Lourdes Gurriel
Lourdes Gurriel
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Year 3 for Gurriel saw another step forward, offensively. He cut down on his chase rate and shaved his strikeout rate to 21.4%. Gurriel ranked in the top 10% of the league in hard-hit rate. Like his brother, Lourdes is an aggressive hitter who is not particularly interested in taking walks. That dings him a bit in OBP leagues, but there's a lot to like here regardless. Gurriel will hit for power and also swipe a few bags although his sprint speed is below league average, so any major growth in that department seems unlikely. He has handled same-handed pitching quite well in his career (.281/.325/.480 vs. RHP) and it's hard to see him being a negative in the BA category even if there's significant giveback. Absent from 2020 were the injury woes of seasons past, aside from a side issue which cost Gurriel the Opening Day start. If he's ever going to stay healthy and turn into a fantasy star, this is the year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#86
ADP
$Signed a seven-year, $22 million contract with the Blue Jays in November of 2016.
Drives in three in twin bill
OFToronto Blue Jays
April 17, 2021
Gurriel went 1-for-5 with three RBI over both halves in Saturday's doubleheader against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
He kicked things off with a two-run double in the first inning of the matinee, then added a sacrifice fly in the nightcap. Gurriel has had a sluggish start at the plate and came into Saturday with zero extra-base hits and only one RBI, but with four hits in the last three days, his bat may be waking up.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .880 189 31 13 32 1 .281 .312 .567
Since 2019vs Right .802 422 50 17 53 8 .276 .330 .471
2021vs Left .597 9 1 0 3 0 .250 .222 .375
2021vs Right .451 39 3 0 1 0 .194 .256 .194
2020vs Left .709 65 6 2 9 0 .250 .292 .417
2020vs Right .890 155 19 8 22 3 .313 .355 .535
2019vs Left .994 115 24 11 20 1 .300 .330 .664
2019vs Right .801 228 28 9 30 5 .265 .326 .475
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+59%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+66%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .792 255 34 12 32 4 .254 .318 .474
Since 2019Away .851 356 47 18 53 5 .294 .330 .521
2021Home .347 18 1 0 0 0 .125 .222 .125
2021Away .552 30 3 0 4 0 .250 .267 .286
2020Home .598 87 7 2 11 3 .210 .264 .333
2020Away .993 133 18 8 20 0 .350 .383 .610
2019Home .960 150 26 10 21 1 .296 .360 .600
2019Away .799 193 26 10 29 5 .263 .302 .497
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Stat Review
How does Lourdes Gurriel compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.20
 
BB Rate
4.2%
 
K Rate
20.8%
 
BABIP
.257
 
ISO
.023
 
AVG
.205
 
OBP
.250
 
SLG
.227
 
OPS
.477
 
wOBA
.219
 
Exit Velocity
79.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
22.9%
 
Barrels/PA
4.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Lourdes Gurriel
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
8 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
9 days ago
Mike Barner previews Friday night's slate of six games and likes Lance McCullers against a struggling A's lineup.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
12 days ago
Mike Barner delivers his insights for Tuesday’s slate, plugging in a Rockies stack against Luke Weaver and the Diamondbacks.
Rounding Third: My Rosters
16 days ago
Sandy Alcantara and Mike Yastrzemski landed on more of Jeff Erickson's squads than any other players in his 17 fantasy leagues this season.
RotoWire Roundtable: Final Update
22 days ago
Individual sets of Top 350s from Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a Top 300 composite ranking for the 2021 fantasy baseball season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
In a Blue Jays offense ripe with young talent, Gurriel could tend to be overshadowed, though he put together a respectable season of his own. The 26-year-old was sent to Triple-A in mid-April after sputtering to start the year, but managed to turn things around once he returned, hitting .292/.339/.580 after his recall to the majors May 24 (71 games). He battled through knee and quad injuries before being shut down due to appendicitis in late September, after lower-body issues cut short his 2018 season. Gurriel has room for improvement in his walk rate (5.8%) and strikeout rate (25.1%), but he makes the most of his limited contact with a 43.5% hard-hit rate. Gurriel is OF-only in most leagues, and it could very well remain that way since he was not a good defender in the infield. Regardless, Gurriel could be a mid-round value thanks to his batting average and power potential.
In his first taste of the majors, Gurriel hit .281 and flashed some pop. At one point in July, he had an 11-game multi-hit streak, during which he batted an even .500 (25-for-50). It was the longest such streak by a rookie in major-league history. A pair of lower-body injuries derailed his season, and the "expected" numbers from Statcast suggest he overachieved a bit, but he rarely made soft contact and Gurriel showed an ability to go to the opposite field. Much like his brother, Lourdes rarely takes a walk (3.4%). He also proved to be a liability at shortstop, but he was passable at second base and there's little doubt that the rebuilding Blue Jays will give Gurriel regular at-bats in 2019 to evaluate his future in the organization. Batting average is tough to find outside the first several rounds of a draft, and Gurriel showed enough in that department as a 24-year-old to warrant a flier in most formats.
A chiseled 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, Gurriel definitely looks the part of a quality prospect, but he has been a flop thus far since signing a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays last offseason. Gurriel suffered a hamstring injury in his first pro game, which cost him two months, and he scuffled at High-A and Double-A after returning. The one bright spot from his first pro season was the .291/.309/.494 slash line he posted in 79 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League. He walked just once over that span, but at least he flashed the potential to do some damage with the bat, hitting seven doubles and three home runs. Gurriel split time between second base and shortstop in his first season, but he doesn't have the range for shortstop, and fits better at second or third base. He turned 24 this offseason, so the clock is ticking for him to prove he can be more than a utility player in the big leagues.
The younger, less-accomplished brother of Yulieski Gurriel, Lourdes signed a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays this offseason. He waited until he turned 23 in October to sign the deal so he would not be subject to international bonus pools. Often the best gauge of a Cuban or Asian talent is the open market price tag, and for Gurriel's prime years to come at a $3.14 million average annual value is a red flag. The general consensus pegs him as roughly average with his hit, power and speed tools, with the hit and power potentially being fringe average. He will likely begin 2017 at Double-A where he will play shortstop until he proves he can't handle the position. Most evaluators expect him to end up at second, third or left field. The sum of the tools might be a utility player that is more valuable in real life than fantasy. He could overshoot that projection, particularly if his hit tool is better than the market thought, but the upside does not appear to match the name value.
More Fantasy News
Reaches base three times
OFToronto Blue Jays
April 16, 2021
Gurriel went 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in Thursday's 7-5 loss to Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from COVID IL
OFToronto Blue Jays
April 12, 2021
The Blue Jays reinstated Gurriel (illness) from the COVID-19 injured list Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on COVID-19 IL
OFToronto Blue Jays
Illness
April 10, 2021
Gurriel was placed on the COVID-19 injured list Saturday due to vaccine-related symptoms.
ANALYSIS
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Managing vaccine-related symptoms
OFToronto Blue Jays
Illness
April 9, 2021
Gurriel was removed from Friday's game against the Angels due to COVID-19 vaccine-related symptoms.
ANALYSIS
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Exits Friday's game
OFToronto Blue Jays
Undisclosed
April 9, 2021
Gurriel exited Friday's game against the Angels at the end of the second inning for an undisclosed reason, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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