Brad Keller
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A Rule 5 pick last winter, Keller spent the first couple months in the Royals' bullpen before transitioning to a starting role. He was one of Kansas City's most effective arms down the stretch, posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his final eight starts (52 innings), bringing his season ERA down to a shiny 3.08. The right-hander achieved that mark despite a middling 6.2 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 -- his 7.9 K-BB% ranked 85th among 88 pitchers with 140 innings. What he lacked in terms of dominance he made up for with groundballs (54.4%), and in turn limiting homers (0.45 HR/9). While he does not have elite velocity, Keller's fastball graded out as one of the best among regular starters thanks to the pitch's movement. His slider was also above average according to FanGraphs' Pitch Values. If he could create a bigger velocity gap between his fastball and changeup, Keller could be something, but until then he'll be a risky, low-K arm on a bad team. Read Past Outlooks
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Earns third win
PKansas City Royals
May 22, 2019
Keller (3-5) allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out three across seven innings to earn the win in the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Keller got strong results in his start, allowing only two earned runs after the bullpen failed to strand two inherited runners in the eighth inning. Despite the strong results, Keller wasn't particularly impressive as he walked more batters than he struck out and generated just four swinging strikes on 105 total pitches. Still, this outing was Keller's longest since Opening Day and his first quality start since April 12 -- a span of six outings. He'll look to build off this effort in his next start, currently scheduled for Monday at the White Sox.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .243 407 68 61 83 16 2 5
Since 2017vs Right .240 463 73 30 102 18 5 5
2019vs Left .189 135 22 26 20 5 2 1
2019vs Right .242 152 23 15 32 10 3 2
2018vs Left .268 272 46 35 63 11 0 4
2018vs Right .239 311 50 15 70 8 2 3
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.32 1.20 100.1 7 3 0 6.5 3.9 0.4
Since 2017Away 3.69 1.49 105.0 5 8 0 5.8 4.1 0.4
2019Home 4.25 1.28 29.2 2 2 0 7.3 5.2 0.3
2019Away 4.58 1.56 35.1 1 3 0 5.3 6.1 0.5
2018Home 2.93 1.16 70.2 5 1 0 6.2 3.3 0.5
2018Away 3.23 1.45 69.2 4 5 0 6.1 3.1 0.4
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Brad Keller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.10
 
K/9
6.2
 
BB/9
5.7
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
92.8 mph
 
ERA
4.43
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.262
 
GB/FB
2.09
 
Left On Base
67.6%
 
Exit Velocity
90.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.7%
 
Spin Rate
2288 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
40.7%
 
Swinging Strike
8.2%
 
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Walks five in loss
PKansas City Royals
May 18, 2019
Keller (2-5) was charged with the loss to the Angels on Friday, surrendering four runs on seven hits and five walks while striking out three over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with command
PKansas City Royals
May 11, 2019
Keller (2-4) took the loss against the Phillies on Saturday by giving up six runs (five earned) on five hits. He struck out three and walked four.
ANALYSIS
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Works around five walks
PKansas City Royals
May 5, 2019
Keller allowed two runs on six hits with six strikeouts and five walks across 5.1 innings during a no-decision against the Tigers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard by Rays
PKansas City Royals
April 29, 2019
Keller (2-3) took the loss against the Rays on Monday, giving up five earned runs on six hits over five innings, striking out one and walking three as the Royals fell 8-5.
ANALYSIS
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Back from suspension
PKansas City Royals
April 29, 2019
Keller has been reinstated after serving a five-game suspension and is scheduled to start Monday's series opener with the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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