Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
24-Year-Old DHDH
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Many players were hit hard by the pandemic in 2020, both in terms of how it affected their availability and in how it impacted their performance, and Alvarez was part of that group. His 2019 domination of baseballs set high expectations for the reigning Rookie of the Year, but COVID-19 led to him missing all of summer camp and the first three weeks of the season. He came back for all of nine plate appearances before being sent to the IL with a knee injury which eventually required season-ending surgery. Alvarez said he had dealt with the knee pain since the summer of 2019, but you would never know it statistically. There have been a few videos this offseason showing Alvarez on the treadmill during rehab, which is a good sign. Designated hitters still need their legs as the foundation of their swing, so Alvarez's recovery should be monitored closely. Adjust your risk/reward scale accordingly. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#79
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Dodgers in July of 2016. Traded to the Astros in August of 2016.
Goes deep Saturday
DHHouston Astros
July 25, 2021
Alvarez went 2-for-2 with a solo home run, an additional RBI and a walk in Saturday's 4-1 win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
Alvarez drove in a run with a sacrifice fly in the third inning and plated Houston's final score with a solo shot to right field in the seventh. The long ball was his fifth through 15 games in July and accounted for his 13th RBI this month. Alvarez has 18 homers and a .286/.352/.521 slash line overall this season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
43
3
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
22
8
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+460%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .933 276 40 14 51 0 .300 .373 .560
Since 2019vs Right .988 453 77 32 94 1 .296 .386 .602
2021vs Left .817 140 24 4 23 0 .290 .357 .460
2021vs Right .899 211 33 14 40 1 .279 .346 .553
2020vs Left 1.400 5 2 1 3 0 .400 .400 1.000
2020vs Right .250 4 0 0 1 0 .000 .250 .000
2019vs Left 1.038 131 14 9 25 0 .307 .389 .649
2019vs Right 1.083 238 44 18 53 0 .317 .424 .658
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .984 392 66 22 77 0 .323 .393 .591
Since 2019Away .948 337 51 24 68 1 .267 .368 .580
2021Home .831 188 29 7 29 0 .301 .346 .486
2021Away .909 163 28 11 34 1 .262 .356 .553
2020Home .958 9 2 1 4 0 .250 .333 .625
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 1.140 195 35 14 44 0 .349 .441 .699
2019Away .985 174 23 13 34 0 .272 .379 .605
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Stat Review
How does Yordan Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
7.7%
 
K Rate
27.4%
 
BABIP
.350
 
ISO
.232
 
AVG
.283
 
OBP
.350
 
SLG
.516
 
OPS
.866
 
wOBA
.374
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.8%
 
Barrels/PA
9.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Yordan Alvarez
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
Alvarez was worth the wait for those who stashed him while he abused the Pacific Coast League to the tune of a .343/.443/.742 slash line over the first two months. Upon getting called up, the 22-year-old quickly became a foundational piece in Houston's lineup, claiming AL Rookie of the Year honors on the back of a 178 wRC+ that ranked fourth among all hitters following his June 9 promotion. Both the eye test and the Statcast metrics supported the notion that Alvarez is already one of the game's premier power bats, and his exceptional plate approach and ability to handle lefties (.307/.389/.649 in 131 plate appearances) should make him an annual batting title contender, too. Alvarez will only be eligible in a utility spot in most leagues to begin 2020, but like peak David Ortiz and Nelson Cruz before him, he's one of the few players whose lack of positional versatility shouldn't be viewed as a handicap.
There is an inevitable disconnect with where Alvarez ranks on real-life lists and fantasy-specific prospect rankings. He won’t provide much defensive value, likely getting starts in left field, at first base and at DH. What he will do, however, is hit for power and average. After putting on a clinic against Texas League pitchers (.290 ISO, 168 wRC+), he was promoted to Triple-A one week after his 21st birthday in late June. His BABIP fell from .377 to .315 after the promotion, accounting for the dip in average. However, he maintained an impressive all-fields approach (39.5 Pull%, 33.6 Oppo%) and actually upped his walk rate from 10% to 12.2%. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Cuban slugger makes such hard contact that his true talent BABIP is probably much closer to his Double-A mark. He hit above .300 against same-handed pitching at both stops, so a future platoon seems unlikely. The Astros have no reason to rush him, but he will likely force the issue this summer.
While Alvarez is a first-base-only prospect who is unproven above Low-A, he should still be viewed as a high-end asset. He has monstrous raw power, yet primarily accesses it to the opposite field, much like Domingo Santana. This rare tendency is the result of an extremely advanced all-fields approach. He rocketed the ball all over the Midwest League (.449 BABIP, 207 wRC+) en route to a midseason promotion to High-A, where the lefty-hitting slugger hit 35.8 percent of his hits to right field, 27.9 percent to center field and 36.3 percent to left field. Alvarez’s walk rate was cut in half against more advanced pitching, but his strikeout rate also dropped from 25.9 percent to 16.3 percent. Despite measuring in at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, he has average speed, but that figures to tick down as he matures. It will be tough to crack the Astros’ lineup in the coming years, but Alvarez has the offensive ceiling to do so, which should excite owners in even the shallowest of dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Good to go Tuesday
DHHouston Astros
July 20, 2021
Alvarez is in Tuesday's starting lineup against Cleveland after exiting Monday's game with a hamstring issue.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers hamstring injury
DHHouston Astros
Hamstring
July 19, 2021
Alvarez suffered a hamstring injury during Monday's game against the Indians, Mark Berman of Fox 26 Houston reports. He went 2-for-3 with a home run, double, a walk and two RBI in Houston's 4-3 win.
ANALYSIS
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Hammers two-run shot
DHHouston Astros
July 19, 2021
Alvarez went 2-for-3 with a two-run homer, a double and a walk in Monday's 4-3 win over Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Slumping, moved to two hole
DHHouston Astros
July 18, 2021
Alvarez batted second in the order and went 0-for-3 in Sunday's 4-0 loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Launches two in return
DHHouston Astros
July 7, 2021
Alvarez went 3-for-3 with a walk, two home runs, five RBI and an additional run scored in Tuesday's 9-6 win over Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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