Trevor Rogers

24-Year-Old PitcherSP

Miami Marlins

2022 Stats

W-L

2-4

ERA

4.45

WHIP

1.39

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2022 Fantasy Outlook

Ugly 2020 surface stats masked interesting skills and made Rogers a sleeper pick for many heading into the 2021 season. Those who took the chance were handsomely rewarded. Rogers posted a sparkling 2.64 ERA over 25 starts, and his 28.5 K% was backed up by a 14.1 SwStr% (12th in MLB, min. 120 innings). The lefty comfortably sits in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball and pulls the string on his changeup about a quarter of the time. The league flailed at the change, batting a combined .193 with one homer and 47 strikeouts against the pitch. His third offering -- the slider -- had a whiff rate north of 40%, per Statcast, and further development of that pitch could propel Rogers toward the top of the SP rankings. Even as is, he's more than capable as a starter, and the cozy confines of Marlins Park help his cause. Thankfully the "sleeper" label still sort of applies despite the breakout already happening. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#93

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'5"

Weight 217

DOB 11/13/1997

Born Carlsbad, NM

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2017 MIA

Rides slider to victory

PMiami Marlins

May 14, 2022

Rogers (2-4) gave up one run on five hits and zero walks while striking out eight in 5.1 innings Saturday against the Brewers. He picked up the win.

ANALYSIS
Rogers' slider was the story in this one, as he got a career-high eight total whiffs on 15 swings against the pitch. This was the second start in a row where he threw his slider more than his changeup, which used to be his best pitch but has been more hittable this season. This was his first start without walking a batter since his last start of 2021. He lines up to face Atlanta at home next weekend.

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Pitching Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2022 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

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Head2Head

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2021 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-17%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-23%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-20%

BAA vs RHP

2020

-6%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2020vs Left	.270	207	62	27	47	11	0	1
Since 2020vs Right	.224	613	163	45	124	38	0	13
2022vs Left	.310	32	10	3	9	2	0	1
2022vs Right	.240	109	19	10	23	6	0	2
2021vs Left	.259	133	39	17	29	5	0	0
2021vs Right	.206	417	118	29	78	26	0	6
2020vs Left	.273	42	13	7	9	4	0	0
2020vs Right	.291	87	26	6	23	6	0	5
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-46%

ERA on Road

2022

-88%

ERA on Road

2021

-8%

ERA on Road

2020

-70%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2020Home	4.83	1.42	72.2	4	7	0	11.3	3.7	0.9
Since 2020Away	2.61	1.16	120.2	6	7	0	10.0	3.1	0.5
2022Home	10.32	1.85	11.1	1	2	0	11.9	4.8	2.4
2022Away	1.29	1.14	21.0	1	2	0	6.0	3.0	0.0
2021Home	2.77	1.23	55.1	3	4	0	11.1	3.6	0.3
2021Away	2.55	1.09	77.2	4	4	0	10.3	2.8	0.5
2020Home	13.50	2.33	6.0	0	1	0	12.0	3.0	3.0
2020Away	4.09	1.41	22.0	1	1	0	12.7	4.5	1.2
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.23

K/9

8.1

BB/9

3.6

HR/9

0.8

Fastball

94.7 mph

ERA

4.45

WHIP

1.39

BABIP

.318

GB/FB

1.16

Left On Base

66.2%

Exit Velocity

80.7 mph

Barrels/BBE

3.7%

Spin Rate

1986 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

19.5%

Swinging Strike

10.4%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Trevor Rogers Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Marlins Depth Chart

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Rogers

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising

4 days ago

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.

Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins

5 days ago

Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.

MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers

9 days ago

Erik Halterman uses Monday's column to compare a player's NFBC average draft position to his Earned Auction Value ranking, beginning his analysis with Marlins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez.

Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks

10 days ago

Chris Morgan analyzes the Yahoo Sunday DFS slate as Walker Buehler looks to shut down the Cubs.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Knock on Woodruff

11 days ago

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-start Brandon Woodruff is looking good after a rough opener.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2021

2018

Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game.

Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.

More Fantasy News

Five scoreless innings

PMiami Marlins

May 8, 2022

Rogers struck out three and allowed five hits and two walks in five scoreless innings in a 3-2 loss Sunday in San Diego. He did not factor into the decision.