Shane Baz

22-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
While Baz didn't get to take part in a normal 2020 minor-league season, he did receive chances to face big-league bats during the summer, and the Rays undoubtedly kept a close eye on the prospect at their alternate training site. The 21-year-old hasn't pitched above Low-A, where he cruised to a 2.99 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with an 87:37 K:BB across 81.1 innings in 2019, but his stuff remains electric and could result in him being fast-tracked to the majors. Baz's command is something to watch in the coming years, as he hasn't finished with a walk rate below 10% in his first three seasons of professional ball. It's also worrisome that Baz remains with Tampa Bay, as the organization tends to ruin the development of potential top-end starters. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
$Signed a $4.1 million contract with the Pirates in June of 2017. Traded to the Rays in August of 2018.
Brief outing in Game 2
PTampa Bay Rays
October 9, 2021
Baz allowed three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out two in 2.1 innings in Friday's loss to the Red Sox in Game 2 of the ALDS. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Baz remained in Friday's contest after he gave up two runs in the top of the first inning, but he allowed another run to come across in the third inning prior to his removal. The right-hander threw just 47 pitches in Game 2, so he'll likely be available later in the ALDS if needed.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
61
Last 10 Games
61
Last 5 Games
61
How many pitches does Shane Baz generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Shane Baz generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-73%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-73%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .250 18 6 2 4 1 0 1
Since 2019vs Right .067 31 12 1 2 0 0 2
2021vs Left .250 18 6 2 4 1 0 1
2021vs Right .067 31 12 1 2 0 0 2
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 1.69 0.56 10.2 2 0 0 11.8 0.8 1.7
Since 2019Away 3.38 1.13 2.2 0 0 0 13.5 6.8 3.4
2021Home 1.69 0.56 10.2 2 0 0 11.8 0.8 1.7
2021Away 3.38 1.13 2.2 0 0 0 13.5 6.8 3.4
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Shane Baz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.00
 
K/9
12.2
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
97.0 mph
 
ERA
2.03
 
WHIP
0.68
 
BABIP
.133
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
125.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2423 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
18.0%
 
Swinging Strike
16.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
The player to be named later in the infamous Chris Archer trade, Baz now carries more real-life and dynasty-league value than Archer. A 6-foot-2 righty whose fastball touches triple-digits with nasty late movement, Baz's development has gone better with the Rays than it would have with the Pirates -- he ditched his two-seamer for a four-seamer and started favoring his 70-grade slider over his average curveball. Unfortunately for fantasy purposes, Tampa Bay is arguably the worst non-Rockies franchise for a non-elite pitching prospect to come up in. Most teams would give Baz every chance to develop into a No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but the Rays could very easily opt to use him in a role that suppresses his fantasy value. He has never logged a walk rate below 10%, and he will need to improve his below-average command by at least a full grade to ultimately end up as a traditional starter.
One of the better PTBNL in recent memory, it was announced in mid-August that Baz was heading to Tampa Bay as the third and final piece in the Chris Archer trade. The 6-foot-3 righty was the No. 12 overall pick in 2017 and received a $4.1 million bonus, but has yet to pitch above rookie ball and has not always produced results typically associated with high-end pitching prospects. His best stretch was 10 starts in the Appalachian League prior to the trade, when he had a 26.1 K% and 62.0 GB% -- his K% would have ranked eighth and his GB% would have ranked second in the league. However, he made two more Appy League starts after the trade, the first of which tanked his statistics (5 ER in 1.1 IP). Baz's monster mid-90s fastball is a worm killer that misses plenty of bats. He also has two breaking balls with plus potential and a developing changeup. It is a frontline arsenal, but if he doesn't throw more strikes he will end up in the bullpen.
A prep righty with a plus-plus fastball and the potential for a plus slider and plus curveball, Baz's upside is up there with any pitcher from the 2017 draft class (non MacKenzie Gore division). The Pirates landed the electric Texan with the 12th pick and a slightly over-slot $4.1 million bonus, and he was sent to debut as the youngest pitcher in the Gulf Coast League two weeks after his 18th birthday. Naturally there were some early struggles, most notably a 19:14 K:BB and a .289 batting average against. This actually opens up an opportunity for dynasty-league owners, as Baz could have been an extremely trendy option in drafts if he had gone out and shoved, but because his box score statistics were somewhat underwhelming, he could end up being one of this year's bargains. At 6-foot-3, 190 pounds, he has a prototypical starter's frame. His command needs some work, and his secondaries need refining, but he meets most of the requirements we look for in future frontline starters.
More Fantasy News
On mound for Game 2
PTampa Bay Rays
October 5, 2021
Baz will start Game 2 of the ALDS against the Red Sox or Yankees on Friday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Early exit in no-decision
PTampa Bay Rays
October 2, 2021
Baz didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 12-2 rout of the Yankees, giving up one run on one hit and two walks over 2.2 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in win
PTampa Bay Rays
September 26, 2021
Baz (2-0) allowed three hits and a walk over 5.2 scoreless innings Sunday, striking out nine and earning a win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Awarded another start
PTampa Bay Rays
September 22, 2021
The Rays are planning on having Baz start in Sunday's series finale with the Marlins in Tampa Bay, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Quiets Blue Jays in debut
PTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2021
Baz (1-0) allowed two runs on two hits while striking out five over five innings as he got the win over the Blue Jays on Monday in his MLB debut.
ANALYSIS
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