Jesus Luzardo

Jesus Luzardo

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
15-Day IL
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 6/5/2022
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Luzardo endured a brutal 2021 season between Oakland and Miami, but hope springs eternal with young arms this time of year. We're seeing that in camp with the 24-year-old lefty. Luzardo was up a couple ticks from last season in his March 22 Grapefruit League appearance, routinely touching 98-99 mph with his fastball, generating quite a bit of buzz on social media. He was once a big-time prospect and it's easy to dream on the upside if he gets on track with the Marlins, but Luzardo has dealt with a lot of health issues in his young career. He had Tommy John surgery before he was drafted, his 2019 was mostly wiped out by shoulder and lat trouble and he hurt his pinkie playing video games last year. Be realistic with workload expectations. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#267
ADP
$Traded to the Marlins in July of 2021.
Out with forearm strain
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
May 15, 2022
Luzardo was placed on the 15-day injured list Sunday with a left forearm strain, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports. The move is retroactive to May 12.
ANALYSIS
The 24-year-old presumably suffered the injury during his last start, when he allowed four runs on two hits with six strikeouts and four walks across 2.2 innings Tuesday in Arizona. Luzardo will be eligible to be activated May 27, but it's unclear how long he's expected to be sidelined by the forearm strain. According to Daniel Alvarez-Montes of El Extrabase, Cody Poteet will take Luzardo's spot in the rotation and start Monday versus the Nationals.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Jesus Luzardo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jesus Luzardo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-54%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .233 181 48 14 38 10 2 3
Since 2020vs Right .265 623 150 67 144 32 4 30
2022vs Left .091 23 9 1 2 0 0 0
2022vs Right .198 96 32 15 16 6 2 4
2021vs Left .253 104 25 11 23 5 2 2
2021vs Right .289 333 73 37 83 19 2 18
2020vs Left .260 54 14 2 13 5 0 1
2020vs Right .256 194 45 15 45 7 0 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.53 1.32 119.1 9 6 0 9.3 3.5 1.4
Since 2020Away 6.93 1.62 61.0 2 8 0 11.1 4.6 2.2
2022Home 4.35 1.26 10.1 1 1 0 7.0 3.5 0.9
2022Away 3.86 1.13 18.2 1 2 0 15.9 5.8 1.4
2021Home 5.85 1.52 67.2 5 4 0 9.7 4.4 1.9
2021Away 8.46 1.84 27.2 1 5 0 8.1 4.9 2.0
2020Home 2.40 1.02 41.1 3 1 0 9.1 2.2 0.7
2020Away 7.98 1.84 14.2 0 1 0 10.4 2.5 3.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jesus Luzardo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.56
 
K/9
12.7
 
BB/9
5.0
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
97.0 mph
 
ERA
4.03
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.256
 
GB/FB
1.20
 
Left On Base
70.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.6%
 
Spin Rate
2200 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.6%
 
Swinging Strike
13.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jesus Luzardo
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5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
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6 days ago
Todd Zola discusses ways to become a better trader by recognizing the areas in which you can improve, and how ceiling can't be overlooked when acquiring players like Jesus Luzardo.
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8 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
Luzardo tested positive for COVID-19 in July and worked out of the bullpen for the A's initially as he built up. He ended up making his first career start Aug. 4 and was up-and-down from there, turning in some clunkers but also flashing brilliance like he did in scoreless starts against Arizona and San Francisco. The lefty throws 95-96 mph with his four-seamer and sinker, and both his changeup and curveball had whiff rates of 45% per Statcast. His season ended in disappointing fashion with Luzardo serving up multiple homers in both postseason appearances (four in 7.2 innings). Luzardo has undergone Tommy John surgery and missed most of 2019 with a rotator cuff strain and subsequent Grade 2 lat strain, so there is considerable injury risk here. The play may be to wait to invest until 2022 since Luzardo still carries a lot of prospect shine and needs a season to build up before he can be a workhorse.
Luzardo seemed on track to make the Opening Day rotation before a rotator cuff strain and a subsequent Grade 2 lat strain wiped out much of his season. Including the playoffs, Luzardo logged 63.2 innings, so the top concern with him for 2020 is workload. It is unclear how the A's will manage his role throughout the season, but we shouldn't expect Luzardo to log much more than 100 innings in the big-league rotation. He threw his 83-mph curveball, 96-mph sinker, 87-mph changeup and 97-mph fourseam fastball all between 20 and 31 percent of the time, filling up the zone and effectively keeping hitters off balance. All four pitches have at least plus potential, especially when his command is on. He has the repertoire to improve upon his 42.3 GB% over a larger sample. Durability concerns will linger until the 6-foot southpaw proves he can handle a starter's workload, but Luzardo clearly has ace-level stuff.
The A’s jumped Luzardo over Low-A, assigned him to the Cal League and promoted him to Double-A after just three starts at High-A. It was around that point when he cemented his status as the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game. The foundation for his filthy three-pitch mix is a low-to-mid-90s fastball that he locates to both sides of the plate. Once ahead in the count, he sits hitters down with his plus changeup or above-average curveball. At 6-foot-1, 205 pounds, Luzardo doesn’t cut the figure of a typical ace, but has the combination of stuff, command and pitchability that is typically seen in frontline starters. He logged 109.1 innings in his first full season since undergoing Tommy John surgery, and should eclipse 150 innings if he stays relatively healthy. The A’s surprisingly called up Sean Manaea in late April of 2016 with just three starts at Triple-A under his belt, so we could see Luzardo in the big-league rotation pretty early this season.
It's not often that teams part with lefties with advanced pitchability who project to have at least two plus pitches, but that's exactly what the Nationals did in a mid-July trade that netted them Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson while sending Luzardo, Sheldon Neuse and Blake Treinen to Oakland. Luzardo's fastball sits in the mid-90s and he boasts above-average command and a changeup that projects as a second plus offering. He fell to the 94th pick in the 2016 draft after undergoing Tommy John surgery less than two months before the draft. However, prior to the injury, he was seen as a first-round talent. Even if his curveball never becomes better than an average pitch, the package equates to a No. 3 starter. His 2017 production was outstanding, but he was working on strict pitch counts and his overall repertoire was way too advanced for most short-season hitters. Building up his workload and getting more consistent with his secondaries will be his directives for 2018. He could move extremely quickly once the training wheels come off in 2019.
More Fantasy News
Struggles with control
PMiami Marlins
May 10, 2022
Luzardo (2-3) took the loss during Tuesday's 9-3 defeat at the hands of the Diamondbacks, allowing four runs on two hits and four walks with six strikeouts in 2.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers loss despite quality start
PMiami Marlins
May 5, 2022
Luzardo (2-2) took the loss against San Diego on Thursday, pitching six innings and allowing two runs on three hits and three walks while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Whiffs eight in victory
PMiami Marlins
April 24, 2022
Luzardo (1-1) allowed a run on two hits and four walks while striking out eight in five innings to earn the win over Atlanta on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Handed first defeat
PMiami Marlins
April 19, 2022
Luzardo (0-1) was charged with the loss Tuesday versus the Cardinals after allowing five runs (four earned) on seven hits across 4.1 innings. He had three strikeouts and two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Fans career-high 12 in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
April 13, 2022
Luzardo didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 4-3 loss to the Angels, allowing one run on two hits and a walk over five innings while striking out a career-high 12.
ANALYSIS
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