Chris Paddack

Chris Paddack

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/1/2023
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack enters the 2022 season with as much concern as he had hype entering 2020. He exploded onto the season with a stellar rookie campaign, but hit some bumps in 2020 when the league began hunting non-changeups in the count. The lack of a truly effective third pitch has continued to haunt him as Paddack's ratios continue to climb across the board. His 2021 season ended on an unfortunate note of a UCL sprain which required a PRP injection in late September. That measure does not take him out of the woods; far from it. At the very least it puts a crimp on his offseason pitching plans where he normally would have the opportunity to continue working on furthering his curveball which showed some statistical promise last season. His fastball has simply been too hittable the past two seasons, so a deeper repertoire and the confidence to throw any of his three pitches in any count could help stop the ratio bleeding. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#445
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.25 million contract with the Padres in March of 2022. Traded to the Twins in April of 2022.
Undergoes second Tommy John surgery
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
May 18, 2022
Paddack (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old was already facing an extended absence after being placed on the 60-day injured list with elbow inflammation last week, and he's now undergone Tommy John surgery for the second time in his career. Paddack will miss the rest of the season and will also be sidelined for at least the first half of the 2023 campaign.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
73
Last 10 Games
73
Last 5 Games
73
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .243 398 81 21 90 18 4 13
Since 2020vs Right .295 399 96 15 110 23 3 16
2022vs Left .324 35 8 0 11 3 1 0
2022vs Right .259 58 12 2 14 4 0 0
2021vs Left .214 231 47 13 46 11 1 5
2021vs Right .325 228 52 9 69 11 3 10
2020vs Left .270 132 26 8 33 4 2 8
2020vs Right .252 113 32 4 27 8 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-21%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 5.44 1.40 91.0 5 7 0 9.2 2.0 1.4
Since 2020Away 4.29 1.10 98.2 7 7 0 7.7 1.5 1.4
2022Home 5.25 1.42 12.0 0 1 0 9.8 0.8 0.0
2022Away 2.61 0.97 10.1 1 1 0 6.1 0.9 0.0
2021Home 6.33 1.59 48.1 3 4 0 9.1 2.4 1.3
2021Away 4.05 1.00 60.0 4 3 0 7.5 1.4 1.2
2020Home 4.11 1.08 30.2 2 2 0 9.1 1.8 2.1
2020Away 5.40 1.38 28.1 2 3 0 8.6 1.9 2.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
10.00
 
K/9
8.1
 
BB/9
0.8
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
4.03
 
WHIP
1.21
 
BABIP
.368
 
GB/FB
1.55
 
Left On Base
63.0%
 
Exit Velocity
79.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
1.9%
 
Spin Rate
2114 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
18.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chris Paddack
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
10 days ago
Chris Morgan is touting Max Kepler as a solid value at home against Daulton Jefferies and the A's.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
10 days ago
Charlie Morton isn't the pitcher he used to be. As such, Chris Morgan is stacking a few Brewers against him.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Knock on Woodruff
11 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-start Brandon Woodruff is looking good after a rough opener.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
16 days ago
Mike Barner likes the look of a Twins stack Monday against the Orioles.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2017
Paddack was the talk of baseball for a while in 2019 as he made the jump from Double-A and hit the ground running, cruising to a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over 140.2 innings as a 23-year-old. His changeup remained a great weapon in 2020, but his fastball suddenly became entirely too hittable. Major League Baseball combined to hit .308 with a .658 SLG against Paddack's four-seam fastball in 2020, up from .204 and .391 the season prior. Of the 14 homers Paddack allowed, 10 were against the four-seamer. Aside from a minor ankle injury in September, Paddack was ostensibly healthy. His average velocity on his four-seamer held steady, supporting the idea his arm is fine. Paddack, who had Tommy John surgery earlier in his career, is just entering his age-25 season and should theoretically be well rested and capable of handling a relatively heavy workload in 2021. There are some lingering questions, however.
Paddack followed his eye-opening run of success in the minors with an impressive rookie season, emerging as the ace of San Diego's staff. The right-hander paired excellent control (5.5 BB%) and strong strikeout numbers (26.9 K%) to post the fifth-lowest WHIP in the majors (0.98) among pitchers who hurled 100 or more innings. Paddack's fastball isn't overpowering -- it sits at around 94 mph and is thrown with average spin -- but opponents managed to hit only .204 against it due to Paddack's superb command and intelligent mound mechanics. His changeup was even more difficult to handle; Paddack went to the pitch 28.5% of the time, holding hitters to a .190 average. The Padres limited Paddack's workload last season, but he proved his stamina with four dominant starts to close the season. He'll be three years removed from Tommy John surgery in 2020 and should thrive as he's freed to pitch without limitations.
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break.
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Moves to 60-day IL
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
May 12, 2022
Paddack (elbow) was transferred to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
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Placed on injured list
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
May 10, 2022
Paddack (elbow) was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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May need elbow surgery
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
May 10, 2022
Paddack is getting a second opinion on his inflamed right elbow, with surgery potentially on the table, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with inflamed elbow
PMinnesota Twins
Elbow
May 8, 2022
Paddack's early exit from his start in Sunday's game against the Athletics was due to right elbow inflammation, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
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Day ends early with apparent injury
PMinnesota Twins
Undisclosed
May 8, 2022
The Twins removed Paddack from his start Sunday against the Athletics due to an apparent injury. He struck out four over 2.1 innings and allowed one run on five hits and left two runners on base before exiting.
ANALYSIS
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