Ke'Bryan Hayes
24-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
2021 Fantasy Outlook
With hitting prospects, there is a difference between "hasn't hit for impact power" and "won't hit for impact power." Thanks to a strong hit tool and the fact most of the full-season environments he played in were pitcher-friendly parks, Hayes always fit in the first group. He exceeded even the most optimistic expectations as a rookie. A .450 BABIP obviously propped up his stats to some degree, but his 9.2% barrel rate would have ranked 22nd among qualified hitters, ahead of Mike Trout, Luke Voit and Nelson Cruz, so his performance was more skill than luck. He was successful on his lone steal attempt in 24 games, but with a 79th percentile sprint speed and 25-for-31 success rate in 230 MiLB games from 2018-19, Hayes is a sneaky threat to steal double-digit bases this year. Gold Glove caliber defense at third base ensures everyday playing time, and he should reprise his role as the Pirates No. 2 hitter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $1.86 million contract with the Pirates in June of 2015.
Part of Monday's lineup
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 14, 2021
Hayes will bat second and start at third base Monday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Hayes, who is 3-for-6 against Monday starter Jon Lester, has at least one hit in each of the 11 games he's started and finished in 2021. He holds a slash line of .302/.362/.605 with three homers in 47 plate appearances, picking up where he left off after an impressive 2020 showing. Perhaps most importantly, the 24-year-old hasn't reported any recurrence of the wrist injury that forced him to the 60-day injured list earlier in the season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+28%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+62%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left 1.245 39 8 2 5 1 .432 .462 .784
Since 2019vs Right .843 93 11 4 11 0 .268 .355 .488
2021vs Left 1.040 17 3 1 2 0 .313 .353 .688
2021vs Right .813 38 5 2 5 0 .265 .342 .471
2020vs Left 1.403 22 5 1 3 1 .524 .545 .857
2020vs Right .864 55 6 2 6 0 .271 .364 .500
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+38%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home 1.053 89 16 4 10 0 .350 .416 .638
Since 2019Away .763 47 5 3 6 1 .233 .298 .465
2021Home .973 31 5 1 3 0 .345 .387 .586
2021Away .768 24 3 2 4 0 .190 .292 .476
2020Home 1.098 58 11 3 7 0 .353 .431 .667
2020Away .759 23 2 1 2 1 .273 .304 .455
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ke'Bryan Hayes compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
9.1%
 
K Rate
20.0%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.260
 
AVG
.280
 
OBP
.345
 
SLG
.540
 
OPS
.885
 
wOBA
.399
 
Exit Velocity
85.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
52.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ke'Bryan Hayes
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Jan Levine looks at a few position battles, including the Reds' closer situation.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Hayes is a 70-grade defender at third base, has a career 16.8 K% and is an above-average runner who turned 23 this offseason after spending all of 2019 at Triple-A, so there are a lot of positives in his profile. His inability thus far to really impact the baseball is the elephant in the room. He uses the whole field, but his 46.4 GB% would have ranked in the bottom 25% among qualified big leaguers and his 25.5 Hard% is underwhelming for a corner infielder playing with the juiced ball at Triple-A. A modest swing change could unlock another level, and with a new front office in Pittsburgh, it is reasonable to anticipate some player-development improvements. His defense and plate skills will get him an everyday role even if he doesn't unlock more pop, and he could probably go 15/15 as is. If he gets off to a good start, we should see him in the first half.
There are subtleties in Hayes' profile that make him a valuable fantasy commodity, but that are lost on many, which may make him the most underrated player in the prospect universe. He had just eight career homers in 231 games prior to reaching Double-A, then quietly had a power breakout last year that was muted by the extreme pitcher-friendly conditions in Altoona. He finished fourth in the Eastern League with 31 doubles and notched his best full-season ISO (.151) and SLG (.444) figures. His patience (11.2 BB%), bat-to-ball ability (16.5 K%) and all-fields approach (38.8 Pull%, 32.2 Oppo%) portend a plus hit tool and he has the speed to steal 15-to-20 bases annually. He is also a gold-glove caliber defender at third base, so playing time won't be an issue. This is the type of player who blows past his power estimates on minor-league scouting reports and leaves analysts scratching their heads. Given the Pirates' track record, he may be kept down until 2020.
While he does a lot of things well, Hayes has yet to hit for the type of power we associate with quality third base prospects. He is an above-average runner and went 27-for-32 on stolen-base attempts last year. Hayes is also a high-caliber defensive third baseman, so there is no concern about his glove forcing a move. His 15.8 percent strikeout rate was the best mark in the Florida State League among hitters under 22, which not only demonstrates his contact skills, but suggests he has room to make adjustments that could unlock power without compromising his ability to hit for a high average. Additionally, he has a true all-fields approach (36.6 percent to the pull side, 38 percent to the opposite field), so the only thing lacking is that aforementioned power. At 21, he will be one of the youngest hitters at Double-A, so there is still time for him to become a well-rounded hitter, and he has the size (6-foot-1, 210 pounds) to unlock that power with more upper-level instruction.
Hayes got off to a hot start in 2016, hitting .343/.368/.457 in April for Low-A West Virginia. He batted only .236/.305/.374 in 205 plate appearances the rest of the way, but back and rib injuries may have contributed to his woes. The third baseman hasn't shown much power -- he's totaled six homers in two seasons (123 games). However, at 6-foot-1, 210 pounds, he projects to grow into 20-plus homer power down the road to accompany what could be an above-average hit tool. Hayes, who turned 20 in January, remains several seasons away from potentially making an impact in the majors. He will likely spend most of 2017 at High-A Bradenton in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, where he will be tasked with showcasing a more patient approach while driving the ball to all fields.
The son of former major leaguer Charlie Hayes, Pittsburgh took the third baseman with the 32nd pick of the 2015 draft. He did well enough in the Gulf Coast League (.333/.434/.375) to earn a two-week promotion to the New York-Penn League. Though he failed to homer, the 19-year-old is expected to offer some power. He will begin 2016 back in the NYPL this summer or at Low-A West Virginia if the Bucs want to push him to a full-season affiliate for Opening Day. Fantasy owners will want to keep tabs on Hayes as he offers a strong batting average with potential for more, but he should be considered a long-term investment in dynasty formats.
More Fantasy News
Day off Saturday
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 12, 2021
Hayes will not start Saturday's game against the Brewers, Kevin Gorman of TribLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Clocks two-run shot
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 11, 2021
Hayes went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in Friday's 7-4 loss to the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Collects two hits Sunday
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 7, 2021
Hayes went 2-for-4 in Sunday's 3-1 loss to the Marlins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs homer
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 4, 2021
Hayes went 2-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and two runs scored in Friday's 9-2 win over Miami.
ANALYSIS
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Batting second in return
3BPittsburgh Pirates
June 3, 2021
Pirates manager Derek Shelton confirmed Hayes (wrist) will be activated from the 60-day injured list ahead of Thursday's game against the Marlins, Jake Crouse of MLB.com reports. Hayes will start at third base and bat second.
ANALYSIS
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