Out
Injury Rest
Est. Return 2/1/2020
2019 Stats
W-L
9-7
ERA
3.33
WHIP
0.98
K
153
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break. Read Past Outlooks
Finishes rookie season in style
Paddack will not make another start this season, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports. He gave up one run on one hit and one walk while striking out nine Tuesday against the Brewers but did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
He pitched well enough to get the win in his final start, but Lorenzo Cain hit a solo home run on the lone hit Paddack surrendered. The Padres played it safe with their young ace, limiting him to 84 pitches (54 strikes) even though he was in complete control through the fifth inning. The only thing standing in the way of Paddack being a true ace going forward is a reliable third pitch, but he is just 23 years old, so it's unfair to say he's a finished product. If he comes back next year with a quality breaking ball, Paddack could emerge as one of the best starters in the game.
He pitched well enough to get the win in his final start, but Lorenzo Cain hit a solo home run on the lone hit Paddack surrendered. The Padres played it safe with their young ace, limiting him to 84 pitches (54 strikes) even though he was in complete control through the fifth inning. The only thing standing in the way of Paddack being a true ace going forward is a reliable third pitch, but he is just 23 years old, so it's unfair to say he's a finished product. If he comes back next year with a quality breaking ball, Paddack could emerge as one of the best starters in the game.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2019
-6%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017vs Left | .211 | 69 | 18 | 56 | 12 | |||
| Since 2017vs Right | .198 | 84 | 13 | 51 | 11 | |||
| 2019vs Left | .211 | 69 | 18 | 56 | 12 | |||
| 2019vs Right | .198 | 84 | 13 | 51 | 11 | |||
| 2018vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2018vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2017vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2017vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
-13%
ERA at Home
2019
-13%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2017Home | 3.06 | 0.86 | 61.2 | 9.9 | 1.5 | ||||
| Since 2017Away | 3.53 | 1.08 | 79.0 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2019Home | 3.06 | 0.86 | 61.2 | 9.9 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2019Away | 3.53 | 1.08 | 79.0 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2018Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2018Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2017Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2017Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.94K/9
9.8BB/9
2.0HR/9
1.5Fastball
93.9 mphERA
3.33WHIP
0.98BABIP
.256GB/FB
1.09Left On Base
75.6%Exit Velocity
87.5 mphBarrels/BBE
6.4%Spin Rate
2007 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
32.7%Swinging Strike
12.3%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2017 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Set to start next week
Paddack will make a start against the Brewers next week, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hoping to start next week
Paddack hopes to start next week in Milwaukee, but the Padres were noncommittal after Wednesday's victory over the Cubs, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven in win
Paddack (9-7) gave up three hits and one walk while striking out seven through six scoreless innings to earn the win over the Cubs on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Whiffs eight in no-decision
Paddack held the Diamondbacks scoreless with eight strikeouts across 5.1 innings but did not factor into the decision during Wednesday's loss. He allowed four hits and walked two.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in win over Giants
Paddack (8-7) picked up the win against the Giants on Thursday, giving up just one earned run on five hits over seven strong innings, striking out eight with no walks in the Padres' 5-3 victory.
ANALYSIS
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