Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras

30-Year-Old CatcherC
Chicago Cubs
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Contreras is facing an uncertain 2022 given it's the final year of his contract and the Cubs are all but certain to move the veteran catcher. Contreras resumed his power-hitting abilities in 2021, but did so while posting a career-worst 28.6% strikeout rate which pulled his average down to a career-low .237. His plate discipline was mostly consistent with previous efforts and the strikeouts were more correlated to him taking called strikes (16% rate was also a career worst). Sensing a trend here? Being a veteran who was around for the good times only to see all of your friends leave cannot be easy. A new location may not offer the same playing-time guarantees that Contreras enjoys in Chicago. Regardless a change of scenery should serve him well in 2022. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#109
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $6.65 contract with the Cubs in January of 2021.
Reaches 100 career home runs
CChicago Cubs
May 16, 2022
Contreras went 2-for-5 with a double, a home run, two runs scored and four RBI in Monday's win over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Batting first for the Cubs, Contreras started the game with a double before later popping a grand slam in the same inning, and Chicago didn't look back in the 9-0 romp. It was just the 10th time since 1901 that a leadoff hitter recorded a grand slam in the first inning, per Jordan Bastian of MLB.com. The home run, which also happened to be the 100th of Contreras' career, was his fifth of the season and third in his past nine games, so he seems to be finding his power stroke. The catcher also has a strong .283 average and .906 OPS, and he should remain one of the top options at his position so long as he stays healthy.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
7
10
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
3
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+46%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .841 218 34 10 30 3 .267 .349 .492
Since 2020vs Right .771 626 87 23 67 3 .235 .355 .417
2022vs Left 1.002 39 7 2 3 0 .294 .385 .618
2022vs Right .806 99 17 3 11 0 .250 .394 .413
2021vs Left .891 132 21 8 23 2 .284 .356 .534
2021vs Right .734 351 40 13 34 3 .219 .333 .401
2020vs Left .566 47 6 0 4 1 .195 .298 .268
2020vs Right .827 176 30 7 22 0 .260 .375 .452
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
Even Split
2022
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .787 440 66 19 58 2 .227 .350 .437
Since 2020Away .789 406 56 14 39 4 .260 .355 .434
2022Home .755 69 14 2 9 0 .214 .362 .393
2022Away .972 69 10 3 5 0 .310 .420 .552
2021Home .764 247 33 14 34 2 .212 .316 .448
2021Away .792 236 28 7 23 3 .264 .364 .428
2020Home .850 124 19 3 15 0 .265 .411 .439
2020Away .661 101 18 4 11 1 .220 .287 .374
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Willson Contreras compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.59
 
