the second half, slashing .317/.386/.619 over the final 140 appearances. "I kind of figured it out (during) the second half, kind of fixed my swing with some stuff and just got all-around more comfortable out there," Tucker said Tuesday. "The second half of the season was really how I play and how I want to play." The organization is looking for the 24-year-old Tucker to help replace the production lost when George Springer and Josh Reddick moved on during the offseason.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
4
17
3
3
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
8
2
5
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+220%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .775 115 18 5 16 4 .255 .313 .462
Since 2018vs Right .767 255 40 8 41 10 .241 .306 .461
2020vs Left .705 72 10 4 11 0 .221 .264 .441
2020vs Right .911 154 23 5 31 8 .295 .357 .554
2019vs Left .840 28 4 1 5 3 .296 .321 .519
2019vs Right .868 44 11 3 6 2 .250 .318 .550
2018vs Left .988 15 4 0 0 1 .364 .533 .455
2018vs Right .309 57 6 0 4 0 .094 .158 .151
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+16%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+31%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .711 179 29 5 25 6 .232 .291 .421
Since 2018Away .825 191 29 8 32 8 .259 .325 .500
2020Home .800 103 16 4 17 4 .255 .311 .489
2020Away .881 123 17 5 25 4 .283 .341 .540
2019Home .834 33 6 1 6 1 .281 .303 .531
2019Away .876 39 9 3 5 4 .257 .333 .543
2018Home .390 43 7 0 2 1 .132 .233 .158
2018Away .511 29 3 0 2 0 .154 .241 .269
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Tucker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.39
 
BB Rate
7.9%
 
K Rate
20.2%
 
BABIP
.303
 
ISO
.244
 
AVG
.268
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.512
 
OPS
.837
 
wOBA
.369
 
Exit Velocity
85.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.8%
 
Barrels/PA
10.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Tucker
Baseball Draft Kit: Player Values by Position
15 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
The Z Files: Outfield Studs to Duds
50 days ago
Todd Zola wraps up his positional tiers with the outfield, and finds he can't quit Marcell Ozuna even without knowing what uniform he'll be wearing in 2021.
The Z Files: Early Draft Pick Follies
116 days ago
Todd Zola looks at how early selections can impact subsequent picks when constructing a roster, and why simply taking the "best" player available isn't always the best course of action.
Super Early Top 400 for 2021
136 days ago
James Anderson releases his super early top 400 redraft rankings, which features a trio of Atlanta hitters in the top 20.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
137 days ago
Christopher Olson takes a look at both Championship Series games taking place Monday, recommending Atlanta’s Ronald Acuna in Game 1 against L.A.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The Astros stuck by Josh Reddick throughout the 2019 season, much to the chagrin of Tucker's fantasy owners. He did finally get some run in September and enjoyed his first taste of big-league success, and even earned a spot on the postseason roster through the World Series. On account of being stuck at Triple-A and accumulating 536 PA with Round Rock, Tucker put up a 30-30 season, leading the PCL in stolen bases. He walked at an 11.2% clip while striking out 21.6% of the time. The latter number jumped to 27.8% against big-league arms and it is a long, unconventional swing, but the batted-ball numbers were excellent and his track record suggests he will be able to make enough contact. The big question is: how much will he run? Houston as a club stole 67 bases all year (17th in total attempts), though Tucker was active on the basepaths and it's possible the Astros run more under a new manager.
Tucker was the second-youngest player and third-best hitter (155 wRC+) in the Pacific Coast League. He had three short stints in the big leagues (MLB debut on July 7) but never got going at the dish. In the 28 Triple-A games (including PCL playoffs) that followed his MLB debut, he hit .388/.463/.750 with 12 home runs and eight steals, so it is safe to say he has nothing to prove at that level. Tucker has plus power and should have no trouble hitting 20-plus homers once he is playing every day. His stolen-base totals oversell his pure speed, but he has good instincts on the bases and should be a double-digit contributor there as well. His batted-ball profile at Triple-A was ideal (35.8 GB%), and while he may not be a .300 hitter, he will do a lot of damage as a .270 or .280 hitter. To manipulate his service time to maximize their years of control, the Astros would need to hold Tucker down until mid-May, which would be disingenuous, but also can't be ruled out.
Reasonable minds could disagree about whether power, speed or batting average will be Tucker's most valuable fantasy contribution, and that's the selling point. He's good at everything. In 2016 he stole 32 bases on 44 tries. He only stole 21 bags last year, but launched 25 homers across stops at High-A and Double-A, putting an end to the "will he hit for power" debate. A .286 BABIP suppressed his Texas League batting average, but his hit tool has the potential to be special -- his swing receives Ted Williams comps. Tucker has been unduly pull happy (49.1 percent pull rate at Double-A) for a prospect with the raw talent to compete for batting titles. His newfound over-the-fence power may have momentarily compromised his approach, but with more upper-level instruction, he should eventually display an all-fields approach. He is the Astros' best hitting prospect since Alex Bregman and capable of playing all three outfield spots, so while the big-league roster is crowded, the velvet rope will be lifted when he's ready to join the mix this summer.
Drafted fifth overall in 2015, Tucker spent much of last season with Low-A Quad Cities but reached the High-A level for the final 16 games of his age-19 campaign. The brother of Preston Tucker (also in the Astros organization), Kyle didn't miss a beat following the promotion. In fact, he surged at the dish, going 20-for-59 (.339 average) with 11 extra-base hits and a 10:6 BB:K with Lancaster. Not only does Tucker demonstrate an advanced approach and discerning eye for his age, he has plus speed and there's plenty of room for power growth as he fills out his 6-foot-4 frame. He is already a top-20 prospect for fantasy purposes and he has the skill set to rise quickly through the system, so Tucker should be treated as a hot commodity in any long-term keeper league with minor league roster spots.
Tucker, the fifth overall pick of the 2015 draft, joined the same organization as his older brother Preston when the Astros selected him last June. One of the top hitting prospects in the 2015 class, the 6-foot-4, 190-pound outfielder struggled in rookie ball, hitting only .246/.294/.353 in 63 games between the Gulf Coast League and Greeneville Astros. He did help Greeneville win the Appalachian League title, however, alongside 37th overall pick Daz Cameron.
More Fantasy News
Hits insurance home run
OFHouston Astros
October 17, 2020
Tucker went 1-for-3 with a walk, a home run and two RBI in Game 6 of the ALCS.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Sunday's lineup
OFHouston Astros
September 27, 2020
Tucker is out of the lineup Sunday against the Rangers, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes bag in loss
OFHouston Astros
September 27, 2020
Tucker went 2-for-4 with a stolen base in Saturday's 6-1 loss against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Four-hit effort in win
OFHouston Astros
September 22, 2020
Tucker went 4-for-5 with an RBI, a run scored and a stolen base in Tuesday's 6-1 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Steals base in loss
OFHouston Astros
September 18, 2020
Tucker went 2-for-4 with an RBI double and a stolen base in Friday's 6-3 loss to the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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