Alec Mills

Alec Mills

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Mills saw his most run yet with the Cubs in 2020, making 11 starts and logging 62.1 innings. The 29-year-old was solid if not spectacular as a rotation mainstay, recording a 4.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 6.6 K/9. The strikeout rate was a bit disappointing after Mills had posted a 10.0 K/9 or better in each of his first three MLB seasons, though he never pitched more than 36 innings in any of those campaigns. While Mills generally didn't dazzle on the mound, he certainly did on Sept. 13, when he tossed the 16th no-hitter in franchise history by shutting down the Brewers. Mills is unlikely to recapture that form if he can't miss more bats, but the righty did at least show that he can be a solid MLB starter across a full season. He figures to again occupy a spot at the back of the Cubs' rotation in 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#512
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in February of 2021.
Lasts four innings in final start
PChicago Cubs
October 3, 2021
Mills allowed two runs across four innings and did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals. He gave up four hits and two walks while striking out one.
ANALYSIS
Mills allowed a solo home run to Tommy Edman to lead off the game but then settled in and pitched better across four innings. In the fifth, he gave way to Joe Biagini, who pitched three innings and earned the win in a game that was called after the top of the eighth due to rain. Mills finishes his season with a 5.07 ERA and 87 strikeouts across 116 innings. He'll likely be in Chicago's plans for the rotation next year, though his lack of strikeouts limits his fantasy appeal, and he'll likely best be used as a matchup-dependent streamer.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2018
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
61
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Alec Mills generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Alec Mills generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-41%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-48%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .308 461 74 38 126 28 1 23
Since 2019vs Right .224 460 101 26 95 15 0 11
2021vs Left .326 243 39 20 70 16 0 11
2021vs Right .263 274 48 14 67 11 0 5
2020vs Left .275 151 22 12 38 8 0 10
2020vs Right .163 101 24 7 15 3 0 3
2019vs Left .321 67 13 6 18 4 1 2
2019vs Right .167 85 29 5 13 1 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2021
Even Split
2020
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.44 1.24 99.1 7 6 2 7.2 2.0 1.3
Since 2019Away 4.58 1.37 118.0 5 6 0 7.2 3.2 1.5
2021Home 5.07 1.36 55.0 4 3 1 5.9 1.5 1.5
2021Away 5.06 1.50 64.0 2 4 0 7.2 3.5 1.0
2020Home 4.40 1.22 28.2 2 3 0 7.8 3.1 1.3
2020Away 4.54 1.10 33.2 3 2 0 5.6 2.4 2.4
2019Home 2.30 0.83 15.2 1 0 1 10.9 1.7 0.6
2019Away 3.10 1.43 20.1 0 0 0 10.2 3.5 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alec Mills compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.56
 
K/9
6.6
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
89.0 mph
 
ERA
5.07
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.327
 
GB/FB
2.06
 
Left On Base
64.6%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.1%
 
Spin Rate
2153 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.8%
 
Swinging Strike
8.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Alec Mills
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
25 days ago
Dan Marcus mentions a number of stacks that should do well today.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
25 days ago
Picking a pitcher with plenty to play for today sounds like a solid DFS strategy, and Chris Morgan has offered two of them.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Saving the Best For Last
33 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitching for the final weekend of the season, as Zack Wheeler has two more chances to embellish his Cy Young resume.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Good News, Bad News?
40 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, which offers plenty of double-dippers but only a few quality arms like Robbie Ray with two starts.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
43 days ago
Mike Barner dives into Wednesday's DraftKings offering, delivering his recommendations to help you achieve DFS greatness.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2017
Mills made four starts and five relief appearances in the second half of the season for the Cubs, looking big-league ready with a 2.75 ERA in 36 innings. It did take a 90.5% strand rate to get him to that number, but his peripherals were nevertheless strong. His 27.6 K%, 7.2 BB% and 48.9 GB% were all better than average. If Mills were a high-pedigree pitching prospect with a 3.77 ERA and a 28.5% strikeout rate in the first 57.1 innings of his big-league career, there would be far more hype about his future. However, as a former fringe prospect entering his age-28 season, he has flown under the radar to this point. Still, he showed enough last season that he looks capable of being a quality back-end rotation option. Whether or not he fills that role right away depends on the Cubs' offseason moves, but at worst he'll be an injury or two away from starting.
After starting the season in Double-A Northwest Arkansas, Mills pitched well enough to earn himself a spot as a Texas league midseason All-Star along with a promotion to Triple-A Omaha. While in Omaha, Mills continued to post numbers similar to his Double-A numbers and earned himself a callup to Kansas City. After earning a spot with the Royals, Mills struggled in the limited time that he saw, walking 5.0 batters and giving up 5.0 runs in just 3.1 major league innings. Despite his struggles in the majors, Mills is still just 25-years-old and his inflated numbers shouldn't be overanalyzed due to the small sample size. It was the first time the righty was deployed in the bullpen, pitching as a starter throughout the minors. After being traded to the Cubs, a bullpen assignment or more time in the minors seems to be in the cards for Mills.
More Fantasy News
Blitzed for six runs Tuesday
PChicago Cubs
September 28, 2021
Mills allowed six runs on seven hits across five innings but did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Pirates. He walked two and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Knocked around by Minnesota
PChicago Cubs
September 21, 2021
Mills (6-7) took the loss against the Twins on Tuesday, allowing seven runs (six earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out four across four-plus innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Uneven in no-decision Wednesday
PChicago Cubs
September 15, 2021
Mills allowed four runs on six hits across 4.2 innings but did not factor into the decision Wednesday against the Phillies. He walked two and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fires quality start
PChicago Cubs
September 8, 2021
Mills gave up one run on four hits and a walk while striking out three over six innings in Wednesday's victory over the Reds. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Takes no-decision Friday
PChicago Cubs
September 3, 2021
Mills allowed five runs (two earned) on seven hits and no walks while striking out six over 5.2 innings in a no-decision versus Pittsburgh on Friday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.