Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
27-Year-Old CatcherC
Chicago Cubs
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Contreras was one of many disappointing catchers as 2018 was an off year for the position. His primary downfall was a precipitous drop in power, fueled by a plummeting HR/FB mark. Contreras hits over half of his batted balls on the ground so he needs to maintain a lofty HR/FB level to generate power. While some pullback from 2017's 26% was likely, falling to a meek 9% was a shock, though supported by a drop in hard-hit rate in a year where the average rate increased. Contreras' plate skills held steady as did his BABIP, so his batting average drop was due to homers converted to outs. Contreras will be 27 years old this season, so chances are 2018 was more fluke than fact. Expect a power rebound, though capped by a 30% flyball rate. Since he'll remain a bell cow behind the dish, hitting in the meat of the Cubs' order, Contreras is a strong candidate to return top-five backstop status, likely at a discounted price. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#130
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $684,000 contract with the Cubs in March of 2019.
On bench Monday
CChicago Cubs
May 20, 2019
Contreras will sit Monday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
The Cubs have gotten into a pattern of sitting Contreras every fifth day, with Yu Darvish receiving a personal catcher, first in the form of Taylor Davis and now with Victor Caratini. Expect that pattern to continue for the foreseeable future.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
11
13
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .871 307 38 13 40 2 .262 .382 .488
Since 2017vs Right .801 836 87 29 118 8 .270 .349 .452
2019vs Left .890 40 6 3 6 0 .242 .375 .515
2019vs Right 1.065 131 19 8 24 1 .333 .435 .630
2018vs Left .820 134 13 3 13 1 .250 .373 .446
2018vs Right .701 410 37 7 41 3 .249 .328 .373
2017vs Left .916 133 19 7 21 1 .279 .394 .523
2017vs Right .828 295 31 14 53 4 .274 .339 .489
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
2019
 
 
+48%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .822 551 59 20 78 2 .279 .358 .464
Since 2017Away .818 592 66 22 80 8 .257 .358 .459
2019Home .832 86 10 4 12 0 .270 .372 .459
2019Away 1.232 85 15 7 18 1 .358 .471 .761
2018Home .821 256 27 6 29 2 .280 .363 .458
2018Away .647 288 23 4 25 2 .221 .318 .329
2017Home .818 209 22 10 37 0 .282 .344 .473
2017Away .891 219 28 11 37 5 .270 .367 .524
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Stat Review
How does Willson Contreras compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.49
 
BB Rate
12.3%
 
K Rate
25.1%
 
BABIP
.371
 
ISO
.291
 
AVG
.312
 
OBP
.421
 
SLG
.603
 
OPS
1.024
 
wOBA
.436
 
Exit Velocity
88.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.0%
 
Barrels/PA
8.4%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willson Contreras
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
Yesterday
Kevin Payne looks over Wednesday's slate and think Gerrit Cole could be headed for another big performance at home against the White Sox.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
3 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes who's up, and who's down, this week in baseball, as Blake Snell looks to be back in fine form after a rocky April.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
11 days ago
Erik Siegrist digs into the waiver options in the American League and thinks jefry Rodriguez will help stabilize an injury-plagued Cleveland rotation.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
17 days ago
Mike Barner suggests considering an Astros stack against Jakob Junis and the Royals on Monday.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
23 days ago
Jesse Siegel highlights the risers and fallers in the minors, and none has seen his stock rise as much as Grayson Rodriguez in the early part of the season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Although he was limited to just 117 games last season, mainly due to a hamstring injury which cost him almost a month, Contreras still finished as a top-six catcher in standard formats. He posted a mighty healthy .223 ISO, which would have been a top-50 overall mark in baseball had Contreras logged enough plate appearances to qualify, and he improved both his strikeout (22.9 percent) and walk (10.5 percent) rates from his already strong marks as a rookie. The 25-year-old barrels the ball up consistently and he hits same-handed pitching well, as evidenced by his .273/.347/.486 career line against righties (.292/.379/.514 against lefties). Contreras has established himself as a legitimate middle-of-the-order bat in a good offense, and his ability to play the outfield and first base in a pinch helps pad his counting totals a little more than other starting catchers. Buster Posey may go ahead of Contreras in a lot of drafts, but Contreras could outproduce the veteran in 2018.
After taking a big step forward at the plate during his 2015 campaign at Double-A, Contreras raked at Triple-A Iowa to begin the season and forced his way onto the Cubs' 25-man roster in short order. Especially for a 24-year-old, his performance was impressive, as he continued to show a discerning eye (9.2 percent walk rate) while flashing 20-25 home run pop. Additionally, Contreras proved to be an above-average defender, which should give him the starting job again in 2017 regardless of what the team does with Miguel Montero. Although his overall line fell during the second half, Contreras cut his strikeout rate from 26.9 percent to 22.1 percent during that span. Moreover, Contreras demonstrated the ability to handle righties and lefties, swatting 10 of his 12 homers against the former while maintaining a slightly higher OPS against the latter (.854). Contreras' pop and run-production potential give him a chance to finish as a top-five catcher in 2017.
Contreras spent the whole year with Double-A Tennessee in 2015 and easily had the best season of his professional career. The 23-year-old backstop batted .333 with 75 RBI and 71 runs for the Smokies and has played his way into the Cubs' long-term plans. With Kyle Schwarber possibly sticking in the outfield, another good year in the minors for Contreras could put him in contention for a spot on the 2017 roster. His BB:K ratio was abysmal coming into 2015, but he learned to take pitches last year, and it paid off in spades. That 57:62 BB:K is appealing, especially coming from a catcher, but he'll need to do it again before we should get too excited.
More Fantasy News
Delvers homer No. 11
CChicago Cubs
May 17, 2019
Contreras went 4-for-5 with a two-run home run and a walk Friday night against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Gets breather
CChicago Cubs
May 15, 2019
Contreras is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Hits walkoff homer
CChicago Cubs
May 11, 2019
Contreras went 2-for-7 with a walkoff solo home run in a 2-1 victory against the Brewers on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Thursday
CChicago Cubs
May 9, 2019
Contreras is out of the lineup for Thursday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Clocks ninth homer
CChicago Cubs
May 5, 2019
Contreras went 2-for-3 with a homer, two RBI, two runs scored and a walk in Sunday's 13-5 win over St. Louis.
ANALYSIS
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