BB Rate
11.6%
 
K Rate
19.6%
 
BABIP
.305
 
ISO
.211
 
AVG
.263
 
OBP
.391
 
SLG
.474
 
OPS
.865
 
wOBA
.384
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
50.6%
 
Barrels/PA
5.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willson Contreras
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2 days ago
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7 days ago
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Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
29 days ago
Mike Barner previews Thursday’s Yahoo slate, making his picks to help you craft a winning lineup.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Contreras is capable of better than what he produced at the plate in 2020, as his 109 wRC+, the product of a .243/.356/.407 slash line, represented the second-lowest mark of his five-year career. In the context of a rather weak catcher pool, however, those numbers were perfectly adequate. He chipped in with seven homers, tying him for fourth at the position. His 25.3 K% was the worst mark of his career but was barely worse than his 24.9 K% from 2019. When he did hit the ball, he actually hit it harder than ever before, generating a career-high 47.8% hard-hit rate that helped him to a .441 xSLG. Contreras has pretty much settled into a stable spot in the catcher hierarchy through five big-league seasons, sitting not quite at the top of the pile but not far from it. Since his debut season, he ranks in the top seven among backstops in all five standard fantasy categories.
Contreras was an above-average offensive catcher in 2019 for the third time in four seasons. The one "down" season saw him perform at a league-average level relative to his position. Last year looked a lot like the guy we fell in love with in 2017, which is what owners who bought him on the cheap wanted to see from the catcher. He maintains his excellence against left-handed pitching, but the bounce-back numbers from 2019 came from his resurgence against righties as he improved his OPS against them by 150 points over 2018. The Statcast numbers do not validate the performance as most of Contreras' expected statistics are nearly a full deviation below his actual outcomes from 2019. That's despite the fact his 42% hard-hit rate was easily the best of his four-year career. Bake in some regression in the numbers, but the skills here have proven to be relatively stable even if the outcomes are a bit wonky.
Contreras was one of many disappointing catchers as 2018 was an off year for the position. His primary downfall was a precipitous drop in power, fueled by a plummeting HR/FB mark. Contreras hits over half of his batted balls on the ground so he needs to maintain a lofty HR/FB level to generate power. While some pullback from 2017's 26% was likely, falling to a meek 9% was a shock, though supported by a drop in hard-hit rate in a year where the average rate increased. Contreras' plate skills held steady as did his BABIP, so his batting average drop was due to homers converted to outs. Contreras will be 27 years old this season, so chances are 2018 was more fluke than fact. Expect a power rebound, though capped by a 30% flyball rate. Since he'll remain a bell cow behind the dish, hitting in the meat of the Cubs' order, Contreras is a strong candidate to return top-five backstop status, likely at a discounted price.
Although he was limited to just 117 games last season, mainly due to a hamstring injury which cost him almost a month, Contreras still finished as a top-six catcher in standard formats. He posted a mighty healthy .223 ISO, which would have been a top-50 overall mark in baseball had Contreras logged enough plate appearances to qualify, and he improved both his strikeout (22.9 percent) and walk (10.5 percent) rates from his already strong marks as a rookie. The 25-year-old barrels the ball up consistently and he hits same-handed pitching well, as evidenced by his .273/.347/.486 career line against righties (.292/.379/.514 against lefties). Contreras has established himself as a legitimate middle-of-the-order bat in a good offense, and his ability to play the outfield and first base in a pinch helps pad his counting totals a little more than other starting catchers. Buster Posey may go ahead of Contreras in a lot of drafts, but Contreras could outproduce the veteran in 2018.
After taking a big step forward at the plate during his 2015 campaign at Double-A, Contreras raked at Triple-A Iowa to begin the season and forced his way onto the Cubs' 25-man roster in short order. Especially for a 24-year-old, his performance was impressive, as he continued to show a discerning eye (9.2 percent walk rate) while flashing 20-25 home run pop. Additionally, Contreras proved to be an above-average defender, which should give him the starting job again in 2017 regardless of what the team does with Miguel Montero. Although his overall line fell during the second half, Contreras cut his strikeout rate from 26.9 percent to 22.1 percent during that span. Moreover, Contreras demonstrated the ability to handle righties and lefties, swatting 10 of his 12 homers against the former while maintaining a slightly higher OPS against the latter (.854). Contreras' pop and run-production potential give him a chance to finish as a top-five catcher in 2017.
Contreras spent the whole year with Double-A Tennessee in 2015 and easily had the best season of his professional career. The 23-year-old backstop batted .333 with 75 RBI and 71 runs for the Smokies and has played his way into the Cubs' long-term plans. With Kyle Schwarber possibly sticking in the outfield, another good year in the minors for Contreras could put him in contention for a spot on the 2017 roster. His BB:K ratio was abysmal coming into 2015, but he learned to take pitches last year, and it paid off in spades. That 57:62 BB:K is appealing, especially coming from a catcher, but he'll need to do it again before we should get too excited.
More Fantasy News
Goes deep, scores three times
CChicago Cubs
May 11, 2022
Contreras went 2-for-3 with a walk, a solo home run and three runs scored in Wednesday's win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Stays hot Monday
CChicago Cubs
May 9, 2022
Contreras went 3-for-4 with a run scored in Monday's win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches twice in loss
CChicago Cubs
May 8, 2022
Contreras went 1-for-3 with a walk and an RBI in Sunday's 7-1 loss to the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Records triple, home run in loss
CChicago Cubs
May 7, 2022
Contreras went 3-for-4 with a triple, a solo home run and two runs scored in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Batting first in Game 1
CChicago Cubs
May 7, 2022
Contreras is starting at catcher and batting first in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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