Joey Lucchesi
Joey Lucchesi
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2021 Fantasy Outlook
After throwing nearly 300 innings for the Padres across the 2018 and 2019 seasons, Lucchesi spent the majority of the 2020 campaign at the team's alternate training site. Clearly no longer a rotation staple in San Diego, he was acquired by the Mets in the three-team Joe Musgrove trade, netting the Pirates an extra prospect from New York's farm system. When on the mound, the southpaw has managed a respectable 4.21 ERA across 299.1 career innings. His skills largely back his early-career success, as his FIP, xFIP and SIERA all closely resemble his actual ERA. The primary concern for Lucchesi going forward is his reliance on two pitches -- a fastball and changeup -- which prevents him from going deep into games. When working his third time through an opposition's order, Lucchesi has posted a 7.58 ERA in 48.2 career innings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#573
ADP
$Traded to the Mets in January of 2021.
Focused on mechanics
PNew York Mets
February 20, 2021
Lucchesi went to Driveline during the offseason in an effort to smooth his delivery and better his mechanics, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Lucchesi said the focus of his sessions at Driveline included work on his lead, his front side and shoulder mobility. He's coming off a disappointing 2020 season, when he threw only 5.2 innings and was regularly placed at the alternate site. Though he's not a lock for the rotation, Lucchesi should have a chance for an increased role with the Mets this season and will look to regain his 2019 form, when he posted a 4.18 ERA and 1.22 WHIP across 163.2 frames.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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Head2Head
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
41
Last 10 Games
41
Last 5 Games
41
How many pitches does Joey Lucchesi generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joey Lucchesi generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .238 283 73 25 59 10 0 5
Since 2018vs Right .250 983 235 76 223 46 6 41
2020vs Left .400 11 3 0 4 1 0 0
2020vs Right .500 21 2 2 9 1 0 0
2019vs Left .221 158 37 16 31 6 0 4
2019vs Right .236 528 121 40 113 26 3 19
2018vs Left .245 114 33 9 24 3 0 1
2018vs Right .256 434 112 34 101 19 3 22
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-72%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.25 1.22 174.1 13 9 0 9.2 3.5 1.2
Since 2018Away 5.54 1.37 125.0 5 11 0 9.3 2.4 1.7
2020Home 4.50 2.00 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 2.3 0.0
2020Away 16.20 4.20 1.2 0 1 0 16.2 5.4 0.0
2019Home 2.56 1.06 91.1 8 4 0 8.8 3.6 0.8
2019Away 6.22 1.42 72.1 2 6 0 8.6 2.4 1.9
2018Home 3.99 1.35 79.0 5 5 0 10.0 3.3 1.7
2018Away 4.24 1.20 51.0 3 4 0 10.1 2.5 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joey Lucchesi compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.50
 
K/9
7.9
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
90.0 mph
 
ERA
7.94
 
WHIP
2.65
 
BABIP
.542
 
GB/FB
1.50
 
Left On Base
66.7%
 
Exit Velocity
77.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2103 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
16.7%
 
Swinging Strike
12.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joey Lucchesi
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Erik Halterman looks at the biggest over- and underachievers in 2020 relative to their preseason ADP, and finds a couple of Cleveland players standing out from the early-round pack.
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188 days ago
Jan Levine likes what Ian Anderson did in his major-league debut, but also offers a warning.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lucchesi's sophomore season appears to be a carbon copy of his rookie campaign but it was a small step back. His strikeout rate fell from 26.5% to 23% while his walk rate increased from 7.9% to 8.2%. In 2018, Lucchesi posted a 4.08 ERA followed by a similar 4.18 mark last season. However, 2018's xFIP and SIERA were 3.45 and 3.64, respectively, in contrast to 2019's 4.36 and 4.48. By estimators, Lucchesi's 2019 ERA should have been almost a run higher than it was in his debut season. Lucchesi is still experimenting with his repertoire so don't count out a rebound. His staple is a 90-mph sinker. Last season, he cut back on his sinker and curve, adding a changeup that generated a promising 17.6% swinging-strike mark and low .235 BABIP. He has more success on pitches requiring less spin. Once he figures out the right combo, he could take the next step. In the meantime, Petco Park offers a safety net to stream.
Deception is the name of the game with Lucchesi; the lefty has a funky delivery and arm slot. The 2016 fourth-round pick was a surprise addition to the rotation out of spring training and enjoyed quite a bit of initial success, posting a 3.23 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 48:15 K:BB over nine starts before a hip strain forced him to the disabled list. It ultimately became clear that the deception could only take Lucchesi so far. Once teams got a better scouting report, the results took a predictable turn for the worse (4.88 ERA, 1.37 WHIP after the break) even as he continued to miss bats at a steady clip. The 7.9% walk rate looks good, but his command is actually lacking in a major way; the emerging stats that attempt to judge a pitcher's intent all point to Lucchesi's command being bad. Right-handers combined for a .339 wOBA against Lucchesi and he had homer trouble at home and on the road. There are better fliers to take in the mid-to-late rounds.
More Fantasy News
Moves to Mets
PNew York Mets
January 18, 2021
Lucchesi was traded from the Padres to the Mets on Monday as part of a three-team deal headlined by Joe Musgrove moving from Pittsburgh to San Diego, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned again
PSan Diego Padres
September 22, 2020
Lucchesi was optioned off the Padres' roster Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Back in big leagues
PSan Diego Padres
September 14, 2020
Lucchesi was recalled from San Diego's alternate training site Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back to alternate site
PSan Diego Padres
September 14, 2020
The Padres optioned Lucchesi to their alternate training site Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled for doubleheader
PSan Diego Padres
September 13, 2020
Lucchesi was recalled from the alternate training site for Sunday's doubleheader against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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