Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#393
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Marlins in June of 2017.
Strikes out 10 in loss
PMiami Marlins
September 22, 2021
Rogers dropped to 7-8 after giving up four runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks across 5.1 innings in Tuesday's 7-1 loss to the Nationals. He tied his career high with 10 strikeouts in the outing.
ANALYSIS
Rogers has yet to record a win since June 10, and while the All-Star rookie has seen his effectiveness wane since that time, he's pitched well enough to deserve a better outcome. Over that 0-5 stretch which has spanned 11 starts, Rogers has turned in 3.78 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 62:21 K:BB while allowing only two home runs in 52.1 innings. Rogers will tentatively line up for two starts in the final week of the season, with the first of those outings set to come in the Marlins' Sept. 28 doubleheader in New York versus the Mets.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .270 171 51 24 38 9 0 0
Since 2019vs Right .221 491 139 35 98 31 0 11
2021vs Left .269 129 38 17 29 5 0 0
2021vs Right .205 404 113 29 75 25 0 6
2020vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
2020vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-23%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.82 1.34 61.1 3 5 0 11.2 3.5 0.6
Since 2019Away 2.95 1.19 94.2 5 5 0 10.8 3.3 0.7
2021Home 2.77 1.23 55.1 3 4 0 11.1 3.6 0.3
2021Away 2.60 1.13 72.2 4 4 0 10.3 3.0 0.5
2020Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
2020Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.28
 
K/9
10.6
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
94.6 mph
 
ERA
2.67
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.318
 
GB/FB
1.31
 
Left On Base
74.2%
 
Exit Velocity
80.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.5%
 
Spin Rate
2027 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.9%
 
Swinging Strike
14.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers
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2 days ago
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7 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Race to 200 Innings
14 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as top-ranked Gerrit Cole likely will be with the great majority of starters who won't reach 200 innings this year.
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15 days ago
Chris Bennett dives into Friday's FanDuel offering, turning to Nelson Cruz and a Tampa Bay bat stack against the Tigers.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: A September to Remember?
21 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as September opens with both Cy Young awards still to be decided.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Solid in four innings
PMiami Marlins
September 15, 2021
Rogers allowed one run on seven hits and a walk while striking out three in four innings in a no-decision versus Washington on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Yanked in fifth inning
PMiami Marlins
September 10, 2021
Rogers (7-7) allowed four runs on three hits and a walk over 4.1 innings Friday, striking out six and taking the loss against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Throws 83 pitches in return
PMiami Marlins
September 4, 2021
Rogers tossed 4.1 innings against Philadelphia on Saturday, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks while striking out three. He did not factor in the decison.
ANALYSIS
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Activated by Marlins
PMiami Marlins
September 2, 2021
Rogers (personal) was activated from the restricted list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Completes second rehab start
PMiami Marlins
Personal
August 29, 2021
Rogers (personal) completed his second rehab start with Low-A Jupiter on Sunday and threw 71 pitches over five innings, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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