2025 Stats
W-L
3-7
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.23
K
63
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
After a promising return from Tommy John surgery in 2023 where he excelled as a reliever, Paddack moved back to the rotation but struggled in 2024 before his season ended in July due to a forearm strain. Paddack saw declines in his strikeout rate (8.1 K/9) and velocity (93.3 mph average fastball), while giving up a lot of home runs (1.4 HR/9). Paddack does limit walks (2.1 BB/9) and gets batters to chase (11.4% swinging strike rate) at a good rate. Ultimately he hasn't been able to stay healthy. Paddack has had two Tommy John surgeries and thrown more than 100 innings just twice in his career. He was close to returning from his forearm strain at the end of last season, so he should be ready for spring training where he'll return as the No. 4 or No. 5 starter. Read Past Outlooks

Handed seventh loss
Paddack (3-7) allowed three runs on six hits and struck out three without walking a batter over 4.2 innings to take the loss Sunday versus the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Paddack was decent compared to recent outings, but he still gave up some loud contact, as four of the six hits he allowed went for extra bases. The first two runs came on solo shots by Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene, and Paddack's start came to an end after Carpenter's RBI triple in the fifth. Paddack has allowed 21 runs (19 earned) over his last 18.2 innings, which simply isn't good enough. His ERA is up to 4.70 with a 1.23 WHIP and 63:24 K:BB over 90 innings across 17 starts. That's already his most innings in any seasons since 2021, so it's possible the right-hander may be struggling with a heavier workload after multiple years in a row impacted by injuries. His next start is projected to come at home versus the Rays.
Paddack was decent compared to recent outings, but he still gave up some loud contact, as four of the six hits he allowed went for extra bases. The first two runs came on solo shots by Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene, and Paddack's start came to an end after Carpenter's RBI triple in the fifth. Paddack has allowed 21 runs (19 earned) over his last 18.2 innings, which simply isn't good enough. His ERA is up to 4.70 with a 1.23 WHIP and 63:24 K:BB over 90 innings across 17 starts. That's already his most innings in any seasons since 2021, so it's possible the right-hander may be struggling with a heavier workload after multiple years in a row impacted by injuries. His next start is projected to come at home versus the Rays.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .271 | 61 | 23 | 97 | 16 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .267 | 89 | 23 | 98 | 12 | |||
2025vs Left | .240 | 26 | 11 | 42 | 8 | |||
2025vs Right | .266 | 37 | 13 | 45 | 5 | |||
2024vs Left | .303 | 32 | 12 | 54 | 7 | |||
2024vs Right | .264 | 47 | 9 | 48 | 7 | |||
2023vs Left | .200 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .313 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-34%
ERA at Home
2025
-35%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.83 | 1.31 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 5.79 | 1.32 | 96.1 | 6.7 | 2.1 | ||||
2025Home | 3.58 | 1.22 | 37.2 | 6.2 | 3.1 | ||||
2025Away | 5.50 | 1.24 | 52.1 | 6.4 | 1.9 | ||||
2024Home | 3.61 | 1.33 | 47.1 | 9.1 | 1.7 | ||||
2024Away | 6.59 | 1.46 | 41.0 | 6.8 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Home | 13.50 | 2.50 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 4.5 | ||||
2023Away | 0.00 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.63K/9
6.3BB/9
2.4HR/9
1.3Fastball
93.7 mphERA
4.70WHIP
1.23BABIP
.279GB/FB
0.91Left On Base
64.7%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2081 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.2%Swinging Strike
9.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
Paddack returned in late September from May 2022 Tommy John surgery (his second) and had perhaps the best stretch of his career in the postseason as a reliever and will be counted on as a starting pitcher in 2024. Paddack threw just five innings in the regular season but had eight strikeouts and just one walk, averaging a career-high 95.3 mph fastball. He reached 99 mph with his fastest pitch. He then threw 3.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs with six strikeouts and no walks. The Twins hope it's a sign he can return to his 2019 form when he had a 3.33 ERA and 26.9% strikeout rate for the Padres. At his peak, Paddack has good command and a plus change-up to keep hitters off balance. His innings may be limited in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, however.
More Fantasy News

Stumbles in third inning
Paddack allowed five runs (four earned) on five hits and a walk while striking out four in five innings Tuesday against the Mariners. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Another shaky start
Paddack (3-6) picked up the win Thursday against the Reds, allowing four runs on six hits and no walks with three strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Ambushed by Astros
Paddack (2-6) took the loss Friday, surrendering nine runs (eight earned) on 12 hits and a walk over four innings as Minnesota was dropped 10-3 by Houston. He struck out only one.
ANALYSIS
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Turns in quality start Saturday
Paddack came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 5-4 loss to the Blue Jays, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Throws eight strong innings
Paddack didn't factor into the decision Sunday against Seattle, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over eight innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Could be traded
According to Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic, Paddack is a candidate to be traded by the Twins during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
Paddack pitched only 88.1 innings in the 2024 regular season due to forearm issues and ended the campaign on the injured list after being diagnosed with a strain in July. The right-hander made 17 starts in 2024 and finished with a 4.99 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 79:21 K:BB. Paddack is owed $7.5 million in 2025, and a trade would make sense as Minnesota continues to tightly manage its payroll with the team owners looking to sell.
Paddack pitched only 88.1 innings in the 2024 regular season due to forearm issues and ended the campaign on the injured list after being diagnosed with a strain in July. The right-hander made 17 starts in 2024 and finished with a 4.99 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 79:21 K:BB. Paddack is owed $7.5 million in 2025, and a trade would make sense as Minnesota continues to tightly manage its payroll with the team owners looking to sell.