Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Ugly 2020 surface stats masked interesting skills and made Rogers a sleeper pick for many heading into the 2021 season. Those who took the chance were handsomely rewarded. Rogers posted a sparkling 2.64 ERA over 25 starts, and his 28.5 K% was backed up by a 14.1 SwStr% (12th in MLB, min. 120 innings). The lefty comfortably sits in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball and pulls the string on his changeup about a quarter of the time. The league flailed at the change, batting a combined .193 with one homer and 47 strikeouts against the pitch. His third offering -- the slider -- had a whiff rate north of 40%, per Statcast, and further development of that pitch could propel Rogers toward the top of the SP rankings. Even as is, he's more than capable as a starter, and the cozy confines of Marlins Park help his cause. Thankfully the "sleeper" label still sort of applies despite the breakout already happening. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#93
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Marlins in June of 2017.
Rides slider to victory
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2022
Rogers (2-4) gave up one run on five hits and zero walks while striking out eight in 5.1 innings Saturday against the Brewers. He picked up the win.
ANALYSIS
Rogers' slider was the story in this one, as he got a career-high eight total whiffs on 15 swings against the pitch. This was the second start in a row where he threw his slider more than his changeup, which used to be his best pitch but has been more hittable this season. This was his first start without walking a batter since his last start of 2021. He lines up to face Atlanta at home next weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-23%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .270 207 62 27 47 11 0 1
Since 2020vs Right .224 613 163 45 124 38 0 13
2022vs Left .310 32 10 3 9 2 0 1
2022vs Right .240 109 19 10 23 6 0 2
2021vs Left .259 133 39 17 29 5 0 0
2021vs Right .206 417 118 29 78 26 0 6
2020vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
2020vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-88%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.83 1.42 72.2 4 7 0 11.3 3.7 0.9
Since 2020Away 2.61 1.16 120.2 6 7 0 10.0 3.1 0.5
2022Home 10.32 1.85 11.1 1 2 0 11.9 4.8 2.4
2022Away 1.29 1.14 21.0 1 2 0 6.0 3.0 0.0
2021Home 2.77 1.23 55.1 3 4 0 11.1 3.6 0.3
2021Away 2.55 1.09 77.2 4 4 0 10.3 2.8 0.5
2020Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
2020Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.23
 
K/9
8.1
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
94.7 mph
 
ERA
4.45
 
WHIP
1.39
 
BABIP
.318
 
GB/FB
1.16
 
Left On Base
66.2%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
1986 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.5%
 
Swinging Strike
10.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
9 days ago
Erik Halterman uses Monday's column to compare a player's NFBC average draft position to his Earned Auction Value ranking, beginning his analysis with Marlins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
10 days ago
Chris Morgan analyzes the Yahoo Sunday DFS slate as Walker Buehler looks to shut down the Cubs.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Knock on Woodruff
11 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-start Brandon Woodruff is looking good after a rough opener.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2018
Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game.
Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Five scoreless innings
PMiami Marlins
May 8, 2022
Rogers struck out three and allowed five hits and two walks in five scoreless innings in a 3-2 loss Sunday in San Diego. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Handed fifth defeat
PMiami Marlins
May 3, 2022
Rogers (1-5) was charged with the loss Tuesday against the Diamondbacks after giving up five runs on six hits with four strikeouts and two walks over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies first win
PMiami Marlins
April 28, 2022
Rogers (1-3) allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks while striking out four across six innings to earn the win Thursday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Gets no help in Friday's loss
PMiami Marlins
April 23, 2022
Rogers (0-3) took the loss Friday as the Marlins were blanked 3-0 by Atlanta, allowing one unearned run on four hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Woeful against Philly
PMiami Marlins
April 17, 2022
Rogers (0-2) allowed seven runs on four hits and four walks while striking out three across 1.2 innings to take the loss Saturday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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