Caleb Smith
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
His season was ended prematurely by lat and shoulder injuries which required surgery, but during his time on the field Smith flashed an impressive skill set. In 77.1 innings with the big-league team, he posted a 27.0% strikeout rate. Despite below-average fastball velocity, Smith was highly successful in challenging hitters with the fastball, as he ranked among the league leaders on swings and misses in the strike zone with the four-seamer. He was also able to get swings out of the zone with the slider later in counts, but further development of the changeup will be necessary if Smith is to make it as a starter long term. The lefty is an extreme flyball pitcher (50.8 FB%, 28.4 GB%), which makes him a nice fit in Marlins Park but dicey away from home (5.18 ERA on the road last year). Health provided, Smith should be starting every fifth day for Miami, and there is some upside here, but it's best to stream him carefully early on. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Yankees in 2013 that includes an $100,000 signing bonus.
Whiffs seven
PMiami Marlins
May 21, 2019
Smith allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven across five innings Tuesday against the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Smith continued to showcase his impressive ability to generate strikeouts, inducing 17 swinging strikes on 89 total pitches. He's recorded at least seven strikeouts in all but one of nine starts this season. As a result, he's racked up an impressive 71 punchouts in 53 innings, good for a 12.1 K/9. He'll look to keep it going in his next outing, likely to come Sunday at Washington.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .258 174 47 14 41 7 0 3
Since 2017vs Right .196 438 130 43 76 21 2 18
2019vs Left .149 53 16 6 7 1 0 1
2019vs Right .188 147 55 8 26 7 1 6
2018vs Left .287 92 25 5 25 3 0 2
2018vs Right .191 234 63 28 38 13 1 8
2017vs Left .360 29 6 3 9 3 0 0
2017vs Right .240 57 12 7 12 1 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-45%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.85 1.08 75.2 5 3 0 10.5 3.1 1.0
Since 2017Away 5.15 1.25 73.1 3 5 0 10.9 3.8 1.6
2019Home 1.84 0.89 29.1 3 1 0 11.7 2.5 0.6
2019Away 3.04 0.89 23.2 0 0 0 12.5 2.3 1.9
2018Home 3.13 1.21 37.1 2 2 0 10.1 3.1 0.7
2018Away 5.18 1.28 40.0 3 4 0 10.4 4.5 1.6
2017Home 5.00 1.22 9.0 0 0 0 8.0 5.0 3.0
2017Away 10.24 2.07 9.2 0 1 0 9.3 4.7 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Caleb Smith compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.07
 
K/9
12.1
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
92.2 mph
 
ERA
2.38
 
WHIP
0.89
 
BABIP
.249
 
GB/FB
0.73
 
Left On Base
88.7%
 
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.0%
 
Spin Rate
2206 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
33.3%
 
Swinging Strike
17.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Marlins Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Caleb Smith
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday Picks
3 days ago
Mike Barner looks over Yahoo's Tuesday offering, providing his suggestions for a 28-team slate.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks
3 days ago
Adam Zdroik delivers his recommendations for a busy 14-game Tuesday slate.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
3 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate and expects Gary Sanchez and the Yankees to tee off against a familiar foe in Baltimore's David Hess.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Justin-credible
6 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as elder statesman Justin Verlander is still rolling along, right into the top spot in the rankings.
The Long Game: Knowing When To Hold 'Em
8 days ago
Erik Siegrist analyzes whether some of the season's top surprises, such as the Tigers' Matthew Boyd, are the building blocks of future success in keeper leagues or assets to be cashed in now.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Smith is a name worth knowing primarily because he's a member of the Marlins' organization. The 26-year-old lefty has just 18.2 major-league innings to his name, in which he's posted a 7.71 ERA. But for a Marlins team which lacks depth in the starting rotation (or really anywhere on the team), Smith could easily end up making double-digit starts. He's been a solid performer in his minor-league career, recording a 3.19 ERA with 8.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in five seasons. That's not impressive enough for him to project as a real weapon in 2018, but it's enough to make him relevant in NL-only leagues. With Wei-Yin Chen and Dan Straily both injured to start the season, a rotation spot has opened up for Smith.
More Fantasy News
No support in loss
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2019
Smith (3-1) allowed two runs on four hits and two walks over 5.1 innings, taking the loss in Tuesday's 4-0 loss to the Rays. He struck out eight batters.
ANALYSIS
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Marlins-Mets postponed
PMiami Marlins
May 12, 2019
Smith won't make his scheduled start Sunday against the Mets after the contest was postponed due to inclement weather in New York.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in tough matchup
PMiami Marlins
May 7, 2019
Smith allowed two earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out 11 across 6.2 innings Tuesday against the Cubs. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight to grab third win
PMiami Marlins
May 1, 2019
Smith (3-0) picked up the win Wednesday, giving up one run on four hits and two walks over seven innings while striking out eight in a 4-2 victory over Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts down Phillies
PMiami Marlins
April 25, 2019
Smith allowed one earned run on three hits and a walk while striking out eight across six innings Thursday against the Phillies. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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