Joey Lucchesi
Joey Lucchesi
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
10-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/29/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
After throwing nearly 300 innings for the Padres across the 2018 and 2019 seasons, Lucchesi spent the majority of the 2020 campaign at the team's alternate training site. Clearly no longer a rotation staple in San Diego, he was acquired by the Mets in the three-team Joe Musgrove trade, netting the Pirates an extra prospect from New York's farm system. When on the mound, the southpaw has managed a respectable 4.21 ERA across 299.1 career innings. His skills largely back his early-career success, as his FIP, xFIP and SIERA all closely resemble his actual ERA. The primary concern for Lucchesi going forward is his reliance on two pitches -- a fastball and changeup -- which prevents him from going deep into games. When working his third time through an opposition's order, Lucchesi has posted a 7.58 ERA in 48.2 career innings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#571
ADP
$Traded to the Mets in January of 2021.
Placed on injured list
PNew York Mets
Elbow
June 19, 2021
Lucchesi was placed on the 10-day injured list with left elbow inflammation Saturday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Lucchesi was sharp in Friday's start against the Nationals, as he allowed four hits and two walks while striking out five in 5.1 innings. However, he apparently developed an elbow injury during the outing and will miss at least one turn through the rotation as a result. The severity of his injury isn't yet clear, but his move to the injured list makes room on the active roster for Albert Almora (shoulder), who was reinstated from the 10-day IL ahead of Saturday's nightcap.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
59
Last 10 Games
61
Last 5 Games
68
How many pitches does Joey Lucchesi generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joey Lucchesi generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .240 203 49 18 43 9 0 4
Since 2019vs Right .244 672 155 51 148 33 5 23
2021vs Left .276 34 9 2 8 2 0 0
2021vs Right .236 123 32 9 26 6 2 4
2020vs Left .400 11 3 0 4 1 0 0
2020vs Right .500 21 2 2 9 1 0 0
2019vs Left .221 158 37 16 31 6 0 4
2019vs Right .236 528 121 40 113 26 3 19
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-74%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-72%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 2.52 1.10 107.1 9 4 0 8.6 3.6 0.8
Since 2019Away 6.28 1.42 100.1 2 11 0 9.1 2.3 1.6
2021Home 1.50 1.08 12.0 1 0 0 8.3 3.8 0.8
2021Away 5.81 1.22 26.1 0 4 0 10.3 2.1 1.0
2020Home 4.50 2.00 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 2.3 0.0
2020Away 16.20 4.20 1.2 0 1 0 16.2 5.4 0.0
2019Home 2.56 1.06 91.1 8 4 0 8.8 3.6 0.8
2019Away 6.22 1.42 72.1 2 6 0 8.6 2.4 1.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joey Lucchesi compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.73
 
K/9
9.6
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
91.1 mph
 
ERA
4.46
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.309
 
GB/FB
1.08
 
Left On Base
63.5%
 
Exit Velocity
80.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2185 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joey Lucchesi
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
Yesterday
Chris Bennett turns in his Friday FanDuel recommendations, plugging in a Blue Jays stack at Baltimore.
MLB Betting: Sunday Best Bets
6 days ago
Michael Rathburn is betting Pablo Lopez can rack up the strikeouts Sunday. That and more in his best bets.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
6 days ago
With Joey Lucchesi set to start for the Mets, Chris Morgan is offering up a few Padres hitters.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Towering Above the Rest
7 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Rays ace Tyler Glasnow is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Calm after the Storm
14 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few two-start options in a week with fewer games scheduled.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lucchesi's sophomore season appears to be a carbon copy of his rookie campaign but it was a small step back. His strikeout rate fell from 26.5% to 23% while his walk rate increased from 7.9% to 8.2%. In 2018, Lucchesi posted a 4.08 ERA followed by a similar 4.18 mark last season. However, 2018's xFIP and SIERA were 3.45 and 3.64, respectively, in contrast to 2019's 4.36 and 4.48. By estimators, Lucchesi's 2019 ERA should have been almost a run higher than it was in his debut season. Lucchesi is still experimenting with his repertoire so don't count out a rebound. His staple is a 90-mph sinker. Last season, he cut back on his sinker and curve, adding a changeup that generated a promising 17.6% swinging-strike mark and low .235 BABIP. He has more success on pitches requiring less spin. Once he figures out the right combo, he could take the next step. In the meantime, Petco Park offers a safety net to stream.
Deception is the name of the game with Lucchesi; the lefty has a funky delivery and arm slot. The 2016 fourth-round pick was a surprise addition to the rotation out of spring training and enjoyed quite a bit of initial success, posting a 3.23 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 48:15 K:BB over nine starts before a hip strain forced him to the disabled list. It ultimately became clear that the deception could only take Lucchesi so far. Once teams got a better scouting report, the results took a predictable turn for the worse (4.88 ERA, 1.37 WHIP after the break) even as he continued to miss bats at a steady clip. The 7.9% walk rate looks good, but his command is actually lacking in a major way; the emerging stats that attempt to judge a pitcher's intent all point to Lucchesi's command being bad. Right-handers combined for a .339 wOBA against Lucchesi and he had homer trouble at home and on the road. There are better fliers to take in the mid-to-late rounds.
More Fantasy News
Sharp in no-decision
PNew York Mets
June 18, 2021
Lucchesi didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 1-0 loss to the Nationals despite tossing 5.1 scoreless innings with four hits and two walks. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision versus former team
PNew York Mets
June 13, 2021
Lucchesi allowed a run on four hits and a walk and struck out six in five innings in a no-decision versus San Diego on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts 4.2 innings
PNew York Mets
June 5, 2021
Lucchesi (1-4) was tagged with the loss Friday against the Padres after giving up one run on four hits while fanning three across 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one run in no-decision
PNew York Mets
May 27, 2021
Lucchesi allowed one earned run on two hits and three walks while striking out two across 3.2 innings in Game 2 of Thursday's doubleheader with the Rockies. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Brilliant in Saturday's no-decision
PNew York Mets
May 22, 2021
Lucchesi didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 3-1 loss to the Marlins, giving up only one hit over four scoreless innings while striking out eight. He didn't walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
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