Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
23-Year-Old DHDH
Houston Astros
10-Day IL
Injury Undisclosed
Est. Return 8/14/2020
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez was worth the wait for those who stashed him while he abused the Pacific Coast League to the tune of a .343/.443/.742 slash line over the first two months. Upon getting called up, the 22-year-old quickly became a foundational piece in Houston's lineup, claiming AL Rookie of the Year honors on the back of a 178 wRC+ that ranked fourth among all hitters following his June 9 promotion. Both the eye test and the Statcast metrics supported the notion that Alvarez is already one of the game's premier power bats, and his exceptional plate approach and ability to handle lefties (.307/.389/.649 in 131 plate appearances) should make him an annual batting title contender, too. Alvarez will only be eligible in a utility spot in most leagues to begin 2020, but like peak David Ortiz and Nelson Cruz before him, he's one of the few players whose lack of positional versatility shouldn't be viewed as a handicap. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#56
ADP
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Still without timeline for debut
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
August 9, 2020
Manager Dusty Baker said Sunday that Alvarez (undisclosed) is "making progress," but the skipper was unwilling to put a timeline on the 23-year-old's return to the Astros, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports. "He hasn't been hitting that long. He hasn't been running that long," Baker said. "You don't want to do anything to hurt his legs, you don't want to do anything to hurt his obliques because you're not used to rotating. I really don't know how long it's going to be or how long it's going to take."
ANALYSIS
After missing all of summer camp for undisclosed reasons, Alvarez has been working out at the Astros' alternate training site in Corpus Christi for about two weeks as he looks to get reacclimated to baseball activities following a lengthy layoff due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The slugger looked like his normal self during an intrasquad game Saturday, hitting a pair of doubles against minor-league pitcher Luis Garcia. Though Alvarez seems to be rounding into form, the Astros' slow approach to his ramp-up program makes it unlikely he'll be activated from the injured list ahead of Monday's series opener against the Giants. With no target date for Alvarez's 2020 debut, his fantasy managers will likely have to err on the side of caution and keep him on their bench for another week.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left 1.038 131 14 9 25 0 .307 .389 .649
Since 2018vs Right 1.083 238 44 18 53 0 .317 .424 .658
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left 1.038 131 14 9 25 0 .307 .389 .649
2019vs Right 1.083 238 44 18 53 0 .317 .424 .658
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home 1.140 195 35 14 44 0 .349 .441 .699
Since 2018Away .985 174 23 13 34 0 .272 .379 .605
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 1.140 195 35 14 44 0 .349 .441 .699
2019Away .985 174 23 13 34 0 .272 .379 .605
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer.
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Takes BP
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
August 6, 2020
Alvarez (undisclosed) took batting practice and did some running Thursday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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At least 10 days away
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
August 1, 2020
Alvarez (undisclosed) is roughly 10-14 days away from being ready to join the Astros, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing live batting practice
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
July 28, 2020
Alvarez (undisclosed) has been able to hit and will take live batting practice soon, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Weeks away from game action
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
July 24, 2020
Alvarez (undisclosed) isn't close to being ready for game action, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for baseball activities
DHHouston Astros
Undisclosed
July 24, 2020
Alvarez (undisclosed) was cleared to begin participating in baseball activities Friday, Jake Kaplan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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