Ariel Jurado
Ariel Jurado
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Texas Rangers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Although Jurado showed slight improvement in his second season in the majors, he continued to struggle against big-league hitters. The right-hander's ERA (5.81) and xFIP (5.00) were each a touch better than his rookie marks but nonetheless fell well below league average. Never much of a punch-out pitcher, Jurado improved his strikeout rate almost six points to 15.0 percent in 2019, but the paltry mark still ranked in the bottom 5% leaguewide. Jurado's greatest strength is his ability to limit walks -- he notched a solid 6.7 BB% last season -- but even that can be a liability when hitters are knocking his pitches around as they did in 2019 to the tune of a 46.0 Hard%, fifth-highest among hurlers who tossed 100 or more innings. Jurado will be only 24 years old at the start of next season, but his overall body of work through 44 major-league contests does little to inspire confidence in his fantasy viability. Read Past Outlooks
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DFA'd by Texas
PTexas Rangers  AAA
July 31, 2020
Jurado was designated for assignment by the Rangers on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The 24-year-old was unable to secure a spot on the team's Opening Day roster and doesn't appear close to rejoining the big-league club. Jurado made 32 appearances (18 starts) for Texas in 2019 and had a 5.81 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 81:36 K:BB across 122.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .306 361 43 28 99 22 5 11
Since 2018vs Right .299 421 60 26 115 24 2 17
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .281 254 32 17 64 18 3 7
2019vs Right .324 287 49 19 84 17 2 14
2018vs Left .365 107 11 11 35 4 2 4
2018vs Right .246 134 11 7 31 7 0 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-25%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 6.33 1.74 69.2 4 7 0 6.2 3.4 1.3
Since 2018Away 5.53 1.37 107.1 8 9 0 4.6 2.3 1.5
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 6.89 1.83 47.0 2 6 0 7.3 3.6 1.7
2019Away 5.14 1.30 75.1 5 5 0 5.1 2.0 1.4
2018Home 5.16 1.54 22.2 2 1 0 4.0 2.8 0.4
2018Away 6.47 1.53 32.0 3 4 0 3.4 3.1 1.7
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Jurado has shown advanced control for his age, along with the ability to keep the ball down in the zone. Using his best pitch, the sinking two-seam fastball, Jurado posted a 2.0 GB/FB ratio between High-A and Double-A in 2016. Jurado also walked just 34 batters in 123 innings. He does not have massive strikeout potential, and he does not have a huge frame, though he did fan 106 batters in those 123 innings. Jurado also has improving secondary pitches, most notably a changeup and curveball. Overall, the 6-foot-1 righty notched a 3.66 ERA last season, but his most impressive feat was posting a 3.86 ERA in the California League while pitching half his games at High Desert, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the minors. Jurado will pitch in the majors, perhaps as early as the second half of this season, and he has all the tools to make it as a back-end starter.
Just by glancing at Jurado’s professional numbers, it is hard not to get overly excited about the 20-year-old righty. His 2.45 ERA last season at Low-A Hickory was the highest mark of his three-year run as a professional, and he has never had a WHIP higher than 1.11 in 186.2 innings across rookie ball and Low-A. Jurado also boasts an insane 177:23 K:BB over that span, which should be enough for him to get on the radar of most dynasty league owners. Unfortunately, his gaudy numbers do not match the scouting report. He certainly projects as a big league starter, but it’s more of a command/control profile which has been more than enough to feast on hitters at the lower levels. Even though his realistic ceiling may only be that of a mid-rotation starter, his control and advanced pitch mix means the floor is significantly higher than that of his contemporaries in the lower levels.
More Fantasy News
Optioned to Triple-A
PTexas Rangers  AAA
March 6, 2020
Jurado was optioned to Triple-A Nashville on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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No longer on medical report
PTexas Rangers  AAA
February 25, 2020
Jurado (shoulder) is at full strength again, T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com reports.
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Dealing with shoulder issue
PTexas Rangers  AAA
Shoulder
February 21, 2020
Jurado is battling minor shoulder inflammation, T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com reports.
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Slapped with 11th loss
PTexas Rangers  AAA
September 25, 2019
Jurado (7-11) took the loss Tuesday as the Rangers were downed 12-10 by the Red Sox, giving up four runs (three earned) on six hits over three innings of relief. He struck out one.
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Will follow opener
PTexas Rangers  AAA
September 23, 2019
Jurado will follow an opener (Edinson Volquez) Tuesday against Boston.
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