Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#398
ADP
Posts quality start in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
June 15, 2021
Rogers tossed six innings of one-run Tuesday against the Cardinals, allowing three hits and a walk while fanning six. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Rogers might have departed the game with a no-decision, but there's no question he was impressive on the mound once again and continues to deliver excellent results every time he takes the ball. The left-hander, who recently returned from the COVID-19 IL, has allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight straight outings and owns an excellent 1.98 ERA as a result. Rogers' next start is scheduled for this weekend on the road against the Cubs.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .250 116 35 16 24 7 0 0
Since 2019vs Right .218 333 99 23 66 18 0 9
2021vs Left .238 74 22 9 15 3 0 0
2021vs Right .192 246 73 17 43 12 0 4
2020vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
2020vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.97 1.24 34.0 3 2 0 10.9 3.4 0.8
Since 2019Away 2.62 1.15 75.2 5 3 0 11.1 3.1 0.7
2021Home 1.93 1.00 28.0 3 1 0 10.6 3.5 0.3
2021Away 2.01 1.04 53.2 4 2 0 10.4 2.5 0.5
2020Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
2020Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.56
 
K/9
10.6
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
94.7 mph
 
ERA
2.02
 
WHIP
1.06
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
1.29
 
Left On Base
82.0%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.0%
 
Spin Rate
2060 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.2%
 
Swinging Strike
15.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers
MLB Betting: Tuesday Best Bets
Yesterday
Joe Sheehan discusses baseball's upcoming crackdown against the use of foreign substances before getting into his card for Tuesday, which features four wagers including a look at the total in Cleveland.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Towering Above the Rest
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Rays ace Tyler Glasnow is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack.
Mound Musings: The Risk/Reward Equation
6 days ago
Brad Johnson examines pitchers, who, while risky, have hinted better days are imminent, starting with Yankees' pitcher Jordan Montgomery, who's among Johnson's favorite trade targets.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
6 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with a Twins stack Thursday against Michael King and the Yankees.
WynnBet Sportsbook: Thursday Best Bets
6 days ago
Juan Blanco dishes on Thursday's slate and offers his favorite bets, including a run line bet in Miami and a moneyline bet in Oakland. Can Trevor Rogers keep delivering for the Marlins?
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Back from COVID-19 IL
PMiami Marlins
June 13, 2021
The Marlins reinstated Rogers from the COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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IL stint should be minimal
PMiami Marlins
Undisclosed
June 12, 2021
Rogers was placed on the COVID-19 injured list Saturday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports. The stint should be minimal, according to McPherson.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up seventh win
PMiami Marlins
June 10, 2021
Rogers (7-3) allowed two runs on four hits and a walk with eight strikeouts in seven innings to earn the win Thursday versus Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision Saturday
PMiami Marlins
June 6, 2021
Rogers didn't factor into the decision Saturday against the Pirates after allowing two runs on four hits and two walks while fanning five across six innings.
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Stuck with loss in quality start
PMiami Marlins
May 29, 2021
Rogers (6-3) took the loss Saturday as the Marlins fell 3-1 to the Red Sox, allowing two runs on nine hits over six innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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