Trevor Rogers
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Rogers' 6.11 ERA wasn't pretty, but he still shot up prospect lists thanks to increased fastball velocity and an improved slider that helped lead to a 30.0 K%. He used to sit 90-93 mph with his high-spin fourseamer, but it averaged 94 mph while touching 96 mph last season. Rogers' slider improved from below-average to average, and his changeup, which drops off the table, has all the traits of a future plus offering. The 6-foot-6 southpaw's 3.49 xERA and 3.67 xFIP portend better results with normal luck, but he can also improve skills wise. His 10.0 BB% was the highest mark of his career, which is understandable for a 22-year-old jumping over Triple-A completely. He should be able to improve his command and control going forward. Despite being a first-round pick in 2017, Rogers doesn't come with a ton of prospect hype, and his bloated 2020 ERA allows for him to be available in the mixed-league end game. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#508
ADP
Delivers three scoreless frames
PMiami Marlins
September 26, 2020
Rogers gave up two hits and one walk over three scoreless innings during Saturday's loss to the Yankees. He struck out four and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
The 22-year-old has struggled to find much consistency in 2020, but he had no issues during Saturday's short outing. Rogers will finish his rookie campaign with seven starts and a 6.11 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 39:13 K:BB over 28 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2020 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
77
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
67
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
Since 2018vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
2020vs Left .273 42 13 7 9 4 0 0
2020vs Right .291 87 26 6 23 6 0 5
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
Since 2018Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
2020Home 13.50 2.33 6.0 0 1 0 12.0 3.0 3.0
2020Away 4.09 1.41 22.0 1 1 0 12.7 4.5 1.2
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
12.5
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
93.6 mph
 
ERA
6.11
 
WHIP
1.61
 
BABIP
.403
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Left On Base
65.8%
 
Exit Velocity
79.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.0%
 
Spin Rate
2115 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
19.2%
 
Swinging Strike
13.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2018 Fantasy Outlook
Considering Rogers was selected with the No. 13 pick in the 2017 draft and received a $3.4 million bonus, it's tempting to try to make an argument for him being a valuable dynasty-league asset. However, he is old for his class, and is essentially a two-pitch lefty at the moment. He did not pitch at all after being drafted, which is slightly concerning as the Marlins' first-round pick from 2016, Braxton Garrett, didn't pitch after being drafted and then needed Tommy John surgery early on the following season. Rogers is not as well-rounded as Garrett, but the 6-foot-6 southpaw has a plus fastball and a slider that shows signs of being an out pitch. His changeup and curveball lag well behind as distant third and fourth pitches, so it's easy to see why some evaluators project him to end up in the bullpen. He lacks frontline upside, and is forever away from the majors, so he can be ignored for now in dynasty leagues where fewer than 200 prospects are rostered.
More Fantasy News
Ambushed by Atlanta
PMiami Marlins
September 22, 2020
Rogers (1-2) took the loss Monday, giving up five runs on eight hits and two walks over four innings as the Marlins fell 5-4 to Atlanta. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one run in abbreviated start
PMiami Marlins
September 17, 2020
Rogers allowed one run on three hits and two walks while striking out three across three innings Wednesday against the Red Sox. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Pummeled by Phillies
PMiami Marlins
September 12, 2020
Rogers (1-1) took the loss in the first game of Friday's doubleheader against the Phillies, surrendering nine runs (eight earned) on nine hits over three-plus innings. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out 10 in quality start
PMiami Marlins
September 6, 2020
Rogers allowed three runs on four hits and a walk across six innings in Sunday's 5-4 loss to the Rays. He struck out 10 and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Beats Mets for first win
PMiami Marlins
August 31, 2020
Rogers (1-0) picked up the win against the Mets on Monday, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks across five innings pitched. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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