Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Diego Padres
Out
Injury Calf
Est. Return 11/21/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The biggest development for Naylor in 2018 was that most of his starts came in left field. He had previously only played first base. His stats through 170 career games at Double-A (.286/.368/.423, 19 HR, 14.0 K%, 10.7 BB%) are solid for a player who won't turn 22 until June. However, the fact he won't be a good defender anywhere, particularly in the outfield, means he will have to do a ton of damage at the plate to get playing time in the National League. The 70-grade raw power that led to him getting selected in the first round in 2015 has not consistently shown up in games, but he has been a better pure hitter than originally anticipated. Eric Hosmer signed an eight-year deal last offseason and the Padres already have a couple bat-first, below-average defenders competing for time in the outfield corners (Franmil Reyes and Hunter Renfroe), so Naylor feels like a spare piece who may not make his big-league debut as a member of this organization. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed with the Marlins in June of 2015.
Dealing with lower-leg injury
OFSan Diego Padres
Calf
November 5, 2019
Naylor hasn't played in the Dominican winter league in over a week due to a right calf and shin strain, Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Naylor's leg got caught under him on a fielding play in late October. He hasn't been shut down and hopes to return to action at some point this winter, so it sounds as if the issue isn't currently expected to carry over into spring training.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
23
14
20
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .674 50 4 0 4 1 .292 .320 .354
Since 2017vs Right .729 229 25 8 28 0 .239 .314 .415
2019vs Left .674 50 4 0 4 1 .292 .320 .354
2019vs Right .729 229 25 8 28 0 .239 .314 .415
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+18%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .654 123 12 4 17 1 .228 .276 .377
Since 2017Away .771 156 17 4 15 0 .266 .346 .424
2019Home .654 123 12 4 17 1 .228 .276 .377
2019Away .771 156 17 4 15 0 .266 .346 .424
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josh Naylor compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.39
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
22.9%
 
BABIP
.302
 
ISO
.154
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.315
 
SLG
.403
 
OPS
.719
 
wOBA
.317
 
Exit Velocity
89.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.6%
 
Barrels/PA
4.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Naylor
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
36 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
FanDuel MLB: Monday Breakdown
66 days ago
Stephen Strasburg headlines Monday's FanDuel starting pitchers. Chris Bennett is considering pivoting to other options, though.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks
68 days ago
The Mariners/White Sox matchup should involve plenty of offense, which is why Mike Barner recommends stacking hitters from both lineups.
The Z Files: A Dozen Darts
76 days ago
Todd Zola suggests some hitters who should see enough playing time in September to help you make a final push, including surprising Orioles catcher Pedro Severino.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday Picks
79 days ago
Mike Barner is targeting a past-his-prime Felix Hernandez with a Cubs stack Tuesday.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
For each of Naylor's intriguing fantasy-relevant qualities, he does something else that subtracts from his potential value. He has huge raw power, but doesn't make much of an effort to get to it consistently in games. One of pro sports' modern marvels is how well Naylor runs, given his pear-shaped physique. But he won't remain this nimble as he gets into his mid-20s. Prior to 2017, he hardly walked -- a red flag for a bad-body first baseman. However, his career-best 9.1 percent walk rate at Double-A helped lessen those concerns. At the same time, he pulled the ball a career-low 31.4 percent, which was the second lowest rate in the Texas League. For a player who is already not capitalizing on his top physical tool, this new passivity is quite troubling. Naylor could be a high-average 15-to-20 homer hitter, or a low-average 30-plus homer threat, but it's hard to see both skills converging. He has been promoted aggressively since being drafted 12th overall in 2015, and could be pushed to Triple-A before he turns 21 in late June.
Naylor was one of the more desired pieces in the infamous Andrew Cashner-Jarred Cosart deal, which nearly fell through due to alleged misinformation provided by the Padres. The Padres were able to keep Naylor, though, and he more than held his own during his first season of full-season ball. In 122 games between Low-A Greensboro and High-A Lake Elsinore, the left-handed hitting Naylor batted .264/.302/.407 with 12 home runs, 75 RBI and 11 steals. Naylor needs to work on his patience at the dish, as he only drew 25 walks in 481 at-bats. However, he also does not strike a ton, as evidenced by his 84 strikeouts over the above-referenced 122-game span in 2016. The Padres are banking on Naylor's home run totals eventually catching up to his massive raw power. He may only be starting to scratch the surface of his enormous power potential.
After being selected with the 12th pick in the 2015 draft, Naylor injected a modicum of hope into perhaps the worst farm system in baseball. The Canadian slugger slashed .327/.352/.418 with one home run in 25 games in his first taste of professional baseball. Perhaps the most impressive aspect of this small sample is the 10.5-percent K rate that he posted after just turning 18 years old in June. He was drafted because of the plus power he offers from the left side, and to show those contact skills at such an early age has to really excite fantasy owners. While a case could easily be made that Naylor is the best fantasy asset in the Marlins’ system, it is also worth noting that he is at least four or five years away from the show, so drafting him in dynasty leagues will require extreme patience.
More Fantasy News
Heads to bench
OFSan Diego Padres
September 22, 2019
Naylor is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Thursday
OFSan Diego Padres
September 19, 2019
Naylor is not in Thursday's lineup against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Out of starting nine
OFSan Diego Padres
September 17, 2019
Naylor isn't in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in loss
OFSan Diego Padres
September 16, 2019
Naylor went 1-for-5 with a two-run homer in Sunday's loss to Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Wednesday
OFSan Diego Padres
September 11, 2019
Naylor is not in Wednesday's lineup against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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