Shane Baz

22-Year-Old PitcherSP
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/6/2022
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Unfortunately, Baz needed surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow early in spring training, and it seems like we'll be waiting until at least May for him to rejoin the big-league rotation. He throws four pitches, all of which get whiffs and all of which are thrown much harder than league average -- his 83-mph curveball is his slowest pitch. His fastball, slider and curveball are particularly elite offerings. Baz dominated at Double-A, Triple-A and the majors last season, building up to 94.1 total innings. He logged elite strikeout rates (north of 36%), elite walk rates (no worse than 6.2%) and elite batting averages against (no worse than .190). There is nothing from a skill standpoint that should give redraft or dynasty managers pause, but this elbow procedure will likely prevent him from building up past 120 innings this season. The Rays will probably send Baz to Triple-A once fully healthy so that he can get stretched out and essentially simulate his lost spring training. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $4.1 million contract with the Pirates in June of 2017. Traded to the Rays in August of 2018.
Live BP on tap
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
May 9, 2022
Baz (elbow) is scheduled to throw a live batting practice session Monday, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Facing live hitters marks the next step forward in the rehab process for Baz, who has been sidelined since undergoing arthroscopic surgery in late March to remove loose bodies from his right elbow. He initiated a throwing program just over two weeks ago and has thus far checked out fine while advancing from long tossing to pitching bullpen sessions, which seemingly keeps him on pace to return from the 60-day injured list when first eligible June 6. For that to become a reality, however, Baz will need to avoid any setbacks upon facing hitters and eventually, making multiple minor-league starts as part of a rehab assignment.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-73%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-73%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .250 18 6 2 4 1 0 1
Since 2020vs Right .067 31 12 1 2 0 0 2
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Left .250 18 6 2 4 1 0 1
2021vs Right .067 31 12 1 2 0 0 2
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 1.69 0.56 10.2 2 0 0 11.8 0.8 1.7
Since 2020Away 3.38 1.13 2.2 0 0 0 13.5 6.8 3.4
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 1.69 0.56 10.2 2 0 0 11.8 0.8 1.7
2021Away 3.38 1.13 2.2 0 0 0 13.5 6.8 3.4
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Shane Baz
NFBC Main Event: Fever Dream
36 days ago
For the first time, Ryan Rufe takes on the immense challenge that is the NFBC Main Event. Read about how he prepared and the final results of his draft.
MLB: Four Potential Pitcher Values
41 days ago
Corbin Young examines four pitchers that could outperform their Average Draft Position in 2022.
Over/Under Win Totals 2022: Rays Underrated Again
42 days ago
RotoWire President Peter Schoenke gives his annual take on MLB over/under bets. He's won 59.9 percent of his bets over 21 years. He's not buying Tampa Bay's expected decline.
RotoWire Roundtable: Composite Top 300 Update
45 days ago
Individual sets of Top 350s from Jeff Erickson, Clay Link, Todd Zola and Erik Halterman form a composite Top 300 for the 2022 fantasy baseball season. How far does Jacob deGrom fall?
Spring Training Job Battles: American League
49 days ago
Erik Halterman reviews spring training job battles in the American League, including in Seattle where top prospect Julio Rodriguez is pushing for a roster spot.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
While Baz didn't get to take part in a normal 2020 minor-league season, he did receive chances to face big-league bats during the summer, and the Rays undoubtedly kept a close eye on the prospect at their alternate training site. The 21-year-old hasn't pitched above Low-A, where he cruised to a 2.99 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with an 87:37 K:BB across 81.1 innings in 2019, but his stuff remains electric and could result in him being fast-tracked to the majors. Baz's command is something to watch in the coming years, as he hasn't finished with a walk rate below 10% in his first three seasons of professional ball. It's also worrisome that Baz remains with Tampa Bay, as the organization tends to ruin the development of potential top-end starters.
The player to be named later in the infamous Chris Archer trade, Baz now carries more real-life and dynasty-league value than Archer. A 6-foot-2 righty whose fastball touches triple-digits with nasty late movement, Baz's development has gone better with the Rays than it would have with the Pirates -- he ditched his two-seamer for a four-seamer and started favoring his 70-grade slider over his average curveball. Unfortunately for fantasy purposes, Tampa Bay is arguably the worst non-Rockies franchise for a non-elite pitching prospect to come up in. Most teams would give Baz every chance to develop into a No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but the Rays could very easily opt to use him in a role that suppresses his fantasy value. He has never logged a walk rate below 10%, and he will need to improve his below-average command by at least a full grade to ultimately end up as a traditional starter.
One of the better PTBNL in recent memory, it was announced in mid-August that Baz was heading to Tampa Bay as the third and final piece in the Chris Archer trade. The 6-foot-3 righty was the No. 12 overall pick in 2017 and received a $4.1 million bonus, but has yet to pitch above rookie ball and has not always produced results typically associated with high-end pitching prospects. His best stretch was 10 starts in the Appalachian League prior to the trade, when he had a 26.1 K% and 62.0 GB% -- his K% would have ranked eighth and his GB% would have ranked second in the league. However, he made two more Appy League starts after the trade, the first of which tanked his statistics (5 ER in 1.1 IP). Baz's monster mid-90s fastball is a worm killer that misses plenty of bats. He also has two breaking balls with plus potential and a developing changeup. It is a frontline arsenal, but if he doesn't throw more strikes he will end up in the bullpen.
A prep righty with a plus-plus fastball and the potential for a plus slider and plus curveball, Baz's upside is up there with any pitcher from the 2017 draft class (non MacKenzie Gore division). The Pirates landed the electric Texan with the 12th pick and a slightly over-slot $4.1 million bonus, and he was sent to debut as the youngest pitcher in the Gulf Coast League two weeks after his 18th birthday. Naturally there were some early struggles, most notably a 19:14 K:BB and a .289 batting average against. This actually opens up an opportunity for dynasty-league owners, as Baz could have been an extremely trendy option in drafts if he had gone out and shoved, but because his box score statistics were somewhat underwhelming, he could end up being one of this year's bargains. At 6-foot-3, 190 pounds, he has a prototypical starter's frame. His command needs some work, and his secondaries need refining, but he meets most of the requirements we look for in future frontline starters.
More Fantasy News
Nearing live BP
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
April 27, 2022
Baz (elbow) is expected to throw live BP in early May, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Resumes throwing
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
April 22, 2022
Baz (elbow) has resumed throwing and completed a session on flat ground from 75 feet April 16, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Shifts to 60-day injured list
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
April 16, 2022
Baz (elbow) was transferred to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Placed on injured list
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
April 7, 2022
Baz (elbow) was placed on the 10-day injured list Thursday, radio broadcaster Steve Carney reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Undergoes arthroscopic surgery
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
March 21, 2022
Baz underwent arthroscopic surgery to remove loose bodies from his right elbow Monday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.