Caleb Smith
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
His season was ended prematurely by lat and shoulder injuries which required surgery, but during his time on the field Smith flashed an impressive skill set. In 77.1 innings with the big-league team, he posted a 27.0% strikeout rate. Despite below-average fastball velocity, Smith was highly successful in challenging hitters with the fastball, as he ranked among the league leaders on swings and misses in the strike zone with the four-seamer. He was also able to get swings out of the zone with the slider later in counts, but further development of the changeup will be necessary if Smith is to make it as a starter long term. The lefty is an extreme flyball pitcher (50.8 FB%, 28.4 GB%), which makes him a nice fit in Marlins Park but dicey away from home (5.18 ERA on the road last year). Health provided, Smith should be starting every fifth day for Miami, and there is some upside here, but it's best to stream him carefully early on. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Yankees in 2013 that includes an $100,000 signing bonus.
Finishes on sour note
PMiami Marlins
September 28, 2019
Smith (10-11) took the loss Saturday at Philadelphia after allowing six runs (five earned) on five hits and four walks over three innings. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
Smith gave up runs in all three frames as he labored through 71 pitches Saturday, and to make things worse he also bunted into a double play during his lone at-bat. The 28-year-old finishes 2019 with a 4.52 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 168:60 K:BB over 153.1 innings, but he really struggled in his final 12 outings with a 6.25 ERA.
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Pitching Stats
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Caleb Smith generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Caleb Smith generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .253 268 65 20 62 12 0 6
Since 2017vs Right .218 790 209 83 150 37 3 41
2019vs Left .211 147 34 12 28 6 0 4
2019vs Right .227 499 134 48 100 23 2 29
2018vs Left .287 92 25 5 25 3 0 2
2018vs Right .191 234 63 28 38 13 1 8
2017vs Left .360 29 6 3 9 3 0 0
2017vs Right .240 57 12 7 12 1 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.53 1.16 119.2 8 6 0 10.2 3.4 1.2
Since 2017Away 5.69 1.36 129.2 7 12 0 9.6 4.0 2.2
2019Home 3.56 1.13 73.1 6 4 0 10.4 3.3 1.2
2019Away 5.40 1.31 80.0 4 7 0 9.3 3.7 2.6
2018Home 3.13 1.21 37.1 2 2 0 10.1 3.1 0.7
2018Away 5.18 1.28 40.0 3 4 0 10.4 4.5 1.6
2017Home 5.00 1.22 9.0 0 0 0 8.0 5.0 3.0
2017Away 10.24 2.07 9.2 0 1 0 9.3 4.7 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Caleb Smith compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.80
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.9
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
4.52
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.264
 
GB/FB
0.55
 
Left On Base
74.9%
 
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.7%
 
Spin Rate
2289 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.3%
 
Swinging Strike
13.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Caleb Smith
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30 days ago
Christopher Olson recommends an Orioles stack Monday against Toronto.
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30 days ago
Adam Wainwright is surging as the Cardinals look ahead to a playoff berth, and Chris Bennett likes Waino's FanDuel potential for Monday DFS.
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30 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Subject to Change
32 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Nationals, Astros Dominate Top-5
39 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching has the Astros and Nationals have separated themselves from the pack.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Smith is a name worth knowing primarily because he's a member of the Marlins' organization. The 26-year-old lefty has just 18.2 major-league innings to his name, in which he's posted a 7.71 ERA. But for a Marlins team which lacks depth in the starting rotation (or really anywhere on the team), Smith could easily end up making double-digit starts. He's been a solid performer in his minor-league career, recording a 3.19 ERA with 8.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in five seasons. That's not impressive enough for him to project as a real weapon in 2018, but it's enough to make him relevant in NL-only leagues. With Wei-Yin Chen and Dan Straily both injured to start the season, a rotation spot has opened up for Smith.
More Fantasy News
Bags 10th win
PMiami Marlins
September 23, 2019
Smith (10-10) got the win against the Mets on Monday, giving up four earned runs on seven hits over six innings, striking out three and walking four as the Marlins won 8-4.
ANALYSIS
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Bags ninth win
PMiami Marlins
September 17, 2019
Smith (9-10) got the win against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, giving up four earned runs on eight hits over five innings, striking out four and walking one as the Marlins prevailed 12-6.
ANALYSIS
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Takes another loss
PMiami Marlins
September 12, 2019
Smith (8-10) allowed three runs on six hits with two walks and four strikeouts across 5.2 innings while taking a loss against the Brewers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
September 7, 2019
Smith tossed six scoreless frames while allowing only four hits with two walks and eight strikeouts in a no-decision against the Royals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Continues to struggle
PMiami Marlins
September 1, 2019
Smith (8-9) allowed seven runs on seven hits and one walk with five strikeouts in the Marlins' 9-3 loss to the Nationals on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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