Colton Welker

24-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Welker was added to the Rockies' 40-man roster in November of 2020. He spent the summer under the team's watchful eye at the alternate site as part of Colorado's 60-man pool. Welker absolutely crushed at the lower levels of the minors and was above league average by wRC+ at Double-A in 2019. His strikeout rate against Double-A arms was just 17.3% at age 21 and Welker reached double-digit homers while maintaining a walk rate right around 8% even with the jump in competition. Welker has also shown a splash of speed, stealing seven bases in nine attempts from 2018-19. Most of his time has been spent at third base, but Welker can also play first, and now that he's on the 40-man, Welker looks primed to debut in 2021. The appeal here in dynasty is the future ballpark, which will in theory prop up a respectable-but-modest skill set (by MLB standards). Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Rockies in June of 2016.
Gets fourth start in six games
1BColorado Rockies
September 15, 2021
Welker will start at third base and bat seventh Wednesday in Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
Welker sticks in the lineup for the fourth time in six games after going 3-for-15 with three runs and an RBI to kick off his big-league career. Though he's getting a breather Wednesday, Ryan McMahon still looks like the Rockies' everyday third baseman, but his ability to swing over to first or second should open up at least a part-time role for Welker over the final few weeks of the season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+84%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+84%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .298 14 2 0 1 0 .083 .214 .083
Since 2019vs Right .549 26 5 0 1 0 .240 .269 .280
2021vs Left .298 14 2 0 1 0 .083 .214 .083
2021vs Right .549 26 5 0 1 0 .240 .269 .280
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .633 12 1 0 1 0 .200 .333 .300
Since 2019Away .399 28 6 0 1 0 .185 .214 .185
2021Home .633 12 1 0 1 0 .200 .333 .300
2021Away .399 28 6 0 1 0 .185 .214 .185
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Colton Welker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
7.5%
 
K Rate
27.5%
 
BABIP
.269
 
ISO
.027
 
AVG
.189
 
OBP
.250
 
SLG
.216
 
OPS
.466
 
wOBA
.217
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.6%
 
Barrels/PA
2.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Colton Welker
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
37 days ago
Among his list of candidates, Jan Levine profiles a number of recent injury returnees who should be able to immediately help you out.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
49 days ago
With September right around the corner, Jesse Siegel checks out which top prospects may be called up and who could be held back.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
161 days ago
Jesse Siegel is excited about the start of the minor-league season and has a few notes on some of the more prominent prospects.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
After spending 2018 with High-A Lancaster, one of the best hitting environments in the minors, Welker was promoted to Double-A Hartford where he toiled last season. His numbers with the Yard Goats are more representative of his true skill level. As expected, his rate stats dipped though his contact rate improved while maintaining the gains made in patience the previous season. Further, Welker's .252/.313/.408 came as a 21-year old, younger than most of his competition at the level. A high school shortstop drafted to be a third baseman, Welker's lateral agility has declined to the point that he is a below-average defender at the hot corner, and the Rockies already have roughly a half dozen similarly skilled offensive-minded first basemen in the organization. It's unclear where Welker will begin the 2020 season, but keep in mind his numbers will inflate when he is advanced to Triple-A Colorado Springs.
When a hitting prospect plays half his games at Lancaster, arguably the most hitter-friendly park in the minors, it is best to just examine his road performance. Welker hit .289/.345/.404 with four home runs and a 55:21 K:BB in 225 road at-bats (he hit .379/.419/.572 at home). He uses the whole field, has always struck out at a manageable clip and could very well end up with a 60-grade hit tool. As he matures, he could also develop above-average power without selling out for it. Welker makes the plays he gets to at third base, but his lateral quickness and range leave a lot to be desired. If he eventually gets to call Coors Field home and his defense is good enough to earn him everyday at-bats, Welker could contend for batting titles. Nolan Arenado will be a free agent after the 2019 season, and his return or departure will affect Welker's dynasty-league value as much as anything he does on the field this season. A trade would obviously be a big blow.
While he flies under the national radar as a bat-first third baseman who has yet to fully tap into his plus raw power, Welker's uncommon bat-to-ball skills make him a legitimate foundational piece in dynasty leagues. He missed 10 weeks in the middle of the season with a groin injury, but was the Sally League's best hitter (158 wRC+) when healthy. Welker spits on good pitches, striking out just 15.1 percent of the time. He took advantage of the favorable hitting conditions at Asheville -- a time-honored tradition among Rockies hitting prospects -- but still hit .302 on the road as a 19-year-old at Low-A, confirming that his hit tool is among the best in the minors. While he is primarily a line-drive hitter, his youth, contact skills and plus bat speed suggest he will eventually grow into 20-plus homer power, although his ability to hit for a very high average will always be his calling card. The only concern is that his middling defense could force him off third base, but he is working diligently on that aspect of his game.
Welker is the type of bat-first prep prospect who can be snatched up for a great value in dynasty league drafts this spring, fitting a similar mold as Bobby Bradley and Austin Riley in recent years. He did not come off the board until pick 110, but it was an over-slot deal, and if there was a consensus that he would bring value with his glove, he would have gone much higher. A corner infielder who will hope to be average at third and could end up moving to first, Welker is unlikely to appear on real-life prospect lists anytime soon, but he has the makings of a middle-of-the-order hitter with a plus hit tool and plus power. His hit tool probably needs to get to at least above average to carry the rest of his profile to an everyday role, given the defensive limitations. Every hitter who has not yet played in a full-season league carries a lot of risk, but Welker makes for a worthwhile gamble given his future home ballpark, contact skills and prodigious power.
More Fantasy News
Gets first call-up
1BColorado Rockies
September 8, 2021
Welker will be recalled from Triple-A Albuquerque on Wednesday, Kyle Newman of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reinstated from suspension
1BColorado Rockies
August 10, 2021
Welker (suspension) rejoined Triple-A Albuquerque on Sunday and has gone 3-for-10 with a double, three RBI and a run in his first two games of the season for the affilate.
ANALYSIS
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Rehabbing at High-A
1BColorado Rockies
Suspension
August 2, 2021
Welker (suspension) began a rehab assignment July 26 at the Rockies' rookie-level Arizona Complex League affiliate and has since moved up to High-A Spokane.
ANALYSIS
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Faces 80-game suspension
1BColorado Rockies
May 6, 2021
Welker tested positive for a substance banned under Major League Baseball's Drug Prevention and Treatment Program and was suspended for 80 games Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Sent to minors
1BColorado Rockies
March 27, 2021
Welker was optioned to Triple-A Albuquerque on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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