Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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Handed sixth loss
PSan Diego Padres
August 16, 2019
Paddack (7-6) took the loss Friday after surrendering five runs (four earned) on nine hits and a walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
Paddack was tagged for one run in the second inning, two in the third and two more in the fifth before being lifted from the ballgame. Unfortunately, his team failed to provide him with any run support while he was in the game. The 23-year-old right-hander didn't appear to have his best stuff Friday night, but he still owns a 3.44 ERA and 0.98 WHIP with 121 punchouts over 115 innings this season.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .216 238 53 15 47 12 0 11
Since 2017vs Right .190 228 68 11 40 5 0 9
2019vs Left .216 238 53 15 47 12 0 11
2019vs Right .190 228 68 11 40 5 0 9
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.53 0.77 53.1 5 2 0 10.3 1.4 1.0
Since 2017Away 4.23 1.17 61.2 2 4 0 8.8 2.6 2.0
2019Home 2.53 0.77 53.1 5 2 0 10.3 1.4 1.0
2019Away 4.23 1.17 61.2 2 4 0 8.8 2.6 2.0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.65
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
3.44
 
WHIP
0.98
 
BABIP
.248
 
GB/FB
1.17
 
Left On Base
74.1%
 
Exit Velocity
87.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.2%
 
Spin Rate
2000 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chris Paddack
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4 days ago
Dave Regan covers the 10 starting pitchers (who qualify for the ERA title) who have showing the biggest first half/second half leap in their SwStr percentage.
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7 days ago
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14 days ago
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19 days ago
Christopher Olson tees up Monday’s seven-game DraftKings slate, suggesting a Reds stack against Pittsburgh.
2017 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Tosses quality start
PSan Diego Padres
August 11, 2019
Paddack did not factor into the decision against Colorado on Saturday, pitching six innings and giving up three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders six runs in slugfest
PSan Diego Padres
August 4, 2019
Paddack allowed six runs in four innings against the Dodgers on Sunday but did not factor into the decision. He gave up six hits and walked one batter while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Bags seventh win
PSan Diego Padres
July 29, 2019
Paddack (7-5) picked up the win against the Orioles on Monday, giving up one earned run on three hits over 5.1 innings, striking out five and walking two as the Padres cruised to an 8-1 victory.
ANALYSIS
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Falters in sixth inning
PSan Diego Padres
July 23, 2019
Paddack (6-5) was handed the loss Tuesday against the Mets after giving up three runs on five hits over five innings. He struck out four and walked two.
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Flirts with no-hitter
PSan Diego Padres
July 17, 2019
Paddack (6-4) picked up the win in Wednesday's 3-2 victory over the Marlins, allowing one run on one hit and one walk over 7.2 innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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