Brad Keller
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Out
Injury Rest
Est. Return 2/1/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A Rule 5 pick last winter, Keller spent the first couple months in the Royals' bullpen before transitioning to a starting role. He was one of Kansas City's most effective arms down the stretch, posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his final eight starts (52 innings), bringing his season ERA down to a shiny 3.08. The right-hander achieved that mark despite a middling 6.2 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 -- his 7.9 K-BB% ranked 85th among 88 pitchers with 140 innings. What he lacked in terms of dominance he made up for with groundballs (54.4%), and in turn limiting homers (0.45 HR/9). While he does not have elite velocity, Keller's fastball graded out as one of the best among regular starters thanks to the pitch's movement. His slider was also above average according to FanGraphs' Pitch Values. If he could create a bigger velocity gap between his fastball and changeup, Keller could be something, but until then he'll be a risky, low-K arm on a bad team. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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Done for season
PKansas City Royals
August 28, 2019
Keller will be shut down for the season for workload reasons, Lynn Worthy of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
Keller pitched 165.1 innings this season, up from 140.1 last year. He wasn't able to come close to last season's 3.08 ERA, but his 4.19 mark this season was respectable enough. He again relied on a strong groundball rate (50.0 percent), as both his strikeout rate (17.2 percent) and walk rate (9.9 percent) were fairly poor.
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Pitching Stats
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Brad Keller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brad Keller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .258 636 116 80 141 19 4 11
Since 2017vs Right .241 656 102 40 146 19 8 11
2019vs Left .251 364 70 45 78 8 4 7
2019vs Right .243 345 52 25 76 11 6 8
2018vs Left .268 272 46 35 63 11 0 4
2018vs Right .239 311 50 15 70 8 2 3
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.55 1.18 137.0 9 7 0 6.7 3.4 0.7
Since 2017Away 3.79 1.46 168.2 7 13 0 6.2 3.6 0.6
2019Home 4.21 1.19 66.1 4 6 0 7.2 3.5 0.8
2019Away 4.18 1.46 99.0 3 8 0 6.3 4.0 0.8
2018Home 2.93 1.16 70.2 5 1 0 6.2 3.3 0.5
2018Away 3.23 1.45 69.2 4 5 0 6.1 3.1 0.4
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brad Keller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.74
 
K/9
6.6
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
4.19
 
WHIP
1.35
 
BABIP
.288
 
GB/FB
2.01
 
Left On Base
70.9%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2290 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
38.4%
 
Swinging Strike
8.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Hit hard in loss
PKansas City Royals
August 27, 2019
Keller (7-14) gave up five runs on three hits and three walks while striking out one through 1.1 innings to take the loss against the Athletics on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Will have pitch count monitored
PKansas City Royals
August 26, 2019
Manager Ned Yost said that Keller will be capped at 100 pitches in his start Monday against the Athletics and any additional turns that follow this season, Jeffrey Flanagan of MLB.com reports.
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Settles for no-decision
PKansas City Royals
August 21, 2019
Keller threw six shutout innings while allowing three hits and two walks along with four strikeouts in a no-decision against the Orioles on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Flirts with no-hitter in loss
PKansas City Royals
August 14, 2019
Keller (7-13) was charged with the loss against the Cardinals on Wednesday after allowing three runs on three hits and three walks while striking out five over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in 12th loss
PKansas City Royals
August 9, 2019
Keller (7-12) was hit with the loss after yielding five runs on 10 hits and three walks while striking out six over six innings Friday night against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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