Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack was the talk of baseball for a while in 2019 as he made the jump from Double-A and hit the ground running, cruising to a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over 140.2 innings as a 23-year-old. His changeup remained a great weapon in 2020, but his fastball suddenly became entirely too hittable. Major League Baseball combined to hit .308 with a .658 SLG against Paddack's four-seam fastball in 2020, up from .204 and .391 the season prior. Of the 14 homers Paddack allowed, 10 were against the four-seamer. Aside from a minor ankle injury in September, Paddack was ostensibly healthy. His average velocity on his four-seamer held steady, supporting the idea his arm is fine. Paddack, who had Tommy John surgery earlier in his career, is just entering his age-25 season and should theoretically be well rested and capable of handling a relatively heavy workload in 2021. There are some lingering questions, however. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#107
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $555,000 contract with the Padres in March of 2019.
Quality start in loss
PSan Diego Padres
June 6, 2021
Paddack (2-5) lost Sunday's 6-2 defeat at the hands of the Mets, going six innings and allowing three runs on six hits and a walk with six strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
Paddack posted his third quality start in 11 turns Sunday but opposing starter Marcus Stroman and two Mets relievers were able to keep a potent Padres offense in check. The decent yet unspectacular outing has become commonplace for Paddack this year, with a key takeaway being the six innings pitched, which ties his season high, while the six strikeouts were one off his peak.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .224 546 120 33 113 24 4 22
Since 2019vs Right .228 485 139 23 103 20 2 23
2021vs Left .207 124 25 7 24 7 1 2
2021vs Right .287 94 23 6 25 4 2 6
2020vs Left .270 132 26 8 33 4 2 8
2020vs Right .252 113 32 4 27 8 0 6
2019vs Left .211 290 69 18 56 13 1 12
2019vs Right .198 278 84 13 51 8 0 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.61 0.99 117.1 9 8 0 9.4 1.8 1.3
Since 2019Away 4.07 1.16 135.0 6 9 0 9.1 2.1 1.9
2021Home 4.32 1.20 25.0 1 3 0 8.6 2.9 1.1
2021Away 4.23 1.16 27.2 1 2 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2020Home 4.11 1.08 30.2 2 2 0 9.1 1.8 2.1
2020Away 5.40 1.38 28.1 2 3 0 8.6 1.9 2.2
2019Home 3.06 0.86 61.2 6 3 0 9.9 1.5 1.0
2019Away 3.53 1.08 79.0 3 4 0 9.7 2.4 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.69
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
94.8 mph
 
ERA
4.27
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.290
 
GB/FB
1.41
 
Left On Base
63.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2065 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.0%
 
Swinging Strike
12.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chris Paddack
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Towering Above the Rest
Yesterday
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Rays ace Tyler Glasnow is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
7 days ago
Chris Morgan endorses an Angels stack at home versus Logan Gilbert and the Mariners.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Calm after the Storm
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few two-start options in a week with fewer games scheduled.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: 99 Baseball Games on the Wall
15 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as the schedule is jam-packed with games. Corbin Burnes, though, is one of the few aces with two starts.
MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets
18 days ago
Joe Sheehan shifts gears and goes with a player prop-centric approach for Wednesday's card, including a look at Javier Baez as he gets set to face Wil Crowe and the Pirates.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2017
Paddack followed his eye-opening run of success in the minors with an impressive rookie season, emerging as the ace of San Diego's staff. The right-hander paired excellent control (5.5 BB%) and strong strikeout numbers (26.9 K%) to post the fifth-lowest WHIP in the majors (0.98) among pitchers who hurled 100 or more innings. Paddack's fastball isn't overpowering -- it sits at around 94 mph and is thrown with average spin -- but opponents managed to hit only .204 against it due to Paddack's superb command and intelligent mound mechanics. His changeup was even more difficult to handle; Paddack went to the pitch 28.5% of the time, holding hitters to a .190 average. The Padres limited Paddack's workload last season, but he proved his stamina with four dominant starts to close the season. He'll be three years removed from Tommy John surgery in 2020 and should thrive as he's freed to pitch without limitations.
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break.
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Allows three homers, five runs
PSan Diego Padres
May 31, 2021
Paddack (2-4) allowed five runs on six hits and a walk over 4.1 innings Monday, striking out six and taking a loss against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Allows only two hits
PSan Diego Padres
May 26, 2021
Paddack allowed one earned run on two hits and no walks while striking out two across six innings Wednesday in the Padres' 2-1 win over the Brewers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Cruises to easy win
PSan Diego Padres
May 22, 2021
Paddack (2-3) earned the win over Seattle on Friday, hurling six innings and allowing one run on three hits and two walks while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Pitches well in four-inning start
PSan Diego Padres
May 16, 2021
Paddack did not factor in the decision against St. Louis on Saturday. He hurled four innings, allowing one run on three hits and one walk while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
No-decision in short outing
PSan Diego Padres
May 9, 2021
Paddack pitched three scoreless innings, allowing four hits and a walk while striking out four in the Padres' win over the Giants on Sunday. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.