Colton Welker
22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Colorado Rockies AA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
When a hitting prospect plays half his games at Lancaster, arguably the most hitter-friendly park in the minors, it is best to just examine his road performance. Welker hit .289/.345/.404 with four home runs and a 55:21 K:BB in 225 road at-bats (he hit .379/.419/.572 at home). He uses the whole field, has always struck out at a manageable clip and could very well end up with a 60-grade hit tool. As he matures, he could also develop above-average power without selling out for it. Welker makes the plays he gets to at third base, but his lateral quickness and range leave a lot to be desired. If he eventually gets to call Coors Field home and his defense is good enough to earn him everyday at-bats, Welker could contend for batting titles. Nolan Arenado will be a free agent after the 2019 season, and his return or departure will affect Welker's dynasty-league value as much as anything he does on the field this season. A trade would obviously be a big blow. Read Past Outlooks
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Healthy at Double-A
3BColorado Rockies  AA
August 21, 2019
Welker is hitting .227 with one home run in seven games since coming off the injured list at Double-A Harford.
ANALYSIS
He missed a month with an undisclosed injury. Welker is hitting .257/.311/.415 with nine home runs in 89 games this year with the Yard Goats. This is the first season he has hit in a somewhat neutral environment, and he's unsurprisingly posting the worst rate stats of his career. Welker still has a chance to be a good big-league hitter in time, but his 2019 season serves as a good barometer of where his current true talent lies.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Colton Welker
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
89 days ago
Jesse Siegel urges not to base a player's draft position or early minor-league performance for future success, while providing his latest notable prospects at various levels.
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250 days ago
James Anderson reviews the top prospects at the hot corner, where Vladimir Guerrero Jr. sits head and shoulders above the competition.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
While he flies under the national radar as a bat-first third baseman who has yet to fully tap into his plus raw power, Welker's uncommon bat-to-ball skills make him a legitimate foundational piece in dynasty leagues. He missed 10 weeks in the middle of the season with a groin injury, but was the Sally League's best hitter (158 wRC+) when healthy. Welker spits on good pitches, striking out just 15.1 percent of the time. He took advantage of the favorable hitting conditions at Asheville -- a time-honored tradition among Rockies hitting prospects -- but still hit .302 on the road as a 19-year-old at Low-A, confirming that his hit tool is among the best in the minors. While he is primarily a line-drive hitter, his youth, contact skills and plus bat speed suggest he will eventually grow into 20-plus homer power, although his ability to hit for a very high average will always be his calling card. The only concern is that his middling defense could force him off third base, but he is working diligently on that aspect of his game.
Welker is the type of bat-first prep prospect who can be snatched up for a great value in dynasty league drafts this spring, fitting a similar mold as Bobby Bradley and Austin Riley in recent years. He did not come off the board until pick 110, but it was an over-slot deal, and if there was a consensus that he would bring value with his glove, he would have gone much higher. A corner infielder who will hope to be average at third and could end up moving to first, Welker is unlikely to appear on real-life prospect lists anytime soon, but he has the makings of a middle-of-the-order hitter with a plus hit tool and plus power. His hit tool probably needs to get to at least above average to carry the rest of his profile to an everyday role, given the defensive limitations. Every hitter who has not yet played in a full-season league carries a lot of risk, but Welker makes for a worthwhile gamble given his future home ballpark, contact skills and prodigious power.
More Fantasy News
Lands on minor-league IL
3BColorado Rockies  AA
Undisclosed
July 18, 2019
Welker was placed on the 7-day injured list with an undisclosed injury.
ANALYSIS
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Impressing in Double-A
3BColorado Rockies  AA
May 27, 2019
Welker is slashing .314/.358/.483 with four home runs and 23 RBI through 172 at-bats for Double-A Hartford.
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Reassigned to minor-league camp
3BColorado Rockies  AA
March 11, 2019
Welker was sent to minor-league camp on Monday.
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Earns camp invite
3BColorado Rockies  AA
February 6, 2019
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Extends hit streak to 15 games
3BColorado Rockies  AA
May 10, 2018
Welker extended his hit streak to 15 games Wednesday, going 2-for-3 with two walks for High-A Lancaster.
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