Nick Neidert
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
10-Day IL
Injury Biceps
Est. Return 6/24/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Neidert mopped up in four Marlins losses in 2020, pitching to a 5.40 ERA and 4:2 K:BB in 8.1 innings. A second-round pick by the Mariners in 2015, Neidert was traded to Miami in 2017 as part of the return for Dee Gordon. Neidert posted an ERA north of 5.00 in his first run at the Triple-A level in 2019, but keep in mind the conditions were brutal in the Pacific Coast League that year. His body of work at Double-A in 2018 at age 21 was extremely impressive (3.24 ERA, 20.1 K-BB% in 152.2 innings). Neidert does not have great velocity, although reports had him touching 94 mph during spring training. The right-hander pitched extremely well throughout 2021 Grapefruit League play and could fill a multi-inning relief role for the big-league club or fill in as a starter if there are injuries in the rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
ADP
$Signed a $1.2 million contract with the Mariners in June of 2015.
Throwing bullpen soon
PMiami Marlins
Biceps
June 8, 2021
Neidert (biceps) will throw a bullpen later this week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The righty's biceps inflammation appears to have been minor, as he'll be throwing a bullpen roughly two weeks after landing on the injured list. Assuming Jordan Holloway (groin) returns to the Marlins first, Neidert will likely head straight to the bullpen once he's ready to be activated.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
77
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
77
How many pitches does Nick Neidert generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Neidert generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-42%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-32%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .366 53 8 11 15 5 0 1
Since 2019vs Right .235 57 7 4 12 2 0 3
2021vs Left .355 42 6 10 11 3 0 1
2021vs Right .207 34 5 3 6 1 0 2
2020vs Left .400 11 2 1 4 2 0 0
2020vs Right .273 23 2 1 6 1 0 1
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-48%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 9.00 1.91 11.0 0 1 0 6.5 3.3 2.5
Since 2019Away 2.70 1.58 13.1 0 0 0 4.7 7.4 0.7
2021Home 7.71 1.86 7.0 0 1 0 6.4 5.1 2.6
2021Away 4.00 1.89 9.0 0 0 0 6.0 9.0 1.0
2020Home 11.25 2.00 4.0 0 0 0 6.8 0.0 2.3
2020Away 0.00 0.92 4.1 0 0 0 2.1 4.2 0.0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Neidert compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.85
 
K/9
6.2
 
BB/9
7.3
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
5.63
 
WHIP
1.88
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
0.94
 
Left On Base
77.5%
 
Exit Velocity
79.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.2%
 
Spin Rate
2125 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.4%
 
Swinging Strike
7.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2017
2016
Here are some facts about Neidert: his ERA, FIP and xFIP were all between 3.00 and 3.50 and he logged a 1.13 WHIP and 154:31 K:BB in 152.2 innings as a 21-year-old at Double-A. Here are some other facts: he is a 6-foot-1, 180-pound righty whose fastball sits 89-91 mph and his plus changeup is his only above-average pitch. So, how far can high-end command and a nasty changeup get a right-handed starter? Maybe he can be Kyle Hendricks 2.0. Of course, Hendricks might have 80-grade command, and it would be foolish to expect any pitching prospect to develop that level of command against major-league hitters. Hendricks is also better than Neidert at generating groundballs and preventing the long ball. The good news is that we should see Neidert in the majors this summer, so those stashing him in dynasty leagues won't have to wait long to see if he can beat the odds.
Control is the name of the game for Neidert, a 20-year-old righty who walked just 13 batters in 91 innings at Low-A Clinton in 2016. Neidert is rather polished for a high school pitcher drafted in 2015, and he already has three pitches he can throw for strikes. Neidert's fastball sits in the low 90s, while his curveball and changeup can both baffle hitters at times. Still, he doesn't exactly have the build or the strikeout stuff of a future rotation anchor. He is just 6-foot-1, 180 pounds, and only fanned 69 batters in those 91 innings. Opposing batters did hit just .225 against him at Low-A, though Neidert needs to prove he has more swing-and-miss ability in terms of strikeouts. Until then, his upside is that of a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Look for him to begin the 2017 season at High-A Bakersfield.
Neidert was selected 60th overall in the 2015 MLB draft out of Peachtree Ridge high school. He dropped from a first-round pick to a second-round pick after developing elbow tendinitis during his senior season. Neidert is now healthy and began his professional career pitching for the Arizona League Mariners in Rookie ball. He finished summer with a 1.53 ERA in 11 starts, while posting a tremendous 0.96 WHIP and .198 batting average against. Neidert will look this season to improve his 2.56 K:BB ratio. His fastball is 92-94 mph, peaking at 96. He has an advanced changeup for his age, but must continue to improve his curveball. The No. 10 prospect in the Mariners' organization, Neidert is a few years from the majors, but he has the potential to be a good starter.
More Fantasy News
Nearing throwing program
PMiami Marlins
Biceps
June 1, 2021
Neidert (biceps) is expected to initiate a throwing program this week, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with biceps inflammation
PMiami Marlins
Biceps
May 27, 2021
Neidert landed on the 10-day injured list with right biceps inflammation Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Solid across four innings
PMiami Marlins
May 26, 2021
Neidert allowed a run on four hits and two walks with three strikeouts in four innings versus Philadelphia on Wednesday. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Officially recalled
PMiami Marlins
May 26, 2021
Neidert was recalled by the Marlins ahead of his scheduled start against the Phillies on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Wednesday
PMiami Marlins
May 26, 2021
Neidert will be called up to start Wednesday's game against the Phillies, Andre Fernandez of Sirius XM Radio reports.
ANALYSIS
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