Brad Keller
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Keller improved his innings count from 140.1 in 2018 to 165.1 in 2019, but was still shut down at the end of August as the Royals sought to limit his workload. The right-hander's ERA rose to 4.19 in his second year in the majors after he posted a 3.08 ERA in 2018. Keller improved his strikeout rate to 17.2% in 2019, but it was still the sixth-worst rate among qualified pitchers. The 24-year-old rode his sinker to one of the lowest home-run rates in the league, helping make up for the lack of dominance to an extent. Kauffman Stadium allowed the second-fewest home runs in baseball last season, but Keller's home-run rate was almost identical at home and on the road, which is a mark in his favor. Keller could finally see something close to a full season of work in the majors, but the low-end strikeout total and struggles to limit baserunners render him a streamer at best. Read Past Outlooks
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Yields five runs in loss
PKansas City Royals
September 20, 2020
Keller (4-3) allowed five runs on five hits and three walks over five innings Sunday, striking out four and taking the loss against Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
For most of the afternoon, Keller had a fine outing unless Daniel Vogelbach was at the dish. He coughed up two homers to the lefty slugger, one in the first inning and another in the sixth, accounting for all five of Milwaukee's runs. The 25-year-old's ERA jumped from 2.06 to 2.77 across 48.2 innings this season. Keller will make his final start of the season Friday at home against Detroit.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
102
How many pitches does Brad Keller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brad Keller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .252 759 134 95 164 19 4 13
Since 2018vs Right .235 727 114 42 158 21 8 11
2020vs Left .219 123 18 15 23 0 0 2
2020vs Right .179 71 12 2 12 2 0 0
2019vs Left .251 364 70 45 78 8 4 7
2019vs Right .243 345 52 25 76 11 6 8
2018vs Left .268 272 46 35 63 11 0 4
2018vs Right .239 311 50 15 70 8 2 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-94%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.02 1.11 164.0 12 7 0 6.6 3.2 0.5
Since 2018Away 4.02 1.46 190.1 8 16 0 6.1 3.7 0.7
2020Home 0.33 0.78 27.0 3 0 0 6.0 2.3 0.0
2020Away 5.82 1.43 21.2 1 3 0 5.0 4.2 0.8
2019Home 4.21 1.19 66.1 4 6 0 7.2 3.5 0.8
2019Away 4.18 1.46 99.0 3 8 0 6.3 4.0 0.8
2018Home 2.93 1.16 70.2 5 1 0 6.2 3.3 0.5
2018Away 3.23 1.45 69.2 4 5 0 6.1 3.1 0.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brad Keller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.76
 
K/9
5.5
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
92.7 mph
 
ERA
2.77
 
WHIP
1.07
 
BABIP
.235
 
GB/FB
2.34
 
Left On Base
73.2%
 
Exit Velocity
83.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.2%
 
Spin Rate
2417 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.2%
 
Swinging Strike
8.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brad Keller
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6 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Last Call
13 days ago
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18 days ago
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Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Royals at Indians
18 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Monday's Royals at Indians game for Dream11 contests.
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A Rule 5 pick last winter, Keller spent the first couple months in the Royals' bullpen before transitioning to a starting role. He was one of Kansas City's most effective arms down the stretch, posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his final eight starts (52 innings), bringing his season ERA down to a shiny 3.08. The right-hander achieved that mark despite a middling 6.2 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 -- his 7.9 K-BB% ranked 85th among 88 pitchers with 140 innings. What he lacked in terms of dominance he made up for with groundballs (54.4%), and in turn limiting homers (0.45 HR/9). While he does not have elite velocity, Keller's fastball graded out as one of the best among regular starters thanks to the pitch's movement. His slider was also above average according to FanGraphs' Pitch Values. If he could create a bigger velocity gap between his fastball and changeup, Keller could be something, but until then he'll be a risky, low-K arm on a bad team.
More Fantasy News
Dominates Pirates
PKansas City Royals
September 13, 2020
Keller (4-2) allowed five hits and a walk while striking out two across nine scoreless innings to earn the win Sunday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Peppered by Cleveland in loss
PKansas City Royals
September 7, 2020
Keller (3-2) took the loss Monday, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits and a walk over 6.2 innings as the Royals fell 5-2 to Cleveland. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Steady in no-decision
PKansas City Royals
August 31, 2020
Keller allowed a run on three hits and a walk while striking out four over 6.1 innings but didn't factor in the decision Monday versus Cleveland.
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Handed first loss
PKansas City Royals
August 24, 2020
Keller (3-1) took the loss Monday against the Cardinals, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks across four innings pitched. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Stellar performance against Reds
PKansas City Royals
August 19, 2020
Keller (3-0) allowed three hits over 6.2 scoreless innings in a win over the Reds in the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader. He struck out five and walked three.
ANALYSIS
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