Yordan Alvarez
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2019 Fantasy Outlook
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#729
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Shaky finish to regular season
OFHouston Astros
September 30, 2019
Alvarez went 0-for-4 with a walk and two strikeouts Sunday in the Astros' 8-5 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Alvarez will head into the postseason in a bit of a rut, as he failed to record a hit in 11 at-bats during the four-game series with the Angels while striking out seven times. The slump does little to diminish what was a banner rookie campaign for the 22-year-old, who slashed .313/.412/.655 with 53 extra-base hits in only 87 games. Following his June 9 callup, Alvarez's 1.067 OPS matched Alex Bregman for the team lead and trailed only three other hitters in baseball (Ketel Marte, Nelson Cruz and Mike Trout).
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
19
34
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
12
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left 1.038 131 14 9 25 0 .307 .389 .649
Since 2017vs Right 1.083 238 44 18 53 0 .317 .424 .658
2019vs Left 1.038 131 14 9 25 0 .307 .389 .649
2019vs Right 1.083 238 44 18 53 0 .317 .424 .658
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home 1.140 195 35 14 44 0 .349 .441 .699
Since 2017Away .985 174 23 13 34 0 .272 .379 .605
2019Home 1.140 195 35 14 44 0 .349 .441 .699
2019Away .985 174 23 13 34 0 .272 .379 .605
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Yordan Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.55
 
BB Rate
14.1%
 
K Rate
25.5%
 
BABIP
.366
 
ISO
.342
 
AVG
.313
 
OBP
.412
 
SLG
.655
 
OPS
1.067
 
wOBA
.450
 
Exit Velocity
92.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
51.1%
 
Barrels/PA
10.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Yordan Alvarez
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks
Yesterday
Adam Zdroik delivers his DraftKings insights for both Championship Series on Tuesday.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday-Monday Picks
3 days ago
Chris Morgan says the Yankees' James Paxton comes in as the most vulnerable of the four projected starters, which is why he's promoting a bunch of Astros' bats.
FanDuel MLB: League Championship Series Breakdown
4 days ago
Chris Bennett notes Masahiro Tanaka’s struggles against lefties suggest Yordan Alvarez is an obvious play, and the price point is great as well.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Showdown Picks
8 days ago
Adam Zdroik sets up Tuesday’s lone playoff game featuring the Astros in St. Petersburg for Game 4.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
8 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's one-game slate and thinks George Springer's hitless postseason to date could make him an intriguing pivot from the Astros' other expensive bats.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Retreats to bench
OFHouston Astros
September 26, 2019
Alvarez isn't in the starting lineup for Thursday's game against Los Angeles, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Tuesday
OFHouston Astros
September 24, 2019
Alvarez is not in Tuesday's lineup against the Mariners, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rakes four hits in win
OFHouston Astros
September 22, 2019
Alvarez went 4-for-4 with two doubles and a run scored in Sunday's 13-5 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Swats 25th homer
OFHouston Astros
September 14, 2019
Alvarez launched a pinch-hit, three-run home run in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Saturday
OFHouston Astros
September 14, 2019
Alvarez is not in Saturday's lineup against the Royals, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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