Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack followed his eye-opening run of success in the minors with an impressive rookie season, emerging as the ace of San Diego's staff. The right-hander paired excellent control (5.5 BB%) and strong strikeout numbers (26.9 K%) to post the fifth-lowest WHIP in the majors (0.98) among pitchers who hurled 100 or more innings. Paddack's fastball isn't overpowering -- it sits at around 94 mph and is thrown with average spin -- but opponents managed to hit only .204 against it due to Paddack's superb command and intelligent mound mechanics. His changeup was even more difficult to handle; Paddack went to the pitch 28.5% of the time, holding hitters to a .190 average. The Padres limited Paddack's workload last season, but he proved his stamina with four dominant starts to close the season. He'll be three years removed from Tommy John surgery in 2020 and should thrive as he's freed to pitch without limitations. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#53
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$Signed a one-year, $555,000 contract with the Padres in March of 2019.
Earns win over Dodgers
PSan Diego Padres
August 4, 2020
Paddack (2-0) earned the win in Monday's 5-4 victory over the Dodgers. He gave up three runs on five hits -- including one home run -- while fanning five across six innings.
ANALYSIS
Paddack tossed his second quality start of the season -- in three outings -- and has earned the win both times he's reached that feat. Paddack has allowed homers in back-to-back starts, but he has limited the damage while racking up 15 strikeouts in just 17 innings across his first three appearances. His next scheduled start will come Aug. 9 at home against Madison Bumgarner and the Diamondbacks.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-71%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .227 325 74 19 68 15 2 14
Since 2018vs Right .188 307 94 13 54 9 0 11
2020vs Left .353 35 5 1 12 2 1 2
2020vs Right .103 29 10 0 3 1 0 0
2019vs Left .211 290 69 18 56 13 1 12
2019vs Right .198 278 84 13 51 8 0 11
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.93 0.86 73.2 8 3 0 9.4 1.3 1.0
Since 2018Away 3.54 1.08 84.0 3 4 0 9.8 2.3 1.8
2020Home 2.25 0.83 12.0 2 0 0 6.8 0.8 0.8
2020Away 3.60 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 10.8 0.0 1.8
2019Home 3.06 0.86 61.2 6 3 0 9.9 1.5 1.0
2019Away 3.53 1.08 79.0 3 4 0 9.7 2.4 1.8
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
15.00
 
K/9
7.9
 
BB/9
0.5
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.6 mph
 
ERA
2.65
 
WHIP
0.94
 
BABIP
.283
 
GB/FB
1.92
 
Left On Base
83.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.0%
 
Spin Rate
2037 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.9%
 
Swinging Strike
9.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2017
Significant help is finally coming for the Padres’ rotation in 2019, with Paddack leading the way. His fastball doesn’t generate plus readings on the radar gun (typically 93-94 mph), but at 6-foot-4, he gets great extension on the pitch, and plus command allows it to play up at least a full grade. Paddack may have the best changeup in the minors, which, coupled with his fastball command, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. His success to this point is unparalleled. He could make it as a No. 3 starter with his current repertoire. However, if he can improve his breaking ball and/or add another tick to his fastball in his second year back from Tommy John surgery, Paddack could profile as a No. 1 starter. The Padres limited him to 85 pitches per outing in 2018, but they should set him loose this year. He could join the big-league rotation around the All-Star break.
Paddack turned himself into a hot commodity to begin the 2016 campaign, as the 20-year-old posted an absurd 48:2 K:BB in 28.1 innings at Low-A in the Marlins' organization. With a 0.95 ERA to boot, Paddack was traded at the height of his value to the Padres in the Fernando Rodney deal. He continued to dominate through three starts, notching a 0.64 ERA and 23:3 K:BB in 14 subsequent innings for Low-A Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, he then started experiencing elbow problems, was diagnosed with a torn UCL and ultimately underwent Tommy John surgery in August. As a result, he will likely miss the entirety of the 2017 season. When healthy, Paddack combines his sneaky low-90s fastball with a changeup and exceptional command. The development of a third pitch will determine his future path, if he can return to form following surgery.
More Fantasy News
Sharp against Giants
PSan Diego Padres
July 30, 2020
Paddack didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's contest between the Giants and the Padres. He tossed five innings of two-run ball, giving up six hits while fanning six.
ANALYSIS
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Spotless in six innings
PSan Diego Padres
July 24, 2020
Paddack (1-0) pitched six scoreless innings, allowing just four hits and a walk while striking out four in a win over the Diamondbacks on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed as Opening Day starter
PSan Diego Padres
July 20, 2020
Paddack will start in the Padres' season opener against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp again Saturday
PSan Diego Padres
July 19, 2020
Paddack unofficially threw 87 pitches over six innings in an intrasquad game Saturday, allowing two runs and striking out eight batters, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hurls six frames in intrasquad game
PSan Diego Padres
July 13, 2020
Paddack completed six innings in an intrasquad game Sunday, unofficially throwing 71 pitches, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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