Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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Bounces back with another gem
PSan Diego Padres
May 21, 2019
Paddack improved to 4-2 on the season after allowing one run on five hits while striking out seven in a six-inning start against the Diamondbacks on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Paddack failed to make it out of the fifth inning in his previous start but looked as good as ever Monday. A small rally, involving no extra-base hits, got the Diamondbacks their only run in the third inning, but Paddack only allowed one other runner to reach second base the rest of the game. The rookie's ERA now sits at an incredible 1.93 through nine starts. He'll look to keep things going Sunday in Toronto.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-45%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-45%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .198 107 25 8 19 5 0 4
Since 2017vs Right .108 88 31 3 9 1 0 0
2019vs Left .198 107 25 8 19 5 0 4
2019vs Right .108 88 31 3 9 1 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 1.42 0.60 31.2 3 1 0 11.1 1.1 0.6
Since 2017Away 2.75 1.02 19.2 1 1 0 7.8 3.2 0.9
2019Home 1.42 0.60 31.2 3 1 0 11.1 1.1 0.6
2019Away 2.75 1.02 19.2 1 1 0 7.8 3.2 0.9
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.09
 
K/9
9.8
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
1.93
 
WHIP
0.76
 
BABIP
.213
 
GB/FB
1.30
 
Left On Base
71.9%
 
Exit Velocity
86.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.8%
 
Spin Rate
2031 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
30.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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7 days ago
Erik Siegrist analyzes whether some of the season's top surprises, such as the Tigers' Matthew Boyd, are the building blocks of future success in keeper leagues or assets to be cashed in now.
2017 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Next start set for Monday
PSan Diego Padres
May 17, 2019
Paddack will take his next turn in Monday's series opener against the Diamondbacks, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Has worst outing of season
PSan Diego Padres
May 14, 2019
Paddack (3-2) struggled against the Dodgers on Tuesday, giving up six runs (three earned) on five hits and one walk in 4.2 innings to take the loss. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Fans career-high 11 against Mets
PSan Diego Padres
May 7, 2019
Paddack (3-1) picked up the win in Monday's 4-0 victory over the Mets, scattering four hits and a walk over 7.2 scoreless innings while striking out a career-high 11.
ANALYSIS
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Targeting 130 to 150 innings
PSan Diego Padres
May 6, 2019
Paddack will require workload management throughout the season, with the starter targeting 130 to 150 innings, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp again in win
PSan Diego Padres
April 30, 2019
Paddack (2-1) picked up the win against the Braves on Tuesday, giving up two earned runs on four hits over six innings, striking out five and walking one as the Padres won 4-3.
ANALYSIS
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