Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Tucker was already slated to see a lot of playing time last season, but with Yordan Alvarez missing just about the entire year, Tucker appeared in 58 out of 60 games. His slash line was nearly identical to his short stay in 2019 but he did It without the benefit of the livelier ball. Tucker's K% improved which is key for someone so young, providing a batting average floor for his enticing power/speed upside. There's a lot of red in Tucker's Statcast profile, indicating his performance is supported by strong batted-ball skills, notably average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Icing on the cake is a tidy 8-for-9 in stolen-base attempts, prorating to a 20-steal campaign. Tucker is assured of regular playing time, hitting in the middle of a potent order. Entering just his age-24 season, Tucker checks all the boxes for the classic five-category stud, with future first-round, $30-plus potential. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#32
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $568,700 contract with the Astros in March of 2020.
Blasts three-run homer
OFHouston Astros
July 27, 2021
Tucker went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run in Monday's 11-8 loss to the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
Tucker did all his damage during the Astros' six-run first inning, taking Darren McCaughan deep with two runners on for his 19th long ball of the season. Four of those home runs have come in the last seven games, and perhaps even more impressively, Tucker has struck out just once during that stretch. Thanks in part to lowering his strikeout rate from 20.2 percent in 2020 to 16 percent in 2021, Tucker is currently holding down a career-best .273 batting average.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
4
4
33
12
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
2
4
12
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .735 240 32 12 44 3 .241 .279 .455
Since 2019vs Right .910 440 70 21 73 19 .289 .352 .558
2021vs Left .728 140 18 7 28 0 .240 .279 .450
2021vs Right .917 242 36 13 36 9 .292 .355 .562
2020vs Left .705 72 10 4 11 0 .221 .264 .441
2020vs Right .911 154 23 5 31 8 .295 .357 .554
2019vs Left .840 28 4 1 5 3 .296 .321 .519
2019vs Right .868 44 11 3 6 2 .250 .318 .550
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+44%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .920 326 56 17 61 11 .295 .347 .574
Since 2019Away .780 354 46 16 56 11 .250 .308 .472
2021Home 1.002 190 34 12 38 6 .320 .374 .628
2021Away .696 192 20 8 26 3 .227 .281 .415
2020Home .800 103 16 4 17 4 .255 .311 .489
2020Away .881 123 17 5 25 4 .283 .341 .540
2019Home .834 33 6 1 6 1 .281 .303 .531
2019Away .876 39 9 3 5 4 .257 .333 .543
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Stat Review
How does Kyle Tucker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
7.6%
 
K Rate
16.2%
 
BABIP
.278
 
ISO
.247
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.327
 
SLG
.520
 
OPS
.847
 
wOBA
.363
 
Exit Velocity
83.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
40.0%
 
Barrels/PA
9.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Tucker
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5 days ago
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11 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The Astros stuck by Josh Reddick throughout the 2019 season, much to the chagrin of Tucker's fantasy owners. He did finally get some run in September and enjoyed his first taste of big-league success, and even earned a spot on the postseason roster through the World Series. On account of being stuck at Triple-A and accumulating 536 PA with Round Rock, Tucker put up a 30-30 season, leading the PCL in stolen bases. He walked at an 11.2% clip while striking out 21.6% of the time. The latter number jumped to 27.8% against big-league arms and it is a long, unconventional swing, but the batted-ball numbers were excellent and his track record suggests he will be able to make enough contact. The big question is: how much will he run? Houston as a club stole 67 bases all year (17th in total attempts), though Tucker was active on the basepaths and it's possible the Astros run more under a new manager.
Tucker was the second-youngest player and third-best hitter (155 wRC+) in the Pacific Coast League. He had three short stints in the big leagues (MLB debut on July 7) but never got going at the dish. In the 28 Triple-A games (including PCL playoffs) that followed his MLB debut, he hit .388/.463/.750 with 12 home runs and eight steals, so it is safe to say he has nothing to prove at that level. Tucker has plus power and should have no trouble hitting 20-plus homers once he is playing every day. His stolen-base totals oversell his pure speed, but he has good instincts on the bases and should be a double-digit contributor there as well. His batted-ball profile at Triple-A was ideal (35.8 GB%), and while he may not be a .300 hitter, he will do a lot of damage as a .270 or .280 hitter. To manipulate his service time to maximize their years of control, the Astros would need to hold Tucker down until mid-May, which would be disingenuous, but also can't be ruled out.
Reasonable minds could disagree about whether power, speed or batting average will be Tucker's most valuable fantasy contribution, and that's the selling point. He's good at everything. In 2016 he stole 32 bases on 44 tries. He only stole 21 bags last year, but launched 25 homers across stops at High-A and Double-A, putting an end to the "will he hit for power" debate. A .286 BABIP suppressed his Texas League batting average, but his hit tool has the potential to be special -- his swing receives Ted Williams comps. Tucker has been unduly pull happy (49.1 percent pull rate at Double-A) for a prospect with the raw talent to compete for batting titles. His newfound over-the-fence power may have momentarily compromised his approach, but with more upper-level instruction, he should eventually display an all-fields approach. He is the Astros' best hitting prospect since Alex Bregman and capable of playing all three outfield spots, so while the big-league roster is crowded, the velvet rope will be lifted when he's ready to join the mix this summer.
Drafted fifth overall in 2015, Tucker spent much of last season with Low-A Quad Cities but reached the High-A level for the final 16 games of his age-19 campaign. The brother of Preston Tucker (also in the Astros organization), Kyle didn't miss a beat following the promotion. In fact, he surged at the dish, going 20-for-59 (.339 average) with 11 extra-base hits and a 10:6 BB:K with Lancaster. Not only does Tucker demonstrate an advanced approach and discerning eye for his age, he has plus speed and there's plenty of room for power growth as he fills out his 6-foot-4 frame. He is already a top-20 prospect for fantasy purposes and he has the skill set to rise quickly through the system, so Tucker should be treated as a hot commodity in any long-term keeper league with minor league roster spots.
Tucker, the fifth overall pick of the 2015 draft, joined the same organization as his older brother Preston when the Astros selected him last June. One of the top hitting prospects in the 2015 class, the 6-foot-4, 190-pound outfielder struggled in rookie ball, hitting only .246/.294/.353 in 63 games between the Gulf Coast League and Greeneville Astros. He did help Greeneville win the Appalachian League title, however, alongside 37th overall pick Daz Cameron.
More Fantasy News
Third straight game with homer
OFHouston Astros
July 23, 2021
Tucker went 1-for-4 with a three-run homer in Friday's 7-3 win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in back-to-back games
OFHouston Astros
July 22, 2021
Tucker went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 5-4 loss to Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies three hits, drives in three
OFHouston Astros
July 21, 2021
Tucker went 3-for-4 with a two-run homer, a double and three RBI in Tuesday's 9-3 win over Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies three hits, stolen base
OFHouston Astros
July 16, 2021
Tucker went 3-for-5 with a run, an RBI and stolen base in a 7-1 win over the White Sox on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, swipes two bags
OFHouston Astros
July 11, 2021
Tucker went 2-for-3 with a solo homer, a double, two runs scored, a walk and two steals in Sunday's 8-7 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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